Sp500analysis
SP500 H4 Projection Price is clearly in a bearish trend. Price also has fair value gab and unmitigated order block zone. So initiate short positions near the order block zone after finding a strong bearish price action structure. Analysis trend is invalid if the price breaks and closes above the trendline. Good Luck.
SPX setting up positively ahead of tomorrow's CPI releaseSPX setting up positively ahead of tomorrow's CPI release. IF stochastic can hold in its upper quartile, an underlying positive momentum will be present.
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Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
SP500 Expecting a dropI think SP500 is on the way to perform a great drop. Looking on H4 timeframe we can see a clean break below main trendline and a retest of it. I think today we will see some volatility around the beginning of the NY Session. I expect a fake moves first to the upside to grab some liquity, next we should see a drop till support zone around $5130
S&P Poised to Break Resistance XSP on the 4H, price action reacted off the 9SMA and support trend line with the MACD getting a confirming positive cross over by EOD. Along with news that a budget deal was reached, the SP is poised to punch through a resistance area that showed rejections the over the past two weeks.
S&P500 3 Months Trading Channel Hey guys, didn't post new set-ups because the market is quite boring right now.
But explored some ETF and found an idea for stable trades. As we know, ETF's and some pairs are like to move in long channels, which is pretty easy to trade.
Here at the S&P500 we can see the raising channel from 5th January and I mark the zones, where you can open long positions, as the channel is raising I will recommend to trade only long positions.
What we're looking for before open the position:
1) The price have to cross the support level of the channel
2) As a help you can use Awesome Oscillator (if the oscillator is changing color and starting to raise up) you can use this as confirmation to open the position.
IMPORTANT! Don't forget to follow RM strategy. Use SL orders a bit lower from price crossing the support line!
Trade stocks and ETF at BingX with no special requests, only using crypto by my link: bingx.com
ES SP500 LONGThursdays Daily candle displaced and closed strongly above Wednesdays high and the fractal swing high from last week.
DOL is the PDH.
I want to see H1 bullish arrays respected to then look for M5 bullish displacement entry.
NFP volatility tomorrow will surely impact whether or not this idea works out or not.
ES SP500 ShortMonday's price action saw ES/SP500 trade above Fridays highs, but failed to displace above Friday's high.
My bias is for price to trade to Monday's low.
I am looking for H1/H4 bearish levels to be respected, and will then look for m5/m15 entry once I see premium bearish arrays are being respected.
SPX500 - BULLISH OR BULLISH? (TARGET 4910 AND BEYOND)A bit of a late post as the market is moving faster than my fingers can type but let's see how relevant this is regardless. Here is what I see:
What is on the chart? (follow the steps)
1) A strong price accumulation that gives us a potential liquidity target for later on! For now bullish until said otherwise.
2) The BOS level that serves as support.
3) The formation of a trendline which is bullish.
4) Our 1 Hour bearish FVG that may stunt price temporarily. Hence my trajectory leading downwards first!
5) ( NOW ) An accumulation structure that may propel price or lead it lower to our GOLDEN LEVEL!
6) The entry of the Gods. Yes, I am very enthusiastic but if I were to enter, it is here. We have an FVG + fib reload zone + trendline + hourly Kumo. I mean what else does a trader need? A crystal ball? No.
7) The final target. If we're bullish, what better than an ATH as a target?
As always, stay cold headed (unlike myself because when I see such a beautiful confluence of entry conditions, I just get excited) and happy trading! ;)
SPX/S&P 500 FUTURESHello fellow traders, Understanding the current markets are awful as of the this year, price suddenly sky rocket like a balloons on space.
My idea is base on Distribution since the COVID 2020 fall of -35%, the price retrace back for 3 years on the run with almost 45% if price goes to my analysis atleast 4966$.
Then we might see a fall or Down back to the COVID 2020 fall.
This is only my view, Not executing unless price reach 4966, maybe next month or end of the month, We have FED/FOMC in the last day of the month.
Trade at your own risk. position yourself at higher possibility .ofcourse this idea has better odds on making a short positions.
This is not a financial advice.
Follow for more higher context. Swing trades. Stay safe folks.
Quad Witching: Mark Your Calendar for 2024Quad-witching is a phenomenon unique to the stock and options markets, occurring four times a year. It captures a flurry of activity sparked by the simultaneous expiration of four types of derivatives contracts: stock index futures, stock index options, stock options, and single stock futures.
The third Friday of March, June, September, and December marks these critical days in the trading calendar, bringing with them distinct opportunities and challenges for investors and traders alike.
Quad Witching S&P 500 Index Price Drops 2023
March -1.1%
June -0.37%
September -1.22%
December -0.1%
Average Drop 0.7%
The Basics of Quad Witching
Quad Witching is a critical event for anyone engaged in the stock market due to its pronounced effects on market volatility. Understanding its mechanics, significance, and impact helps investors and traders navigate the complexities of financial markets.
Definition of Quadruple Witching
Quadruple Witching is a term used to describe the simultaneous expiration of four types of financial derivatives: stock index futures, stock index options, stock options, and single stock futures. This event happens every quarter, specifically on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December. It poses distinct considerations for market participants.
Significance of Quadruple Witching Dates
It is important for those who are involved in the financial markets to mark the calendar for Quadruple Witching Dates. These days witness increased trading activity as investors and traders adjust or close out their derivative positions. This period of adjustment is a display of strategic decision-making as market participants act to manage their investments before contracts expire.
Impact on Market Volatility
During Quad Witching, there is a simultaneous expiration of derivative contracts that can lead to higher trading volume and market volatility. Traders and investors need to be aware of the potential fluctuations in prices resulting from the amplified trading activity, which can significantly impact the short-term valuation of securities.
SPX500 - SHORT STRUCTURE IDEA (TARGET 4725)What's on the chart?
1) An old high that marked a strong year for 2023.
2) A rebound in a weekly FVG that earlier served as a bullish signal for prior trading sessions.
3) In the process of that rebound, a 4H bullish FVG was formed which will serve as our target area + fibs.
4) The 2023 high was broken.
5) IMPORTANT: the new high wasn't taken out. Hmmm.. suspicious. That to me is a sign of weakness from the bulls.
6) On this flop of bullish momentum, a bearish 4H FVG was formed.
7) Market structure shift with a low taken out. Do we expect a rebound? Well I don't know. I'm not here to claim that I predict the future like most twitter gurus will imply. But if it does, this is how I see the rest go down.
8) A rebound in the 4H FVG, this is crucial for a short setup because it would imply a lower high. Super important!! Price doesn't need to go that high though to find a short setup. We could just break our imaginary trendline and that's it.
9) The descent into the abyss of short profits (or liquidations lol).
SPY 2 Week ForecastAMEX:SPY I'm doing a quick analysis of basic price action from the start of 2024 thru the end of January.
AMEX:SPY $475 is a possible support
High and Lows for this year are identified, a break of either of those could generate a more significant move in the same direction.
We could see a lot of chop between AMEX:SPY $478 and $472, but if $472 holds then there is still a case for more All Time Highs in the future.
Using a fib extension from this year only, 1.618 value would put us around AMEX:SPY $490 - $492 which for me a reasonable move up. 3% or so is something SPY can do in a week easy.
Using an offset moving average , $476 would become support 50 days out. This is just what the moving average gives, but it seems reasonable.
JPM issues $5100 price target for SP:SPX this year 2024.
SP500: rebound continuation?Hi Traders!
On the intraday chart the trend is bearish but at the same time, we cannot exclude the continuation of this rally on the intraday chart and resistance breakout will confirm this Pattern. That said, if we look at the 1H chart, it is possible for a harmonic structure to develop that should push the price around Target 1.
Trade with care.
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S&P500 Next Support LevelClosely monitor the zone indicated in above chart.
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