Ibex 35 Bearish reversal - shooting starMás claro, chorizo pamplona.
The shooting star is a bearish reversal pattern that looks identical to the inverted hammer but occurs when price has been rising.
Its shape indicates that the price opened at its low, rallied, but pulled back to the bottom.
This means that buyers attempted to push the price up, but sellers came in and overpowered them. This is a definite bearish sign since there are no more buyers left because they’ve all been murdered.
Spain
IBEX exposed after ECBHere we have a very important flow forming after a soft ECB via revised forecasts for growth, inflation and TLTRO's.
We have reached heavy resistance at 9,280 and a global slowdown will be enough to seriously damage the downside. From a technical perspective this would also satisfy the ABC from the 2015 highs.
On the FX side, please find attached the flow for EURUSD towards 1.09.
Best of luck all those in Spanish Equities.
IBEX On key levels?Ibex flat for a long period of time, actually it looks quite similar as in 2011 and then in 2012 touching 6,065 points. Is it going there again? Maybe no, but too close of. Why? That's the risk for flat assets.
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Positive expectations in European markets #Ibex35 Spanish indexBME:IBC FX:ESP35 TVC:IBEX35
After the worries of Wall Street subside, the technical analysis tells us that we have entered an area far from the minimum of the year and waiting to rise slowly as it goes overcoming resistances.
1) Above the downtrend line (yellow), still remains 4 interesting resistances: 50 EMA, 100 EMA, 38.2% fibonacci (9826) and the week's maximun (9806)
2) American futures indices $SPX $YM $NQ DJ:DJUS broke out thru the falling triangle today but still waiting to see the close. European markets are affected by American futures positive & negative about #TradeWar, #ColdWar, #Tariff
3) Volatility is low now but you know what happenned with bad news #Trump #Tariffs #TradeWar #ColdWar
Excellent opportunity to consider these markets also:
XETR:DAX INDEX:CAC INDEX:MOY0 FY1! SX5E
Careful to be too optimistic there are doubts about issues: Trump, geopolitical risk, Syria, Russia, Cold War.
Big picture:
Bullish breakout for NH Hotels, SpainRecent earnings release surprised to the upside and created a break-away gap that has not filled. In tandem with below patterns, paints a very bullish picture.
- Long-term view shows a 5-year ascending triangle (blue lines) that has broken out and retested.
- Medium-term view shows an 18-month inverted head & shoulders pattern (pink line) also broken out and retested.
Targets are 8.30 and 10.00 for the medium vs. long-term patterns respectively.
Spanish Index 7 to 1 shot: IBEX Break above 10470 =11180 targetIBEX Index: Woes over Catalonia haven't really damaged this index at all. Because it ain't going to happen. They have no currency. End of. Anyway, whatever happens there, charts don't lie (more than politicians anyway).
This index has been making a classic 6 month continuation pattern before it bursts higher again. Don't want to get sucked in too early but that's the way it's looking so far...if pattern completes as it should, get ready (set alert) to go long on a break above 10470 for a 700 point rally to 11180, using a stop placed about 50 points under the upper parallel, or as per comment
EUR/USD slips on Catalan referendumMorning outlook - EUR/USD slips on Catalan referendum
In line with expectations, the currency exchange rate managed to break to the top, crossing the 100-hour SMA plus another resistance level near 1.1810. During the two-day surge the pair even formed a little ascending channel. But due to referendum on independence in Catalonia the Euro lost 0.3% against the Dollar and fell out of the channel.
The fact that now the pair is located below a combination of the 55- and 100-hour SMAs, suggests that might continue to the move to the bottom. The downfall might be additionally spurred by the official comments from the EU, Catalan and Spanish governments through the day.
However, this event is unlikely to change the general scenario, according to which the rate is expected to continue to climb to the top after bouncing off from the 100% Fibo at 1.1715.
IBEX35's NEW CYCLEHi Traders!
This is my analysis on IBEX35.
I think we are already going up for a new cycle, actually we are going for the third wave in it!
I studied the possibility of a longer correction but the shape of the chart does not match with any of the most important complex patterns for corrective moves, so I got to this conclusion.
We are looking now on smaller timeframes for buy set ups!
Carlos
IBEX35 PRIMARY ELLIOTT WAVE - WEEKLYIBEX 35. SPANISH INDEX.
NOT REALLY CARING ABOUT THE NEWS RIGHT NOW, JUST LOOKED INTO THIS PERFECT PRIMARY 12345 ELLIOT MOTIVE WAVE FOLLOWED BY A PROPER XWY CORRECTION.
WXY STRUCTURE IS BROKEN BY AN IMPULSE. PROBABLY A NEW PRIMARY MOTIVE WAVE. LET'S WAIT FOR IT TO REACH 2 (COULD BE ALINED WITH PAST SUPPORTS AND WITH THE FIBO 61.8 LEVEL) AND THEN WE CAN TRADE NEXT IMPULSE TOWARDS TO (3) FROM THE NEW MOTIVE PRIMARY WAVE.
CARLOS
IBEX35. Unfinished spanish businessI normally don´t watch local TV but fortunately saw the news last week while I was having a lunch. Spanish GDP is growing 3.2% since last year and I heard almost the same words that I heard in 2007: we are in front of Europe, the crisis is behind... and else, and else, and else...
Just wanted to have a look at Ibex35 index, to see whether I missed some wonder or if somebody gave Spain several hundred Billion to restore the economy.
UNfortunately, I haven´t missed anything and the 22% of unemployment talks for itself.
From technical point of view, I can see a long-time H&S pattern which is still pending to be developed and drop spanish economy to the levels of the late 90s. And, in real numbers, to much lower than that because in late 90s there were no abysmal sovereign debt.
Talking about the numbers, I expect IBEX35 to raise back to 11.000 area that is where the Hagopian line is placed. This is a psicological value for those who follow the spanish market. Once there, their voices claiming the crisis is over will be heard from every bar: a classical situation with 80%+ of the bulls. We all know what market does when such a thing happen...
I would short IBEX35 from 10800 approximately, targeting as low as 3000 ish by 2-3 years as much. And hope there will be a broker who would pay for such a big short.
MAJOR WAVE III ABOUT TO START AT IBEX35 (spain index)Readjusting the elliot count as the movement evolves.
There is an accumulation process going on at ibex 35. Big sharks are accumulatting positions around 8700-8800 to start a major bullish rally. We will have a few bearish sessions ahead till the accumulation is done.
It will be a wave III rally: strong, fast movement and tons of volume.
In worst case scenario, everyone who had followed my last charts would have bought at a super succesfull low risk entry points: we're still getting ready for the major wave III to come.
P.D: you will notice to way of counting the waves: both of them told us the same: Major wave I is done and we should expect a dip before the next major wave starts.