Spot
CW theory from Michael Alpha. www.youtube.com
Hi there. Please find a video with explanation of theory which I worked on couple of years.
I could be fully wrong, but anyway there is a bit of magic here. I would be glad if you comment video here or in youtube, so we could create something more than just this strategy. And if you could make money - I will be also glad. In this case you could always say thank you to me.
So, please engoy and give your feedback if you have smth to tell.
SPOTIFY - buy support zones analysisHello traders,
Description of the analysis:
Spotify Technology ( SPOT ) support zones ideal for timing long positions (gray). A possible correction could provide a shopping opportunity in interesting volume zones. It is definitely worth following further developments. The thickness of the support zone reflects the importance of this zone.
About me:
Hi, my name is Jacob Kovarik and I´m trading on stock exchange since 2008. I started with a capital of 3000 USD. My first strategy was based on OTM options. (American stock index and their ETF ). I´ve learnt on my path that professional trading is based on two main fundaments which have to complement each other, to make a bussiness attitude profitable. I´ve tried a lot of techniques and many manners how to analyze the market. From basic technical analysis to fundamental analysis of single title. My analytics gradually changed into professional attitude. I work with logical advantages of stock exchange (return of value back to average, volume , expected volatility , advantage of high stop-loss, the breakdown of time in options, statistics and cosistent thorough control of risk). At the moment, my main target is ITM on SPM index. Biggest part of my current bussiness activity comes from e mini futures (NQ, ES). I´m trader of positions. I´m from Czech republic and I take care of a private fund (over $4.000.000 USD). During my career I´ve earned a lot of valuable experience, such as functionality of strategies and what is more important, control of emotions. Professional trading is, in my opinion, certain kind of mental training and if we are able to control our emotions, accomplishment will show up. I will share with you my analysis and trades on my profile. I wish to all of you successul trades.
Jacob
Our Stock of the Day / SPOTToday we have a Swing trade to share; consider that this type of setups can take months until an exact resolution. Here we will give you a full explanation.
Main items we can see on the chart:
a) The price was inside a Huge range that has been broken; a good way to understand the target of the broken range is to extend the size of it towards the broken side
b) We can see that the price reached that extension, and after that, a corrective structure was formed
c) The current corrective structure is an ABC pattern with great proportions with the previous impulse. Based on that, we consider that the structure is completed
d) Now we want to trade the breakout of the ABC or ZIG-ZAG pattern
e) We have our Entry orders above B and our Stop below C. We are using Fibo Extensions to define our Take Profit (1.618 level ) and Break-Even (1.272 level)
f) IF the setup is executed, we expect a resolution between 100 and 150 days
g) We will take the risk of 1% of our Capital on this setup
h) We will cancel the setup IF the price makes a new low below C
i) Remember: Trade Safe, protect your Capital, and always understand what you are doing!
Spot Silver : Very long term BullishSpot Silver just upending earlier chart published few minutes back with Cup pattern which is indicating probable time frame to reach another level of all time high
Spot Silver Weekly Chart: Very Long term BullishSpot Silver , current price $23.72. comparison with 2011 trend when at all time high and where we are heading in long terms , direction for long term is clear , we are in super bull market , wherein we should keep buying silver on any major retracment or I may say buy on dips to see we reaching first all time high of $49.81. and then probably seeing all time high of $55. the time horizon for this should be from here to next 3-5 years.The above study is for educational purposes and should not be considered as Financial Advice
Spot Gold XAUUSD Weekly chart : BearishSpot Gold XAUUSD, current price $1,861, this view is for medium term and not day trading ,bearish engulfing candle, crucial support lies at $1824 ( 61.8% retractment), if broken will see downward slide towards $1,688. There is lot of similarity to the pattern in 2012 when it created top and retracted back more then 38.2%, similar pattern is coming with downward slopping RSI and hence we may see more retractment. From the retracted level we may see price continuing long term uptrend and may move higher and see price testing recent highs of $2,075
the above view is for study purpose and should not be considered financial advice.
Massive Bullrun Into Earnings | Moving In Divergence $SPOTIt's time to unload on longterm shares. No one is paying attention to Spotify SPOT . Media outlets and even us traders have both been rather silent on Spotify and it's movement.
~
This stock currently sits above what has proven to be a temp support @ $230 . We have a monthly support @ $227
Watching the orange downtrend as previous resistance, we just saw a confirmation of this breakout today.
Possible long on a break of downtrend with next resistance @ $242.
Upside targets: $242, $265, $284.
Possible Short Entry: $220
DotcomJack | Thanks for the support!
Bless up traders
SPOT has been on a tear in 2020.. but will it continue?Diving into SPOT, if you've been in this stock this year you've probably been pretty happy with the performance. With a number of big product releases and the effects of JOE ROGAN and MICHELLE OBAMA signing exclusive deals to drive subscribers, the stock pumped so fast from around $180 to nearly $300, that if you blinked you probably missed it.
Well, what now? Do you buy at these levels, do you wait? Whats this company really worth?
Obviously SPOT has a lot of competition. With AAPL launching their new subscription service packages that basically will force me to have Apple Music, and AMZN launching podcasting on their music service, how many music services does one person need?
I still love my SPOT subscription more than any other service option out there. That's what keeps me believing in this stock. I don't want to ever give up my Spotify, and I bet most others don't either. I'm willing to put my money where my mouth is.
Remember NFLX just 5 years ago? That might be where SPOT is today. It's worth considering.
Now let's look at the chart. I've drawn an Elliot Wave pattern in there, and what a correction might look like. We are definitely in a correction pattern right now. My intuition and my bet is that we are in the 2nd wave of a much larger cycle. What excites me about that is the 3rd wave tends to be the largest move. That would mean if you want to play a longer term trade like me, you want to buy in anywhere in the $182-$227 range. I would recommend your sweet spot to be above $200, even around $210-220 depending on your tolerance for missing a buy opportunity.
This stock has a lot of love, and psychological supports are a thing. That's why I find it unlikely we'll see this stock below $200 again unfortunately, and if we do then we need to double check our fundamental analysis and if nothing has changed we will go in with both hands.
Now the real exciting part of that trade, should you get in around these levels and lower, is the longer term target is close to $400. Should SPOT continue to diversify their service offering and have that "sticky" product effect where it's just something we all need to have, this isn't farfetched, and is a likely story to happen in the next 1 year.
Meanwhile, for the shorter term trades, volatility in this stock can be good, and therefore if we are in a 2nd wave correction, then this is a great time to both be getting a position, but also trading within the correction to make that position as cheap as possible for your 3rd wave run.
If this does manifest, and one plays it correctly, by the time you reach my longer term target you should be able to sell a portion of your stack and hold a free and sizable position in this household name.
Disclaimer: I am not a professional, nor do I claim to know what I am doing. I chart for my own education and revealing potential trade setups. I am always open to constructive feedback and resources that you can recommend to "up" my game. Thank you!
SPOT Analysis SPOT Long
Ideal Entry Level: 228.27
Price Target: 258.87
Stop Loss: 226.69
Contract: 10/16 270 calls (1.2k volume Today)
Risky Contract: 9/25 240 calls
SPOTIFY - Still King Of Music StreamingMissed out on this one earlier this year as would've loved to have gotten in once it broke that $160 level but had funds tied in other positions. Nonetheless, we're always watching and it looks like we may get another chance at a descent move in $SPOT. Remember, Spotify is like thr Netflix of streaming music. There's plenty of streaming music services but Spotify is still king. $SPOT leads the music streaming industry with over 138 million paying subscribers and 170 million people using its free advertising-supported service feature in over 90 countries. That is a colossal amount of reach. For comparison, Apple Music is estimated to have around 82 million subscribers.
The amount of active listeners dropped over the summer due to Covid19 related factors. Gyms closed, people working from home and didn't listen in their cars, less traffic so less listening time, etc. Musicians have even delayed albums since they can't perform at concerts just yet. Stock has still shot up since March like the rest of tech, and we could be seeing a drop soon if it follows the sector.
TA:
We would love an entry around the $175-$195 region if it gets to there. Looking to see if support would hold around the $225 Fib Retracement line or not. We're also eyeing the 200 day MA in white for possible support as well. Since we love Spotify even as a long term hold, we're not going to try and predict a bottom but looking for support at the levels and dollar cost average our way in.
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. I am an amateur investor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, or stock picks, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on here, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Feel free to give us a follow and shoot us a like for more analysis updates.
Gold Spot ( Hourly Chart): Short term View - Mild Bearish.Spot Gold hourly chart depicting mild bearish MACD cross over ;RSI at 43 ;immediate support at $1,936, if taken out then we will see it move towards $1924 and then $1,910 unless we see a MACD crossover changing the direction, keep your stop at $1,955
ADA/BTC 2D (Binance Spot) Parabolic curve on supportCardano is looking very promising for mid-term and bull trend should resume soon.
Also, 100EMA seems to be holding the price, as long as we are above it we should keep up.
You can operate it on Spot or Margin with low leverage (up to 5x).
Current Price= 0.00001030
Buy Entry= 0.00001040 - 0.00000966
Take Profit= 0.00001248 | 0.00001443| 0.00001782
Stop Loss= 0.00000807
Risk/Reward= 1:1.25 | 1:2.24 | 1:3.97
Expected Profit= +24.43% | +43.87% | +77.67%
Possible Loss= -19.54%
Fib. Retracement= 0.5 | 0.786 | 1.272
Margin Leverage= 1x | 3x | 5x
Estimated Gain-time= 2160h
$SPOT Trend ContinuationI am always hesitant to post on things I am in love with -AMZN MSFT NVDA AMD CRWD OKTA, etc; I have really nothing to offer but bullishness! Only when a setup on these is strong enough do I actually post (AMD for example, didn't post AMZN - seems like everyone on TV was already). Generally I am always in a rush to share something that I don't have a bias on as I will provide a more neutral view; likewise, I love to post short positions on stocks I love as it works as an effective hedge & goes against my bias which I see as healthy (AAPL TSLA posts for example).
$SPOT is one of my rare long-but-I-dont-like-the-company posts. In other words, I don't like SPOT - I don't use it, and previously I HATED their business model. Previously, that is. The music business is not as profitable as they would like it to be, and so they diversify to podcasts. This I like. The difference here is that with podcasts they are licensing the IP with direct deals to podcasters. This is somewhat akin to $SPOT's strategy in music that really didn't work (IMO). Their strategy was to provide a ML music discovery platform so that individual artists can scale up on their platform (rather than the big labels so they can cut the middle man out). This didn't work however - for whatever reason they can't get away from licensing the big artists from the big labels that want big $$ for those rights.
Compare this now to signing Joe Rogan & Michelle Obama to $NFLX style deals; yes, I am saying that $SPOT has changed their business model away from attempting some kind of grassroots move away from music labels to PUMPING capital into podcasts with a $NFLX "license-the-content-to-get-the-users" style. Take out debt for free, spend the cash on acquiring valuable IP, and milk that IP with customer acquisition and ad sales over the life of it. It works.
Ok - so none of this is technical and thus really not actionable for me. Perhaps some fun info for those to disagree with me on - I love a good disagreement! The technicals, however, look fantastic here. You have a rounding bottom pullback, daily squeeze momentum turning up & entering a strong squeeze, and strong channel support. I am looking to go long $SPOT and would love to add more if I can get a dip below $260. I managed to enter this over the week and believe this pattern will complete over the month and bring $SPOT back above $300.
Here's a view of the 30min - lines are clearer:
SPOT MACD Crossover$SPOT is at an incredibility strong resistance point. MACD is just now crossing over. Looking like a strong swing.
$SPOT Spotify Possible Weekly Bull Flag$SPOT Spotify Possible Weekly Bull Flag
Long-legged doji reversal candle last week. This week currently green.
Will be monitoring for a weekly close above ~$262 area for confirmation of bull flag breakout.
Medium term target: $340-$360 range possible by late Oct
Note: Not investment advice.
SPOT Descending Wedge BreakoutSpotify is breaking out of a descending wedge today. The stock price is also showing good relative strength on a weak day in the market for most growth names. Low risk setup with a stop at the low ~$246 (3.5%).
