US Spot Bitcoin ETFs Reverse Inflow StreakMarket Update - October 25, 2024
US spot bitcoin ETFs saw $79 million in net outflows Tuesday, reversing a seven-day inflow streak that had brought in over $2.6 billion: The outflows came mainly from Ark and 21Shares' ARKB fund.
Bitcoin prices inched closer to $70,000 at the start of the week when futures open interest surged to over $40 billion: But prices subsequently pulled back mid-week as investors pared their gains.
Tether’s USDT has hit a record $120 billion market cap, which could set the stage for a bullish October finish in the crypto market: Historical trends suggest that a rise in stablecoin supply can precede rallies in bitcoin and ethereum.
Bitcoin's hashrate has reached a new peak of 703 EH/s, a 6% gain over the past week: This surge coincides with higher mining profitability as transaction fees rise and Bitcoin's price strengthens.
Binance exec leaves prison: Binance’s Tigran Gambaryan was released from Nigerian prison Wednesday so he can receive medical treatment for the numerous ailments he suffered while in captivity.
US Spot Bitcoin ETFs Record $79 Million in Outflows, Ending Seven-Day Inflow Streak
After a week-long run of positive net inflows, US spot bitcoin ETFs reported a shift back to the negative on Tuesday, with net outflows totaling $79.09 million. It was ARKB fund from Ark and 21Shares was responsible for the entirety of these outflows, losing nearly $135 million. Despite the overall outflows, some funds still recorded gains. BlackRock’s IBIT, the largest spot bitcoin ETF by net assets, attracted just under $43 million, while Fidelity’s FBTC saw $8.85 million in inflows.
The recent outflows bring the cumulative net inflows for the 12 spot bitcoin ETFs down to $21.15 billion as of Tuesday. Trading activity also slowed, with the total daily volume for these ETFs declining to $1.4 billion from $1.76 billion the day before. This reversal comes after the ETFs saw more than $2.67 billion in net inflows over the past seven trading days, a figure similar to their peak inflow levels recorded in March this year.
Spot ether ETFs saw more positive activity, with net inflows of $11.94 million on Tuesday – all from BlackRock’s ETHA. Other ether ETFs recorded no change. Trading volume for ether ETFs also noticeably dropped to roughly $118 million on Tuesday, down from around $163 million the previous day.
🕸️ Topic of the Week: Web 3.0: The Next Evolution of the Internet
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Spotetf
Bitcoin Surges after Donald Trump Assassination AttemptMarket Update - July 19, 2024
Bitcoin Rallied Amid Renewed Volatility Linked to Trump's Election Prospects
Mt. Gox Moves SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:9B in Bitcoin Ahead of Creditor Repayments
Investors Hedge Positions as US Spot ETH ETFs Near Launch
Coinbase Shifts Strategy for Gary Gensler Subpoena
Hong Kong to Release Stablecoin Consultation Results
Bitcoin Rallied Amid Renewed Volatility Linked to Trump's Election Prospects
Following an attempt on the life of Donald Trump on Saturday, crypto assets linked to the US Republican candidate’s chances of winning the November 4 election experienced increased volatility. Bitcoin surged by around 7% as the candidate's probability of winning rose to 70% on popular prediction market Polymarket.
After the event, Bitcoin broke above the crucial 200-day simple moving average (SMA), indicating a positive long-term trend. Additionally, Trump-themed Polifi tokens also surged on news of the attack. Recently, Trump has embraced crypto and been pictured with various high-profile figures, seeking a comparatively friendlier regulatory environment than the one President Biden has overseen. Consequently, some have viewed Bitcoin and the broader crypto market as bets on Trump's victory.
Trump’s selection of JD Vance as his vice presidential candidate was also seen as a positive choice for crypto. A former venture capitalist, the Ohio Republican has been supportive of the crypto industry and criticized the SEC for what he perceives to be regulatory overreach. Last year, Vance, along with other Republican lawmakers, sent a letter to SEC Chair Gary Gensler expressing concerns about its lawsuit against crypto company DEBT Box. Vance is also believed to personally hold more than $100k worth of bitcoin.
⛏️ Topic of the Week: How to Mine Crypto
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Bitcoin has reached the Top by mid-March. What is Next!?The United States spot Bitcoin BTC exchange-traded funds (ETFs) recently achieved a new milestone after attracting more than $1 billion in net inflows for the first time on March 12.
Investments into spot Bitcoin ETFs continue to soar as daily inflows breached $11.1 billion over the last 13 days. On March 12, Bitcoin ETFs saw their biggest-ever daily inflow of $1.045 billion, chiefly contributed to by BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin ETF (IBIT).
Too many excited ppl, isn't it?!
Technical graph indicates on 2-years long upside channel, where near 73K per BTC is the Top, and near 55K is the middle.
Technically, BTC can retrace to mentioned above level.
Spot Bitcoin ETFs Rebound Ahead of Spot Ether ETF Launch
Crypto prices declined up to 7.5% to kick off week: The dip came as investors registered $150 million in liquidations, and the German government began unloading bitcoin it seized from a piracy site in 2013.
Defunct bitcoin exchange Mt. Gox will start distributing repayments in bitcoin and bitcoin cash in July: The upcoming move marks significant progress in compensating creditors following its 2014 collapse.
Tether ceased USDT minting on EOS and Algorand but will continue redemptions for the next 12 months: The company said it was reallocating resources to enhance security and efficiency on other blockchains.
US spot bitcoin ETFs received FWB:31M in net inflows Tuesday after seven straight days of outflows: Meanwhile, the launch of spot ethereum ETFs could come as soon as next week, with one analyst expecting up to $15 billion in inflows over the next 18 months.
A MakerDAO governance delegate fell victim to a phishing scam, losing $11M in tokens: The scam was the latest example of phishing in the crypto sector.
Major Coins Plunge at Start of Week Amid Large Liquidations and Market Movements
Cryptocurrency markets faced a sharp downturn on Monday, with major tokens experiencing declines up to 7.5%. The price of bitcoin dropped below $60,000, after investors liquidated over $150 million over the weekend.
Bitcoin dropped 3%, while ethereum, Cardano’s ADA, and BNB Chain’s BNG experienced comparable tumbles. Solana also took a big hit, plunging 7%. As a result of the declines, long positions, which bet on bitcoin to go higher, registered $150 million in liquidations. Spot bitcoin ETFs also saw outflows of nearly $175 million Monday as investors digested the news of bitcoin’s price dip.
The latest pullback in crypto prices comes as bitcoin miners face continuous selling pressure after their rewards were cut by 50% in the latest halving event. Additionally, the German government last week began selling bitcoin it seized from a piracy site 11 years ago, with plans to unload tens of millions of bitcoin (about 50,000 bitcoin) to various exchanges. The strength of the dollar index has also reportedly put pressure on the price of bitcoin.
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SEC Approves first Spot ETH ETFs
SEC approves spot ETH ETFs: After months of speculation, the SEC formally approved the first spot ether ETFs on Thursday. The development sets the stage for institutional investors to pour billions into the space.
Grayscale CEO departs: Grayscale CEO Michael Sonnenshein announced Monday he was leaving his role after three years running the crypto investment giant. A Goldman Sachs veteran is expected to take his place in August.
White House opposes crypto legislation: The White House announced Wednesday its opposition to FIT21, a bill that would give the Commodities and Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) power to regulate the crypto market. But the White House doesn't plan to veto.
Gala Games experiences a major issue: It led to the minting of 5 billion tokens worth $206M and caused a nearly 15% drop in the GALA token price.
Major banks reveal significant Bitcoin Trust Holdings in Q1: Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan, Wells Fargo, and UBS have shown a growing interest in digital assets within wealth management.
Venezuelan government will disconnect crypto mining farms from the national grid: They made the move to stabilize the electrical supply after enduring routine blackouts for the past five years.
🧑💻 Topic of the Week: What is a Crypto Exchange
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Bitcoin ETFs now available on TV. Easy Money As Never Before 😅Bitcoin ETFs now available on TradingView
NASDAQ:IBIT - iShares Bitcoin
AMEX:BITB - Bitwise Bitcoin
AMEX:DEFI - Tidal Bitcoin
AMEX:ARKB - ARK Bitcoin
AMEX:GBTC - Grayscale Bitcoin
AMEX:FBTC - Fidelity Bitcoin
AMEX:BTCW - WisdomTree Bitcoin
AMEX:BTCO - Invesco Bitcoin
NASDAQ:BRRR - Valkyrie Bitcoin
AMEX:HODL - VanEck Bitcoin
AMEX:EZBC - Franklin Bitcoin
SEC officially approves BTC Spot ETFs
Tip #1: use TV search box to filter, find, and sort all Bitcoin funds, just like the attached screenshot.
Tip #2: use TV search box to filter, find, and sort all Bitcoin futures, just like the attached screenshot.
Tip #3: Long 1st, Short 2nd
Tip #4: Enjoy the Money 🤣🤣🤣
Google's Game-Changing Move: Bitcoin ETF Ads to Flood ScreensIn a groundbreaking development, Google is set to revolutionize the cryptocurrency advertising landscape by allowing Bitcoin ETF-related ads to hit screens from January 29, 2024. This move comes after Google's recent amendment to its advertisement policy in December 2023, aimed at providing clearer guidelines for promoting cryptocurrency Coin Trusts.
The initial wave of Bitcoin ETF ads will be exclusive to the United States, but the tech giant's global reach is expected to propel these advertisements to every corner of the world in the coming months.
Google's advertising policies underscore the importance of adhering to local regulations when targeting specific regions. This ensures that advertisers meet the necessary criteria and standards, promoting responsible promotion within the cryptocurrency space.
The sheer reach of Google Ads is a game-changer for Bitcoin ETFs. With a global audience of 90%, extending to several billion people through Google websites and Play Store apps, these advertisements are poised to create widespread awareness. The top spot ads boast an impressive average click-through rate of 7.94%, highlighting the potential impact of Bitcoin ETF ads on the general public.
Ad groups on Google Ads allow for precise targeting based on demographics, habits, interests, ongoing research, and past interactions. This strategic approach enhances campaign effectiveness by reaching specific audience segments through apps, videos, and websites.
This move is expected to elevate the general awareness of Spot ETFs, reaching beyond the traditional audience of day traders and long-term investors. As a result, Bitcoin ETFs are likely to become a household name, capturing the attention of a diverse and widespread audience.
The article also touches upon the current state of the Bitcoin ETF market, providing insights into trading volumes and recent market dynamics. While the debut of Bitcoin ETFs saw a massive $4 billion in trading volumes, recent fluctuations and outflows have kept the market in a state of anticipation. Notably, BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF stands out with $260.60 million in net inflow, contributing to a total AUM of $1.6 billion.
In tandem with these developments, renowned media personality Jim Cramer is advising Bitcoin holders to consider strategic moves as the cryptocurrency's price undergoes a recovery phase. Cramer's insights add an additional layer of analysis to the broader narrative, creating a comprehensive overview of the evolving landscape for both $Bitcoin and Bitcoin ETFs.
Ethereum's Price Surge and the Path Ahead
Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) has emerged as a resilient force, defying broader market trends with a nearly 2% gain in the past 24 hours. The surge in Ether's price, currently hovering around $2,651, is notable against the backdrop of sharp pullbacks experienced by major tokens, including Bitcoin. This positive momentum comes on the heels of the Securities and Exchange Commission's (SEC) recent approval of multiple spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), signaling potential optimism for Ethereum's future.
Ether's Impressive Rally:
Since the SEC's approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs, Ethereum has rallied above the $2,600 mark, capturing the attention of market participants. This price surge has propelled the supply of Ether in profit to a multi-year high, currently standing at an impressive 89.4%, a level not seen since 2021. While this statistic may evoke optimism, on-chain analysis suggests potential short-term price correction risks that could impact the second-largest digital asset by market cap.
Short-Term Correction Risks:
Despite the bullish sentiment, concerns arise as The Block's Data Dashboard highlights the elevated circulating supply of Ether in profit. The question looms: Could this heightened supply encourage traders to take profits, triggering a short-term correction in the digital asset's price? Analysts warn of a cautious approach, emphasizing the need to monitor market dynamics closely.
The SEC Effect and Speculation:
The recent SEC approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs has fueled speculation regarding a potential spot Ether ETF in the near future. André Dragosch, Head of Research at CRYPTOCAP:ETC Group, points to this development as a bullish catalyst for Ethereum. The prospect of an Ether ETF could attract institutional interest and further legitimize the digital asset, potentially paving the way for sustained upward momentum.
Stabilizing Factors and Long-Term Outlook:
Despite the short-term correction risks, Dragosch contends that the current high in Ether's circulating supply in profit could act as a stabilizing factor for the token. The reduced incentive to sell among longer-term holders may counterbalance potential profit-taking by weaker hands. This stabilization, in turn, could provide support for Ethereum's ongoing bull market, presenting a nuanced picture for investors to consider.
Conclusion:
As Ethereum continues to navigate the dynamic cryptocurrency landscape, its recent price surge and the accompanying supply dynamics present a complex but intriguing scenario. The SEC's actions and the potential for an Ether ETF add layers to the narrative, shaping Ethereum's future trajectory. While short-term correction risks exist, the stabilizing factors suggest resilience in the market. Investors and enthusiasts alike must stay vigilant, recognizing both the challenges and opportunities inherent in Ethereum's evolving journey.
Bitcoin Spot ETF Approval In SightBitcoin Spot ETF Approval In Sight As SEC Advances Talks With Asset Managers.
SEC's advanced talks signal potential Bitcoin Spot ETF approval, paving the way for investor engagement in the tightly regulated market.
In a significant development, talks between U.S. regulators and major asset managers regarding Bitcoin Spot ETF have progressed to crucial technical details. This signals a potential shift in the Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) stance toward approving exchange-traded funds (ETFs) tracking the BTC price.
Meanwhile, 13 firms including Grayscale, BlackRock, Invesco, and ARK Investments, with pending applications, are at the forefront of these discussions.
Bitcoin Spot ETF Discussions Progress As SEC Engages In Advanced Talks
The SEC, historically cautious about approving cryptocurrency-related products, is now delving into intricate aspects like custody arrangements, creation and redemption mechanisms, and investor risk disclosures, Reuters reported citing industry executives.
Meanwhile, this shift follows a court ruling stating the SEC’s error in rejecting Grayscale’s ETF application, prompting the SEC to engage more substantively with ETF issuers.
Investors eyeing regulated avenues to invest in Bitcoin see ETFs as an optimal solution. A Bitcoin Spot ETF approval would open the gates for wary investors to access the cryptocurrency through the tightly regulated stock market, with an anticipated demand of up to $3 billion in the initial days.
Meanwhile, executives from major firms, including BlackRock, Grayscale, Invesco, and 21 Shares, working with ARK, have been meeting with SEC staff since September. According to the report, recent discussions, previously focused on Bitcoin’s susceptibility to manipulation, now encompass nuanced technicalities.
In addition, memos reveal an acceleration in the SEC’s information requests and meetings even at the office of SEC Chair Gary Gensler. Notably, the recent bullish trend in Bitcoin prices aligns with the positive trajectory of these discussions.
Meanwhile, the SEC must make a conclusive decision on ARK’s filing by January 10, given its priority status. According to the industry executives, the in-depth nature of these discussions suggests a potential approval of ARK’s application and possibly several others among the remaining 12 in the coming New Year.
Challenges And Future Prospects
While optimism surrounds these developments, the SEC remains tight-lipped about potential approvals. Key concerns, such as the settlement mechanism of whether cash or “in-kind”, still pose challenges. In addition, SEC Chair Gary Gensler, a crypto skeptic, has not provided a timeline for decision-making but acknowledged the agency’s consideration of Bitcoin ETF filings.
However, some see the Grayscale ruling as limiting grounds for rejections, adding to the momentum. Notably, issuers, confident in addressing market manipulation concerns through surveillance arrangements with exchanges like Coinbase, await a potential breakthrough.
Meanwhile, the evolving dynamics between the SEC and ETF issuers suggest a paradigm shift in the regulatory landscape, opening new avenues for investors to engage with Bitcoin.
Market Update - November 22, 2023
Bitcoin and crypto markets react to the Binance settlement: Bitcoin (BTC) prices and the wider crypto market saw a sudden drop on Tuesday morning after news broke that the DOJ was set to announce crypto enforcement action at a 3pm ET press conference. Following reports of the Binance settlement, BTC broke below the $37k level to as low as ~$35.8k later Tuesday evening. As of Wednesday morning, BTC is hovering in the mid FWB:36K range.
Binance will pay $4.3 billion and Changpeng Zhao steps down as CEO: On Tuesday, in a tectonic move for the world’s largest crypto exchange, Binance agreed to a $4.3 billion fine to resolve federal criminal charges in the US. Now-former CEO Changpeng Zhao “CZ”, also agreed to step down and pay a $50 million fine. Richard Teng is the new CEO of Binance. In a press conference, attended by top federal regulators including Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and CFTC chairman Rostin Behnam, US Attorney General Merrick Garland outlined the charges against Binance and settlement terms. The charges included sanctions violations, running an unlicensed money transmitter business, and failing to maintain an adequate anti-money laundering (AML) program.
Coindesk sold to crypto exchange Bullish: Coindesk, a leading crypto news site that first reported on the FTX balance sheet shortfall, was purchased by crypto exchange Bullish for an undisclosed all-cash amount. Coindesk was previously owned by crypto company Digital Currency Group (DCG).
SEC sues Kraken for running unregistered securities exchange: On Monday, the Securities and Exchange Committee (SEC) sued crypto exchange Kraken, alleging that it operated as an unregistered securities exchange and created a “significant risk” by commingling customer crypto deposits with its own corporate assets.
Tether freezes $225 million in coordination with DOJ: Also on Monday, it was announced that Tether, the issuer of the largest stablecoin, USDT, had frozen $225 million of USDT following a DOJ investigation into an international human trafficking ring based out of Southeast Asia.
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Market Update - October 27th
Bitcoin hits $35k amid more encouraging ETF news: BTC soared from ~$30k USD to ~$35k earlier in the week, before settling around $34k USD by Friday. Spurring the price action, news began circulating on Monday that BlackRock’s spot bitcoin ETF, with the ticker IBTC, was listed with the DTCC, leading to speculation that the ETF was nearing approval.
Bitcoin open interest on CME hits all-time highs: Open interest for bitcoin derivatives on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) hit 100,000 BTC (~$3.4 billion USD). The trend may reflect growing interest in bitcoin from institutional investors as the conversation around a coming spot bitcoin ETF continues to heat up.
SEC directed to review Grayscale’s spot bitcoin ETF application: A US federal court issued a mandate directing the SEC to review Grayscale's application for a spot bitcoin ETF. Grayscale submitted a registration statement to the SEC on October 19, stating its intention to list shares of its spot bitcoin ETF on the New York Stock Exchange Arca under the ticker GBTC.
Q3 GDP beats estimates, and treasury yields continue to rise: Third-quarter US GDP showed robust growth of 4.9% on an annual basis, surpassing estimates of 4.7%. Treasury yields continued to rise, putting additional pressure on equities. Yields on the 10-year treasury surpassed 5% on Monday, hitting its highest level in over a decade, but has since dipped to the 4.8% range.
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Arthur Hayes Says BTC Is Rallying Over US Military SpendingKnown for his constructive criticism towards BTC, The Former Bitmex Founder Arthur Hayes Says BTC Is Rallying Over US Military Spending, Not ETF Hype.
Arthur Hayes, the co-founder of the BitMEX derivatives exchange, published an essay attributing the crypto market rally to the costs associated with hawkish U.S. foreign policy and not spot Bitcoin ETF anticipation.
In an Oct. 24 essay titled The Periphery, Hayes attributed U.S. president Joe Biden’s open-ended commitment to supporting Israel’s war effort against Hamas to the recent surge in the crypto markets.
“Added to Ukraine’s tab, America’s military budget is set to truly explode,” Hayes said. “This will increase future government borrowing, and the sky's the limit when it comes to the sums of capital a war can waste.”
Hayes said institutional investors already moved to sell off bonds and treasury bills in preparation for expanded U.S. military expenditure and will be seeking returns from new asset classes.
“If long-term U.S. Treasury bonds offer no safety for investors, then their money will seek out alternatives,” Hayes said. “Gold, and most importantly, Bitcoin, will begin rising on true fears of global wartime inflation.”
Hayes’ comments come after BTC surged 19.5% in seven days, with many pundits attributing the move to progress on BlackRock’s application for an exchange-traded fund (ETF) investing spot in Bitcoin. The combined capitalization of digital assets is up 12.6% over the same period.
Hayes noted that gold has been rallying since the conflict broke out in Gaza. Gold is up 8.6% since Oct. 4, last changing hands for $1,975 per ounce, according to Market Index.
BTC Prices To Watch Coming MonthsMajor events
There are two major events that will happen the coming months:
1. The merge of Ethereum from proof of work to proof of stake will happen in Q2 (if not delayed again). Then many coins will be unlocked and will cause probably a supply shock. Also a buy the rumour sell the news may happen.
2. The SEC is expected to reach a decision on Grayscale's Bitcoin spot ETF by July 6. Will this event be a pump or dump event?
Bitcoin tests the 53k$ line again before the upwards breakoutIntro:
- Bitcoin is the first of its kind as cryptocurrency using blockchain technology and is looked at a store of value like gold , just better.
- Bitcoin will help the people to bank themselves and gives some power back to the community.
- The whole crypto market follows in some way the movements of the Bitcoin price while being much more volatile.
Comments:
- Today we look at the broader picture and zoom out of the chart. Once we do that we recognize that exciting times seem to be ahead.
- The last >200 days basically represent a large consolidation phase where we move between the two thick green and orange price lines (between 30k and 63k).
- Often before the final breakout we see a small pullback that retests the previous support line.
Daily chart:
- Price shows that we are in a consolidation phase below the resistance around 65k$.
- Volume is on a steady decline since Mai. This supports the idea that we are in a large consolidation and accumulation phase.
- RSI analysis shows that we face again resistance that follows the yellow line similar to the previous one.
- Moving Average: Currently we are below the 20MA and 50MA which is not a bullish sign.
- Support lines are at 53k$, 41k$ and 30k$.
- Resistance lines are around 63k$. Afterwards we are free to fly.
Expectation:
- We expect a price breakout within the next week.
- Now after the approval of several Bitcoin future ETF's in the US we expect that many will follow and even more people and institutions are exposing themselves to Bitcoin .
- End of the year prediction: We will see a 100k$+ Bitcoin before the end of 2021.
Basic rules:
- Never buy the top/ ATH
- Take profit as long as you can (also partial profit is profit)
- Use Stop/loss for leveraged positions
- If you are not experienced, don't leverage in the first place
Enjoy the ride and don't be too greedy.
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Always do your own research and keep in mind that my charts and comments cannot be considered financial advice.
Cheers
ps.
Chart explanation:
Main lines:
- Green lines are tested support lines.
- Orange lines are resistance lines or, if we are above, possible support lines which were not tested yet.
- Cyan line is for volume trendline.
- White lines are Fibonacci retracement levels
Helplines:
- Purple lines are trendlines we take a look at.
- Blue, green, white and pink lines are 200MA, 100MA, 50MA and 20MA.
- Yellow lines are for visual help only.
Specials:
- Boxes represent either entry zone or support zone . Check the description.
- Cameras represent MA crossings. Yellow camera stands for a golden cross while the cyan camera stands for a death cross.