Weekly Forex Forecast: May 20-25th Part 2This 2 part video covers...
- USD Index, EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, NZDUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF, USDJPY
- S&P500, NASDAQ, GOLD, SILVER, CRUDE OIL
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Sp500analysis
SP500. Weekly trading levels 13 - 17.05.2024SP500 is again almost at a historical high, with one zone to go ahead.
During the week you can trade from these price levels. Finding the entry point into a transaction and its support is up to you, depending on your trading style and the development of the situation. Zones show preferred price ranges WHERE to look for an entry point into a trade.
If you expect any medium-term price movements, then most likely they will start from one of the zones.
Levels are valid for a week, the date is in the title. Next week I will adjust the levels based on new data and publish a new post.
The history of level development can be seen in my previous posts. They cannot be edited or deleted. Everything is fair. :)
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I don’t play guess the direction (that’s why there are no directional arrows), but zones (levels) are used for trading. We wait for the zone to approach, watch the reaction, and enter the trade.
Levels are drawn based on volumes and data from the CME. They are used as areas of interest for trading. Traded as classic support/resistance levels. We see the reaction to the rebound, we trade the rebound. We see a breakout and continue to trade on a rollback to the level. The worst option is if we revolve around the zone in a flat.
Do not reverse the market at every level; if there is a trend movement, consider it as an opportunity to continue the movement. Until the price has drawn a reversal pattern.
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S&P500 ForecastS&P500 Currently, there is a bearish trend projected to reach 5190 from the pivot point at 5225. However, if it breaks above 5245, confirmed by a 4-hour candle closing above this level, it could potentially target higher levels at 5261 and 5280.
Key Levels:
Pivot Line: 5225
Bullish Lines: 5245, 5261, 5280
Bearish Lines: 5190, 5168, 5150, 5099
SP500 Mid term planOur friend Fibonacci is showing up a possible next move for SPX. Actually is ranging exactly on the 1.618 level of the last leg, and usually this level to a retrace till the level 1. There we could probably see a reversal that could lead the price into the resistance area at 5250, but it's probably too early for that
SP500 in the hammer zoneSP500 reached a strong reversal area where price reacted in the previous week. I was expecting a little pump in my previous ideas, and honestly i wasn't expecting it to rise so much. But i am holding my short trades and i am adding more here, consider i expect a selloff this month. First target the support zone at 4990
Sell in May and go Away ... not too fastWe recently saw the AMEX:SPY index falling very fast and aggressively to the correction territory. The level found support around the 4950s. After all the events like Earnings, one day down, the other day up, and both very aggressive, plus the Fed meeting, also with a wild rollercoaster. At the end of the day the index found support above the 4950. Which is good news, and the first step.
What does it come next? After all this spring clean I am expecting that all the weak hands were shaken and the "buy low sell high" comes next. Double bottom and a target level 5200 for the SP500.
The VIX spiked to the dreadful level of 20 and it came down. No WWIII, no Iran vs Israel, no international events. "News is Noise". The market shrugged off the events and determined that the 100 ma support was stronger. We're still in the correction territory, until we go past the 50 ma the next target will be the All Time High ATH levels we saw by the end of March.
The market hates to become predictable, so the "Sell in May and go Away ..." could as well have turned into "Sell in April, don't be fooled".
Indicators:
Madrid Ribbon at 100/200 ma
Madrid EMA at 50
Madrid Momentum Indicator
Madrid Display Symbol showing VIX
SP500 H4 Projection Price is clearly in a bearish trend. Price also has fair value gab and unmitigated order block zone. So initiate short positions near the order block zone after finding a strong bearish price action structure. Analysis trend is invalid if the price breaks and closes above the trendline. Good Luck.
SPX setting up positively ahead of tomorrow's CPI releaseSPX setting up positively ahead of tomorrow's CPI release. IF stochastic can hold in its upper quartile, an underlying positive momentum will be present.
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Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
SP500 Expecting a dropI think SP500 is on the way to perform a great drop. Looking on H4 timeframe we can see a clean break below main trendline and a retest of it. I think today we will see some volatility around the beginning of the NY Session. I expect a fake moves first to the upside to grab some liquity, next we should see a drop till support zone around $5130
S&P Poised to Break Resistance XSP on the 4H, price action reacted off the 9SMA and support trend line with the MACD getting a confirming positive cross over by EOD. Along with news that a budget deal was reached, the SP is poised to punch through a resistance area that showed rejections the over the past two weeks.
S&P500 3 Months Trading Channel Hey guys, didn't post new set-ups because the market is quite boring right now.
But explored some ETF and found an idea for stable trades. As we know, ETF's and some pairs are like to move in long channels, which is pretty easy to trade.
Here at the S&P500 we can see the raising channel from 5th January and I mark the zones, where you can open long positions, as the channel is raising I will recommend to trade only long positions.
What we're looking for before open the position:
1) The price have to cross the support level of the channel
2) As a help you can use Awesome Oscillator (if the oscillator is changing color and starting to raise up) you can use this as confirmation to open the position.
IMPORTANT! Don't forget to follow RM strategy. Use SL orders a bit lower from price crossing the support line!
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ES SP500 LONGThursdays Daily candle displaced and closed strongly above Wednesdays high and the fractal swing high from last week.
DOL is the PDH.
I want to see H1 bullish arrays respected to then look for M5 bullish displacement entry.
NFP volatility tomorrow will surely impact whether or not this idea works out or not.
ES SP500 ShortMonday's price action saw ES/SP500 trade above Fridays highs, but failed to displace above Friday's high.
My bias is for price to trade to Monday's low.
I am looking for H1/H4 bearish levels to be respected, and will then look for m5/m15 entry once I see premium bearish arrays are being respected.