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S&P 500 – Unstable Ground, Smart Money Seeks Stability🚨 S&P 500 – Unstable Ground, Smart Money Seeks Stability 🚨 “Markets don’t like uncertainty. Money flows where confidence is strong, and right now… that’s NOT here.” 🔥 Key Concerns: ✅ U.S. Policies Creating Instability – A crisis-driven environment shakes investor confidence. ✅ S&P Struggling to Hold Strength – Momentum is weak, smart money is hesitant. ✅ Blue Box = First Resistance Zone – A tough level to break, especially in this macro climate. 💡 The Game Plan: Short Bias from the Blue Box – Until proven otherwise, this level is resistance. LTF Breakdowns & CDV Confirmation = High-Probability Shorts – We don’t guess, we react. No Clean Break Above? The Trend Remains Fragile. “Markets punish uncertainty. Right now, the S&P is walking on thin ice—be cautious, be tactical.” 🔥📉 I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions. My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups. If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge. I have a long list of my proven technique below: 🎯 ZENUSDT.P: Patience & Profitability | %230 Reaction from the Sniper Entry 🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move 🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month 💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace 🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge 📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone 🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential 🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade 🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones 🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River 📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones 🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum 🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision 🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs 🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity 🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked 🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer 🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan ⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One 💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas 🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence 🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results 🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB 📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total 🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction 🐳 QKCUSDT: Sniper Entry +%57 Reaction 📊 BTC.D: Retest of Key Area Highly Likely I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by UmutTrades
MASTERCARD: Despite the CRASH!, good graph!! Attention!! On January 30, the American payment services provider Mastercard presented results that far exceeded forecasts. It earned 12,874 million dollars (12,351 million euros) in 2024, 15% more than the previous year. Net income reached 28,167 million dollars (27,023 million euros), 12.2% more. Meanwhile, operating costs reached 12,585 million dollars (12,074 million euros), 13.5% more. Mastercard CEO Michael Miebach commented on the results: “This quarter we have achieved good results, with net income growth of 14%, or 16% without taking into account currencies.” He continued: “Our diverse capabilities in payments and services and solutions, including the acquisition of Recorded Future this quarter, set us apart and position us well for long-term growth, as we outlined at our investor day.” ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ---> What does it look like technically? DESPITE THE STOCK MARKET CRASH we are immersed in due to the TRADE WAR, if we look at the chart, the trend is still clearly bullish and has not yet broken ANY important support that would put it in danger, therefore, EVERYTHING INDICATES THAT WE ARE FOUND WITH A GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO GO LONG, since the market has fallen a lot and it is logical to expect an upward correction in the next few days of the SP500 index, which will logically support the rise in the price of Mastercard. Furthermore, the price today touched the 61.8% Fibonacci and respected it (DESPITE THE CRASH), which gives us another clue that the area is respected and is possibly the floor of the next bullish impulse. -------------------------------------- Strategy to follow: ENTRY: We will open 2 long positions if the H4 candle closes above 553 POSITION 1 (TP1): We close the first position in the 575 area (+4%) --> Stop Loss at 530 (-4%). --> Ratio 1:1 POSITION 2 (TP2): We open a Trailing Stop type position. --> Initial dynamic Stop Loss at (-4%) (coinciding with the 530 of position 1). --> We modify the dynamic Stop Loss to (-1%) when the price reaches TP1 (575). ------------------------------------------- SET UP EXPLANATIONS *** How do you know which 2 long positions to open? Let's take an example: If we want to invest 2,000 euros in the stock, what we do is divide that amount by 2, and instead of opening 1 position of 2,000, we will open 2 positions of 1,000 each. *** What is a Trailing Stop? A Trailing Stop allows a trade to continue gaining value when the market price moves in a favorable direction, but automatically closes the trade if the market price suddenly moves in an unfavorable direction by a certain distance. That certain distance is the dynamic Stop Loss. -->Example: IF the dynamic Stop Loss is at -1%, it means that if the price drops by -1%, the position will be closed. If the price rises, the Stop Loss also rises to maintain that -1% in the rises, therefore, the risk is increasingly lower until the position becomes profitable. In this way, very strong and stable price trends can be exploited, maximizing profits.
NYSE:MALong
by jmesado
S&P 500 Breakdown at Key Support LevelThe S&P 500 is showing clear signs of technical weakness as it breaks below a key support level around 5,675, coinciding with the 200-day EMA. This breakdown follows a rejection at 6,130, a recent high that established a resistance zone. With the index now trading below the 50-day EMA, downside risks are increasing. If the 5,668 level fails to hold, further declines toward the next major support zone could materialize. Traders will be watching for a potential retest of broken support as resistance before determining the next move. Key Levels to Watch: 📉 Support: 5,668 📈 Resistance: 6,130 -MW
FOREXCOM:SPX500
by FOREXcom
Russel 2000 Compared to General MarketTVC:RUT has continued to sell off since my last couple posts and I believe we could see a huge market correction this year if price doesn't look to stop selling. The next play on RUT I would like to see price pullback to the last breakout zone ($2,200) to confirm a continuation in trend This play also looks very familiar to the 2022 selloff with equal highs to our current price structure. Seeing that AMEX:SPY is at a higher high tells me there is market-wide divergence and a topping pattern could be in play. Now when we add CRYPTOCAP:BTC and $OTHER to the mix we can see bitcoin actually tops out first while Alts and SPX look to make one more leg up before crashing out. The Trend Reader at the lower tab has topped out and has a bearish crossing in the overbought zone indicating we can see a long term play to the downside.
TVC:RUT
by Nathanl19
S&P500 The Week Ahead 10th March '25 Sentiment: Bearish INTRADAY Price action is consolidating in a tight trading range Resistance: Key Resistance is at 5920, followed by 6003 and 6010. Support: Key support is at 5664 followed by 5600 and 5554. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
S&P Retest of IMPORTANT support, The week ahead 03rd March '25 The S&P 500 (US500) index maintains a bullish bias within the broader long-term uptrend. However, recent price action suggests a period of consolidation following the retest of the all-time high on February 19, 2025. The market is currently at a critical juncture, with the 5918 level acting as a key support zone. Bullish Scenario: The 5918 level serves as a newly established support, aligning with the consolidation range and prior resistance. A corrective pullback towards this level, followed by a bullish bounce, could confirm continued upside momentum. Upside targets include: 6000 (50-day moving average) 6055 (20-day moving average) 6100 over the longer term Bearish Scenario: A confirmed loss of 5918 support with a daily close below this level would invalidate the bullish outlook. This could trigger a deeper retracement, exposing the following downside levels: 5854 (next key support) 5800, with a potential extension to 5777 if selling pressure accelerates Market Outlook: The 5918 level remains pivotal—holding above this support sustains the bullish bias, while a decisive break below it signals potential downside continuation. Traders should closely monitor price action and volume around this key level to assess the market’s next move. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
S&P 500 Drops Below 100-Day Moving Average The S&P 500 has broken below its 100-day simple moving average (SMA), a key technical level that many traders and institutions use to gauge trend strength. Historically, when the price falls below this moving average, it often signals a potential shift in market sentiment. What This Means: 🔹 Potential Trend Reversal? If the index fails to recover above this level, we could see increased selling pressure, leading to further downside. 🔹 Bearish Confirmation: A sustained close below this moving average might attract more short sellers, reinforcing a downward move. 🔹 Buying Opportunity? If buyers step in and reclaim the 100-day SMA, this could be a temporary dip before resuming the uptrend. Are we looking at the start of a deeper correction or just a pullback before new highs? Let’s see how the market reacts! #SP500 #TechnicalAnalysis #MovingAverages #TradingStrategy
VANTAGE:SP500
by SmartSignalss
S&P500: Days of DecisionHovering near the 6,000 points mark, the S&P 500 enters the second half of the week at a critical juncture. The next few trading sessions will determine whether the index will push directly to new record highs or first undergo a more extended correction. In our primary scenario, the S&P should continue selling off to settle the turquoise wave 2’s low within the corresponding long Target Zone between 5,667 and 5,389 points. Only from there should the next turquoise impulse wave 3 take over, driving the index to new all-time highs beyond the resistance at 6,365 points. If the S&P immediately resumes its upward trajectory, it might break past 6,365 points without delay. In this 38% likely alternative scenario, the index would bypass the turquoise Target Zone and significantly extend the green impulse wave alt. . Primarily, we consider the green wave as already complete.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MarketIntel
S&P500, US GDP grew by 2.3% in Q4 The U.S. GDP grew by 2.3% annually in Q4, confirming the initial estimate and meeting market expectations. S&P (US500) index pair price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action appears to be a sideways consolidation after a retest of an all-time high on 19th Feb ‘25. The key trading level is at the 5918 level, the consolidation price range and also the previous resistance is now a newly formed support zone. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 5918 level could target the upside resistance at 6018 followed by the 6060 and 6106 levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 5918 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 5866 support level followed by 5827 and 5777. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
S&P INTRADAY oversold bounce back? S&P (US500) index pair price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action appears to be a sideways consolidation after a retest of an all-time high on 19th Feb ‘25. The key trading level is at the 6007 level, the consolidation price range and also the previous resistance is now a newly formed support zone. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 6007 level could target the upside resistance at 6057 followed by the 6106 and 6146 levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 6007 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 5980 support level followed by 5967 and 5918. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
S&P500 -Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast: 5677.80 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend. Technical analysis: There is a divergence in RSI and price between the peak at 6107.47 on 2024-12-06 and the peak at 6150.07 on 2025-02-19, the probability of uptrend continuation is decreased and the probability of beginning of downtrend is increased. While the RSI downtrend #1 is not broken, bearish wave in price would continue. A peak is formed in daily chart at 6150.05 on 02/19/2025, so more losses to support(s) 6031.27, 5875.31, 5777.28 and minimum to Major Support (5677.80) is expected. Relative strength index (RSI) is 49. Supports and Resistances: 5568.78 5398.95 5194.10 5039.36 4944.41 4843.23 4662.99 4544.26 __________________________________________________________________ ❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView, . . . . . . . . Hit the 'BOOST' button 👍 . . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback in the comments below! (e.g., What did you find most useful? How can we improve?) 🙏 Your support is appreciated! Now, it's your turn! Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast. Have a successful week, ForecastCity Support Team
VANTAGE:SP500Short
by ForecastCity
17
Can ES Hold Steady? This week’s data and Nvidia earnings (Feb 26) are pivotal. Options Positioning Volume: High, with daily averages ~1.5M contracts (CME data trends). Expect ~1.7M this week due to macro catalysts. Call vs. Put Skew: Call-heavy (1.4:1), reflecting hedging against a pullback and speculative upside bets. Key Strikes: NTM (6,000–6,050): GEX high (+$300M), IV ~25%, DEX balanced. Gamma pinning likely keeps NYSE:ES stable early week (Feb 24–25) unless data shifts sentiment. OTM Calls (6,100–6,150): GEX moderate (+$150M), VEX positive, IV 30%. Heavy OI (40,000 contracts) at 6,100 suggests a volatility spike target if Nvidia beats and PCE cools. OTM Puts (5,900–5,950): GEX low (+ LSE:80M ), VEX flat, IV ~20%. Put buying reflects downside hedges if PCE surprises hot (>2.7%). Term Structure: March futures (~6,050) in slight contango, but a volatility event (e.g., Nvidia miss) could flip to backwardation, boosting OTM call IV. Key Data Releases and Impact Feb 25 – Consumer Confidence: <110 lifts NYSE:ES to 6,000; >115 pushes to 6,100. Feb 26 – Q4 GDP: <2.5% supports 5,950–6,000; >3% pressures to 5,900 on inflation fears. Feb 26 – Nvidia Earnings: Beat holds 6,050–6,100; miss drops to 5,900–5,950. Feb 28 – PCE: <2.5% lifts to 6,150; >2.7% sinks to 5,900, spiking OTM put volume. Forecast: Range: 5,900–6,150. Base case: 6,000–6,050 unless PCE or Nvidia disrupts.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by QuantumEdgeAnalytics
Hurry Up and Wait - The Markets Favourite GameHurry Up and Wait – The Market’s Favourite Game | SPX Market Analysis 21 Feb 2025 These kangaroo markets just won’t quit. Every time we break out of one range, the Bollinger Bands pinch again, locking us into another one. Meanwhile, other indexes fell out of bed, but SPX? It’s clinging on by "the Bulls". When will it finally open up and run? Who knows—but until then, I’ll keep finding new ways to say ‘hurry up and wait’. --- Markets Keep Bouncing, But Not Breaking It’s like watching a kangaroo on a trampoline—lots of movement, no real progress. SPX tries to push out of one range 🏋️‍♂️ Bollinger Bands pinch again, trapping price in a new range 🔄 Other indexes have fallen, but SPX refuses to follow This makes trading tricky, as every potential breakout is quickly absorbed into another consolidation. The Bollinger Band Pinch – What It Means When Bollinger Bands tighten, they signal: 📌 A period of low volatility 📌 A potential breakout coming – but direction unknown 📌 Traders getting frustrated waiting for a real move Normally, I’d switch to Tag ‘n Turn setups during breakouts, but with volatility still tight, I’ll stick to my 6 money-making patterns instead. For now, it’s all about waiting for a clean break—no fake moves, no forced trades. Final Thoughts – When Will the Market Open Up? 📌 The big move is coming—we just don’t know when. 📌 SPX is clinging on, but other indexes are weakening—watch for cracks. 📌 Bollinger Bands are tightening—when they expand, volatility will return. Until then? It’s back to ‘hurry up and wait’. --- Fun Fact 📢 Did you know? In 2015, the New York Stock Exchange halted trading for nearly four hours—and the official reason? A “technical glitch”. 💡 The Lesson? Even the biggest, most advanced markets can freeze up, just like we’re seeing with these tight, choppy conditions.
SP:SPX
by MrPhilNewton
1
Riding Wave 5: Is $700 Just Around the Corner?Hey Realistic Traders, Will META Bullish Bias Continue ? Let’s Dive In.... In the Daily timeframe, META rebounded above the 38.2% Fibonacci level, marking the completion of wave 4. Within this wave, a Descending broadening wedge pattern was formed. Recently the price has broken out of the pattern. This breakout was further confirmed by a bullish MACD crossover, signaling increasing momentum and strengthening the case for a continued upward move. Based on these technical signals, I foresee a potential upward movement toward the first target at $638. After reaching this level, a minor pullback is likely before the rally continues toward a new high at $700. This outlook remains valid as long as the price holds above the stop-loss level at 550.00. Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below. Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on META.
NASDAQ:METALong
by financialfreedomgoals101
10
One More Close and SPY Will be Running!!!Typically I share the signals of my King Trading Momentum Strategy, which combines the 5 EMA crossing above the 13 EMA, RSI strength, favorable momentum as measured by ADX plus evaluating recent volume changes and even a little thing called Beta! But this time it is all about technical analysis. On SPY I originally thought we truncated wave 5 but now that we closed above the all-time high just one more close higher to confirm and this one is off to the races. Today it even retested breakout, held and bounced hard higher into close (super bullish). Impulsive waves are important to me with my momentum strategy, as instead of chasing missed opportunities I simply take the next signal on the hourly, as the strategy is optimized for over 100 beloved equities (if enabled in options)! There is always another trade when SPY goes impulsive! Currently signals have fired on TNA, SPXL, SOXL, TQQQ & UDOW (3x leveraged ETFs) just to name a few. If that doesn't make you feel bullish then I'm not sure what will!
AMEX:SPYLong
by KingTrading999