#Overview: S&P 500 #SPXNow
The S&P500 formed a double top (the first peak was formed on April 29). The middle level of the range (2879) was passed without a rebound and the price went down to 2818 as I expected. Buy when the resistance zone of 2947-2972 is destroyed. Relationship between the USA and China became worse, the economic situation is a kind of disaster and the consequences of the quarantine has a strong impact and so I expect continuation of moving S&P500 to the South.
Daily chart
Daily candle closes below 2856 = a signal for the next stops at 2730 and 2630. The price can quickly return to 2280 with a negative background, so this is a magnet, upon reaching which the market could try to rebound on the expectations of a double bottom and a W-shaped recovery.
Monthly chart
S&P500 dropped to the level of the 30-year moving average sma-360 (the lowest point was 667) in the crisis years of 2007-2009. Now we've got perfect conditions to repeat that touchdown. For the current month, the value of sma-300 (25-year-old moving) confluent with the key support of 1500, and sma-360 (30-year-old moving) is at 1300. Thus, magnet = zone 1500. Nearest supports = 2507 and 2120. The nearest resistance which hasn't been broken recently = 2873 and this is the level of the fast moving average sma-25, which confluent with the extremum of January 2018.
Summary
The downtrend is on its way. Shorts are in priority. Keep cash in your pocket (more than 60% of the portfolio). Positive recovery is possible after the price breaks through the resistance zone of 2972 and closes the day above it at least.
PM me for requests of TA (free).
Like if useful.
Subscribe.
Be healthy.
Stay safe.
Sp500short
Lets take a ride with the S&P500The mother of all indicators of overall market health is the SP500. The market has finally retraced to the .618 levels after the initial market drop during Feb and March, now what? The formation and reaction to this pattern tells us that we are probably going to be heading down for a larger fall than I have indicated for our first target. We could see a continuation of the sentiment that originally drove the market south a couple months ago starting now. This trade gives us a great risk reward and can be taken with a short trade in the futures market, of the SPY etf or by taking a LONG trade with the inverse etfs: SH, SDS or SPXU (depending on your risk tolerance)
MACD sell signal FIRST TIME SINCE THE BIG DROP IN MARCH!!!MACD has been giving very good signals during the COVID-19, advising to sell S&P 500 juts at the right time in February and to buy at a good time in March. However, now the signal is to sell!
This is well aligned with my last post concentrating on the Fibonacci Retracement level of 61.8% as resistance (and some fundamental analysis in the description).
It seems to be just a matter of time until the next drop hits hard.
S&P 500 ready for a reversalThe Fibonacci Retracement level of 61.8% shows signs of holding and a possible reversal of the trend of the S&P 500.
Optimism and trust in FED are driving the current upwards of the stock market. However, FED can't cure what's underlying the stock market.
Also, FED's actions could connive another problem, an entry to deflation. Deflation could become a real concern if consumers don't start spending and the reopening of the economy is no guarantee of instant recovery of spendings. Research shows that the normalization of consumption will likely take some time. Too early reopening could also create a second wave of infections further harming the economy.
Despite if the Fibonacci Retracement level of 61.8% won't hold I'm convinced that a setback is coming, sooner or later.
BTC (Y20.P3.Video4).Alts are starting to take off.Hi All,
Another video summarising my thoughts on where we are with BTC, SP500, and many ALTs.
ALTs = ADA, DASH, ETC, LINK, OMG, XTZ, ETH, NEO
For those I covered quickly, here is a chart for ETH and target.
I'm making the commentary short because I have a few things to do now, but later today, I will try to add more charts to my commentary, to add value.
Please give me a like or tick for this post.
Regards,
S.Sari
SP500 (Y20.P3.Video).Recent price action explained.Hi All,
*** Note: This video is a followup on my previous posting on the SP500 forecast, with measured success. ***
The following video post is my take on the SP500 price action in terms of technical analysis.
If you were to look at my previous posting on this, it gives a background to this video.
But I also recap some of the points in this video.
This video recording is my attempt to explain what I take from the charts, historically and how its applied to the past few months and the next phase of the market.
Please give me a like or a tick for making this effort.
Regards,
S.Sari
My reference: A.Charts
Reference materials:
Bump and Run Chart Pattern Strategy>
tradingstrategyguides.com
Previous post and a background reference to this video
ES heading down to 2500s?The big picture clearly shows that ES could not get back into the trend. We can expect sharp down movements. I have market the middle of the trend line on the chart. That's the most important support.
Disclaimer: This is not a financial or investment advice.
Remember to follow me
Stay healthy, Trade safe...
Atilla Yurtseven
SP500 critical resistance The long term trend of SP500 is still within uptrend.
But do take note it has just hit critical resistance zone and trend resistance.
Think about any fundamental that could push SP500 even higher? - No.
Profit to loss for short is attractive for a short trade.
SPX500 SHORTHi guys this is my idea for SP500 index, Stop loss at 2960 because it could go for new high's at 3100 if liquidity will came in
Markets seems that they have lost momentum, so I expect a retracement at 2650, that is short term target trading range for next weeks would be 2650-2900, medium term target is March's low, and if it breaks that support next support is and Long term target 1800 pips
The basis for this analysis is that covid-19 crisis is at the beginning, I don't see a V shape recovery pattern,these months we have dealt with healthcare system crisis, now we will face bankruptcies, bailouts and negative balance sheets for the 2nd and 3rd trimester.
Have a Nice day and come back for updates weekly.
short #sp500 at 3180 with tp 1 at 3155 and tp 2 = 3130a very small correction sceneraio even we' think about Xmas rally i keep my position
if he go to 3200 i add 1 lot and add a tp 3 at least at 3100 and 3035 my finak
coz in fact the deal are not what expected marke and i bet on a TOP now or a bit up if market still wanna rally for xmas
if market push up stock fpor free as he bought already the rumours and the new are done and lower than expected will mean its politic control the pmarket and this i no wantr to believe
Short at 2942 with 3 target short term to 28201 - the eco data are worst more than expected
2- he like filled THE big gap
3 - he traced 61.8 fibo from the #COVID19 krach ,my target are not so far so i think its a good timing and a good trade with good gain to try
4 - he up much on Gilead treatment but in fact even a Vaccin will not erase what the economy is now and all her drama economic data like pmi ,Gdp and co
so central bank are here but reality should back
may i enter a bit early if is the case i will add 1 lot and update..also i will update down my target if he up much for now the stop lost is up to you i made it for me at 3010 yep is a bad ratrio but of course if he go there i will add 1 lot and so get more profiot when he will fall and also surely doiwn my target to 2700 even more...the level is unrealistic..cental bank cant replace economy even if market right now near mean nothing as is a big game ,liek lottery and annalysis near mean nothing coz of central bank and trump tweet
Short US SP500 From here, 2900-3000 levels is a good entry for short positions on US500.
A retrace back to 2700 levels is incoming and perhaps below 2500.
S&P500 Bears Smell Blood, Bulls Stuck in Mud, Listen to the FUD A simple S&P500 chart displaying concerns on many levels. Looking at how my old chart played out, I think we will see a return to the lows around 2200 as we have met resistance around 2800.
This is a speculation of whats to come and not financial advice.
S&P500 SELL SIGNALHey tradomaniacs,
welcome to another free trade-plan.
Important: This is meant to be a preparation for you. As always we will have to wait for a confirmation.
S&P500: Daytrade-Preparation
Market Sell: 2945,00
Stop-Loss: 2978,00
Target 1: 2917,00
Target 2: 2880,00
Target 3: 2856,00
Stop-Loss: 33 pips
Risk:1%
Risk-Reward: 2,7
LEAVE A LIKE AND A COMMENT - I appreciate every support! =)
Peace and good trades
Irasor
Wanna see more? Don`t forget to follow me.
Any questions? PM me. :-)
SP500- V shape recovery? Yeah, sure...More and more people are calling for a V shape recovery and for certain the chart looks like this.
And if you ignore the economical and fundamental facts we can all be happy, drink margaritas and sing Kumbaya, for sure most of us will be out of a job and have time to spare...
Leaving the joke aside what's happening on Wall Street looks like desperation and distribution on higher prices, not at all like a V shape recovery.
From a technical point of view, SP500 is in 3000 zone resistance and it can easily pass this to "make the news", it will last, for sure, NO!
In my opinion spikes above 3000 should be sold for a drop to 2200 zone.
S&P 500 index NEW PARADIGM Shiny, gorgeous stonks looks like they move you straight into heaven.Looks like very bullish. But my feeling about the market is bearish of course. May be this time is different, maybe my bearish broken bias are lying to me. I made this thoughts before, when last bear are completely change his bias to bullish price immediately stop rising and start to reverse
3050-3130 are good levels for sell