Spike
Garmin Earnings SpikeGarmin NYSE:GRMN had earnings today and the price action on the swing timeframes broke the past weeks' lows to recover back inside the range. This setup is happening right on the 50% Retracement of the COVID low to All Time High along with an Ichimoku Cloud Pullback on the Weekly timeframe. Options spreads are wide so this trade will be best expressed with shares.
Bitcoin Spiking at Key LevelI just got an alert that BITFINEX:BTCUSD had a Spike Alert at a key level following a weekend of consolidation. Price is testing the Liquidation Low of December and trying to break higher following the recent rally. This creates a clear range that Bitcoin will likely break out of to the upside or downside. I am still trading Bitcoin as it is in a bearish trend since October.
The ONE price action trick you NEED to know!I want to show traders examples of a powerful phenomenon for trading price action. This quick price action happens on earnings, major news events, and other catalysts. It happens on stocks, cryptocurrency, futures, and anything that trades! This involves some candlestick analysis but is incredibly simple. Traders can use this to spot reversals and be contrarian to what the market may think right before they are wrong. This can also prevent you as a trader from taking big losses if you react quickly to this warning sign!
We look at 4 examples in this video:
-Amazon NASDAQ:AMZN earnings
-Facebook NASDAQ:FB earnings
-Bitcoin INDEX:BTCUSD
-S&P 500 Index Futures from FOMC meeting CME_MINI:ES1!
Everything that trades will have this happen. Once you see it you will not forget it!
Has Robinhood (HOOD) Stock made a bottom?Maybe. Robinhood stock (HOOD) could have setup a bottom on the last earnings. The stock has been rallying today but the foundation for why this could be a bottom still presents a good reward risk trade. In this video I talk about the potential trading setup, why I like the potential, where it goes wrong and you need to stop out, and use HOOD as a teachable moment for why bagholding is a terrible strategy. "The stock can't go lower..." ranks among the most deadly sayings in trading and investing!
Bitcoin long trade breaking downOn January 10th I noted a price action Spike Alert around the December 3rd Liquidation Low. I saw this as a bullish signal as price was respecting that low with buyers coming in. In the days that have followed price action had a chance to reverse the bearish trend but as of this morning seems to be stalling out. The "bullish trade" is close to breakeven and on the trading timeframe (2h/4h) is setting up a bearish Ichimoku cloud breakout. This breakout could retest and break the January 10th low. I would not want to be long anymore.
Elon In potential profit zoneAs you can see, the price started its bullish cycle in Oct. It finished the channel phase and entered into trading range phase, but not a normal trading range, It created trading range in pattern mode ( bullish triangle ).
Parts of the charts are:
Red line: short term bearish trend line ( one side of the triangle )
Dotted red line: extended bearish trend line
Green line: short term dynamic support ( another side of the triangle )
White lines: Main support zone
The Price broken both bearish trend line and extended one with 3 consecutive bullish candles and then has created a pullback with 2 pin bars and another small bearish candle. That's definitely a spike and its pullback, but the context does not support the idea that it's a start of a new bullish cycle which can create a new ATH, or just a minor cycle into the trading range and can go up and touches the previous ATH. For now, We do expect that the pullback continues to at least the broken extended line ( dotted ). If it goes further, the price will make pullback to the main bearish line ( red ) which also will be the cross of the red and the green line, so at that point, strong support it likely expected.
So at this point, the tp1 would be the previous high which will give %89.29 profits ( %161 if it goes down to the red line ) and at that point, we need to see the price momentum and decide to go for higher tps or we should take the profit.
Crypto SpikingAll the things crypto are spiking on the swing trading timeframes. The Bitcoin entry now could be good... it has prior hesitation in price action and one could target the top of the range for a superb reward/risk. However, the rest of the spike signals in other cryptocurrencies look more like volatility. These spikes are happening in the battleground middle of a nasty consolidation.
I remain short BITFINEX:BTCUSD Bitcoin and BITFINEX:ETHUSD Ethereum. I am still looking for price to retest the Liquidation low of early December.
Litecoin to Liquidation LowLitecoin BITFINEX:LTCUSD gave a Spike Manipulation Signal. I have been looking for trades over the last few days to short cryptocurrencies back to retest the low of the recent liquidation event which will be the first target. I'll hold a partial position for a break of the Liquidation Low.
Ethereum Versus Bitcoin (ETHBTC) Rally ContinuesToday's divergence between Ethereum BITFINEX:ETHUSDLONGS and Bitcoin BITFINEX:BTCUSD can be visualized in the price action of the cross pair BITFINEX:ETHBTC .
Yesterday's price action took it to the 50% Retracement of the most recent bullish trend and Market Manipulation Spike signaled a rally off the level.
Spike I like Dogecoin (DOGEUSD)Got a lower timeframe Spike Alert on BITFINEX:DOGEUSD from my Tradingview indicator that also happens at a 50% Retracement. This alert also reminded me to add this to my Discord integration. I would be targeting a retest of the liquidation low from days ago.
Dog money may only have dog days from here...
Spike Reversal Pattern on Bonds (TLT)Yesterday's close on NASDAQ:TLT broke the day's range causing many to think it was going lower. However, today's open reverses that sentiment by opening back above that short term range.
Bonds are a very cyclically trending instrument (see below) and at some point the down move of the last few days was likely to reverse. This could be the setup with a low risk stop to get long TLT.
Money where your mouth is... ARKKI admire folks that are willing to put their trading out there for comment and criticism. It takes a lot of emotional control to trade in isolation much less when under public scrutiny. Cathie Wood was the idol of the trading world last year and widely followed for her style of exciting and parabolic investing as well as her public charisma and confidence.
There was one interview in particular (I wish I could find it now but she has done many) where she acknowledged that within her trading history she has had cycles of incredible returns invariably followed by large drawdowns. She gave this interview right around the peak of her funds' performance last year. Real recognize real. That she would openly acknowledge and admit that she had self identified this pattern of her trading spoke to my own journey and likely that of all serious traders. She had acute self awareness and in some way, in that interview and comment, was warning people to be cautious with her strategy at that current moment.
Now as her funds decline other traders are trying to make a name for themselves off her fall. One of which that has come to my attention is Puru Saxena. He is vocally short her funds and very bearish. That is fine for them to have a battle; no need for me to get involved. Cathie has her strategy focused on long term growth. Puru bases his strategy on macro. Neither are my game.
But now it gets interesting for me as a Technical Trader.
At the same time Puru is adding to his short AMEX:ARKK is sitting right at a 50% Retracement of the major trend. Over the last few days price spiked below this level only to recover quickly above it. These are my strategy.
So now I get to step into this battle by putting my own capital on the line. It's a low risk/high reward trade. Not for the money but for the validation of Technical Analysis versus macro.
DWAC Mooning off the SpikeFollowing a spike low this week and a rocket off the fake out NASDAQ:DWAC is up bigly today. The jump rally created a good 50% Retracement Level that matched the top of the range.
In all honesty... the chart pattern looks like a typical pump fail. However, most pumped stocks have their second life at some point with a relief rally. This could be it.
I still hold my Donald Trump fun tickets!
Technical Analysis GBPUSD FAKEOUT/SPIKE Trade.Looking at the GBPUSD monthly rejection point also known as support and resistance lines or memory. GBPUSD was currently on a weekly low and moved very rapidly to the south with a strong rejection at 1.32551. This could signify a change in trend or a continuation of previous support or resistance pattern, I'm risking 20 pips on this trade with a 2/1 R/R. 2% Per Trade. Remember this analysis is for educational purposes only and If you want to know how I draw my support and resistance lines. Just send me a message.
Looking for a rally in Oil stocksThe market looks to be recovery today and the most interesting stocks to me were oil companies ( NYSE:XOM , NYSE:MRO , NYSE:COP ) which all exhibited morning open volatility spikes. The one I liked the most because it was at at 50% Retracement (see high timeframe below) is XOM so it fits my criteria for a long trade.
I'll be looking for a retest of the last major highs.
This is also an addon positions to a winner from the beginning of 2021 (see Related Idea).
SPY within bearish spike tradeThis Wednesday nearly every stock in my list is up. The market as a whole is doing a recovery today. I went to the Daily AMEX:SPY to see where price action stands and found that price action of the SPY is within a bearish spike that occurred on November 22. In any instrument this would be a signal albeit the statistics of the spike's clearance are sub optimal.
As price approaches 464 it will test the 50% Retracement "line in the sand" as Resistance. Conquering this, it can go on to retest the ATH, make a new one, and continue the "Santa Claus rally" that I have been expecting from this "normal" year.
If the bearish pattern continues it could find support in the region around 450 that was a prior ATH and the 50% retracement of the last leg up.
Currently momentum remains bullish according to Ichimoku. Price has through the first days of December to stay on the bullish side of price action.
Long groceriesI've been patiently waiting on a setup to enter Kroger NYSE:KR for a while now. It is a fan favorite on my social media and I do nearly all my grocery shopping there. Yesterday I finally got a spike setup (Spike Alert with proper metric, at a 50% Retracement Level) that fit my criteria so I entered. While this is just another trade at the moment in the short term once profits are secured I hope for a break of the high and addition to my long term portfolio.