Split
Apple/ AAPL ConsolidatingApple had a recent 4:1 split. It looks to be absorbing the buying frenzy that took place before the split. (Tesla split on the same day and looks similar but finally had a catalyst that propelled it upward. )
Apple is consolidating. The breakout from this tight trading range would be 121.99. There is overhead resistance around 127 & 138. I would be adding more as it cleared these levels for a long-term position. my current stop 112.35
This is an opinion. Not investment advice.
TSLA current stanceKeep in mind - someone much smarter than me said "Markets can stay irrational longer than we can stay solvent"
Do you own DD - I've already made couple of wrong calls. I won't say this is a "bubble" because I don't know what defines a bubble but what market is doing is trying to price in action or "future price" earning expectation now. Consumers don't know what TSLA could deliver so pricing a lot this in is causing a havoc but every day someone like me ends up doing something which ends up fueling the rally.
BUT market always and I repeat ALWAYS corrects it's course.
Also instead of "dotcom" bubble perhaps we are in EV bubble ? haha
TSLA: The split is here! Now what?Hello traders and investors! So, today is the famous split! But what are the consequences of it?
Well, first and most important, splits don’t change a company’s fundamentals . It is the same old Tesla.
Splits are just a strategy a company uses to increase the liquidity of its stocks and made it more accessible to the public. More than $ 2k on one stock is quite expensive, so, let's split it!
Yes, more people will have access to it, but the speculation will increase as well . In fact, this is one of the reasons why Warren Buffett never did splits on the BRK.A stocks, which are now costing $ 320k! He wanted to keep speculators out of it.
But in the end, there’s no big deal here. You may think that more people will buy it, rising the price of the stock - or you may say that since more people will buy it, the institutions will take opportunity to sell their stocks to the public, book their profits, and it will drop next. It doesn’t matter in the end, anything is possible.
Let’s just stick to the technique, ok?
Tesla is just doing a pullback to the 21 ema in the hourly chart. The trend is still bullish, and nothing changes. This pullback is the reason why the daily chart is so bearish:
This is a Dark Cloud Cover, and if triggered, a sharper pullback might occur. But it could be just the hourly chart resting, so we need to wait for more confirmation.
Again, I’ll say that the most important point right now is the purple line , which is the previous top / resistance. If Tesla closes under this point, then you may just book your profits.
Now, the weekly chart:
There’re no bearish signs around. Triggered what look like a Pennant chart pattern, and the weekly chart don’t tell too much.
I would just rely on the daily chart now for an exit strategy. And if you liked this analysis, please, support it! And follow me for more daily analyses!
Let’s see how Tesla will behave after the split! These are the scenarios for the stock right now, and I hope this idea helped you.
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TSLA; this is where we split?previous price projection on TSLA was spot on (check link below then use the "Load New Bars" tool). it was a bit "scary" that a projection can be *that accurate* :)
what is your split price target?
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i get a feel TSLA will split at the current price range (the green box) - maybe because after runs like this in the past, TSLA took time to consolidate and we see decreasing demand on the V.Viewer (there's bearish diversion with price)
if we split here i will still be happy - this is not a bad place - thing is, a post-split price of $360 to $400 i s still a high price - so maybe we see some re-consolidation after the split happens in September and into October -- so our stops need to be tight or find a way to hedge long positions
best of luck to all!
AAPL: Split target and 2 week projectionwhat's your target price for the split?
this is a very exciting time for position traders watching the upcoming split - especially those of us who participated in past tech-stock splits and how rewarding these were (late 90's anyone? ) -- we also know some fund managers are awaiting the split to happen to start loading up AAPL at the new price.
here'e my target projection for the split and the next 2 weeks - apologies for the clutter on the chart - this is my working "whiteboard" :)
the short version, we look at a split to occur somewhere between $115 to $125, given the current price action, the supply/demand profile, and the projected moves in the next week or so - the green box is ideally where we want to be - if all goes as expected, this whole chart should get automatically scaled (all chart elements divided by 4) when the split happens.
-- i think this is more of an aspiration scenario than a projection :) -- we have a long stock position to hold (long term) for after the split - and a short-term 18Sep440 Calls to take thru the split target to close wk1 September --
let's keep watching
Apple reaching 2 trillion market capThe markets behavior has proven we love to test new highs, and record prices.
Making a calculation, Apple's market cap will reach 2 Trillion dollars around $467. I expect we reach this level to later retreat.
P.S:
Back-data shows the stock-split momentum stocks are best traded from the announcement, up to the actual split.
Downward channel. Long and short opportunities approachingThis trend has been in this channel for a very long time. It seems to be respecting both side lines with reversals or hesitation in the middle. This is a good pair to watch for eventual break as when it breaks it has the potential to move very far. However on previous breaks it has jumps back into the channel or returned to the downtrend. With China becoming weaker and weaker aud has no real reason to break up. Also with the US stock market at all time highs making now parabolic moves higher, it is making many people uneasy and worried about another crash.
BTCUSD Update : Battle of the PatternsOn the Bear Corner, we have a Head & Shoulders (Pink) paired with an Ascending Broadening Wedge (Orange)
vs.
A Inverse H&S (Green) paired with a Falling Wedge (White)
Place your bets everyone!!! Place your bets!!!
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Jokes aside, the market is definite split as fuck, I'm now leaning a bit bearish. I was certainly bullish yesterday but the Daily Doji that closed last night has shifted my perspective A LOT.
If anything, perhaps we come down for a double bottom, or 1 more touch on the falling wedge support before a launch up.... or we just drop sharply and squeeze all the longs out.
>> STAY HEDGED!!!! << Cover your six.
CADCHF-EURCAD negative correlation As you can see, the correlation co-efficiency factor in relation to EURCAD set-up is almost -1. Current conditions show opposite behavior, which could be used as confirmation for the other analysis or an extra set-up. In the second scenario, it's better to split the initial risk percentage, since the positions provide zero diversification.
Bitcoin: Will History Repeat(ETH)?COINBASE:BTCUSD
On August 1st, the Bitcoin community will be deciding on the future of Bitcoin. Since there is a likely chance that a hard-fork will occur, I will attempt to go through what may happen based on what happened to Ethereum when it hard-forked into Ethereum and Ethereum classic. This analysis will be based primarily on fundamentals and what happened historically compared to my heavy technical-analysis on Ripple.
We begin during the period of the hard-fork of ETH and ETC which occurred on July 20th 2016. This is shown by the pink vertical line on the ETHUSD chart. It can be seen that the lead-up (one day before) into the hard-fork and also after the hard-fork did not affect the price of ETHUSD at all, where the up-trend in price continued. This pump in price is what I believe is happening currently to BTCUSD 1-year later (2017) over the past 2 days as seen in the below screenshot.
I would not be surprised that on the actual date of the actual hard-fork for BTC (August 1st) and a few days after, price could pump to 3013.47 (similar to the pump 1 year ago on ETCUSD chart), hitting the top of the ascending triangle where the previous high could not reach. However, on the 26th of July 2016 the price of ETHUSD entered a down-trend. This down-trend seems to have been delayed, where you would think that the down-trend should have began at the date of the hard-fork. However, what is notable on the 26th of July 2016(shown by the purple vertical line on ETHUSD) is that Kraken, a major crypto-currency exchange opened markets for ETC (blog.kraken.com). With these markets open by 27th July 2016 (shown by the orange vertical line on both charts) it explains the down-trend occurrence.
This, however, is not the most interesting observation I came across. From the opening of the ETC markets on Kraken until August 10th (shown by the green vertical line on both charts) price movement between ETHUSD and ETCUSD was almost perfectly negatively correlated (shown by the green curve lines and red trendlines on both charts). This implies that money flow into ETC primarily came from ETH. There would be two reasons why investors/market players would place their money from ETH into the new blockchain:
1. Speculative: As many believe that the new block-chain is better and thus its value will increase
2. Hedging: Risk-averse investors that want stability (maybe to use BTC to purchase goods and services) will place a portion of their funds into the new block-chain such that if case 1 is true, they will not miss out on the exposure (which i think is a good move, given how perfect the negative correlation is a fortnight from Kraken ETC markets opening)
These 2 reasons are also relevant one year later to BTC as it approaches its period of hard-forking. I believe money flow from BTC to BCH(Supposed new ticker if hard-fork occurs) will occur and we will see a decrease in the price of BTC to the base of the ascending triangle pattern around August 17th which by serendipity is about a fortnight from the hard-fork. If this occurs then history will have repeated itself.
We now reach the final part after August 10th 2016, where it can be seen that ETCUSD continues in a constant downtrend until the end of October. In contrast, ETHUSD continues to range by October's end. The market after August 10th can be assumed to be now valuing each of the new crypto-currencies separately and the correlation lowers. Again, looking back to today, I believe after the fortnight from the hard-fork, August 17th on-wards, we will see a proper valuation of the new bitcoin and this is an improved bitcoin thereby making logical sense to have a higher valuation. Hence, the ascending triangle after 17th August will be completed and an upwards breakout will occur.
No emotions TAI know that people are afraid of potencial bitcoin split even tho it's the worst case scenerio. However anxiety is NOT visible at recent chart, it actually looks pretty healthy. Pennant pattern is obvious and assuming that BTC won't split we may see bull run till we reach 3200$ ofc before 'doomsday'.
If some way we gonna see a breakdown, i have another - this time, long term idea. I'm gonna post it in a moment. Keep it simple guys!
Bitcoin bubble burst? (Let's Talk about this)As we know bitcoin price is crash 20% in these day.
People are panic as shit, they sell all bitcoin they have etc.
What i going to say i'ts Calm Down.
Is the first time in history we use currency that no one ever can control it.
The main problem why bitcoin is going so low this day is because there is a ton unconfirmed transaction in bitcoin.
The scaling problem is the main problem right now.
According to this website : blockchain.info
bitcoin only provide 1.93 transaction per second, Is not good really. if we compare this to visa or mastercard they can provide 50000 up to 100000 transaction per second.
There is a ton of idea out there how we can make bitcoin transaction more faster then ever. (segwit)
there is almost 90% agree that bitcoin should have a segwit rather then any idea out there.
website : coin.dance
The deadline date is on august 1st this year.
Some people said if this problem doesn't came out with a solution bitcoin will get a hard fork, and i said yea it will
Imagine what happened in ETH and ETC. that is almost the same technical if we get a hard fork in bitcoin.
Otherwise this is a good good opportunity if bitcoin split, here is the idea
let's say if you have 1 bitcoin right now and the bitcoin split, your coin will be divide in 2 coin and i believe when bitcoin split, Bitcoin price will down. like ETH and ETC market right now. the second coin jump from 1 dollar to 24 dollar per coin, if the 2nd bitcoin will be open price at 10$ i'm pretty sure it will touch 1000$ before it turn's to bubble.
When this split scenario happened there is no way that i don't throw money on it.
But i hope this scenario doesn't happened, i really surprised these guy like Goldman Sachs, Roths Child are predict that bit coin price will be 5,000$ before 2018, Finally people are taking bitcoin seriously, these mean more and more investor will come.
gold man sachs statment : www.coindesk.com
Let's talk about technical analysis side
Try to scale up your chart per month and it's still bullish,
per week it's bearish per day it's a bearish
we have a strong resistance level at 2650$ we try to broke that many time but we fail and feel in to 2500$ level.
End of statement : Stay on The game
1 hr Long Setup - Kbsf - Possible Black Swan Reverse Stock SplitCompany announced a few weeks ago a Reverse stock split moving the share value from $0.18 to $18 in matter of a few days. For the last week it has been testing the .236 level where it has been finding strong support. Currently trading above the 100 ema on the 10 hr chart showing a string of daily doji's. Also a nice wedge, triangle has been forming ever since the original drop from $18 to $8. Also hard to ignore is price was traded at More Than $150 3 Years Ago
All Time High @ $200 +/- Its Nice Looking Hip Trendy Clothing with multiple markets in Asia/Euro/Us
Physical Boutiques & Nice Website w/ Good Collateral ....question is this.... what is the motive behind a company initiating a reverse stock split? future prospects and goals with an eye on the prize? .... or pump and dump penny bs..... whats your take? high risk high reward? Diamond in the ruff or thorn in the side? ...
If It Bounces Of .236 Fib Then 1.618 Fib Target is $27