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Virgin Galactic In the process of Bottoming out? Hi, this is a Technical Analysis on Virgin Galactic (SPCE), it is viewed on the 1 Week timeframe. Our current candle is currently in the process of breaking out BELOW our UPSloping Support Trend Line, highlighted by the RED circle. Note: The candle closes, end of trading session on 7th of August, Monday. Meaning our current candle is not accurate, so we need keep a close eye. If we close ABOVE, our trend continues, giving us yet another week to tread along and hopefully break our ressistance trend lines. Our RESISTANCE is 2 FOLD 1. Upper Resistance line of DOWNWARD CHANNEL 2. RED HORIZONTAL LINE above us If we close BELOW, it means we are attempting a "Trend Change", but this candle alone is not enough, We would need to look for CONFIRMATION. This can be way of a specific single candle printing or a candle pattern formation. (I will be sure to update in the coming weeks). Our 1st Target would be the BLACK Horizontal Support line below Our 2nd Target, which is also a CRITICAL ZONE is our STOCK LOW @ around $3.11, depicted by RED LINE ->Below this, we form a lower low and make NEW LOWS Our 3rd level would be where Lower BLACK line of the DOWNWARD channel and PRICE meet, below the RED Horizontal line. Our overall DIRECTION currently, is DOWN. Evident by the DOWNWARD CHANNEL drawn with BLACK lines. **Until PROVEN OTHERWISE**. -> For us to break the downtrend, we need to break and CONFIRM ABOVE the upper trend line of DOWNWARD CHANNEL. So when im looking at the current candle, im thinking its MORE PROBABLE we go down. Notice how the Week of June 12th and June 20th, we had Large Upper Wicks form, this indicates SELLING PRESURE. The pressure was due to convergence of resistance of the BLACK and RED Resistance lines. The pressure from this event, can be whats pushing our price down. My thought process is that i actually want PRICE to hit the LOWER SUPPORT LINE of the CHANNEL. Doing so, as long as the RSI maintains Higher Lows will lead to the formation of a BULLISH DIVERGENCE. This leads to prices MOVING to the UPSIDE, in most cases. Can be a BOTTOMING pattern, in my opinion. Now lets look to my indicators for more evidence. RSI is getting tight in this symmetrical triangle pattern. We will soon see a breakout ABOVE or BELOW. If we break BELOW, look to the RED line, we want to stay above here for the possibility of a BULLISH DIVERGENCE to be in the picture. ALso note: Symmetrical triangles usually break out to the upside. ORANGE RSI line, should also stay ABOVE the Black moving average. Look left, everytime we CONFIRM below, PRICE DROPS DOWN. STOCH RSI, is in the process of a BEARISH CROSS, this if confirmed on Monday will bring in momentum to push prices DOWN. ADX which is also a momentum indicator, I would like to see the BLACK moving average, curve up, GREEN Line also curve up breaking out of the upper border of rectangle. This would indicate to me that a large amount of bullish momentum is coming in. CONCLUSION: Overall, i believe SPCE is in the process of carving out a BOTTOM. Its evident by the range highlighted by rectangle, we are in some sort of CONSOLIDATION. Our current price action must be observed. In the chance we do CONFIRM below and go lower in price, it will provide great entry levels for BUY ORDERS. If we also hit the lower support trend line of the down channel, the potential for a BULLISH DIVERGENCE may become more probable. With all the evidence being presented, it is important to observe SPCE to see what it does in the coming Weeks to Months. Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again. If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again. DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. When trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
NYSE:SPCE
by SafofAllTrades
7
FAA Investigation and Commercial Mission for Italian AirforceSPCE switched from vertical growth and fall to sideways accumulation. SPCE tends to grow massively on News, yet fall in the absence of any. It's probably due to the emotional bond to space research many people & investors have and all of us want to see SPCE succeed. Their main advantage is efficiency. The plane-like runway take-off burns less fuel, so does the feather-like descend. SpaceX, Blue Origin, and other potential competitors use rockets with a vertical start. A disadvantage is that they only approach close to space without getting actually there. My first two analyses on this stock were turned out to be incorrect as I expected FOMO to be bigger after I saw what happened to GameStop. A third one expected a drop to high liquidity and a sideways action until a significant event takes place. A temporary bottom was created according to the expectations. A last one marked area of liquidity where we are right now. Today, I would like to mention two events that might influence price but are unlikely to be anywhere close to Richar Branson's personal approach to the border between Earth & Space. CNN: Richard Branson's flight to edge of space is being investigated by the FAA (Sep 2) Apparently, the ship was knocked off-course during the parade and Federal Aviation Administration didn't like the red lights in the pilot's cabin either. The course was corrected quickly after realizing that. It's one of the disadvantages of flying planes as opposed to rockets which would get less influenced by the upper atmosphere winds. I think FAA won't stay in the way of progress and it's probably nothing serious. If they didn't figure it out, Branson wouldn't join the crew in the first place. Also, I don't see FAA staying in a way of the progress of the most fuel-efficient company in this field. Virgin Galactic: Virgin Galactic Announces First Commercial Research Mission (Sep 2) And I thought that's what Virgin Orbit is for. Anyway, it's a mission from the Italian air force and the goal is to measure bodily functions such as heart rate. Why neither positive FAA investigation outcome nor success in the research mission shall bring comparable rally? Neither is as exciting as the company founder flying to space himself. They have already proven, they can do it. Lastly, the public stream is what attracted so much attention to their previous event. SPCE should return and exceed its previous highs but not until they start putting tourists on board. Hearing some of Branson's ambitious plans, I expect him to release even more shares to raise the company's capital by then like he did last time. It's best to invest now and take profit before a company decides to start building new ports everywhere .
NYSE:SPCELong
by OrcChieftain
3
SRAC soon Momentus upside potentialMomentus is currently trading through Stable Road Acquisition under the ticker SRAC. Momentus says it is the first company offering the infrastructure that will allow humans to flourish in space. These infrastructure services include last-mile satellite and cargo delivery, payload hosting and in-orbit servicing. In other words, Momentus wants to make space missions as easy as possible. Through a satellite-as-a-service business model, or what some call a space tow truck service, SRAC stock promises to capitalize on the growing space economy and be one of the best stocks to buy in 2021. (investorplace.com) I expect a retracement before another leg up, but the upside potential including that ARK space ETF is there, if you want to enter early. If you are interested to test some amazing BUY and SELL INDICATORS, which give the signal at the beginning of the candle, not at the end of it, just leave me a message.
S
by TopgOptions
9
$SPCE How To Best Position Yourself For Future DevelopmentsThis is a follow-up post from my previous $SPCE analysis on October 4th titled "$SPCE Love Space Travel, But You May Want To Wait Before Buying". Technical Analysis In my previous post, when $SPCE was priced at $20.77 before the moon towards the October 20th's Highs of $24.36, I talked about how at that point in time, $SPCE had 2 unfilled gaps at $24.02 and $16.43 respective, despite having a history of closing any of its gaps. Within that post, I also gave 2 possible scenarios that I foresaw would occur leading up to the October 22nd's window opening for Virgin Galactic's next crewed spaceflight test. If you are interested to see what exactly my previous analysis was about, you can refer to my previous post which I have linked down below in the 'Related Ideas' section. Update 1: Since the post on October 4th, we saw $SPCE prices staying above the Symmetrical Triangle chart pattern after breaking out of it and re-testing the Slope of Lower Highs on October 13th. After rejecting the Slope of Lower Highs, it continued bulling and eventually filled 1 of the 2 unfilled gaps at $24.02 on October 20th. However, after filling the gap and reaching the Highs of $24.36, we saw an immediate rejection within the same 4H candle, creating a Shooting Star candlestick pattern. Later on during the session, we saw prices rejecting all the way down and closing at $20.44 for the day. Update 2: What caused this huge 16% decline from the peak of $24.36? There are 2 reasons for this. The first reason is a technical one based on what I have mentioned earlier. After closing the $24.02 gap, $SPCE entered into a strong resistance zone of $24.26 to $24.85. On top of this, because of the meteoric rise, a Regular Bearish Divergence was also created. These technical factors combined created a retracement cum rejection from the strong resistance zone. Update 3: However, based on this factor alone, it does not justify a 16% decline from the peak. This brings me to my 2nd reason which is short-seller Jim Chanos of Kynikos Associates' comment on the space sector. If you aren't aware of what happened, at an investor conference, Chanos expressed his bullishness on the space sector but later retracted his statement by saying that he was joking. This, combined with the technical factor I mentioned earlier, created a 16% decline from the peak of $24.36. Entries, Price Targets, Stop Losses Because of the highly speculative nature of $SPCE plays at this stage due to so many uncertainties surrounding it and so many things that can go wrong, I can't give an exact price target or stop loss at this juncture. But what I can say is that, if something does go wrong, even the most minute incident that is unfavorable for $SPCE, it is almost certain that we will see $SPCE back in the $16.43 range to close the last unfilled gap. What I can also say is that if you want to trade or invest in $SPCE - don't go all-in yet . The approach to take is to have a small enough position in $SPCE so that you feel that you have some skin in the game but not so much position such that even if $SPCE falls to the $14.00 to $16.00 range, you can still feel emotionless. Personally, I have taken this approach as well, where I have an entry at $20.91 and is mentally prepared to stay emotionless for both a meteoric crash towards $14.00 as well as a meteoric rise towards $30.00. Disclaimer I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. I am an amateur investor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, or stock picks, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment, or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this site, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise. If this post has helped you out in making your investment/trading decision, give it a huge thumbs up, and follow for more updates regarding this ticker symbol!
NYSE:SPCELong
by UnknownUnicorn6361804
6
$SPCE Love Space Travel, But You May Want To Wait Before BuyingTechnical Analysis Currently, $SPCE is respecting a Symmetrical Triangle chart pattern, where neither the buyers nor the sellers are pushing the price far enough to form a clear trend. As of 4/10/2020, the price closed at $20.77, at the slope of lower highs. Even though I believe that $SPCE has explosive long-term growth potential, assuming that the company is able to reach the stage where they are able to successfully follow their timeline and fly Sir Richard Branson to space , based on the technical factors and risk-reward ratio, I strongly advise against entries at the current price point until further confirmation signals. The reason that $SPCE was able to soar to the $20 mark in such a short period of time from the recent $16 range is due to a gap up driven by BofA Securities upgrading $SPCE to "buy" with a price target of $35.00. However, as you can see from my chart, historically, gaps are almost always filled - rather quickly in fact. There are 2 exceptions where gaps are not filled yet, namely the 3/8/2020 gap down from $24.02 to $21.75 and the 25/9/2020 gap up from $16.43 to $18.29. With the bearish market outlook currently due to POTUS contracting COVID-19 acting as a catalyst and the Symmetrical Triangle acting as a resistance to push the price down, the likelihood that we will revisit $16.43 to close the gap is very plausible. Furthermore, fundamentally, there has been no change to the company yet - at least until 22/10/2020 . Thus, with the price being purely driven by BofA, the $20.00 price may not be sustainable in the short-term. Entries, Price Targets, Stop Losses The best price for entry would either be at the $16.43 range or if the price breaks above the Symmetrical Triangle, retrace back to the slope of lower lows or the $21.00 to $21.58 Support and Resistance Zone, and holds above it. For my price target prior to 22/10/2020, depending on whether you are bullish or bearish on $SPCE short-term, it will either be $24.02 or $16.43. Since I am bearish short-term but bullish long-term, I am leaning more towards $16.43 prior to 22/10/2020. As for my price target beyond 22/10/2020, it will depend on whether the suborbital test flight is successful. I will do an update of this post in the future once $SPCE announces the result. As for my stop-losses, bulls stop-loss will be at $16.43 while bears stop-loss will be at $24.02. As you can see, if you were to enter into a new position at the current price-point, bulls have an upside gain of $3.25 per share with a downside risk of $4.34 while it is vice-versa for the bears. Thus, the risk-reward is really not that worth it. Even if you are a long-term investor, $SPCE is still at a highly speculative stage. The best-case scenario in the event of a test-flight delay or crash is a plunge towards $16.43. Although if everything goes as planned, $20.77 would look like a steal for you in the future. But if you have the conviction, go for it. It is a really high risk, high reward play for investors, and it will take conviction to stay in the trade. Disclaimer I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. I am an amateur investor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, or stock picks, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment, or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this site, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise. If this post has helped you out in making your investment/trading decision, give it a huge thumbs up, and follow for more updates regarding this ticker symbol!
NYSE:SPCELong
by UnknownUnicorn6361804