Spot
XAU/USD Still HOLD for me!XAU/USD still didn't show a clear path, but I would suggest on the Medium-term to accelerate back to 1300s! But for me now I will wait and watch because there might be a bit of room to the downside to go to drop till 1242 and then hike back in case no breakout confirmed! (That's way I will be extra cautious)
I can $SPOT a good R:R when I see oneSpotify... the newest streaming music service to hit the NYSE via a nontraditional IPO
I have no fundamental analysis on this besides that they have a student subscription program that will 'hook' the next generation and a partnership with Hulu to incentivize membership gains.
Looks like we have made a clean break of a wedge here; can we test the 1.618 extension?
Limit your risk accordingly, I have this as an ~ 3:1 R:R or potential to gain 3 dollars for every 1 dollar risked.
GL HF
xoxo
snoop
SPOTIFY IPO; Ready for for a 30% gain after it's opening week ??Not a fan of stocks, but love watching IPO's:
NYSE:SPOT just released this week; here's my take on the chart after it's first week of trading...
Price action has now put our first bottom in place, where I'd expect 134 to be the HARD floor price before any further declines.
However, the range (green shaded zone) from the past 2 days, 'IMO', is the catalyst for a breakout, ideally in the upper direction. There is the option for a breakout below of course, and a bottom retest, but it is my opinion this does not occur.
It's first stop? It's 'ATH' on opening day (169), where naturally would anticipate a reaction/stall/retrace, and further continuation up to the next level (175), where I'd again see a stall, ?retrace?, before finally making its way to the 188 price level (green hash-line). Time frame for this is not relevant, but with the current markets volatility increasing, and this still a new issue, might happen sooner than later.
It is here where depending on how price action moves at this level, I would determine if it makes it's way towards 200 or we see declines back towards the original breakout zone (green shaded area).
Will update as price hits any of these levels, above or below. Excited to watch it play out. Let me know your thoughts or if anyone is buying :)
(full disclosure: I do not own this stock at time of analysis, nor do I intend on purchasing at any time; consider for education only)
** These are based off current support resistance, supply and demand, and measured/forecasted moves.
Spotify(SPOT) inside day after IPOSPOT and DBX are 2 IPOs that the market put the most focus on this year.
DBX got an inside week to trade, and SPOT got this inside day.
Momentum trade is one of the most effective way to trade IPO stocks, we often traded the 1st inside bar after the IPO (Usually first inside 5 /inside 15)
If it's shortable,
the first inside 15 on the IPO day was OUTSTANDING!
So now there is the first inside day after IPO, and given that it's probably hard to borrow for most of traders, I only looking forward to trading the breakout!
If it broke 144.5 before the inside day breakout out, this trade doesn't exist anymore!
XAUUSD - buy opportunityGOLD is in the main balance with the range 1307-1362. Last week we saw a false break down of this balance. That often indicates about the movement to the other side of balance. For now you can use 2 strategies:
1. Put buy-stop with the expectation of break out 1325 (aggressive).
2. Wait for a correction wave to the balance level 1307 (conservative).
Stop-loss should be below the false break down, so the second option is more preferable. Also, second option have a much better risk/reward ratio.
Target1: 1356
Target2: 1362
EURUSD: Short Going well. Good spot to increase positions hereEURUSD
This swing trade on the short side from 1.1893 kiss on the parallel is going well, so far. A neat pattern here, with a head
and shoulders at the very top with an exact 200 pip downside target at 1.169 (met) and then a much larger, and more
threatening head and shoulders forming over the following weeks with a downside of 420 pips from the neckline
down to 1.124 minimum target, though this will take time to play out to consclusion. Right now EUR is testing old support, new
resistance at 1,158 and should reverse lower from here again (good spot to increase shorts) and ride it further down (stops for
new shorts need placing just above 1.1590). It should come back to the lower parallel quite soon and then make a good
bounce before failing again. More as move develops.
WTI Spot:USOIL Pushing up against resistance: buy pull-backWTI Spot: USOIL Pushing against near-term resistance and needs more Dollar weakness to move up further from here: should come back some from here to give another buying opportunity as per comment. If trading this PLEASE watch DXY chart. The will move in near perfect opposite direction in the near term and DXY is pulling WTI, not the other way round...and the dollar looks like it has further to fall
GBPJPY H4: H4 supply zone shorting opportunityTop-down analysis
Monthly: The price is getting selling pressure at around the monthly resistance area
Daily: there is a daily demand zone just below but we have a room to arrive there
H4: and it just created a H4 supply zone.
TP1: 1:1 Just before h4 candle tail
TP2: just before daily demand zone
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USDTRY Analysis
Turkish Lira aginst US Dollar has been running between the monthly demand zone (2.7974-2.5604) and monthly resistance area. As i expected, we had 2 nice reactions both from demand and resistance zones.
Soon after consuming either of the monthly areas, we may see an abrupt and impulsive move whichever zone breaks first, probable outcome being upwards.
Currently, Price just created a new daily supply zone above (3.0119-2.97204) and boucing out of the support zone (2.93236-2.89569). We may see some selling pressure coming around daily supply zone and we may have a small consolidation between those areas.
Under these circumstances, we can practice 2 scenarios;
1- Black: We can confirm our entries on lower timeframes and look for selling opportunities inside of the daily supply zone if emerges .
2- Red On the other hand, if daily supply zone got broken upwards, we would again be willing sellers since we will end up being in the monthly resistance area.
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