Spike
Global Social Chain (GSC/BTC on Huobi) 80%+ spike incoming?Some tokens on Huobi are very spiky. Predicting these spikes is incredibly hard, and something I'm working on long-term.
But for now, I found an interesting pattern by eye on the GSC 3-day chart.
Oversold conditions (you can't really call it a signal) stop just before the big spikes. In other words, the last 3 times out of 3, buying when the 3-day oversold signal disappears has been a highly assymetric risk (earlier in this token's history this correlation didn't work very well, I think because it took the trend measurements a while to adjust after the very quick 95% drop from ATH.)
Will it be 4 for 4? I don't know, but I'll be in it to find out.
Indicator used: Price Action Trend Overlay | Simple with default settings.
BTC/USD Neutral AnalysisA lot has changed since yesterday! We've managed to break through a few areas of historical resistance. The last (obvious) level of resistance to break is 9.6k. If we can break through that our next target should be around 10k. That being said, I'm willing to bet that there are quite a few long-term trapped traders (going long) at the 9.8k - 9.9k levels. If they are looking to break even when the price returns to that price point, they will be exiting their long positions, and will drive the price down a bit. I can't imagine that there are too many, but I do expect that we will have to deal with that.
(very) Short term, I'm bullish up until 9.6k. At that point we will have to test it. Last time we tested it we ended up in a week long sideways trading period so I'm not entirely sure what we can expect to see there. There was a recent price spike that got us to 9.55k which is nice, but we're starting to lose volume. That leads me to believe that we will battle to get passed 9.6k. In all honesty I expect the price to bounce off of 9.6k and sit around 9.55k for a bit, but we'll have to wait and see.
Market getting toppy? Lots of bearish signalsI primarily use TDAmeritrade's thinkorswim platform to trade and I am starting to notice that their intraday data integrity is far better than Tradingview. I use thinkorswim to generate my morning alerts for "spikes" and the bars in the platform are very different from TV. Regardless, the number of alerts this morning gives me a hint that the market is getting a bit toppy today. I had 2 Limit order profits hit and closed 2 other bullish trades manually. I went short AZO and ALL on signals. Here is this morning's list for posterity. This many data points should yield some statistics on the signal.
AGN
ALL
AMGN
ANTM
AZO
BDX
BMY
BR
CDNS
CPB
KMX
CME
CMCSA
GLW
DHR
DRI
XRAY
ETR
FE
FCX
AJG
JKHY
HLT
INTU
IQV
LVS
LYV
MKTX
MMC
MDLZ
MCO
MOS
MSCI
NDAQ
PFE
PPG
PGR
DGX
ROST
CRM
SRE
NOW
STE
SYK
TMO
TRV
VRSK
DIS
XRX
ZBH
SPX Future Projection Analysis *Future spike detected*TVC:SPX What's happening on the May 1, 2020? Checking the United States Economic calendar. This is what I found that could be the cause of the increase volatility on that day:
1) Core Price PCE Index: Forecast is 1.7%, Previous was 1.8%...May drop further than anticipated.
2) Employment Cost Index: Forecast is 0.7%, Previous was 0.7%..."The Employment Cost Index measures the change in the price businesses and the government pay for civilian labor. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD. " ...Will this be 0.8%+? I think so.
3) PCE Price Index..."The PCE price index, also referred to as the PCE deflator, is a United States-wide indicator of the average increase in prices for all domestic personal consumption. The impact on the currency may go both ways, a rise in CPI may lead to a rise in interest rates and a rise in local currency, on the other hand, during recession, a rise in CPI may lead to a deepened recession and therefore a fall in local currency.
4) Personal Spending (Month to Month) Forecast is -6.5%, Previous was 0.2%...Maybe reading will show less than negative forecast.
5) Chicago PMI
While these reading can flip the forecast; volatility will increase. So, for all Option holders, check your Vega. If you don't know what Vega is, don't do options until you understand the Greeks.
CAD signaling a reverseAlerts went off this morning on the CAD pairs (USDCAD, EURCAD, CADCHF) with some intraday price action. Price spiked up on these pairs (down in the CAD) for the first part of the US session only to slam back to below the session opens. I'm going to play this as a confirmation of the countertrend pullback within a full reversal of the CAD's recent run-up. I want to play the move down to a target around 1.38 on USDCAD; the 50% retracement of the run-up.
Smarter than Buffett?"Delta plunges after Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway slashes its stake" is the morning's headline following the announcement. As investments I don't know why anyone would want to own airlines. They are too exposed to all kinds of risk... world economic factors, energy, terrorism, and now plagues. But to trade airlines... the contrarian in me combined with a price action alert makes me want to test for an opportunity. Earnings are this week and I do not expect anything they say to help or harm what is already known; that Delta is burning through a whopping $60 million per DAY! So while there is some earnings gap risk I'm going to keep my position small and exploratory. Let's see if this is the double bottom of the Daily.
Trade Ideas Analysis: GBPAUD SpikeisI shorted this repeated pattern on the spike that forms along the uptrend channel.
The Bonus of this setup is that my MT4 connecting to the live data detected an ABCD pattern, the black eclipsed on this diagram is amendments to this demo data that this movement didn't occur on my live data.
I will watch closely how the price reacts at the bottom trendline of this channel if a break and close below, I will be keeping the trade, but if an indecision candle appears, I may intervene and close this trade.
Expecting a boring day determining an existing Future!I like seeing bitcoin going up but I only see a good year coming if we get a steady pattern what scares me is another bubble building up of the price spikes too fast which doesn't matter too much to me but the average BTC user will suffer from that STEADY growth is the key this year for bitcoin to succeed
Impeachment spike fizzlesGold has again failed to pierce solid resistance around 1480.
Today's partisan Trump impeachment vote by the majority House Democrats sparked a spike in the gold price, but it soon fizzled at resistance points.
A fall to the short-term channel bottom is possible or a test of lower support levels.
A positive MACD on the daily chart gives hope for the long awaited breakout from the falling wedge formation.
Overall view of NAS100 and US Markets - Update of June 18thPrevious view: Odds of a bull continuation are high, last trading week could be summarized by a consolidation between levels 7600.00 and 7425.00, eventually announcing a strong volatility next week.
Actual outcome: Prices broke the @7600.00 target and bulls keep pushing.
Actual view: Prices are still subjected to a bull pressure. Odds of a bull trend continuation are high with a possible settle at the resistance zone.
Possible targets : @7800.00 (+1000pips or 100points).
Advice : Stay bullish and buy at any low point while we don't break the 7500.00 bottom level.
Correlated pairs : US500 (96.2%),US30 (94.2%),CHFSGS (-86.5%).
We are more likely to experience a continuation of the bull spike as it will be for the other US market securities.
Potential trade setup: EUR/AUD analysisAs previously mentioned EUR/AUD has overextended into the yearly highs price region, even though we should be expecting a retracement price can be easily manipulated around this region especially ahead of a lot of fundamentals data from ECB and AUD policy details out this week that could easily be a key driver in market activity. Awaiting for a potential 3rd drive into the highs before considering additional shorts to the targeted region to bounce off the trendline which is in alignment with the 50% fib line.
BTCUSDT 45 min chart with VIP overlay
Hello everyone, did everyone catch the BTC spike? What do you think it’s coming next? Are we going hit the $10,000 mark soon? Your comments are encouraged and highly welcome. Crypto is the king!
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