NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/6/2021 SessionContract - CME_MINI:NQM2021
- PR High: 13497.00
- PR Low: 13471.50
Evening Stats
- Gap: = N/A
- Session Open ATR: 212.29
- Volume: 27k
- Open Int: 236k
- Trend Grade: Bullish
- From ATH: -4% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as a range)
- Long: 14104
- Mid: 12530
- Short: 12598
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
Speculation
Stocks/Industrials - CNR Railroad WarsIdea for Canadian National Railway:
- An interesting thing has occurred. CNR approached Kansas City Southern (KSU) with an unsolicited offer that would merge the companies to become the first and only single railroad to cross Canada, the US, and Mexico. A combination of either CNR or CP with KSU would do this. Naturally, CP will want to stop this existential threat at all costs.
- Such a deal must pass massive regulatory scrutiny and receive approval from the Surface Transportation Board.
- CP filed a formal objection to the rival bid with the STB, which has the final say on rail acquisitions in the US, in order to buy time. The 10% price drop in CNR during the 30% rise of KSU reflects the euphoric investors now pricing in the probability of a deal and a no-deal.
- The bottom line is that deal, or no-deal, CNR is at quite the discount, for investors bullish on defensive stocks in the industrials/transportations sectors.
Our speculation is that the deal will occur, and it will occur for CNR. Why?
- We believe that a macro turn is here. We are bullish on the industrials/transportation sectors.
- This aligns with our belief in the theme that that a time is here such that companies in all sectors to undergo mergers & acquisitions, in a race to become "Too Big To Fail" and obtain the blessing of government subsidization before the inevitable mass bail-ins.
- As the global economy moves toward Stagflation, and perhaps Deflation, investors will decrease their risk appetite appropriate for a Goldilocks economy, and will rotate from Momentum and Consumer Discretionary stocks to Quality, Consumer Staples, Utilities, Dividend Yields, and Defensives stocks.
- We foresee a ravenous appetite in the supply chain sector, due to (a) COVID shipping backlog, which will only increase should COVID mutate and cause further lockdowns, (b) nations moving toward domestic production, which will increase intranational logistics and infrastructure demands, and (c) a shift from a software-oriented tech boom to a boom in the industrials and capital goods sector, from what we perceive is being attempted with the US stimulus packages.
- CNR is the bigger company, and has more resources at its disposal. At such a junction, the time has come for them to bet everything on becoming the undisputed railway leader in the Americas before the industrials boom cycle.
- CP's objection is simply a tactic to buy time, but CNR will inevitably come back with an even greater offer. At the end of this game, CP cannot win, but only come out in a stalemate, which will not benefit KSU. What they could do is continue to be a thorn in CNR's side until they receive a favorable portion of the pie, such as % ownership of the new entity.
- KSU will at least want to maintain the façade of considering any deals, to keep the momentum in their stock price.
- CP may offer a great entry later on, should they fail in their efforts and investors abandon them.
- Technically, the prices must converge. CNR is at the bottom of a horizontal channel, but it would be apt to observe the reaction to the correction before entry, to see if it is indeed an over-reaction.
- We doubt that institutional investors will let this opportunity pass and allow a 100 year old defensive company and Canada's largest railway to fall further. 120~ is the lowest we think it could fall.
- Interestingly, Bill Gates has recently become the largest single shareholder of CN stock, owning a 10.04% interest. We have further speculations about Bill Gates' ESG objectives, which for now - shows large investors' confidence in the company.
GLHF,
DPT
Disclaimer:
We absolutely do not provide financial advice in any shape or form. We do not recommend investing based on our opinions and strongly cautions that securities trading and investment involves high risk and that you can lose a lot of money. Loss of principal is possible. We do not recommend risking money you cannot afford to lose. We do not guarantee future performance nor accuracy in historical analyses. We are not registered investment advisors. Our ideas, opinions and statements are not a substitute for professional investment advice. We provide ideas containing impersonal market observations and our opinions. Our speculations may be used in preparation to form your own ideas.
ADA on a possible masive bull run target for 2021Cardano is poised to hit targets we did not think possible on this 2021 Bull run. With all the smart contracts and all the dapps that will be built on the Cardano protocol along with the bridges being built to support other blockchains and governance and on and on....... I am starting to think that we may be giving the eoy Ada price no justice at all. I posted a previous Cardano price of $50 but now with this Schiff Pitchfork and this yellow trendline that begins from March 2020, we could be seeing highs at $60. Of course, this is all speculative and not meant for trading but only my opinion on how I see this protocol hitting certain values.
Trading Idea - VIAC - Catch the falling knives!!BUY
CAUTION!!! HIGHLY SPECULATIVE!!!
Target Order: 60.13 USD
Stop Order: 39.31 USD
Viacom CBS was forced to sell its Chinese Tech-Stocks as well as the US Entertainment Industry Stocks!
This resulted in a more than 50% crash! There may be the chance to chatch the falling knives!
High risk, high chances!
2021 Kin end of year pitchfork pattern $0.06-$.10- $0.25Ok, I am using three Pitchforks to give us a guestimate of where Kin could touch certain fib lines on its way to breaking above its previous all-time high price of $0.0014-$0.0016. I have included two more price targets of $0.10 & $0.25, we never know and in crypto anything is possible. Recently Kin has been on a beast run and understood with new & better exchanges and developers coming on board. One great strength Kin has is using the Solana blockchain which has one of the fastest transaction speeds in the entire crypto world achieving 50,000 TPS. Try sending some Kin from one Solana wallet to another and it is nearly instantaneous and this is why Kin will become one of the fastest cryptocurrencies in the entire space.
QS dangerous speculatingHi everyone, today I want to talk about QuantumScape Corporation.
That is company, which works and producing with lithium-ion batteries. She exist less then 5 years (very young).
At now it is dangerous company for investing on a long period of time and it needs to wait more then 2 years to see what will happen.
From other hand, QS made an agreement with VolksWagen about producing of improved batteries, so VW is not investor, but customer.
And interesting moment - VW bought 15,2 mln shares of QS - it can show about future of QS, but it still needs to watch.
That can cause sharp rising of QS stocks.
Nike opinionGood time of day, my followers and readers.
Today I wanna talk about Nike as interesting stock.
So, good news are:
1) Nike all this years had good financial results, have big competetive advantage. Revenues growth without big growth of administrative costs
2) Even with last 2020 year and COVID-19 pandemic, company shows good results
3) Overall financial safety, even with big debts
4) Company management allowed short-term investing to stabilise company from COVID-19 aftermath.Inventories become smaller.
Bad news at now are:
1) China's boycot. If conflict escalation will continue, Nike and many other companies can lost one of the biggest markets in the world. (but at the same time just need to wait and watch)
2) Now Nike's value is overvalued, and earlier or later will go back, but all of that will depend from markets value opinion. And for next 2 month will published new 10-Q statement. So, it will be higher volatility. And interesting, that in the end of december of 2020 insiders sold very big ammount of stocks - more then 1 million. And all insider sellings were big enough.
So at my opinion we can wait for growth of prices in waiting new 10-Q report, but at the same time be careful with speculating and investing in this company. From one hand, we can expect growth before publishing of new statement, from other hand - we can expect, that company will fall down and back to the fair value area (now it is nearly from 98 to 103 $)
That is just autor opinion, no recomends. All investing involve risk of loosing part or all invested resources, past success doesn't guarantee future success.
Solana 2021 end of year price speculationGiven that Solana is a fairly new and not even a year old blockchain we need to look at the amazing benefits it brings to the crypto world. One of these is a whopping 50,000 transactions per second beating every competitor hands down. Ethereum handles 15-25 transactions per second, Ripple with 1700 TPS, Bitcoin 4.6 transactions per second, EOS claims 50,000 transactions per second but not sure. Also, Solana's average fee per transaction is 0.00005 with global validators now at 689 and growing. You also have an impressive Solana ecosystem with great platforms like Binance, USDC, Crypto.com, Exodus and Atomic, Band Protocol, Bitfinex, Tether, Chainlink, Kin, Ledger, and the list goes on and on. I use Solana wallets and it amazes me how lightning fast the transactions are. I mean it literally sends my Kin the instant I press the send button it confirms and deposits instantly.
solana.com
It is clear that Solana will be a huge competitor to Ethereum, Tezoz, Cardano, and other similar platforms. I am thinking that with such a low circulating supply with Solana of only 267,460,091 SOL, we could see a serious higher price at the end of this year.
My end of year price points for Solana: $900, $2,000 & $3,000
The next Blackberry bounce, new long entry opportunity?Blackberry NYSE:BB has kept support in the 11-12 dollar range and is currently pre-market testing the prior support levels at 11.06 as of 8 AM on March 17. Short-term bullish longs may want to enter long for a bounce back to the 12.26 mark and keeping in mind that 11.06 is downward support. Note that the past two daily candles (March 15 & 16) were with a great deal of sell pressure which would both be short term investors/speculators exiting and bearish speculators shorting for a breakdown bellow 11 dollars. If buy pressure increases today then this would continue the week of predominantly bullish momentum. It would be a clear upward continuation signal. It is worth noting that bearish reversals have happened twice since the all time highs in late January. Over all direction is still bullish on the daily chart. Today (March 17) should be a retest of the 12.26 resistance level and should be a buy volume day to reverse the last two days of over all sell pressure.
For entertainment and educational advice. Not financial advice.
The new Blackberry Hello fellow Blackberry enthusiast. We've had two false breakouts with Blackberry and the question is this the third with the new Blackberry really a long term breakout back to all time highs under Chen or just a nice bounce. Time and market conditions will tell. The daily charts have had a wicked battle between longs and shorts that have supported the thesis that blackberry is comfortably trading in the 10-11 dollar range. Price action generally overnight and premarket tanks past any day gains and indicates that bullish sentiment is finding stiff resistance against bearish speculation.
For bullish investors the Blackberry charts are slowly and positively moving back to test prior days highs. Currently the price is around 11.30 which as trend lines indicate is bullish sentiment in the short term and possibly long. Increasing speculation over the positive long term value of the stock including WSB has given both momentum to long and short speculation. Current trends continuing with several days above 11.06, then 12.26, and 13.07 would be a possible strong bull catalyst for a retest of all time highs. BB may simply be making higher highs and higher lows as it coils upward. Bearish speculators would likely want to short around these key levels to retest lows much as they did after uptrend 1 and 2. Fridays close should give a good guidance on possible direction in short and near term.
Bullish long term price targets would be the yellow marked levels. MacD and RSI trends seem to be indicating a strong bullish scenario but it is corollary to the wider Nasdaq which has proven to be bearish for much of February and March.
Long term targets could be as high a retest of the historic blackberry highs of 32.70, 68.64, and 125.07. It should be noted those prices are reflections of a dramatically different business model and may prove to be more conservative given the difference between the business models of the historic Blackberry before Chen and the new Blackberry after Chen. More bullish investors that believe the new Blackberry under Chen should be roughly equivalent peer to Crowdstrike CRWD at 196.88 or VMWARE at 147.32 at the time of this writing will have to prove it by increasing investment in the stock including short and long term bullish speculators and of course not only hitting but maintaining those price targets over extended periods. Volatility will increase as the price increases. Time will tell if the new Blackberry can re-capture Wallstreet investors and advisors higher price targets as it has Main street investors.
Not investment advice. For entertainment and education purposes only.
Time to press euro Longs EUR/USD has recently broken below some key technical levels of support such as 1.2050. Recent USD resilience could wane over the next few days as positioning in euro cleans up. Coming into January, many managers had the reflation bet on, which encompasses the long EURUSD trade. This trade caught them wrong-footed, and many managers squared out during a period of heightened volatility. The risk is now for a move higher in the euro as the consensus position has decreased in size. euro fundamentals remain bullish, albeit with some negativity around vaccine distribution. That said, global risk remains bid, and euro should be no exception to this tone. Across the macro landscape, oil is reaching yearly highs, the 10Y yield in the US is flirting with its recent upper bound, and gold is breaking down. The only signal that doesn't confirm the current reflationary landscape is the dollar. Many are calling this the start of the dollar move, but I would much rather fade this move with a tight stop. EURUSD likely rises to over 1.25 in the next few months. If I am wrong, we have a short stop and we re-asses.
THE NEW BLACKBERRY AND THE NEXT BULL RUN?This is my first published chart and feedback is welcome.
Blackberry $BB is a Canadian company that has transitioned in the last few years under John Chen to become an Internet of Things, Automotive, and Security company and away from a phone company. Blackberry does retain patents and the name of the phone. The stock had a milestone of new highs in 2021 under Chen's leadership. There was also a bubble break erasing over half of its all time high. It is speculation to say why this definitively happened. It was coordinated oddly with speculators particularly in the WallStreet Bets Community that generated a great deal of purchases on Robinhood in particular in the so called memestock. These investors/speculators seemed driven in part by nostalgia began investing in companies from the 90s which Blackberry was iconic. As indicated on the chart a bull run that began in November of 2020 by far blew past long term short positions and costing untold millions to hedge funds and speculators that had to cover their short positions in Blackberry which appears to have negatively kept Blackberry stock prices artificially deflated for years. Regardless of the recent bubble burst there is a valid question has Blackberry under Chen become the next sleeping giant in the IT and automotive sector. A sector that will continuously grow as leaders in the USA, Europe, and China pressure auto makers to move towards clean energy vehicles. Those that like strong company leadership might rightly conclude that Chen has turned Blackberry into a leader in the emerging smart car and smart device market while retaining the iconic name and securing partnerships with companies like Amazon in the USA and Baidu in China.
Many bearish analysis appear to have deemed Blackberry a defunct phone company and are either unaware or purposefully ignoring the transition under Chen. Blackberry along with new partners like Amazon and Baidu are creating new partnerships to create autonomous and secured vehicles based off of Blackberry's patented QNX operating system and other patents. Possible investors, day traders, and speculators may be attracted to possible bullish runs to return to January's all time highs and beyond given Blackberry's transition to a new company. This is not financial advice and you should do your own due diligence and never invest more than you can afford to reasonably lose.
It appears that Blackberry after a period of consolidation is attempting another bull run. Levels of interest and commentary is on the chart.
Thank you for your time and hope this helps you consider Blackberry.