S&P 500 Pushing to 6,000 after Wedge BreakFalling Wedge has formed with the S&P 500 since 1 July 2021.
We then recently had a breakout above 3,991 which confirmed upside to come.
With the strong Engulfing up candles, we can expect the price to soar in the next few weeks.
That is if the trend does hold and doesn't cause a fakeout.
Price>200
RSI>50
My first target is at 6,000.
SMC
Below the Falling Wedge, there is a clear sign of Sell Side Liquidity.
This is where Smart Money buys into positions (and sweeps liquidity) from traders who are long (get stopped) and for short traders who enter into their trades.
This causes the price to rocket up each time it touches this Order Block.
Now we'll need a strong catalyst for upside to continue. I am rooting for this one...
Sp500long
SP500 Bearish ScenarioThe #SP500 diverged 61% from the trend it had referenced since 1940.
When we look at such divergences in history, we see that the index has returned to the reference trend.
The beginning of this reversal is usually confirmed by a close below the SMA9 on the 3-month timeframe. This level is currently displayed as $4174.
In a possible bear scenario, EMA60 or $2651 will guide us for the priority return level. Finally, EMA120, which is already at the same level as the reference trend level, will act as the last support.
In addition, looking at the SP500 index in the daily time frame, the McClellan Oscillator, which has been working very successfully since 1900s, turned negative last week.
However, another factor that can contribute to my analysis is that the monetary and fiscal policies made by HSBC today are not compatible with the bond and stock markets, and that the current recession will go further.
QQQ: I might be wrong (Inverted Chart)I have been a staunch bear since about March. Since the lows expected a nice bounce but that we would resume
the downtrend at some point. Nothing has convinced me that this market would not do anything besides have another
period of pullbacks, until I inverted the QQQ today. From this perspective, I cannot help but see the very real possibility
of a double top at the very least. At that point though, there is no reason we couldn't keep going and make new highs.
The macro economic conditions are not ideal in the slightest but this might be the kind of bull that is largely absent retail
and will say that way until we actually start to top. A bull, minus retail, is what this looks like. You are not having investors
capitulate easily at all. Buyers have been positioned large and they plan on staying there for a while. Very hard to say.
This is by far the hardest market to judge, that I personally have participated in. I am thinking about taking some long positions
in certain companies, maybe even the Qs but I will be doing so cautiously.
CORRECTION previous accumulation count SPY (Going much higher!!)This idea is a correction to my previous count for the SPY since the break out of the accumulation range. I chose the "close" method for the point & figure chart and lost data as a consequence. The correct method is "high/low" which is shown in this count.
Chart setup:
- Daily, Traditional, 3 box reversal, High/Low (1 pt scale).
The SPY is going much higher before any potential bear market.
Good luck
My personal analysis is logical to SPXThe price is upward, which indicates that the trend is upward, so we will search for buying, and I have placed the buying or selling points, in the event that the price breaks the level that was talked about, in order to know more about what the price might do, and I analyzed it in a technical and rational way .
In the case of buying, we will wait for our order block to ease and fill the gaps, as well as the acquisition of liquidity, but in the case of selling, we will wait for the bottom to be broken, to confirm that the new trend has been formed and that we will become in a downward trend, and what confirms this to us is that the blood has come with the bottom that was created by If the price is broken, we will look to sell, and there is another support below it, and that support seems to be strong, so we will take the first target there, and we will wait for the price and we will wait for the price’s reaction to it. If we notice that it wants to change the direction, we will close all our deals. The long term, because if that level is broken, we will have a strong downside trend, because we will break strong support, which simply turns into resistance.
SPX clear breakout targets 4400-4500Hello, everyone.
My previous idea a week ago had a bearish outlook on SPX.
However things have changed, as we now have a clearly defined outbreak in the RSI.
The target range now is 4400-4500.
Depending on how the market opens on Tuesday. I may open long position.
Good luck everyone.
Stay safe, stay liquid.
Simple ABC correction idea for SP500Sharing a simple yet very visual idea of what could be happening with SP500 in terms of Eliott Wave.
We would be in an ABC correction, A finished, B in course, near to its end, C to happen in the future.
In the end, uptrend.
So short term, LONG for a little while, might end anytime soon.
Medium term, further correction (SHORT).
Long term, LONG.
S&P500 wants to go up!In my last analyses about the SPX , I spoke about a bottom of the index. The price was in the process of breaking the resistance when I created that post.
De deciding factor was whether we could create new support out of old resistance, which is happening right now.
First, the lower part of the zone was touched and made the price bounce. Now, we're witnissing the upper part of the zone being turned into support. Once this process has finished, the new uptrend can officially begin.
BOOK of SAMUEL: DAVID V GOLIATHWow! This is a first for me, in such a large timeframe. Looking at both patterns forming. The larger head & shoulders pattern may take precedence, as it is generally considered to be a more significant pattern. If the H&S pattern is confirmed, it would suggest that the uptrend is ending and that a downtrend may be beginning. However, if the Inverted H&S pattern is also confirmed, it could indicate that the trend is changing and that an uptrend is beginning.
SP500A wonderful investment opportunity to buy the SP500 with the breach of the side channel shown in the analysis, as well as the breach of the bearish trend and a positive candle indicating that buyers entered the market in a positive way. Please be patient with the deal. Good profits. My friends, traders.
S&P500: Don't push it 🚫The S&P500 is currently wandering sideways and doesn't really know, where it's heading. We're currently expecting the course to sink further South, but there is a slight temptation to cross the resistance line at 4026 points. In our alternative scenario with a probability of 30%, the course could dig a bit deeper to finish the pink wave alt. II, before exceeding the resistance mark at 4026 points for good. Primarily, the S&P500 should fall below the support line at 3788 points to complete the blue wave . Once achieved, we're predicting steady upwards pulses in the longterm.
SPX Fair Value Ranges - SPX ES1! SPY - Updated 121722Here is a chart that calculates SPX "Fair Value", based off FED Net Liquidity variables. SPY ES1!
Looking to the end of the year 2022 and the start of 2023, here are some SPX target ranges to keep in mind when taking into account the current FED Net Liquidity:
Upper Bound: $4,271.69
Fair Value: $3,921.69
Lower Bound: $3,771.69
If you want a copy of this chart, here is the link to make a copy: 📊👇🏼
SPX Fair Value (FED Net Liquidity)
www.tradingview.com
SPX Net Liquidity Band Indicator via @dharmatechnology8:
www.tradingview.com