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How low will it go? The S&P Bear MarketI don't believe the market has bottomed yet. There is more to come. Trump's tariffs will continue to cause uncertainty and as economic figures confirm a US slowdown, stock markets could fall further. From a technical perspective, I will be looking to buy between 4700 and 5200. This is based on evident weekly horizontal levels, bullish channel support, and 100 and 200 SMA's. VANTAGE:SP500 PEPPERSTONE:US500 ICMARKETS:US500 OANDA:SPX500USD
VANTAGE:SP500
by Samuel_Morton_Trader
US500US500 Price Action Analysis and Trade Setups (March 28, 2025) Price Action Summary: Weekly Chart: Long-term uptrend intact, but recent rejection near 6,200 signals a medium-term correction. Daily Chart: Price is consolidating near 5,600 after a sharp drop from highs. Bearish momentum persists. 4H Chart: Lower highs and lower lows confirm short-term bearish bias. Resistance at 5,750 is holding. 1H Chart: Intraday range between 5,550 and 5,750. Price struggling to break higher. Trade of the Day (Day Trading Setup) Short Setup: Entry: 5,700 after rejection at resistance Stop Loss: 5,770 Take Profit: TP1: 5,620 TP2: 5,550 Reason: Short-term bearish structure with resistance holding at 5,750. Swing Trading Setup Short Setup: Entry: Below 5,550 after daily close confirmation Stop Loss: 5,650 Take Profit: TP1: 5,300 TP2: 5,100
CAPITALCOM:US500Short
by Andrei_C
DJI US stock market forecast 2025-2026Assumption: oct-22 — nov-24 (1-2-3-4-5) wave is over. correction (a)-(b)-(c) is expected. likely structure is a 3 wave regular flat. Time: the correction is expected to last until at least sep-25. Price: it's too early to predict final price for wave (c). anticipated range is 35000-39000. wave (a) shall reach 39600. Long term waves: Major uptrend lasts 25 years. Major correcting downtrend lasts 9 years. Next major downtrend is expected to start in 2033-2034.
FX:US30
by OleksandrSnitko
$DXY 10% Declines along with $SPX declines from 1987-1995In case you are wondering if the drop in the $USDOL TVC:DXY US Dollar of 10% from a high is a sign of something major going on in the stock market, it reminded me of research I did right when I got out of college in 1987. Here's a quick overview of that pattern of TVC:DXY declines of 10% against the backdrop of SP:SPX or S&P500 Index declines at that time. The 1987 stock market crash is on the far left of this graph and gets the chart started for you to review. The 10% drops from highs in the TVC:DXY index are labeled with yellow arrows and there were 9 of them across this time series from 1987-1995. We can imagine how a Non-US investor would handle both a drop in the TVC:DXY and a drop in the SP:SPX , but a drop of both the TVC:DXY and SP:SPX of 10% together would mean a loss of 20% for the non-US investor. That is a painful loss and perhaps more than investors wanted to risk. Historically, it was a good time to look for a stock market bottom AFTER a drop in the TVC:DXY index and the green boxes at the top show the risk of a deeper decline in the SP:SPX was minimal after this scenario. So the end result of this analysis is that the Dollar can be viewed as a contrarian indicator after a meaningful decline, as in 10% in this time frame. Look for other signs of a market bottom, especially using my TVC:VIX signals (5 point spike indicator and VIX75% retracement) to help define a bottom. The VIX75 signal triggered on Monday, March 24th, indicating that the panic from the selloff had moderated to a point enough to signal that the panic was over. Do some more research for yourself and see if the TVC:DXY drop was an "asset allocation" shift as US investors bailed out of US stocks to invest in non-US stocks or was it another wave of non-US investors dumping US stocks to cut risk. Either way, know what you are investing in and question everything. These days, it is more important to be educated and use TradingView to chart and research the past will help you be a more educated investor. Cheers, Tim
SP:SPXLong
by timwest
6
I wouldn't be surprised for a capitulatory type of drop tomorrowAs we can see the trend line have held the US500/SPX/SPY price for so many times, we still couldn't break above it. In other word, it's acting as current overhead resistance ever since we broke down from this white line. We tried three times so far this week, 17th, 19th and the 20th, still couldn't manage to break above it. So if anything happens tomorrow, it would be a big red candle to tomorrow with gigantic volume since it is going to be the "Quad Witching" Day. When will the "True Bounce" be happening? I would say, the bounce back window should starts as early as next week if we see capitulation tomorrow.
CAPITALCOM:US500Short
by MulaTrader2025
NASDAQ 100: Moon Mission or Reality Check? Ah, the NASDAQ 100—our favorite rollercoaster 🎢 where tech dreams are either made ✨ or brutally crushed 😵‍💫. Right now, it’s hovering around 19,500, and traders are debating: "Is this the launchpad to new highs or just a dead-cat bounce in disguise?" 🐱💀 Let’s break it down 👇 🚀 The Bullish Hopefuls: "We're Going to Valhalla, Boys!" ✅ Rebound Mode ON 🎯: After a nasty selloff, the market has found some footing and is showing signs of recovery 📈. Maybe the worst is over? (Yeah, sure, we've heard that before... 🙃) ✅ Fed to the Rescue? 🏦: With the FOMC meeting on deck, traders are hoping for some dovish magic dust ✨ to send tech stocks flying again. Because why rely on solid fundamentals when you have the Fed, right? 🤡 😨 The Bearish Doom-Sayers: "Brace for Impact!" ❌ Big Tech = Too Crowded 🚶‍♂️🚶‍♂️🚶‍♂️🚶‍♂️: Asset managers are side-eyeing Big Tech, calling it "overcrowded" 🙄. Translation? Expect a nasty rug pull soon. ❌ Healthy Correction... or the Start of Something Worse? 🚑: The S&P 500 dropped 10%, the NASDAQ fell 11%, and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is calling it a "healthy correction" 🤡. Yeah, just like how falling down the stairs is a “healthy adjustment” for your spine. 🤔 The Fence-Sitters: "We're Just Watching the Chaos 🍿" 🔮 Multiple Futures Await 🔮: Analysts are juggling four possible scenarios for the NASDAQ—ranging from "moon mission" 🚀 to "welcome to the abyss" 🕳️. Basically, flip a coin. So... Where Are We Headed? 🤷‍♂️ Are we strapping in for another ride to the stratosphere 🚀, or is this just a perfectly orchestrated bull trap 🐂🔫? Either way, buckle up, folks—volatility is the only guarantee 🎢😵‍💫. 💬 What do you think? Drop your thoughts below! 👇🔥 (Disclaimer: This isn't financial advice. Do your own research before yeeting into the market. 🚀📉)
FOREXCOM:NAS100Long
by thunderpips
EUROPE VS US Stock Dramatic Moves CAUTION!Zelenskyy Oval office ambush did much more than ambush and betray an ally in support of a dictator like Putin. Betraying an ally destroyed the trust in the U.S. government. Without trust in the government, democracy cannot be, leaving only a dictatorship capable of surviving. Markets have spoken very loudly with trillions of dollars, not words out of people's mouths. Superpowers are only as strong as their allies. Isolationism doesn't work. Ask N. Korea, The Soviets etc.. why that is. Trust can not be granted nor taken, it may only be lost. CAUTION IS IN ORDER!
AMEX:VGKLong
by RealMacro
7
Gold takes Adv. since Trump-a-rally pans out to Bulls fartIt's gone 2 weeks or so, since Mr. Trump has secured a win over his Democrat-rival Kamala Harris in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as it declared by the Associated Press. Since that, a lot of stocks soared in a meme-style mode, while Bitcoin clears $93,000 and Dogecoin soared amid Trump-fueled crypto rally. Among nearly 2000 components of Smallcap Russell 2000 Index TVC:RUT , appr. 90 percent of them (without any fundamental reasons) were up on November 6 - at the day Trump clinched White House victory. For S&P 500 SP:SPX and Nasdaq-100 NASDAQ:NDX indices these numbers were 70 and 75 percent respectively. Since US dollar interest rates are still near multi year highs and Powell still says the Fed is in no hurry to cut interest rates.. all of that means Trump-a-rally gives no light for super-duper bets, as it's been discussed in earlier posted ideas. Moreover, Geopolitics is roaring back, as current U.S. President Joe Biden tries to authorize the yellow-blues to use powerful long-range American-made weapons inside Russia's legal areas, potentially inside Kursk region where located The Kursk Nuclear Power Plant, that is one of the three biggest nuclear power plants (NPPs) in Russia and one of the four biggest electricity producers in the country. The main graph is for Gold spot OANDA:XAUUSD , and it indicates on Cup with Handle technical structure in development as Gold takes Adv. since Trump-a-rally pans out to Bulls fart.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by PandorraResearch
S&P 500 Index, Gold, and BitcoinToday, I’m analyzing the weekly charts of the S&P 500 Index, Gold, and Bitcoin. Notice anything interesting? 🤔 Since late 2022, these assets have been moving in sync, showing an unusually strong correlation. At times, it almost feels like they’re behaving as a single market. But spotting these connections provides valuable insights we can use to our advantage. One chart that stands out is the S&P 500 Index, particularly its rebound from the dual Fibonacci support zone around $5520. This is a critical level, and as long as it holds, both Bitcoin and Gold are likely to maintain their upward momentum. For now, the overall market sentiment remains bullish, and this trend could continue throughout the year. 🚀
SP:SPXLong
by CryptoPAMM
S&P 500 – Unstable Ground, Smart Money Seeks Stability🚨 S&P 500 – Unstable Ground, Smart Money Seeks Stability 🚨 “Markets don’t like uncertainty. Money flows where confidence is strong, and right now… that’s NOT here.” 🔥 Key Concerns: ✅ U.S. Policies Creating Instability – A crisis-driven environment shakes investor confidence. ✅ S&P Struggling to Hold Strength – Momentum is weak, smart money is hesitant. ✅ Blue Box = First Resistance Zone – A tough level to break, especially in this macro climate. 💡 The Game Plan: Short Bias from the Blue Box – Until proven otherwise, this level is resistance. LTF Breakdowns & CDV Confirmation = High-Probability Shorts – We don’t guess, we react. No Clean Break Above? The Trend Remains Fragile. “Markets punish uncertainty. Right now, the S&P is walking on thin ice—be cautious, be tactical.” 🔥📉 I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions. My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups. If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge. I have a long list of my proven technique below: 🎯 ZENUSDT.P: Patience & Profitability | %230 Reaction from the Sniper Entry 🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move 🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month 💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace 🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge 📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone 🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential 🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade 🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones 🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River 📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones 🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum 🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision 🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs 🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity 🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked 🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer 🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan ⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One 💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas 🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence 🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results 🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB 📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total 🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction 🐳 QKCUSDT: Sniper Entry +%57 Reaction 📊 BTC.D: Retest of Key Area Highly Likely I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by UmutTrades
MASTERCARD: Despite the CRASH!, good graph!! Attention!! On January 30, the American payment services provider Mastercard presented results that far exceeded forecasts. It earned 12,874 million dollars (12,351 million euros) in 2024, 15% more than the previous year. Net income reached 28,167 million dollars (27,023 million euros), 12.2% more. Meanwhile, operating costs reached 12,585 million dollars (12,074 million euros), 13.5% more. Mastercard CEO Michael Miebach commented on the results: “This quarter we have achieved good results, with net income growth of 14%, or 16% without taking into account currencies.” He continued: “Our diverse capabilities in payments and services and solutions, including the acquisition of Recorded Future this quarter, set us apart and position us well for long-term growth, as we outlined at our investor day.” ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ---> What does it look like technically? DESPITE THE STOCK MARKET CRASH we are immersed in due to the TRADE WAR, if we look at the chart, the trend is still clearly bullish and has not yet broken ANY important support that would put it in danger, therefore, EVERYTHING INDICATES THAT WE ARE FOUND WITH A GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO GO LONG, since the market has fallen a lot and it is logical to expect an upward correction in the next few days of the SP500 index, which will logically support the rise in the price of Mastercard. Furthermore, the price today touched the 61.8% Fibonacci and respected it (DESPITE THE CRASH), which gives us another clue that the area is respected and is possibly the floor of the next bullish impulse. -------------------------------------- Strategy to follow: ENTRY: We will open 2 long positions if the H4 candle closes above 553 POSITION 1 (TP1): We close the first position in the 575 area (+4%) --> Stop Loss at 530 (-4%). --> Ratio 1:1 POSITION 2 (TP2): We open a Trailing Stop type position. --> Initial dynamic Stop Loss at (-4%) (coinciding with the 530 of position 1). --> We modify the dynamic Stop Loss to (-1%) when the price reaches TP1 (575). ------------------------------------------- SET UP EXPLANATIONS *** How do you know which 2 long positions to open? Let's take an example: If we want to invest 2,000 euros in the stock, what we do is divide that amount by 2, and instead of opening 1 position of 2,000, we will open 2 positions of 1,000 each. *** What is a Trailing Stop? A Trailing Stop allows a trade to continue gaining value when the market price moves in a favorable direction, but automatically closes the trade if the market price suddenly moves in an unfavorable direction by a certain distance. That certain distance is the dynamic Stop Loss. -->Example: IF the dynamic Stop Loss is at -1%, it means that if the price drops by -1%, the position will be closed. If the price rises, the Stop Loss also rises to maintain that -1% in the rises, therefore, the risk is increasingly lower until the position becomes profitable. In this way, very strong and stable price trends can be exploited, maximizing profits.
NYSE:MALong
by jmesado
S&P 500 Breakdown at Key Support LevelThe S&P 500 is showing clear signs of technical weakness as it breaks below a key support level around 5,675, coinciding with the 200-day EMA. This breakdown follows a rejection at 6,130, a recent high that established a resistance zone. With the index now trading below the 50-day EMA, downside risks are increasing. If the 5,668 level fails to hold, further declines toward the next major support zone could materialize. Traders will be watching for a potential retest of broken support as resistance before determining the next move. Key Levels to Watch: 📉 Support: 5,668 📈 Resistance: 6,130 -MW
FOREXCOM:SPX500
by FOREXcom
Russel 2000 Compared to General MarketTVC:RUT has continued to sell off since my last couple posts and I believe we could see a huge market correction this year if price doesn't look to stop selling. The next play on RUT I would like to see price pullback to the last breakout zone ($2,200) to confirm a continuation in trend This play also looks very familiar to the 2022 selloff with equal highs to our current price structure. Seeing that AMEX:SPY is at a higher high tells me there is market-wide divergence and a topping pattern could be in play. Now when we add CRYPTOCAP:BTC and $OTHER to the mix we can see bitcoin actually tops out first while Alts and SPX look to make one more leg up before crashing out. The Trend Reader at the lower tab has topped out and has a bearish crossing in the overbought zone indicating we can see a long term play to the downside.
TVC:RUT
by Nathanl19