Sp500long
S&P 500 Index Analysis 29/09/2022The S&P 500 (SP) is holding above the strong support, from where a nice bullish rally started, that move has also done a break of structure.
It is a powerful zone for S&P 500 to create a bullish impulsive wave from here. Today's candle close is important to watch, and if it closes bullish, that would confirm a bullish rally in S&P 500 and if it breaks down than that would be a bearish sign for it.
S&P500 - At The Centerline, Potential PullbackFirst, there are two very nice Sine-Waves.
These are "complex" legs in the count from 0-5.
Currently price is fighting at the Center-Line.
It's the same price region where the market found its prior support.
There are two possibilities when we reference the Medianline (Pitchfork) rules:
1. Price will hold at the Center Line and pull back in the opposite direction. The major target would be the U-MLH (Upper-Medianline-Parallel).
2. Price will shoot through the Center Line, pullback to it and continue its path (in this case to the downside). The major target is the L-MLH.
Are there any other signs to give us a clue for a Long or Short Trade?
Let's see:
- the Stochastic is heavy oversold.
- the Delta has good divergence.
- price at prior support
How to play it?
Why not reduce the risk and go with Micro Lots, or some SPY BP Spreads, to maintain you good sleep §8-)
secular bull market - new high in ~6 months?The previous two secular bull markets have seen recessions, major world events and ~20% drops. However, that didn't change the upward trend.
If we are in a secular bull market, we would expect the index to continue upwards until around 2033 maybe grasping at 10,000. In the shorter term, we would see a new high in the next six months.
Original thread: twitter.com
SP500 Long swingin'Hello Traders,
The sp500 index is supported by an inverted head and shoulders that can push prices to 4100 USD.
FED rate hike will be 75bp ( or less ?) , I don't think 100bp today.
ES - S&P 500 potential up-moveLast days where pretty crazy again.
So let's dig in to the daily TF and see what the chart reviles us.
We had the move down to P 5/0.
From where we expect a new 0-5 wave up.
Since price trades lower than P1, we can say that this guy is confirmed.
From P1 price moves down, and up again.
This is just another wave count in a lower TF, because we would need to see price trading lower than the lowest point from P1 down to where I drew the grey support line.
That was accomplished barely with the few points lower at (2). So far we can't confirm P2. We would anyway need a higher high above P1. That means, A low is only confirmed when the HIGH is broken, P1.
According to the Mini-Medianline, price tells us that we have to wait for a clear break of the U-MLH, the Upper-Medianline-Parallel.
Today could be the day, as price opened outside the U-MLH, and as I write this, price finds support at the U-MLH.
Another indication for an up-move are all the Wicks to the left, marking a support zone.
All this Coffee Ground reading leads me to see a potential up-move is coming from today and next week, and it could be big.
SP500 setting up for next leg upHi there,
We just completed 5 waves down, now we are changing the trend short term for the upside,
Price is inside a bullish triangle correction waiting for next leg up, up until 4300 possible
Add at spikes down longs to the target 4300, good luck
SP500 - Why I see a bounce longA LONG SCENARIO
We see the RED numbers. They show the Pendulum Swings.
Then we see the BLUE numbers, showing the minor Pivot Swings.
For both I apply the 0 - 5 rule. This means, if 5 is reached, a turn is highly potential.
The problem here is, that you don't know then the 5 is over.
From the RED perspective, the market has not jet reached it's low.
But from The BLUE swings, we can fairly expect a bounce, because we are at major support.
I expect support from the A/R lines and the red Centerline where price currently fluctuates around.
The green sliding-parallel is just a measure of overshoot in the angle of the A/R's.
So, if price can fight it's way back above the red Centerline by a open and close, then this could be a good long signal.
You may ask, why it didn't worked the last time?
If you are familiar with the Medianline rules, then you know, that after a breakthrough, we can expect a bounce back to it.
And that's exactly what happened. A bounce back to the Centerline.
A SHORT SCENARIO
Counter to the long idea stands the short idea, which could play out when we close below the red Centerline again. That would be very ugly and we had to expect price landing down at the red L-MLH or at least at the white Centerline (see the left weekly chart).
However we play this, we have to play it with maximum controlled risk and follow our trade plan.
Otherwise the market will rip off our face.
Trade save
⁉️ S&P 500 Weekly Analysis✅ Here I am looking for a long position if the price take out the liquidity below PWL (previous weekly low) and rejects from the daily bullish orderblock + institutional figure 4200, also the price has to fill huge imbalance left behind.
S&P E-Mini - YES! I really meant 3400I wrote many times about this. And I even posted this Video here on TV:
Everybody expects a turn, a crash, or at least a bigger correction. Guess what...it's not ripe yet.
Now, we never know when the REAL turn will come. IF it comes, then it will be a major turn. Not only in the Markets, but in the whole world for many reasons. (Read Armstrong Economics!).
You better learn NOW how to play vertical markets.
Because when the Whales turn direction, it will be far too late...
Join our ForkTrading Group and learn to earn.
S&P500: AmbitiousS&P500 is quite ambitious these days and has made it not only into the middle white zone between 4458 and 4509 points but also into the blue zone between 4510 and 4550 points directly above it. As matters stand, there is a 38% chance that the index could rise above the resistance at 4585 from this position. However, we rather expect S&P500 to initiate a countermovement first, which should lead into the lower white zone between 4406 and 4297 points. From there, the ascent can start in earnest and should proceed above 4418.75 points, above 4585 points and into the upper white zone between 4592 and 4643 points.
We should not yet forget, though, the possibility that S&P500 could still fall below 4239 and even below 4101 points, which would result in a detour through the magenta zone between 4086 and 3980 points
Is SP500 resuming its up trend?Since the beginning of the year, SP500 lost almost 20% of its value from top to bottom (close to entering bear market territory)
However, the drop from the top looks corrective and 4100 can very well be the end of this correction.
Technically, the drop under 4250-4270 support was quickly reversed and is a false break and, if SP500 manages to break back above 4400, we can have continuation to the upside.
For this bullish scenario to be valid, 4250 must hold
S&P500: Grasshopper 🦗 No, we are not talking about the cocktail!
S&P500 has been hopping up and down within the green zone between 4354 and 4253 points like a grasshopper in its grassy territory. At the moment, it is heading for the support line at 4354 points and could very well jump above it already. It could also stay in the patch of grass a little bit longer, though, and warm up its strong hind legs. For as soon as S&P500 has climbed above the support at 4354 points, we expect it to leap the resistance at 4585 from there.
However, there is a 45% chance that S&P500 could crawl below the grassy zone and even below the support at 4212 points. In this case, it should make a detour through the magenta zone between 4126 and 4035 points first before skipping back up, initially above 4212 points, then above 4354 points and from there further upwards.