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Sp500signals

You know(!!) you are in a bubble ...... When: The funding a 36-year stream of expected inflation-adjusted spending requires over 38 years of money up-front; Every single decile of S&P 500 components is at record valuation extremes; www.hussmanfunds.com The amount of leverage in the system (U.S. equity markets) is now easily the highest in history, by any measure, not just in absolute terms! (relative to GDP, etc. Margin Debt/GDP = Margin Debt/Market Cap x Market Cap/GDP Showing insane over-valuation across the board!); In a world where speculators now value the stock of bitcoin at one-fifth the value of the entire U.S. monetary base; The current SPAC mania is identical to the South Sea Bubble in as much as: "Let them see not what they do!"; In an economy with $11 trillion in corporate debt at $58 trillion in equity market capitalization; When U.S. Market Capitalization exceeds 263% of U.S. GDP (the norm, not the low, being 78%); Anyway, this is likely a Double Top here.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by Nemo_Confidat
17
SP500 - The Phantom Menace (Episode I)As can be seen in the graph, after the pandemic, it collected rapidly and it seems that it will continue the rising wedge movement to the end. If the targets for the future will not be 4000+, we can see a very sharp decline as a result of the rising wedge formation from here. In this sense, it would not be wrong to expect the prices to fall back to 3000 levels due to the formation target. However, this 25% decrease would be a disaster for the financial markets. The place to enter the game is as important as where and when we exit the game. It is useful to be careful, especially in light of these inflationary expectations. TVC:SPX It contains only personal views and opinions. Does not contain legal investment advice ...
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by EmoteK
7
SP500 Lifetime OpportunityHi there, SP500 at the moment is a clear buy with target above 4000 If we pay attention to the DXY chart, we are starting a uptrend but still on sideways moment, which SP500 due to many retails shorting it, has been making new highs every week, as long as dollar is weak it will keep doing it, but dollar is soon ending this sideways market to start an uptrend. SP500 then will top at that moment If we look at the elliot wave theory, we are in the final phase, Blow off, close to a top to begin then a new trend. This is a long term view, if your looking to sell it, sell only at the mentioned wave 5, near it. Good luck
U
by fernandoc17
9
S&P500 - The "Mayan Calendar" Chart Fearing an upcoming crash / correction I've been looking at all the key indexes etc, and this was one of my earlier explorations using Fibonacci. I look at this chart with a large pinch of salt, more a fascinating oddity than something scientific (maybe!), but I do find all the correlations very interesting. Ultimately this connects well with my Vix & Gold charts in regards to overall cycles so I do pay attention to this and it's progression. Time will tell! Enjoy this "Mayan Calendar" chart as it was jestingly called on Twitter ;)
TVC:SPXShort
by TheDarkEconomist
S&P 500 Ascending Channel - Short SetupSPX500 Short Trade Entry: $3,866.6 TP & RR: $3,840.5 (1.13) Stop Loss: $3,889.7 REASONS FOR THE TRADE Straight off the bat, you notice two things here - ascending channel and opening a position against the trend with what I consider a bad Risk:Reward Ratio of just over 1. However, I believe that price can form a double top with bearish divergence, retrace back to the lower trendline and then continue up. Of course, we will be looking to open a long order somewhere at the lower trendline. Stop Loss is set pretty high in case there's a fakeout. However, we will close the position if there's a convincing close above the recent high.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by Quant_
spx's options total volume, much safer to trade high volume Hey guys, nothing really solid here, jus a safer zone to trad than another. Both success rate for buy/sell are not that good at all. -------------------------------------------------------------------------- 8 signals low volume: ------------------------------------- 77 days before a crash 63 days before a top up swing @ a top going down 63 days before a top sideways 286 before a crash ------------------------ - 4 @ months before a top like months !!! - 3 false signals -1 @ a top ***Summary: 50% months before tops 10% @ top 40% false signals HIGH RISK HIGH RISK HIGH RISK ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 11 signals high volume: ---------------------- Going down bottom going down going down up siwng bottom up swing bottom bottom bottom up swing --------------------------------- 3 going down, 5 bottoms, 3 up swings -------------------------- Summary: - 45 % @ bottoms. - 27% up swings - 27% false signals -Trade high volume is safer. lower risk lower risk lower risk ----------------------------------------- trade above our High volume trigger line is much safer.
SP:SPX
by samitrading
S&P500 : The completion of the Diagonal patternIn240 minutes chart of the uptrend from the range of 3511 to 3833 is in the form of 3 waves which confirms the scenario of the formation of the Diagonal pattern. Currently, to get the the confirmation of the downtrend,the price should not cross the range of 3841,because the 3rd wave should not be shorter than the other waves. By crossing the price from this range,this scenario will be violated. Thee confirmation for this pattern will be received by the formation of 5 descending waves,and by crossing the price from the range of 3660. According to monitored position, personally,I set the short order. By considering the RSI you can also see the convergence
U
by NirmataFX
S&P 500 Ascending Channel - Long SetupS&P 500 Ascending Channel - Long Position Entry: $3,795.3 TP & RR: $3,873.6 (3.26) Stop Loss: $3,771.3 REASONS FOR THE TRADE I believe the price will respect the lower trendline in this ascending channel and will continue trending up. Initially, we had the order at a lower level, but it seemed that we wouldn't get a fill, so we trialed it up. Needless to say, if the price breaks through it, I am expecting a fairly sharp drop and will be looking for a short position. The current entry is at a support level, which while being a bit conservative, gives us a good RR with the SL far enough and with enough room for the trade to breathe. If the price dives down or does something unexpected, we will close the order prematurely.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by Quant_
S&P 500 Index Long SetupSPX500 LONG SETUP IDEA Entry: $3,715.9 Stop Loss: $3,680.5 TP Levels and RR: $3,784.4 (1.94) REASONS FOR THE TRADE I know that I am posting this with a bit of hindsight, but by the time I opened my order and came back to do the analysis the price has already gone up. Anyway, I am posting this in case there's a small retracement and you decide to jump on board. The indicator Trend Volume RSI Analysis shows a clear divergence in the volume and you can also see the buying and selling distribution in the Multi Time Frame Effective Volume Profile below. I have also applied a Fib Retracement to this ascending triangle, which indicates that the take profit should occur somewhere near the potential resistance. The SL level is put at a level far enough from the trend line. You can be slightly more aggressive here and move the SL up, which would significantly improve your RR Ratio. Generally speaking, breaking down this trendline would invalidate the setup, so if you have taken that particular trade you may close your position before hitting the SL.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by Quant_