SPCE (Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc.) BUY TF D1 TP = 24.46On the D1 chart the trend started on Aug. 9. (linear regression channel).
There is a high probability of profit taking. Possible take profit level is 24.46
This level, which I have outlined above, is certainly not a “finish” level. But it is the level that has the “highest percentage of hits on target.”
Using a trailing stop is also a good idea!
Please leave your feedback, your opinion. I am very interested in it. Thank you!
Good luck!
Regards, WeBelievelnTrading
Spcebuy
SPCE - An Excellent Long Term Investment OpportunityTechnical Analysis
SPCE is starting to show some bullishness and strength here. I think SPCE will continue trending up, and my key price targets are $2.15 and $2.33 on this move up. A lot of stocks have experienced huge gains after earnings, if SPCE has a similar situation I can see a move up to the $3.07 to $3.47 resistance zone. I wouldn’t count on it, but that is the type of market that we are in right now.
Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc (NYSE:SPCE) has made significant strides in the commercial spaceflight domain, as evidenced by its 2023 financial results and operational achievements. With a notable increase in revenue and efforts to reduce losses, Virgin Galactic stands at a pivotal juncture in its quest for profitability and sustainable growth in the burgeoning space tourism sector. This blog provides a comprehensive analysis of SPCE’s financial performance, highlighting the company’s strengths and weaknesses as it navigates the complexities of the aerospace industry.
Financial Performance Highlights
Revenue Growth
In 2023, Virgin Galactic saw its annual revenue increase to $7 million, up from $2 million in 2022. This growth is primarily attributed to the commencement of commercial spaceflights and membership fees from future astronauts, signaling the company’s entry into operational commercialization.
Net Loss Improvement
The company’s net loss showed a marginal improvement, narrowing to $502 million in 2023 from $500 million in 2022. This slight reduction in net loss reflects Virgin Galactic’s ongoing efforts to streamline operations and manage costs effectively.
Operating Expenses And Adjusted EBITDA
Virgin Galactic succeeded in decreasing its GAAP total operating expenses to $538 million in 2023 from $502 million in 2022, demonstrating a focus on operational efficiency. Additionally, adjusted EBITDA improved slightly to $(427) million in 2023 from $(431) million in 2022, indicating a cautious optimization of earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization.
Strong Cash Position
A pivotal strength for Virgin Galactic is its robust cash position, with cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities totaling $982 million as of December 31, 2023. This financial cushion is essential for the company’s sustainability and future growth ambitions.
Strengths
Virgin Galactic’s progress in 2023 underscores its capability to increase revenue streams through its innovative space tourism services. The successful conduct of six human spaceflights within six months is a testament to the company’s operational excellence and commitment to delivering exceptional experiences to its customers. Moreover, the strong cash position enables Virgin Galactic to continue investing in research, development, and expansion, positioning it for long-term success in the space industry.
Weaknesses
Despite the positive developments, Virgin Galactic faces several challenges. The net cash used in operating activities and negative free cash flow highlight the capital-intensive nature of the aerospace industry and the significant investments required to maintain competitive edge and innovation. Furthermore, the marginal improvement in net loss and adjusted EBITDA suggests that while the company is moving in the right direction, achieving profitability remains a challenging endeavor that requires strategic focus and operational efficiency.
Future Outlook
Looking ahead, Virgin Galactic is focusing on the completion of its spaceship factory and the assembly of the initial Delta ships, with commercial service expected to commence in 2026. This forward-looking approach is crucial as the company aims to scale its operations and meet the growing demand for commercial space travel.
Conclusion
Virgin Galactic’s 2023 financial results reflect a company at the cusp of significant growth, armed with the strengths of increased revenue, operational achievements, and a solid cash position. However, the path to profitability is fraught with challenges, including managing high operational costs and achieving financial efficiency. As Virgin Galactic continues to pioneer the space tourism sector, its ability to navigate these challenges while capitalizing on its strengths will be key to its long-term success and profitability.
SPCE Ready to Go? Virgin Galactic Holdings
Short Term - We look to Buy at 10.11 (stop at 9.18)
Broken out of the channel formation to the upside. Trading volume is increasing. Dip buying offers good risk/reward. Previous resistance, now becomes support at 10.00.
Our profit targets will be 14.31 and 16.41
Resistance: 14.00 / 17.00 / 20.00
Support: 10.00 / 7.00 / 5.00
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Virgin Galactic delayed commercial flights until Q4 2022 Virgin Galactic delayed the start of start commercial flights until Q4 2022.
I expect it will touch the 16.20usd strong support from which it should consolidate before another leg up.
Virgin Galactic reopened ticket sales with prices starting at $450,000 per seat. They sold 600 tickets so far.
Jefferies sees Virgin Galactic's total addressable market at $120 billion and Virgin Galactic's revenue hitting $1.7 billion by 2023.
If the brokerage firm is right, then the 4.775Bil mk cap is undervalued right now.
I`m looking forward to read your opinion about it.
$SPCE is nearing the bottom of its multi-year channel! 200% +$SPCE has been very predictable in the past and has the potential to bounce over 200% here as it's nearing the bottom of a very long channel.
Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. , an integrated aerospace company, develops human spaceflight for private individuals and researchers in the United States. It also manufactures air and space vehicles. The company's spaceship operations include commercial human spaceflight, flying commercial research, and development payloads into space. In addition, it engages in the design and development, manufacturing, ground and flight testing, and post-flight maintenance of spaceflight vehicles. The company was founded in 2017 is headquartered in Las Cruces, New Mexico.
Swing trade on SPCE
After the big drop it had, and this consolidation process, it could be a good trade to try to close the gap, a good stop loss is almost guaranteed victory.
The price from my point of view can be seen stopped at the sma200, which would be a 25% profit from now on, wait to break the bearish line with volume
SPCE: A chance that comes once in your lifeExtremely focus on chart details, please. We all can be reach if we dealt with what will happen on the 11th of July wisely
Massive run ahead, be wise, and aware of your resistances, take care!
TP1: All-time highs level (recommend you to hold because it will be weak)
TP2: 65$ (sell 50% then add above 70$)
TP3: 90$ (sell 90% of your shares, and just hold 10% till 100$)
SPCE - LONG - PRICE TARGET 31.72 - 32.75LONG POSITION ENTERED AT $30.70
SPCE:
Lots of technical confluence present in the 30m chart of SPCE. As you can tell in the chart, there is a big fat double-top which seems to have failed. This is your classic example of "what should happen, doesn't." (Peter Reznicek). This seems to be a common theme with SPCE latley, as you can see you had two previous 30m candle break below the trendline but price still continued upwards. When this occurs you should prepare to the exact opposite of what should've happened, in this case go long as the price should of went lower. In a solid double top, you should see the price break below on the second touch of the neckline. This is not the case as it broke out of a 30m balance zone to the upside, while also bouncing off the trendline indicating a bullish trend continuation. RSI is continuing upward. Also looks like you have people loading up long last minute with large volume on the last 30m of the day.
There's really two options here: The double top has failed, continues upward to form a triple top(more likely IMO), or it breaks all the way up to the top of the trendline. The only objection I have to the triple top is the volume profile shows that price has not stayed around that range for a long duration and it's possible it'lI gap up right past it Monday morning to get closer to the Point of Control. If a gap-up above 31.70 doesnt occur Monday, I plan on taking profits at the 31.70 mark as the price will likely quickly reverse if it does form a triple top. I will re-enter if the triple top fails at the 31.70 mark and set my stop slightly under and target the upper trendline at $32.75.
Thank you for your time, for the sake of increasing my own personal knowledge, while also sharing what i've learned so far, you can look forward to more of my technical analysis in the future. Weekends will be the days I will publish. I would like harsh criticism from any fellow traders, especially more experienced ones. Feel free to give me your thoughts. Thanks and have a happy Easter!!
SPCE TECHNICAL ANALYSISHello guys, here's a quick analysis showing some of my beliefs about $SPCE. I´m actually very bullish about this one ever since a rehearsal was spotted out of that previous downtrend and ever since, an aligned up trend may come further. Also, correct me if I'm wrong but I found out some of its resistance levels. If this one breaks through the S1, I really believe it shall go up to S2
SPCE LEAP options SPCE is dropping into wave ii support level at about 29 before a rally in blue wave I begins. Look to establish Leaps on SPCE expiring end of the year with an upside target of 76. On guard for a possible rebound along with the NDX (refer to the above ) making a potential rebound in wave (2).
Taking SPCE to the Moon 🚀SPCE is dropping into wave ii support level at about 29 before a rally in blue wave I begins. Look to establish Leaps on SPCE expiring end of the year with an upside target of 76. On guard for a possible rebound along with the NDX (refer to the above ) making a potential rebound in wave (2).
SPCE Long- Catching the Falling KnifeSPCE has gotten destroyed after the announcement that their first test flight is to be pushed back until May. Despite this massive downturn I want to buy the dip and hold through April and maybe May. One of the imminent risks with any aircraft stock is the potential of failure. This would likely cause even more selling of the stock. In part this is why I like the swing trade to April. It will give time for the market as a whole to recover as well as the individual stock. My target for this stock is $43.98 by April 20th.
SPCE update Spce has a little more to drop looking for a bounce at 22.68 was to focused on my minor count in my previous charts, under 21.35 I would cut short term options but good area to add long term shares. Spce is a great company and has potential to run over ATH but this is al on speculation next space launch date is announced early next year. Keep in mind this could really mean we wont get a launch till mid or late 2021. But If history repeats we will run. Take a look at the last time Spce was at 20 and announced launch date
SPCE load shares and leapsSPCE after a failed launch and Chairman selling millions of shares, SPCE is back at a good price to buy. The chairman still has good faith in the future and is committed to the company. We could see next space launch early next year and if we run up the way it did last time, SPCE will be back at ATH again.
Support: 24.30, 19.78
Resistance: 27.55, 32.04