Power of Technical analysis explained in the chartPower of Technical analysis. So far, bottom of the channel is respected. Nifty took support at the bottom of the channel and is trying to bounce back. If we end in Green today and a little positive say above 18230 the rally will continue next week...Even if we get a closing above 18230 on Monday still it will be fine.
Spotnifty
Nifty took support near 18115 and is trying to bounce from thereNifty took support near 18115 and is trying to bounce from there on the way up 18235 to 18270 zone which wich was a great support will prove to be a strong resistance. If that hurdle is crossed Nifty can travel back to 18308, 18346 and 18384 or even 18400+ staging a V-shaped recovery. Before that happens it is important to cross 18235 to 18270 zone.
Supports at the lower side will be near today's low that is 18115, 18040 and finally 17972. Weekly closing below 17972 will bring smile on the face of bears. In case that happens.
Nifty preceisely stopped at the indicated resistances yesterday.What was depicted yesterday was very similar to what happened. Channel top proved to be a tough resistance to conquer and Nifty today rested just above mid channel line at18286.50 We had very accurately indicated the support at 18284. This is as precise as you can get with Technicals😌😊.
Now What?
We have this support or the next support at 18267. If 18267 is taken down we can further fall to 18190 or 18140. (Next support levels.).
You can also see in the previous and current chart that invariably Mid channel line has proven to be support and NIFTY has bounced from here 4 times previously. So Let us hope we get a support from mid channel line and we can bounce from here. If we bounce from here next resistance will be 18340 and 18384. Interesting day tomorrow to see in which direction the NIFTY goes.
Nifty Flowing confidently in the 30 minute channel. Nifty on a 30-minute chart is looking very confident of staying in the upper half of the channel in which it is travelling. On last 3 occasions Nifty has jumped upon reaching the mid channel support of the mid channel line. Indicating that strength of the rally is intact so far.
However, on the last 4 occasions when Nifty tried to cross the Channel top it was made to retreat indicating a strong channel top resistance.
Nifty Resistances going further will be: 18455 and 18500.
Nifty Supports going further will be at: 18384, 18284, 18267 (Very Strong Support).
Nifty Short Term Outlook NIFTY is approximately 3% away from the top. Question on minds of most investors is: When will Nifty make a new high by crossing this Crossing this 3% hurdle. Crossing this 3% hurdle will not be easy in my opinion, unless all FII, DII and Retail investors participate in the ongoing rally. Rally has hit the resistance zone now.
It was a good week but going ahead Nifty will have to conquer 4 major resistances. These 4 Resistances are at 18393, 18474, 18609 and 18715. In case these resistances are not crossed there are chances of rally to fizzle out with supports at 18185 and 18053. 18053 is a major support.
Below 18053 bears will start calling shots. If we get a weekly closing below 18053 the next support zone will be between 17793 and 17529 (Final Major support). Below 17529 bears will be in full control again.
Nifty at a Crossroad againNifty is again at a crossroad. The following scenarios are at play now.
Scenario 1) From this juncture it can go from Point A to Point C directly i.e. 18315 to around 18600 odd.
Scenario 2) From this juncture Nifty can try to find it's major support and can go from point A to point B i.e. 18315 to 17500 odd. and then back to 18600 odd that is point C.
Long Term Target Within 2023: 19275.
Panic selling on Friday but Nifty closed above critical support.Market Outlook For The Next Week:
It was a volatile week which saw ups and downs. Downs mainly due to huge sell off in HDFC Twins due to the rebalancing news of MSCI Index. The fall also cooled down RSI which has come down substantially. Closing of Nifty well above critical support level of 18029 shows that strength still might be left in NIFTY to rally again a bit further next week. Support and Resistance levels for Nifty for Next week are under.
Nifty Support Levels: 18055, 18029, 17936 and finally 17843.
Nifty Resistance levels: 18172, 18216, 18268 and finally 18425.
Will Reverse Head & Shoulders Breakout be a success? Market Outlook:
Nifty is on a roll and taking all the negative news under it’s wings and rising like a phoenix. The Mother of all bi-monthly economic events FOMC meet and decision on US Federal Reserve rate hike/Pause and US Fed chief Powell’s comments about the future rate decisions awaits to test its resolve. A positive looking Reverse Head & Shoulder like structure is formed on Nifty Chart as you can see below. We will know later this week if the Reverse Head and Shoulder Breakout is successful or not.
One thing is for sure that corrections are temporary but Indian economy, it’s strength remains intact. It may take time but Indian Indices do bounce back. Long Term Investors should trust the story of India and continue to invest for long term irrespective of whether the current Breakout or current rally sustains or not.
Nifty Supports From Current Level: 18124, 17966, 17888 and 17632.
Nifty Resistances from Current Level: 18180, 18252 and 18441.
Strength of the rally to be tested next week.After the much awaited break out of Nifty which was playing in the range between 17900 and 16900 it is the time for the strength of the rally to be tested. Nifty has to battle some important resistance next week to sail further upwards. All eyes will also be on FOMC meet of US Federal Reserves on 2nd May 2023. I don't want to sound pessimistic but everyone should note that this event has potential to become a party spoiler. (Looks less likely though as rally has crossed some important resistances but you can never really decouple your economy from what happens globally).
Important Supports For The next week: 17973, 17878, 17779 and finally the strong buffer zone of 17473 to 17687. (This buffer zone has multiple supports including 50 Weeks EMA, 50 and 200 days EMA in addition to some other supports).
Important Resistances: 18140, 18268, 18397 and 18481.
Proper Clean Breakout For NiftyWe can expect BOOM BOOM BOOM tomorrow or in the coming week. It is a clean Breakout for NIFTY50. Support Levels are at 17779, 17687 and mega support of 17541 to 17584 zone. On the upper side the resistance are near 17986, 18042, 18272 and 18466. Let us see how far the Fizz can take us tomorrow. More importantly can the Fizz last over the next week too?
Very buoyant forces keeping Nifty afloat and going higher. Nifty on the back of momentum in Small and Mid cap stocks combined with some good results is taking Nifty higher after a week of consolidation. If 17863 is taken down we may see the rally continue to upto 18092, 18360 and above. 17532 to 17552 are strong supports as the levels are 50 and 200 days EMA. If 17532 us broken the other supports are near 17467 and 17198 levels.
Nifty at a critical support. 50 and 200 days EMA have been providing a critical support to Nifty all throughout the week. 50 and 200 days EMA stand at 17544 and 17530 respectively. This zone has provided support to the Nifty almost on all days of the week proving that it is the most critical support. If this support is broken Next support for Nifty will be only at 17406 and further down at 17204 levels. However if Nifty is assured of its support the chances are that it can rise from here. The resistances that it can meet on the way up are near 17805, 17869, 18092 and 18261 levels.
Nifty with positive bias poised just below 50 Hours EMA. With the result from Big Daddy of Index Reliance tomorrow Nifty is again staring at the cross roads but with a positive bias. Reliance has a weightage of 10.54% in the index and a good result can make the day or week for the Nifty or break it. Nifty is poised just below 50 hours EMA which is 17630 so the line will act as a resistance. If we get a gap up opening above it and the gap sustains it will be a perfect scenario for the rally to go forward. Resistances at 17630, 17691 and 17772. Supports for Nifty are at 17593 and 17578. Below this level Nifty can fall to 17488 levels. (This should be a major support). If this is broken the current rally may fizzle out.
Channel Breakout of the trend is being tested. Recently Nifty on 10th April gave a channel Breakout. Since the negative channel upper limit was respected in last 4 months or so this breakout was a major first step towards up trend. Since it was a major breakout Nifty is trying to look back and test it's support zone before it can fly ahead. Major supports zones from where Nifty can re start the up trend again are:
Support Zone 1: 17618 (current level) to 17528.
Support Zone 2: 17424 to 17267. (A close below 17267 will make this current Channel Break out that Nifty saw on 10th April 2023 a failure).
Resistance Zone 1: 17690 to 17856.
Resistance Zone 2: 17856 to 18004.
A major support zone got activated today. Market today saw tremendous selling in IT sector, Services and consumer goods. The market however saw a good recovery of about 132 points from bottom on the back of purchase in PSU, FMCG, Auto and some realty counters. Below the zone from where Nifty bounced today, that is 17574 which is near 50 hours EMA we will have supports near 17454 which is 200 hours EMA as well as mid channel support which is at the same level. The zone between 17529 and 17526 is again a major support as this zone has 50 and 200 days EMA. On the upper side we might face resistance near 17738 and 17782. The zone between 17847 and 17923 is a very strong resistance zone. We can have a range bound week or weeks unless there is some strong news or result which can either pull the index above 17923 or drag it below 17454 levels.
Spot Nifty At A Critical Juncture.Market Outlook
The Nifty is poised at a cross road and a critical resistance. Either it can defy the resistance and continue rising further or it can consolidate a bit in the range of 100/ 200 points on either side and consolidate it’s position. Nifty consolidating first and then rallying further will be more logical but Stock market is not the place which obeys reasoning and logic most of the times. Either it becomes too worried or it becomes too fearless and greedy. We investors try to find equilibrium and rationale in the place which often defies laws of consistency in the short term. In the long term everything works fine and falls in a deserving place.
Spot Nifty Resistance Zones: 17851, 18004, 18126 and 18267.
Spot Nifty Support Zones: 17780, 17713, 17532(Strong Short Term Support), 17311(Final Short Term Support).
Nifty Facing Key Resistance Zone of 17700 to 17797 Nifty has reached the zone where the strength of current rally will be tested. The zone between 17700 and 17797 will be strong resistance zones for Nifty. Only if the rally has genuine strength it can cross this zone. If this resistance zone is crossed the next resistances will be at 17923, 18038 and 18137. Supports for Nifty remain at the levels of 17597, 17533, 17460. The strongest supports for the current rally will be and 17414 and 17363 which are 50 and 200 hours EMA. Below 17363 bears will snatch back the control of the market.
How much more Fizz left in the rally? The main question that is springing in every mind is that how much more Fizz is left in the rally? Is it a genuine back to bull market rally or should we consider it a relief rally only? We will know only if the critical resistance are crossed in the coming week/weeks.
Nifty Critical Resistances: 17639, 17720, 17804 (Major Resistance) ,18066, 18136, 18207 and finally 18292 (Major Resistance) .
Nifty Critical Support Zones: 17515, 17482, 17402, 17309 and finally 17210.
Nifty nearing a major resistance zoneNifty has come at the doorstep of Major resistance zone. This is the region between 17586 and 17812. This Zone is full of small and big resistances for Nifty. Momentum of Nifty is good but it will take some major effort in crossing this most important zone. In case this zone is crossed this week or later next week, the next resistance are near 17977 and 18125. Supports for Nifty are near 17514, 17478, 17417 and 17310. It is a critical day tomorrow as Friday we have very rare Second holiday of the week.
Nifty on hourly chart on the verge of Cup and Handle Formation.A Cup and Handle kind of structure is forming on the hourly chart of Nifty. For the structure to complete Nifty has to close above 17429. In that case the next resistances for Nifty will be at 17472, 17528 (Strong Resistance) Closing above 17528 can potentially take Nifty to 17647 and 17803. Supports for Nifty remain at the levels of 17310, 17212 and 17171. The Bias in Nifty still remains positive.
Sandwiched between Support and Resistance with positive biasNifty is perfectly sandwiched between strong support and strong resistance but the bias which was negative for most of March is fading. It is a very very critical day tomorrow. Nifty has already closed on Wednesday above a critical resistance of 17060 giving it a positive bias. Now the most critical resistances that remain to be conquered are 17137 and 17261. Above 17261 Nifty can race to 17408 levels where there is another critical resistance and that a big one of 200 Weeks EMA. Nifty closing the month above 17137 will be great for momentum to be carried forward to April 2023. If Nifty can close above 17261 it can be a momentum shift and Bulls can think of making a come back in April in that case. Strong Support on the lower side remain at 16825 levels.