S&P 500Look this chart, he is oblivious...
*TRUMP ANNOUNCES 10% TARIFF ON SOME CHINESE PRODUCTS ON SEPT. 1
So.. I see the down...
Sp500short
SP 500 ShortSp 500 Short
Setup Reasoning:
-Bearish ABCD Completion
-Bearish Shark inside of it
-1 Hr Uptrend already looks extended
-Bearish Divergence on the Daily
-Volume dropping on the daily
Market is telling me to sell.
Entry Trigger:
Aggressive- Sell Limit @ 3026 (Shark Completion 1.13)
Conservative- Wait for price to cross the Ema and break trendline support
Stop Loss Reasoning:
ATR should be at around 34 pips volatility when it reaches the limit order. Double that amount for stop loss
Take Profit Reasoning:
$2995 is where this bearish shark can switch to bullish 5-0 (50% fib) and we have a high volume node there which means it can act as support.
SP500 won't go much further up from 3000Below is technical analysis based on chart readings. Refer to chart for macro commentary.
SP500 meaningfully tested 3000 five times in the past 12 months.
First two formed an M resistance - didn't break through.
Third time was also two very close attempts - didn't break through.
Finally, in July, we have seen 3000+ twice. One's already past us, the other one - we are in it right now.
Does this look familiar to you? Another M shape maybe?
Coupled with the macro conditions, I believe the market cannot go much higher from now on, and will correct 10-15% by Dec 2019.
I have sold my SPY . Planning to enter below strategy this week:
Short 270 SPY call Dec2019
Long 300 SPY call Dec2019
Initial credit to buy TLT
Monthly covered call on TLT
I will close above strategy by Dec 2019. Fingers crossed.
#SP500 Short-term opportunityThe graph above clearly shows the support line of the rising channel and the resistance line.
One of the most attractive products currently available in the foreign exchange market.
Ichimoku indicator continues to support further gains in the SP500 price.
Because the index has broken a new record and the Stochastic is at its upper limit and signals a correction soon we will recommend sell signal not as a trend only as a correction.
Target: 2876
SP500 index - Indicators show buy)
Reminds me of an asset BNB, HT, in the critical market, according to the same principle updated ATH
Usually after the breakdown level For we go to conquer the level of 1.618
If you enter from the current with a clear stop and profit targets. The risk of profit is appropriate)
TRADERSAI - A.I. Powered Model Trades for MON 06/24Thursday's Raging Bull Essentially Stood its Ground on Friday! Can it Continue to Hold its Territory?
Last Thursday's all time high in the S&P 500 Index was accompanied by the month's second highest volume, shooting down concerns of weak volumes. And, it was followed by an essentially sustained highs with Friday's significantly high volume as well. Was it the beginning of another leg of the bull run or is it going to prove to be the last gasp of the market bull?
Our models indicate essentially the same trading plans from Friday for today, Monday 06/24. For details, please check on our site (not able to post the link here).
Good luck with your trading today!
#ES #SP500 #SPX #SPY #Fed #Record #Yields
SPY DISTRIBUTION - Wyckoff Phases - SHIT IS ABOUT TO HIT THE FANMe applying the wyckoff distribution phases to spy.
Below is a description of everything on the chart. I know it is a lot but it is well worth reading. the mind is a terrible thing to waste.
Please check related ideas link for more information into wyckoff and this distribution phase.
THIS IS BASED OF THE WYCKOFF DISTRIBUTION PHASES.
Phase A: Phase A in a distribution TR (trading range) marks the stopping of the prior uptrend. Up to this point, demand has been dominant and the first significant evidence of supply entering the market is provided by preliminary supply (PSY) and the buying climax (BC). These events are usually followed by an automatic reaction (AR) and a secondary test (ST) of the BC, often upon diminished volume. However, the uptrend may also terminate without climactic action, instead demonstrating exhaustion of demand with decreasing spread and volume; less upward progress is made on each rally before significant supply emerges.
In a redistribution TR within a larger downtrend, Phase A may look more like the start of an accumulation TR (e.g., with climactic price and volume action to the downside). However, Phases B through E of a re-distribution TR can be analyzed in a similar manner to the distribution TR at the market top.
BC: buying climax during which there are often marked increases in volume and price spread. The force of buying reaches a climax, with heavy or urgent buying by the public being filled by professional interests at prices near a top. A BC often coincides with a great earnings report or other good news, since the large operators require huge demand from the public to sell their shares without depressing the stock price.
AR—automatic reaction. With intense buying substantially diminished after the BC and heavy supply continuing, an AR takes place. The low of this selloff helps define the lower boundary of the distribution TR. (trading range)
Phase B: The function of Phase B is to build a cause in preparation for a new downtrend. During this time, institutions and large professional interests are disposing of their long inventory and initiating short positions in anticipation of the next markdown. The points about Phase B in distribution are similar to those made for Phase B in accumulation, except that the large interests are net sellers of shares as the TR evolves, with the goal of exhausting as much of the remaining demand as possible. This process leaves clues that the supply/demand balance has tilted toward supply instead of demand. For instance, SOWs are usually accompanied by significantly increased spread and volume to the downside.
ST—secondary test, in which price revisits the area of the BC to test the demand/supply balance at these price levels. For a top to be confirmed, supply must outweigh demand; volume and spread should thus decrease as price approaches the resistance area of the BC. An ST may take the form of an upthrust (UT), in which price moves above the resistance represented by the BC and possibly other STs before quickly reversing to close below resistance. After a UT, price often tests the lower boundary of the TR. (trading range)
SOW—sign of weakness, observable as a down-move to (or slightly past) the lower boundary of the TR, usually occurring on increased spread and volume. The AR and the initial SOW(s) indicate a change of character in the price action of the stock: supply is now dominant.
Phase C: In distribution, Phase C may reveal itself via an upthrust (UT) or UTAD. As noted above, a UT is the opposite of a spring. It is a price move above TR resistance that quickly reverses and closes in the TR. This is a test of the remaining demand. It is also a bull trap—it appears to signal the resumption of the uptrend but in reality is intended to “wrong-foot” uninformed break-out traders. A UT or UTAD allows large interests to mislead the public about the future trend direction and, subsequently, sell additional shares at elevated prices to such break-out traders and investors before the markdown begins. In addition, a UTAD may induce smaller traders in short positions to cover and surrender their shares to the larger interests who have engineered this move.
Aggressive traders may wish to initiate short positions after a UT or UTAD. The risk/reward ratio is often quite favorable. However, the “smart money” repeatedly stops out traders who initiate such short positions with one UT after another, so it is often safer to wait until Phase D and an LPSY.
Often demand is so weak in a distribution TR that price does not reach the level of the BC or initial ST. In this case, Phase C's test of demand may be represented by a UT of a lower high within the TR.
LPSY—last point of supply. After testing support on a SOW, a feeble rally on narrow spread shows that the market is having considerable difficulty advancing. This inability to rally may be due to weak demand, substantial supply or both. LPSYs represent exhaustion of demand and the last waves of large operators’ distribution before markdown begins in earnest.
UTAD—upthrust after distribution. A UTAD is the distributional counterpart to the spring and terminal shakeout in the accumulation TR. It occurs in the latter stages of the TR and provides a definitive test of new demand after a breakout above TR resistance. Analogous to springs and shakeouts, a UTAD is not a required structural element.
Phase D: Phase D arrives after the tests in Phase C show us the last gasps of demand. During Phase D, price travels to or through TR support. The evidence that supply is clearly dominant increases either with a clear break of support or with a decline below the mid-point of the TR after a UT or UTAD. There are often multiple weak rallies within Phase D; these LPSYs represent excellent opportunities to initiate or add to profitable short positions. Anyone still in a long position during Phase D is asking for trouble.
Phase E: Phase E depicts the unfolding of the downtrend; the stock leaves the TR and supply is in control. Once TR support is broken on a major SOW, this breakdown is often tested with a rally that fails at or near support. This also represents a high-probability opportunity to sell short. Subsequent rallies during the markdown are usually feeble. Traders who have taken short positions can trail their stops as price declines. After a significant down-move, climactic action may signal the beginning of a re-distribution TR or of accumulation.
SPX has gone to far on fake.SPX has gone to far on fake in decreasing economy outlook 2019
1) No rate cut FED
2) Economic war ongoing China/Iran
3) Overbounght D1-H4
5) Asian markets and Europe are still not following
6) Goldprise rising.
I expect sonn a hard 3-4 day drop.
Targets are first to erase the huge raise in the last weeks since June 2019.
A.I. Powered Morning Trading Plans - OutcomesThe chart depicts how the trading plans published in the morning - idea published on TradingView at 9:52am - tracked the market action. You can read the detailed results tracking at our site tradersAI.
Hope you all had a good trading day, and if not, remember that tomorrow is another day of opportunity to utilize the lessons learned and the experience gained. Good night!
TVIX... Long : SPY/SP500 shortIt's about time! Double Bottom!!
Keep this chart = ALERT : RSI, MACD
All the best!!
S&P 500 - potential for 2100 by Jan 2020In the upcoming days I'm confident we will see a continued rally in the S&P off of the news that Mr. Trump has solved "the problem" of the Mexico tariffs. While trying to remain as unbiased as possible, it is becoming more and more apparent that the current market news cycle could legitimately be subject to manipulation by Trump's continued belief that a strong market is indicative of his success in guiding the US economy. Seeing repeated bait and switch tactics on key economic policy decisions and the trade talks does not bode well for my confidence in long-term economic strength in both the real economy and the market.
Barring a true resolution of our engagement with China, I believe we are on course to see this head and shoulders pattern playout over the next 6-8 months. If the 2500 level breaks and confirms this pattern, a 38.2% retracement back to the 2100 levels for the S&P is certainly possible.
Keeping in mind that with such a long-term call as this, any major economic events that take place between now and then could drastically alter the circumstances that have preempted this view anticipating a continued decline on the major market indexes. I am by no means absolute on this position, and future developments will certainly be taken into account when assessing whether or not to maintain this position.
In anticipation of this rally, I will be working to assess when there is disparity on the premiums on long-term puts extending into 2020 on SPY. I hope to take advantage of potential price movement back into 290, to get cheap "insurance" on this market as I can cannot be confident in continued bullish momentum at this time.