Get started

Sp500analysis

S&P500 Index Range Shifted UpQuite recently the Fed is adding $300B on it's balance sheet to save the economy from banking crisis. The move is effectively reversing the QT to temporary QE. As a result the amount of money supply circulating on the market is increase as shown on this Index Value Rainbow Indicator. Based on these fact we can expect the S&P500 index price range will be shifted up for quite significant amount higher than my previous prediction. S&P500 price could be moving somewhere between 3750 - 4400 in couple months to go. We are using Index Value Rainbow indicator to measure the value of stock market index across various major indexes. This indicator shows multiple value of base Money Supply or Net Liquidity. For US market Net Liquidity formula is as follow: NL = FBS - ( TGA + RRP) NL = Net Liquidity FBS = Fed Balance Sheet TGA = Treasury General Account RRP = Reverse Repo
SP:SPX
by danny_peanuts
SP500- 3850-3800 zone holds the keyAs I explained before, I don't think has turned bullish and the 4200 zone should offer great resistance. Indeed, from that zone, the index has started to drop, and although we have had a mini up trend in the past 2 weeks or so, the rise is anemic and clearly corrective. Yesterday's strong bearish engulfing could announce a new local top and lower high in place and we can assist a new leg down in the next weeks. A key level for bulls is the 3800-3850 zone and if they are unable to hold that level, a new test of 3500 is very probable.
SP:SPXShort
by Mihai_Iacob
24
My today's view on SP500 FutureHi Traders, This is my view for today on ES In terms of Structures and Technical Analysis, everything is BEARISH, next target is 3838, honestly I don’t think will be touched directly during today’s session. A possible manipulation around 4000 level key zone during US opening could bring market to the target. Pit, Trading Kitchen DISCLAIMER: Trading activity is very dangerous. All the contents, suggestions, strategies, videos, images, trade setups and forecast, everything you see on this website and are the result of my personal evaluations and was created for educational purposes only and not as an incentive to invest. Do not consider them as financial advice. ———————————
CME_MINI:ESM2023Short
by kitchen_trading
S&P 500 (SPX): Long Term Analysis 1872-2023Hi everybody! Sometimes it could be useful to look back a bit to have clear in mind where we are and where we want to go. This chart shows the trend of S&P500 since 1800'. Great Depression, Oil Crisis, Tango Bonds,... have always been great opportunities for the market. That said, the market is mainly made up of "emotions" that trigger certain movements, so opportunities have always existed, exist, and will exist in the future.... MARKET EMOTIONS CYCLE Trade with care! 👍 ...and if you think that my analysis is useful, please..."Like, Share and Comment" ...thank you! 💖 Cheers! N.B.: Updates will follow below
SP:SPXShort
by TheAnonymousBanker
14
Short Term (de)correlation between S&P500 & Dollar IndexIf we try to follow the trend of the Dollar Index and SP500 in the short term, we can see how as the dollar rises there is consequently a decline in the U.S. Index, but this event is not absolute, in fact there are many variables at play. At the moment, however, many of these variables appear to be in favor of this inversely proportional swing, at least in the short term. If this analysis is correct, the next FED rate announcement should show further misalignment between the two sides, as the market should not be surprised by a 50bp rate hike (see chart below), so "wait & see"... 3 WEEK AGO TODAY DOLLAR INDEX ANALYSIS (Click & Play on Chart below) Trade with care! 👍 ...and if you think that my analysis is useful, please..."Like, Share and Comment" ...thank you! 💖 Cheers! N.B.: Updates will follow below
CME_MINI:ES1!
by TheAnonymousBanker
4
US500 Trading Plan - 4/Mar/2023Hello Traders, Hope you all are doing good!! I expect US500 to go Down after finishing the correction. Look for your SELL setups. Please follow me and like if you agree or this idea helps you out in your trading plan. Disclaimer: This is just an idea. Please do your own analysis before opening a position. Always use SL & proper risk management. Market can evolve anytime, hence, always do your analysis and learn trade management before following any idea.
UShort
by For3xScalper
S&P500 will be Traded within RangeThis year S&P500 will be going nowhere as it will be traded within a range of around 3400-4000 and probably will end around 3200-3800 by the end of the year. It may test lower point and may touch higher point than the given range, however it won't crash and won't spike either. The reasons for these analysis is based on Index Value Rainbow indicator above. This indicator shows multiple value of base Money Supply or Net Liquidity. For US market Net Liquidity formula is as follow: NL = FBS - (TGA + RRP) NL = Net Liquidity FBS = Fed Balance Sheet TGA = Treasury General Account RRP = Reverse Repo What happened this year is the Fed is reducing it's balance sheet by selling of their asset or doing some quantitative tightening program, which basically reduce the net liquidity value. However on the other side Treasury is also reducing it general account due to debt limit issue, which actually increasing the net liquidity. So the net value of these two opposing factors will impact S&P500 value. As a result the net liquidity will remain the same or slightly down through out the year, as the Fed has more impact than Treasury. As the result, S&P500 will be traded within a limited range. So best strategy used for this situation is swing trading strategy. Where you can buy at the bottom of the range and sell at top of the range.
SP:SPX
by danny_peanuts
SPX Bounce Target ReachedTen days ago, I wrote about a correction of the SPX back the red support zone. Now the time has come to talk about what could happen next. The correction didn't happen in the beautiful fashion i had forseen, but this still works. What i expected was a clear zigzag formation within this falling channel, but we broke the support trendline and reached the first real correction target. After that, the price shot back in the channel. From here, it is most likely that the price will go sideways, maybe in a fashion where it will touch the resistance line once again, or that the SPX is will reach the lower level of this zone, whilst staying in the channel.
SP:SPX
by FetchTeam
SPX: First Down Then UpIt looks like the SPX has topped out temporarily. This woudn't be too farfetched as the previous couple uptrends lasted for 34, 36, 21, 23, 40, and 33 days. Right now, we're looking at a top which has been formed after 28 days. From the looks of it, its trying to form a falling channel. The properties of this pattern are: - Declining parralel support and resistance lines - Price oscilating between the support and resistance lines - Bottom at an important support zone - Going sideways after hitting the bottom, preferibly with a daily bullish divergence I'm still bullish on the SPX for 2023, but for now i'm expecting a small correction.
SP:SPXShort
by FetchTeam
1
MARKET STRUCTURE IN US_500 (SP_500)The S&P 500 index is currently in a bullish trend, forming higher highs and higher lows. However, it recently created a series of equal highs, followed by a lower low. If the index breaks below the recent low, it could be an indication that the trend is turning bearish. On the other hand, if it breaks above the equal highs, the bullish trend is likely to continue. Traders should keep a close eye on these key levels and use them as potential points in their trades. Happy trading!
U
by arpitjain11
S&P 500: Two Pattern to Trade in short termHi everyone! The trend is bullish on S&P 500 (Futures), and if we try to follow US Index on intraday chart, we have two important levels: 4,189.75 and 4,098.50. Potential resistance breakout should develop a harmonic structure with Target around 4,238.50, conversely, 4,098.50 failure should trigger bearish consolidation around 4,048.00 area. Technically, both setups are high risk, so using a small size should be a good choice. ...trade with care! 👍 If you think that my analysis is useful, please... "Like, Share and Comment" ...thank you! 💖 Cheers!
CME_MINI:ES1!
by TheAnonymousBanker