SP500- Bulls need 4400 intactAfter dropping to 4250 in January, SP500 has started to recover and has risen to 4600 confluence resistance given by a falling trend line and a horizontal level.
A correction followed this move and, again, SP has stopped its descent in 4450 newly formed support.
If the 15% drop from the beginning of the year was just a correction or the beginning of a medium-term downtrend remains to be seen.
What is pretty clear at this point is that as long as the price stays above 4400 we can expect a new leg up and a daily close under this figure would expose the recent low, but more importantly would confirm a lower high at 4600, which is very bearish for the stock market.
P.S: Charts are similar for Dow30 and Nas100
Sp500daytrader
sp500recent bounce seems too high vs the ATH for this move to be an ABC but it is still possible that ABC can happen, but after doing EW analysis on 4H I see a new pattern emerging and we can remain strong above the 1.618 fib extension then chances are 2.618% fib lvl will be tested for the final W5 larger HTF move 2.618 around 5,700
SPX500 Short SetupSPX500 Short Setup
🔵 Entry Level: $4486.0
🟢 Take Profit: $4426.9 (1.28R)
⛔ Stop Loss: $4532.1
Reasons:
- Reaching resistance level at $4485
- Expecting either divergence or highly overbought level on the PVS Indicator by the time price reaches that level.
Game plan: If the price flips this resistance into support (tests it), I may close the trade prematurely and open a long trade until the next resistance level is reached at $4548
SP500My super smart highly educated fin twit buddy is telling me 4400 is coming b4 any pull back. But IDK TBH I see the waves as complete and W4 should ensue very soon. So Im just open my LT trades and I am trading in and out quickly as we all know from EW wave 4 can be brutal. Or can be quickly bought up so this uncertain aspect of stocks leaves me kinda on the side lines as some FA shows that inflation trade is all about finished and with USA reopening we should cool off and a W4 kinda makes sense. I will say that this dip is a fantastic buying opportunity IMO.
Tech sector looks ready to puke so entries in the coming months can set up sweet portfolio positions in 2022. I will be doing an hourly wave analysis in my newly created group and trying to keep all eyes on the W4 pull back. GL guys.
S&P500 Long SetupSPX500 Long Setup
🔵 Entry: $3,911.9
🟢 TP & RR: $3,954.0 (2.48)
⛔ Stop Loss: $3,894.9
REASONS FOR THE TRADE
✔️ Market Flow Indicator went green
✔️ Trade in direction of the trend
📝 Not much to analyse here aside that it's a trade based on my system. With that being said the price may drop down to the support level, where I will be looking to open a long order again.
S&P 500 Reaches a Level of Resistance - Short TradeSPX500 - Short Position(s)
Entries: $3,784.4 / 3826.8
TP & RR: $3,728.8 (3.29 / 4.12)
Stop Loss Levels: $3,801.3 / $3,850.6
REASONS FOR THE TRADE
I think it's time for the SPX500 to take a break from this bull run. As such, I am expecting that price will reach either of the two levels that I would like to short. The Risk:Reward Ratio is favorable and the Stop Loss is just above the invalidation levels.
Now, you may be wondering why the SL of the first short is not placed higher, somewhere around the second order's SL. The problem is in the Risk:Rewards Ratio. If I am to do that, I will need to adjust my position size to account for the bigger gap between entry and SL. Also, the RRR of 3.29 will fall down to 0.84. So, even if I short from the first level and the setup proves to be valid, I will increase my capital by less than 1%, compared to over 3% if I keep the trade as it is.
Even if the first setup is invalidated, and we open a profitable short on the second level, the profit of 4.12R will compensate for the 1R loss and we will be at a profit of 3.12R. Of course, it would be unpleasant to lose 1% of the account, but that's just how trading works. You either take the risk or you lose the chance.
On a side note, since it's Monday, I am not placing those as limit orders, rather I have set alerts at the levels. When we reach them I will look at the volume, the 1h candle close, and will update the idea. We don't want to blindly place orders and hope for the best.
S&P500 : The completion of the Diagonal patternIn240 minutes chart of the uptrend from the range of 3511 to 3833 is in the form of 3 waves which confirms the scenario of the formation of the Diagonal pattern.
Currently, to get the the confirmation of the downtrend,the price should not cross the range of 3841,because the 3rd wave should not be shorter than the other waves.
By crossing the price from this range,this scenario will be violated.
Thee confirmation for this pattern will be received by the formation of 5 descending waves,and by crossing the price from the range of 3660.
According to monitored position, personally,I set the short order.
By considering the RSI you can also see the convergence
S&P 500 Ascending Channel - Long SetupS&P 500 Ascending Channel - Long Position
Entry: $3,795.3
TP & RR: $3,873.6 (3.26)
Stop Loss: $3,771.3
REASONS FOR THE TRADE
I believe the price will respect the lower trendline in this ascending channel and will continue trending up. Initially, we had the order at a lower level, but it seemed that we wouldn't get a fill, so we trialed it up.
Needless to say, if the price breaks through it, I am expecting a fairly sharp drop and will be looking for a short position. The current entry is at a support level, which while being a bit conservative, gives us a good RR with the SL far enough and with enough room for the trade to breathe. If the price dives down or does something unexpected, we will close the order prematurely.
SP500- Hanging man in resistance, a warning for bullsAfter a nice Pin Bar in support followed by a 4 days uprun is time for the "hanging man" to give us a warning...
Friday's session was dominated by NFP's volatility and I wouldn't have paid much attention to this candle if it hadn't been in resistance.
I expect 3500 zone to be a hard zone to pass by bulls and the index could fall to at least 3200 in the next 2-3 weeks.
I'm looking for selling opportunities.
SP500- I maintain my target of 3kAs I said in my previous SP500 analysis, 3500 should be a great sell zone for bears.
The index reached that zone, has reversed and now is trading just above 3250 support zone.
A small rally should be expected now and bears have a new opportunity for opening trades around 3400
I maintain my target of 3k for this index and only a new all-time high would change my perspective
SP500 Well... We have news today that Trump is positive.
He is always positive, so now he have a time to trade, so...
My fundamental opinion is that he and his comrades will pump the market near resistence area.
Also it depends on DXY value, but with all that printing... I'm not an optimist.
S&P 500 is not looking good up there! Let's have a look everyoneSo S&P 500 is not looking good on the weekly chart right now.
We got a bull run in 2020 up until 3600 and closed the candle with a long wick, which is bearish in my dictionary.
So if we start to correct right now, let's check the trend.
The Trend is broken by this week. It was not healthy as you can see. What says the indicators?
RSI is since 2018 in a bearish divergence to the actual price.
Macd is also interesting, we are days before a bearish crossing of both lines and as we all know, when the cross happens, the price is already down, so we must see in our crystal balls.
I also got for today my lovely Market Bottom Finder. As you can see the green shows the market on a volatility low end and you can see also macd and rsi showing the same things. A nice indicator to harden your buying intention. So as of now the indicators shows us low volatility, which means we are sitting at a beginning of a wonderful roller coaster.
Are you ready for the action? : )
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S&P 500 LOW VOLATILITY (SP500VOL) DailyDates in the future with the greatest probability for a price high or price low.
The Djinn Predictive Indicators are simple mathematical equations. Once an equation is given to Siri the algorithm provides the future price swing date. Djinn Indicators work on all charts, for any asset category and in all time frames. Occasionally a Djinn Predictive Indicator will miss its prediction date by one candlestick. If multiple Djinn prediction dates are missed and are plowed through by same color Henikin Ashi candles the asset is being "reset". The "reset" is complete when Henikin Ashi candles are back in sync with Djinn price high or low prediction dates.
One way the Djinn Indicator is used to enter and exit trades:
For best results trade in the direction of the trend.
The Linear Regression channel is used to determine trend direction. The Linear Regression is set at 2 -2 30.
When a green Henikin Ashi candle intersects with the linear regression upper deviation line (green line) and both indicators intersect with a Djinn prediction date a sell is triggered.
When a red Henikin Ashi candle intersects with the linear regression lower deviation line (red line) and both indicators intersect with a Djinn prediction date a buy is triggered.
This trading strategy works on daily, weekly and Monthly Djinn Predictive charts.
This is not trading advice. Trade at your own risk.
SP500 (Y20.P3.E1).Danger zoneHi,
After listening to some trusted resources, I am in agreement that this range of 3000 to 3200 will be when major profit taking will occur.
Its also the same time where dumb money will feel comfortable coming back in, thanks to the media promoting the financial markets lately.
It is also in alignment with the inverted BARR target.
What do they say?
Morgan Stanley predicts 'V-shaped' recovery on Fox Business
They, the Financial news media is the Epicentre of Douchedom!
> As a crypto trader, I'm aware how this market has correlation with Bitcoin.
> Hence I do see the SP500 moving past this resistance phase as its found support on this red band and it will try to regain its normal trend channel (as per my previous posts)
however the market makers have other plans.
Please give me a like or tick for this post.
Cheers,
S.Sari