S&P500: Grasshopper 🦗 No, we are not talking about the cocktail!
S&P500 has been hopping up and down within the green zone between 4354 and 4253 points like a grasshopper in its grassy territory. At the moment, it is heading for the support line at 4354 points and could very well jump above it already. It could also stay in the patch of grass a little bit longer, though, and warm up its strong hind legs. For as soon as S&P500 has climbed above the support at 4354 points, we expect it to leap the resistance at 4585 from there.
However, there is a 45% chance that S&P500 could crawl below the grassy zone and even below the support at 4212 points. In this case, it should make a detour through the magenta zone between 4126 and 4035 points first before skipping back up, initially above 4212 points, then above 4354 points and from there further upwards.
Sp500analysis
SPY troubleHello Guys, this is a quick update on SP500. Last time I left you calling the double top and evening star pattern while many were expecting higher prices and possibly new highs. As you can see the double top has worked perfectly passing its target of 430. What can we see now? SPY has formed a perfect Head n Shoulder top. This is extremely bearish...if validated. As you can see many properties of this HnS are textbook (50 MA supporting the move, LH, LL). However, the volume is a bit atypical. We can see the volume has increased considerably at the beginning of the RS in an attempt by bulls to hold SPY on support. nevertheless, the rally was short-lived with volume decreasing and increasing on sell-off. I expect now a small bounce from here retesting the diagonal resistance (Head to Rshoulder) and a possible retest f the 50MA. If this attempt fails to break the resistance then I'll be expecting the HnS to workout perfectly.
The target would be 377 ish, or 3770 if you are tracking the SPX.
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SPX Zig Zag ABC for Cycle Wave 4Hi everyone, SPX is currently playing Impulse Intermediate wave 5 of a Main A Wave. Most probable targets for this Wave 5 are 4212 and 3976. Because last Wave 2 (in blue) was very strong, im expected at least a troncated wave 5 at 4212. 4358 (100% of fobonnacci) is the 1st possible Wave 5 target but i would be very surprised if the market makers are not bringing the market down to 4212 because a double bottom would provide us a better bounce back for the next B wave and can at the same time create a bullish divergence on lower timeframes like the 4 hours or 1 day chart. We should not forget that the last january 04rt SPX began a Cycle wave 4 retracement. Here are the most probable targets for this full Cycle Wave 4 Retracement :
0.24% = 3878.24
0.30% = 3643.26
0.382% = 3322.12
0.50% = 2860
0.618% = Golden fib at 2398
We must keep in mind Cycle Wave 2 of SPX was pretty strong in March 200, which make this Cycle Wave 4 more chance to be light. Usually most probable target for a W4 is in between 0.3% and 0.5%. With inflation currently slowly stablizing a little , 3643.26 or even 3878.24 are on the table and pretty realistic.
For now im projecting the next B Wave in between 4443.89 and 4729.88.
SPX500 after a retrace a new upmoveSPX500 after a retrace i expect a new upmove
Targets on Chart
Be carefull, patient and discipline.
This post does not provide financial advice. It is for educational purposes only! You can use the information from the post to make your own trading plan for the market.
But you must do your own research and use it as the priority. Trading is risky, and it is not suitable for everyone. Only you can be responsible for your trading.
Good trades to All.
SP500- Bulls need 4400 intactAfter dropping to 4250 in January, SP500 has started to recover and has risen to 4600 confluence resistance given by a falling trend line and a horizontal level.
A correction followed this move and, again, SP has stopped its descent in 4450 newly formed support.
If the 15% drop from the beginning of the year was just a correction or the beginning of a medium-term downtrend remains to be seen.
What is pretty clear at this point is that as long as the price stays above 4400 we can expect a new leg up and a daily close under this figure would expose the recent low, but more importantly would confirm a lower high at 4600, which is very bearish for the stock market.
P.S: Charts are similar for Dow30 and Nas100
S&P500: “Excellent…”“Excellent…”, we mutter slowly, steepling our fingertips while watching S&P500 move. In an exemplary manner, the index has finalized wave in turquoise in our turquoise target zone and is now in the middle of the countermovement we predicted. However, other than Mr. Burns from “The Simpsons”, whose trademark expression we borrow here, our next plan for the index is not evil. After it has completed the current countermovement with wave in turquoise within the lower turquoise strip between 4463 and 4426 points, we expect S&P500 to rise until the upper edge of the green zone between 4599 and 4675 points or even higher until the upper turquoise strip between 4683 and 4710 points above to finish wave in turquoise as well as wave 3 in green.
Still, there is a 30% chance that S&P500 does not abide by our primary plan and makes a detour below 4230 points instead. In that case, the index should fall into the magenta zone between 4126 and 4035 points before rising up again. If it manages to get back above 4230 points, a long-term rise is imminent.
SP500- We can have a bounce, but the outlook is bearishIn my previous SP500 analysis I said that I expect a break under the channel's support and that my target is the 4250 zone.
At this moment we have this break and we are halfway to my target. A bounce now is not out of the question, but this (in my opinion) doesn't represent the resumption of the uptrend, but just a corrective rally.
Bears can look to sell rallies around 4500 and slightly above and only SP500 back above 4700 would put a pause in this bearish scenario.
Things are looking even worst on the weekly chart:
SP500 has started the year with a strong bearish engulfing and all 3 weekly candles this year are read, with a very strong one last week
I would be surprised at all to see SP500 trading under 4k in the half part of the year
Good luck trading SP500!
Mihai Iacob
SPX's William % & Stoch weekly conflicting results !!!I could not find a set-up for both indicators ? for tops they both can stay up their hitting the Roof for months !!! .
it is like a dog chasing his tail !!! literally . For bottoms William is much better in searching for one. but, as usual
it gives quite early signal !!! which make it risky if used alone and quite frankly you could get caught in the middle or miss !!!
wish u all the best.
S&P500: No Time to Relax 🥵S&P500 has lived through two exhausting weeks, exploring virtually every level of the blue area between 4698 and 4552 points, and lately going below it on its search for a new low. However, there is no time to relax now! We expect the index to finish wave in blue just below the blue area (and allow him a buffer zone only until 4492 points). Then, it should be full of go again. The following surge should slingshot the index up into the upper blue area between 4992 and 5099 points, where the destination of wave in blue should be located.
However, we have worked out an alternative that is not to be sneezed at! There is a 40% chance that the index could initially go further down if it lingers below the support at 4492 points. It shouldn’t fall below 4269 points though. The trend reversal should take place in the lower blue belt between 4399 and 4293 points and ensure a new rise.
All in all, S&P500 should be ready to go up again before touching the support at 4492 points. Still, with a probability of 40%, it could slide below this mark at first.
SP500- Bearish Engulfing announce correction?In yesterday's Nasdaq100 analysis I said that I expect a drop for the index and 14k is my first target. Things are not different for SP500, here also expecting the price to drop.
Also, SP500 has started the year badly, with a bearish engulfing weekly candle and, although the price structure is not so bearish like in Nasdaq's case, a drop is probable here also.
4600 is trend line support, that kept the price elevated for more than a year now, and a break here would increase chances for a drop to 4250-4300 horizontal support.
In bearish this index too and I will look to sell rallies.
A new ATH would delay this scenario.
sp500recent bounce seems too high vs the ATH for this move to be an ABC but it is still possible that ABC can happen, but after doing EW analysis on 4H I see a new pattern emerging and we can remain strong above the 1.618 fib extension then chances are 2.618% fib lvl will be tested for the final W5 larger HTF move 2.618 around 5,700
SP500- New ATH soon?Last week, SP500 found strong support in 4500 zone and reversed strongly and with a big impulse.
Now the index is in a small correction of this first impulse up and we can have a new leg up pretty soon.
4630-4650 zone is support at this moment and dips around here should be bought.
A drop under 4600 would negate this scenario and would put SP500 in no men's land
SP500: Top or Flop?After making significant gains, the S&P500 falls short of rising above the resistance line at 4711 points, which approves that this is an important mark. We expect the course to extend gains into the white area. However, an alternative drop ist possible, too. Here, the index would be in a bigger correction until the blue area is reached.
Exciting times!
S&P 500 Index (SPX) Forecast 2022-2023Hello friends, today I am reviewing the yearly linear scale chart for S&P 500 Index (SPX).
In the chart I noted:
1) The price has been rising consistently since 1989-1990 with the price moving up in an Arc Pattern since 2009.
2) The price touched the Arc trendline in 2009 and again in 2020. If the price comes down to touch the Arc trendline in 2022, that would be a 40% drop. If it comes down in 2023, the price would drop 30%.
3) In 2009, the price dropped around 38%. I took the RSI at that time and matched it with the RSI at the current levels. If the current price falls, the RSI may also fall to the 60 to 61 range.
4) The RSI (relative strength index) has had a long standing support and resistance at 60 to 61. There is also a long term bottom trendline on the RSI dating back to 1932, in case it falls further.
A drop in the price to meet the Arc trendline is coming up. Let's see if it is in 2022 or 2023?
What are your opinions on this?
If you enjoy my ideas, feel free to like it and drop in a comment. I love reading your comments below.
Disclosure: This is just my opinion and not any type of financial advice. I enjoy charting and discussing technical analysis. Don't trade based on my advice. Do your own research! #cryptopickk
SPX S&P 500 Index: Support Areas Going DownHello friends, today you can review the technical analysis on the 1D linear scale chart for S&P 500 Index (SPX). There are many technical indicators and oscillators noted in the analysis, so please review everything.
#CryptoPickk noted in the chart:
1) The S&P 500 Index met an all time high recently and has been correcting since that point.
2) In the Idea below, #CryptoPickk shows the macro chart of SPX and how it has been on a massive run. A correction was more or less imminent.
3) A Fibonacci Retracement is shown with the price currently hovering around the Golden Pocket (0.65-0.618) zone. The 0.382 level is an area where the price may touch and move back up.
4) The 0.382 Fib level is also in the area of the 100 MA (moving average) around $4,481.
5) There are three noted support areas in the green dash lines. The bottom two fall in the area of the 100 MA and 0.382 Fib level as well as prior Support and Resistance (S/R) areas.
6) The Volume Profile (VPVR) shows heavy pockets of volume around the 100 MA as circled in the red oval on the left side of the chart.
7) The RSI (relative strength index) has been falling with prior trends of dropping RSI levels in the red ovals. With sharp drops in RSI, there is also fairly quick recoveries showing many V or W shaped recoveries.
8) The Volume is healthy but naturally since it is a major US Exchange.
9) If the price goes to the 100 MA and 0.382 Fibonacci areas, it could drop another 3%.
10) If price falls past the 0.236 Fib area, we could go back down much further.
11) If SPX falls, expect the other markets to fall as well including #Cryptocurrencies. The US Dollar Index (DXY) may get stronger during this time.
What are your opinions on this?
If you enjoy my ideas, feel free to like it and drop in a comment. I love reading your comments below.
Disclosure: This is just my opinion and not any type of financial advice. I enjoy charting and discussing technical analysis . Don't trade based on my advice. Do your own research! #cryptopickk