Virgin Galactic delayed commercial flights until Q4 2022 Virgin Galactic delayed the start of start commercial flights until Q4 2022.
I expect it will touch the 16.20usd strong support from which it should consolidate before another leg up.
Virgin Galactic reopened ticket sales with prices starting at $450,000 per seat. They sold 600 tickets so far.
Jefferies sees Virgin Galactic's total addressable market at $120 billion and Virgin Galactic's revenue hitting $1.7 billion by 2023.
If the brokerage firm is right, then the 4.775Bil mk cap is undervalued right now.
I`m looking forward to read your opinion about it.
SPCE
$SPCE is nearing the bottom of its multi-year channel! 200% +$SPCE has been very predictable in the past and has the potential to bounce over 200% here as it's nearing the bottom of a very long channel.
Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. , an integrated aerospace company, develops human spaceflight for private individuals and researchers in the United States. It also manufactures air and space vehicles. The company's spaceship operations include commercial human spaceflight, flying commercial research, and development payloads into space. In addition, it engages in the design and development, manufacturing, ground and flight testing, and post-flight maintenance of spaceflight vehicles. The company was founded in 2017 is headquartered in Las Cruces, New Mexico.
Virgin Galactic (NYSE: SPCE) Near Bottom Of Multi-Year Channel🔎Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc., an integrated aerospace company, develops human spaceflight for private individuals and researchers in the United States. It also manufactures air and space vehicles. The company's spaceship operations include commercial human spaceflight, flying commercial research, and development payloads into space. In addition, it engages in the design and development, manufacturing, ground and flight testing, and post-flight maintenance of spaceflight vehicles. The company was founded in 2017 is headquartered in Las Cruces, New Mexico.
Swing trade on ABMLIm following the price,the price is falling while the volume rises, it could indicate a volume divergence that brings a strong break of the descending wedge that is being formed, wait for the wedge to break, stop loss below the last low, good upward movement
Swing trade on SPCE
After the big drop it had, and this consolidation process, it could be a good trade to try to close the gap, a good stop loss is almost guaranteed victory.
The price from my point of view can be seen stopped at the sma200, which would be a 25% profit from now on, wait to break the bearish line with volume
Psychological Roots of Failure in TradingI write this article to shine a light on the importance of the learning process and increasing your knowledge in trading.
Unfortunately, many new traders start trading during the bull cycle without knowing the basics of the market, and the result is almost always the same.
They do not know Bullish trends will not last forever, and this coin has another side!
I remember when I published my RIOT analysis on Nov 5th, 2020, the price was 3.81 USD/share and my target was 55 USD/share!
I relieved many comments that is a scam or some others made fun of me!
RIOT skyrocketed to 79.50 and then I published my first short analysis on Feb 18, 2021, this time everyone oppose me that it is a buying opportunity at 62 USD/share!
I experienced the same situation over and over again:
NASDAQ:WKHS
NASDAQ:TLRY
NYSE:SPCE
Now for those who like to know the underlying cause of Boom-Bust cycles in the market, I would like to explain more:
Soros’ boom-bust cycle, explains the three phases of price change as:
1- The “far-from-equilibrium” upswing,
2-The phase transition turning point, and
3--The downswing and return to “near-equilibrium” conditions.
I believe we can evaluate the participants psychological condition as well:
Charles Darwin wrote in his book The Descent of Man, "Ignorance more frequently begets confidence than does knowledge."
We can consider darwin's quote the basis for the psychological researches by psychologists David Dunning and Justin Kruger.
The Dunning-Kruger effect
The Dunning-Kruger effect is a type of cognitive bias in which people believe that they are smarter than others and more capable than they are. Essentially, low ability people do not possess the skills needed to recognize their incompetence. The combination of poor self-awareness and low cognitive ability leads them to overestimate their capabilities.
A Little Knowledge Can Lead to Overconfidence
Another contributing factor is that sometimes a tiny bit of knowledge on a subject can lead people to mistakenly believe that they know all there is to know about it. As the old saying goes, a little bit of knowledge can be a dangerous thing. A person might have the slimmest bit of awareness about a subject, yet thanks to the Dunning-Kruger effect, believe that he or she is an expert.
Other factors that can contribute to the effect include our use of analytical or mental shortcuts that allow us to make decisions quickly, and our tendency to seek out patterns even where none exist. Our minds are primed to try to make sense of the disparate array of information we deal with daily. It is perhaps not surprising that we sometimes fail to accurately judge how well we do.
Is There Any Way to Overcome the Dunning-Kruger Effect?
Keep learning and practicing
Instead of assuming you know all, there is to know about a subject, keep digging deeper.
Ask other people how you're doing
Another effective strategy involves asking others for constructive criticism.
Question what you know
Seek out information that challenges your ideas, as you learn more and get feedback, it can be easy to only pay attention to things that confirm what you think you already know. This is an example of another type of psychological bias known as confirmation bias.
Dunning and Kruger suggest that as experience with the subject increases, confidence typically declines to more realistic levels. As people learn more about the topic of interest, they begin to recognize their lack of knowledge and ability. Then as people gain more information and become experts on a topic, their confidence levels begin to improve once again.
Conclusion:
you should keep updating your knowledge about the market and accept that as a never-ending process regardless of your experience.
Best,
Moshkelgosha
Reference Articles:
www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
psycnet.apa.org
www.britannica.com
www.verywellmind.com
www.psychologytoday.com
SPCE. Long-term long play ▶ Targets & stop-loss are set out on chart.
Majority of profit to be taken at red line.
Red zones are probable area of resistance/consolidation.
Stop-loss will be moved to highlighted area in the coming weeks pending on markets/indexes confirmation.
These thoughts are my own ideas based off my own analysis. Please do your own research before putting your own money into the markets.
SPCE Falling Wedge ScenarioSPCE is currently in a falling wedge pattern that can best be seen on the 1HR chart.
This is still a bearish development showing lower highs and lower lows, but a breakout above the wedge could signal a +/- 20% move to near $28.
From my experience, falling wedges typically break to the bottom for a final sell off (capitulation) before they break upward. That is not always the case, and these are very hard to trade as stop losses have to be moved lower and lower. As long as the price is best contained in the falling wedge, the trade is in play presenting a worsening risk:reward for longs.
The best way to trade this would be to wait for a break above the top line of the wedge and then enter when the price comes back down to the top of the wedge (retest). This can be difficult as well as the price may retest the top of the wedge a few times before finally deciding to go up, so again it's another difficult scenario for a stop loss as the top of the wedge lowers as time goes by.
Place see my related SPCE ideas.
Virgin Galactic AnalysisI’ve uploaded a previous idea but I can’t figure out how to edit or remove it, so I’m uploading a revised version.
Virgin Galactic has a history of large price
spikes leading up to significant flights.
In February, anticipation for the SpaceShipTwo
test flight corresponded to a 170% increase in
price from January lows. This price action was
preceded by a bullish break above Ichimoku
Conversion and Base lines, a golden cross on
the MACD, and a significant bollinger_band
compression (all on the 10 timeframe).
In July, anticipation for Richard Branson's
flight corresponded to a 300% increase from
May lows. This price action was preceded by
similar bullish breaks as the February run up.
The upcoming Unity 23 flight was
unfortunately delayed, pushed from late
September - early October to around mid
October due to possible component issues
and an FAA inquiry. However, should these
issues be cleared up, we may expect a
massive run to begin soon leading up to the
mid October flight.
We have solid support at $24, but the current
price region of $25 is an adequate region to
start accumulating. Below this, we have a gap fill at $21 and at $17. If you're waiting for a clear
bullish signal, you can wait for news about
SPCE's next flight to come out. I expect a
massive spike whenever Virgin Galactic clears up their component investigation or the FAA
situation. Good news like this can easily
deafen the overall market trend, sending this
stock into space. Other notable examples of
recent stocks that have defied the S&P 500
pullback include UBER and LCID.
So far, SPCE managed to break above several down trends (originating from the July peak). The bollinger bands are in a relatively compressed state, suggesting movement in the near future. Bullish indicators include a golden cross on the MACD and a break above the blue ichimoku conversion line. Stochastics are heading up to the overbought region while the RSI is near neutral, angling itself upward.
Price target at around the $30 gap fill. If we break past this, then $50, in accordance with
the resistance trend line formed by the
previous two peaks in February and July.
Virgin Galactic and CatalystsVirgin Galactic has a history of large price spikes leading up to significant flights.
In February, anticipation for the SpaceShipTwo test flight corresponded to a 170% increase in price from January lows. This price action was preceded by a bullish break above Ichimoku Conversion and Base lines, a golden cross on the MACD, and a significant bollinger band compression (all on the 1D timeframe).
In July, anticipation for Richard Branson’s flight corresponded to a 300% increase from May lows. This price action was preceded by similar bullish breaks as the February run up.
The upcoming Unity 23 flight was unfortunately delayed, pushed from late September - early October to around mid October due to possible component issues and an FAA inquiry. However, should these issues be cleared up, we may expect a massive run to begin soon leading up to the mid October flight.
We have solid support at $24, but the current price region of $25 is an adequate region to start accumulating. If you’re waiting for a clear bullish signal, you can wait for news about SPCE’s next flight to come out. I expect a massive spike whenever Virgin Galactic clears up their component investigation or the FAA situation. Good news like this can easily deafen the overall market trend, sending this stock into space. Other notable examples of recent stocks that have defied the S&P 500 pullback include UBER and LCID.
Price target at around $50, in accordance with the resistance trend line formed by the previous two peaks in February and July.
Why i expect SPCE to fall again ?Why i expect SPCE to fall again ? Under $20
SPCE go up only when we fly, and apparently we are not going to fly soon.
Bad News
- FAA Don't allow anymore any flight until investigation end
- Major Technical issue is investigated with a supplier (needed for reentry in atmosphere)
- Flight postoned, but it will postoned again from previous reason
- High wind deviation in November (Flight window limited)
- Possibility to liquidate shares again
- Virgin Galactic is very prudent, if there is any doubt they don't fly, because they already had a accident in the past.
Good News
- November Q3 results
My Forecast is Under $20 from now to November
When all the bad news are gone, its time to invest again !
SPCE - Bottom is In?The bottom may be in for Virgin Galactic (SPCE). As you can see, SPCE has bounced from this trend line 5 other times in the past. There was one instance where it broke beneath this line with force but the catalyst was based on false news (rumor that flights were grounded until 2022).
For investors and traders alike, this may be a great entry. There is still a possibility that we may drop as low as the red line, but as you can see, the purple line that it's currently resting on is much more influential.
$SPCE Analysis & Key Levels$SPCE Analysis & Key Levels
I have WAY too many positions to be able to update on … So I’m just going to start posting the most recent support and key levels and my personal directional assumption… Do with it what you wish…
I am not your financial advisor, but I will happily answer questions to the best of my ability but ultimately the risk is on you.
Red = Key levels
Green = resistance
Blue = trendlines
Have fun, y’all!!
SPACE - $SPCE Ready For TakeoffGoing with an aggressive approach on this one, but $SPCE looks ready for liftoff at the moment. Currently have the stoploss set at 10%, but if we drop 5% from the current levels we're looking at picking up more. Looking for a +50% on this on this one if we can break through $30 level. We've been stacking between the $23-$27 range. Going with pure TA on this one and haven't really focused on any fundamentals at the moment. If we can break a 15-20% return we'll adjust our stoploss to secure profits.
Cheers!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. I am an amateur investor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, or stock picks, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on here, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Feel free to give us a follow and shoot us a like for more analysis updates.
$SPCE With short covering to $35 , closing the gap also #virginSPCE’s revenues increased 139.9% year-over-year to $0.57 million in the six months ended June 30. Its gross profit grew 681.5% from its year-ago value to $0.51 million. Its cash and cash equivalents rose 51.3% year-over-year to $564.66 million.
Analysts expect SPCE’s revenues to increase 831.8% year-over-year to $2.22 million in the fiscal period ending December 31, 2021. In addition, the company’s revenue and EPS are expected to increase 790% and 35%, respectively, in the following year, versus the current year. Over the past year, SPCE has gained 38.3% in price to close yesterday’s trading session at $24.25.
Among 11 Wall Street analysts that rated SPCE, three rated it Buy while six rated it Hold and two rated it Sell. The $38.44 median price target indicates a 58.5% potential upside from its last closing price. The 12-month price targets range from a low of $25.00 to a high of $51.00.