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Better Profit Taking Inside ConsolidationsMy last trade in UNH highlights an example of where I look for targets especially within a mid consolidation. When looking at a past high as a potential take profit target often times price will miss the actual proper high. The more conservative and higher probability place to take targets (or look for reversal) is the 50% within the reaction off the last high: the short term price action where price fooled around to create the high. -UNH
NYSE:UNHLong
by norok
Ethereum setting up breakout shortThe 60 minute chart of BITFINEX:ETHUSD created a support here around 3150 in the middle of a rising consolidation. Breaking the spike low would break the support, break the lower bounds of the flag pattern, and confirm an Ichimoku cloud breakout. These are three ways using different indications to identify a potential breakout. I dislike when charts get too cluttered but at the cost of having a very busy chart I wanted to demonstrate the methods in a single idea. Choose a method or indicator that makes sense to you as a trader and then study it to mastery.
BITFINEX:ETHUSDShort
by norok
1
PGNY at 50%NASDAQ:PGNY is a stock that I have been in for over a year. It is a rare case where I have a fundamental bias (rather than technical to start) as a friend clued me into it June 2020. The fundamental case for this company is that they offer fertility services and their "moat" is that already have many deals with Fortune 500 companies that offer fertility packages in compensation to workers to delay parenthood in favor of careers. With the research showing that the trend is continuing that women are delaying family in favor of career I believe this company is a strong hold for the coming decade. It is now providing a technical setup with a short term risk defined entry. I have been waiting for such an opportunity after watching the last year's run.
NASDAQ:PGNYLong
by norok
Hedging with short JPMWhen the market reached a (new) All Time High earlier today I wanted to get some short Delta in my positions. I learned my lesson during the 'recent unpleasantness' bottom of 7/19 that being all net long puts one at risk of volatility in a portfolio... even if the positions themselves individually remain strong and profitable. This morning's volatility setup a good short entry on NYSE:JPM that by looking at futures this evening should hedge against tomorrow's potential downside.
NYSE:JPMShort
by norok
1
Hedging with short DVNWhen the market reached a (new) All Time High earlier today I wanted to get some short Delta in my positions. I learned my lesson during the 'recent unpleasantness' bottom of 7/19 that being all net long puts one at risk of volatility in a portfolio... even if the positions themselves individually remain strong and profitable. This morning's volatility setup a good short entry on NYSE:DVN that by looking at futures this evening should hedge against tomorrow's potential downside. Earnings are close so I may need to de-risk next week before.
NYSE:DVNShort
by norok
1
UBER Price Action AnalysisI was looking at a trade today for a member of my social media. NYSE:UBER looks to have stalled at 52.35 which is right at the 50% Retracement of the recent down move. This if following a retracement of the last bull trend which was around the same zone as the IPO first weeks' price action highs. Price could in the short term retrace down to retest the 5/10/21 low but would remain bullish as long as that low holds. Breaking the 6/28/21 high would be a sign of a bullish breakout.
NYSE:UBERShort
by norok
SPY Sentiment Signal BearishEvery day I scan the market for individual stocks within the S&P 500 index AMEX:SPY for short term volatility either bullish or bearish. I have begun compiling these signals into a derivative indicator. This morning's score was a -11. The last time the indicator signaled -11.20 was on 4/16/2021 which preceded a few days of downside in the market. This morning's price action made a slight try to get up and test the All Time High but seems to be failing. The first part of the day's down move has retraced to the 50% Retracement level of the day. It is worth taking a short here to test my signal, play the day's price action, and benefit from an asymmetric reward/risk. A failure to retest the last ATH could have much downside.
AMEX:SPYShort
by norok
5
Autozone Post EarningsNYSE:AZO triggered a spike alert this morning on earnings announcement. Price action is at a support and worth a buy to play back to the top of the range and beyond. As an aside, used car prices have increased dramatically in the last few months due to the shortage of new car inventory coming to market. Some of this is due to material costs and companies like Ford NYSE:F have been reported to be having backlog due to computer chip shortages. These market forces are compounded by inflation.
NYSE:AZOLong
by norok
Vix could have one last spikeThe VIX could have one last spike left in it before it settles down for this secular bull market run. When it settles down it should settle below the '20s but until then a potential catalyst for another spike could be the June 10th CPI release or if a member of the Fed mentions tapering. If numbers come in hotter than expected again, there could be a frantic sell-off accompanied by a spike in the fear index as people worry it is non-transitory. I am still overall bullish on the market since we are in a secular bull market but corrections are normal, healthy, and necessary in order for the market to take the next leg higher. BMO came out with a year-end target on the S&P of 4500. Some projections show that inflation could run hot for 6 months, which would be transitory. As for the damage it could do to the underlying economy, that is unknown. As for equity, stocks are a natural inflation hedge.
TVC:VIX
by EBITDAtiger