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Hedging with short JPMWhen the market reached a (new) All Time High earlier today I wanted to get some short Delta in my positions. I learned my lesson during the 'recent unpleasantness' bottom of 7/19 that being all net long puts one at risk of volatility in a portfolio... even if the positions themselves individually remain strong and profitable. This morning's volatility setup a good short entry on NYSE:JPM that by looking at futures this evening should hedge against tomorrow's potential downside.
NYSE:JPMShort
by norok
1
Hedging with short DVNWhen the market reached a (new) All Time High earlier today I wanted to get some short Delta in my positions. I learned my lesson during the 'recent unpleasantness' bottom of 7/19 that being all net long puts one at risk of volatility in a portfolio... even if the positions themselves individually remain strong and profitable. This morning's volatility setup a good short entry on NYSE:DVN that by looking at futures this evening should hedge against tomorrow's potential downside. Earnings are close so I may need to de-risk next week before.
NYSE:DVNShort
by norok
1
UBER Price Action AnalysisI was looking at a trade today for a member of my social media. NYSE:UBER looks to have stalled at 52.35 which is right at the 50% Retracement of the recent down move. This if following a retracement of the last bull trend which was around the same zone as the IPO first weeks' price action highs. Price could in the short term retrace down to retest the 5/10/21 low but would remain bullish as long as that low holds. Breaking the 6/28/21 high would be a sign of a bullish breakout.
NYSE:UBERShort
by norok
SPY Sentiment Signal BearishEvery day I scan the market for individual stocks within the S&P 500 index AMEX:SPY for short term volatility either bullish or bearish. I have begun compiling these signals into a derivative indicator. This morning's score was a -11. The last time the indicator signaled -11.20 was on 4/16/2021 which preceded a few days of downside in the market. This morning's price action made a slight try to get up and test the All Time High but seems to be failing. The first part of the day's down move has retraced to the 50% Retracement level of the day. It is worth taking a short here to test my signal, play the day's price action, and benefit from an asymmetric reward/risk. A failure to retest the last ATH could have much downside.
AMEX:SPYShort
by norok
5
Autozone Post EarningsNYSE:AZO triggered a spike alert this morning on earnings announcement. Price action is at a support and worth a buy to play back to the top of the range and beyond. As an aside, used car prices have increased dramatically in the last few months due to the shortage of new car inventory coming to market. Some of this is due to material costs and companies like Ford NYSE:F have been reported to be having backlog due to computer chip shortages. These market forces are compounded by inflation.
NYSE:AZOLong
by norok
Vix could have one last spikeThe VIX could have one last spike left in it before it settles down for this secular bull market run. When it settles down it should settle below the '20s but until then a potential catalyst for another spike could be the June 10th CPI release or if a member of the Fed mentions tapering. If numbers come in hotter than expected again, there could be a frantic sell-off accompanied by a spike in the fear index as people worry it is non-transitory. I am still overall bullish on the market since we are in a secular bull market but corrections are normal, healthy, and necessary in order for the market to take the next leg higher. BMO came out with a year-end target on the S&P of 4500. Some projections show that inflation could run hot for 6 months, which would be transitory. As for the damage it could do to the underlying economy, that is unknown. As for equity, stocks are a natural inflation hedge.
TVC:VIX
by EBITDAtiger
BPTH Case StudyI remember seeing this move live in real-time when it happened. It was amazing! Thought of doing a study case of this pattern. The chart is self-explanatory. First, you wait for the first part of the pattern to happen ----> Huge gains + Huge Volume Second, you watch it does the first pullback, and keep an eye on the HIGH. Third, when the stock is making a new high, you enter with momentum, risking to the previous low. The previous low is almost 50% away but it is fine, it is safer this way, being conservative protects you in the long run, putting 1 unit of risk on this trade. Either to take profit on the way up somewhere when the profit seems substantial, or according to the gap theory, or take profit when touching the EMA, or when you see the move is drying up. You can see that the move is drying up when there is no substantial volume on the rallies + the rallies don't follow through. Note to self: I noticed that when there is a downtrend on drying volume, odds that the downtrend will continue ---->>> POTENTIAL SHORT SETUP *** Could possibly look at options if they are profitable or not for this trade.
B
by ZoharCho
1