Doji candle formed in Nifty today. Does it indicate upside?Today we saw a formation of Doji candle in Nifty. Doji candles indicates uncertainty. Colour of the Doji candle shows the bias which is green as of now. So the bias still remains positive with formation of stable government on cards. However on any new or noise from coalition allies the Bears can make a strong comeback. Doji today indicates that Bears are also equally active and are waiting for their chance of action. So be aware / be conservative in your choice of stocks. In terms of Cricket if we consider this a T-20 match this pitch is not a 200+ pitch. It is rather a green top where if a team scores 150-170 runs they can be difficult to chase. So what should investors do? They should keep stop losses. Stop losses are the best friends. Keep stop losses and trailing stop losses. Stop losses protect your capital. Trailing stop losses protect your profits.
Nifty Resistance Levels: 22910, 23053, 23192, 23338.
Nifty Support Levels: 22630, 22456, 22139, 21781 and 21277.
Below 21277 is a bear territory and absolute hunting ground of bears.
Spotnifty
Very Powerful Comeback Candle sort of Bullish Harami.Nifty made a massive comeback today after the dust of election result settled. Whether NDA's comeback to power and can the Bull Run sustain is the key question. Both are interlinked as of now it seems. However on the technical grounds the formation on chart between yesterday and today's candle is a sort of Bullish Harami (Positive Candle formation). A positive candle formation in the next trading session will confirm the formation. Now the supports for Nifty are at 21261 (Father Line) and 200 EMA, 22139 (Mid channel support), 22413 (Mother Line) and 50 EMA and 22456. Resistances on the upper side for Nifty will be 22695, 22855, 23053, 23192 and finally 23338 (ATH Resistance).
200 Days EMA comes to rescue of the market. 200 Days EMA comes to rescue of the market. Market which was shocked by the unexpected result was rescued by 200 days EMA today. You can see how it is supportive of Mother Father small child story that I propagate. PAPA line came to support of the falling market and there was a 603.05 points recovery. However the fall is 1379.4 points devastating fall. We can hope for a recovery if the levels of 21247 holds. However the most important resistance will be the MOTHER line of 21404. These two are the most important levels to track for this week and rest of the month. We can expect a recovery on announcement of a stable Government. Many stocks including PSU are coming near mouth watering levels with respect to Dividend yield. Other stocks which have nothing to do with result of the election have also taken a beating even though they were / are on a growth trajectory. So be wise and choose diamonds from the ruins.
Fibo gives important levels for the Election rally. Election rallies can be considered as Bull Rallies on Dope they are extremely fragile at the same time they can break all the resistances in their way like a mad bull in rage. Expecting an extremely volatile day tomorrow. But space to grow on upper side is very limited. The RSI indicating market is close to becoming overbought but an election result which market expects can further the boundaries.
Important Resistance levels: 23338 and 23537.
Important Support levels: 23109, 23058, 22806 and 22559. Tipping point into bear territory will be a closing below 22417.
Nifty closing this week looks like Calm before the storm.FII, DII and Retail investors are all awaiting Exit Polls and Actual results of election to follow thereafter. We have already discussed the best and the worst case scenarios. The candle formed today is Doji exhibiting indecisiveness. The support at which Nifty is standing is Mid channel. The other support which has been taken is 50 days EMA. Right now everything looks in balance. Lot of overpriced stocks corrected. Lot of underpriced stocks which gave good results exceled. Many more underpriced Banking and IT stocks are looking like value buys. Many overvalued Psu stocks look like them might again run further in case of expected results. Everything looks like it is on a tipping point. + or - 5 to 10% move depending on results is a definite possibility. DIIs have been buying all the way. FIIs have been selling all the way. Perfect recipe for a thriller to unfold next week. Everything is on a standstill. This weekend might be a calm before the storm.
Nifty Supports: 22392, 22057, 21827, 21712 and 21221. (Worst case scenario 17597 in case the expected results are not seen in election).
Nifty Resistances: 22672, 22829, 23140, 23226 and 23398. (Best case scenario between 23500-23600).
Nifty Enters crucial Support Zone. Nifty has entered Important support zone. This zone extends from 22495 to 22386. Today's low of 22417 is also a very important level below which we will have only the support level of 22386 which is the 50 days EMA. Below 22386 bears will try their best to drag the Index to the levels of 21712 or even 21208. (This looks improbable as of now but you never know). DII was buying even today in this drastic fall while FII are selling relentlessly. With only 1 day left before we will have exit polls and then the actual election results on 4th June. Investors should brace for a few more days of volatility. If the result go against popular opinion then we can see further lower levels which are mentioned above. RSI has taken a turn and Mid channel has provided a support as of today. Resistance on the upper side are 22508 and 22829.
From where can we see a turnaround in Nifty?After making a new high there has been relentless bout of Profit booking seen in Nifty. Volatility index probably peaked at 26.145 on Monday. It has come down a bit today to 24.175 but still it is in not relenting. Many stocks and indices seem to be hitting the oversold zone but still there might be little more pain in store for the investors this week. Probable turnaround zone for Nifty or supports are at 22685. If 22685 today's low is broken tomorrow Nifty can fall further to 22495 region. The zone between 22495 and 22382 has many strong supports including 50 days EMA Mother line and Mid-channel support. If by any chance 22382 is broken Nifty can see further free fall as bears will take full control. In such an unlikely scenario next supports will be at 22057, 21827 or even 21712.(In highly unlikely case of results not coming in favour of the ruling party) Nifty can fall further to 21195 or below. In case Nifty turns around from 22685 or from the zone between 22495/22383 the next resistances will be at 22829, 22990, 23140. Top of the current trend and channel top seems to be near 23266 region. In case the ruling government comes with a sound majority without facing any hurdles we may even see Nifty breaking the channel top and might go towards 23350, 23500 or even 23600 region.
Consolidation and profit booking phase in Nifty. Nifty is seeing a consolidation and Profit booking phase after making a new All Time high. There was a massive pressure seen across indices. This phase and volatility which we have seen off late can continue for a while till election results are declared and a little bit post results too. FMCG and Pharma were the only 2 indices which withstood the selling pressure but broader markets were seen bleeding a bit specially the cash counters. Next one week or so will test the patience of investors and speculation should be avoided. Stay away from high risk counters and derivatives if you are not an expert. Support for Nifty can be seen near 22864 which is rather a weak support. Next support is near 22767 which is considerably strong support of 50 Hours EMA (Mother line). If 22767 is broken further support can be found only near 22602 and 22489. This zone is a strong support zone having mid channel support of the current channel and 200 hours EMA. Resistance on the upper side for Nifty are at 22937, 22999 and 23053. Above 23053 Nifty will become little strong and Bulls can further take the index to 23108 or 23150 levels which will be a strong channel top resistance.
Not much room to grow for Nifty unless it breaks the channel. Nifty hit the channel top today and immediately receded as there is not much space left of it to grow. Either it has to break the parallel channel and go above it or it has to fall to cool down the RSI and then come and fight to make a new high. It is obvious that as we hit levels above 23K there will be bout or bouts of profit booking too. With election results around keep expecting such volatile ralles and snap rallies. Supports for Nifty on the lower side are at 22877, 22775, 22716 and 22457. Below 22457 Nifty becomes a little weak. Resistances on the upper side for Nifty are at 22999, 23053, 23110 and finally 23150. Shadow of the candles is absolutely neutral.
ATH Breakout for Nifty but has the rally got more steam?Major ATH All Time high Breakout for Nifty today however Nifty could not cross the much coveted level of 23K. Can Nifty do to it tomorrow? has it got the steam? RSI is high indicating that Nifty is getting overbought and valuations of a lot of stocks are very pricey. However there might still be opportunity left in a few Large cap stock specially IT, Banking and Finance space which have fallen out of favour of investors lately. Valuations in some PSU, Mid and Small Case space are questionable currently and we advise keeping a strict trailing stop loss wherever you have good profit.
Remember nobody has ever become a pauper by booking profits. Keep strict trailing Stop Losses. They are best friends. Loss in Profit is ok but Profit to loss is not ok.
Nifty Major Supports levels: 22784, 22507 and 22298.
Major Future resistance levels: 22293, 23060, 23208 and 23407.
U-formation on cards if resistance at 22632 is cleared by Nifty.It looks like Nifty can create a U formation if the resistances at 22632 is cleared and we get a proper closing above it. However for perfect U-formation the Nifty will have to cross other resistances at 22693, 22734, 22768 and finally 22794. In case we do not get a closing above 22632 and Nifty returns the supports for Nifty will be at 22536, 22484 and 22445. Below 22445 there are important support levels of 50 and 200 EMA which are 22409 and 22345. Below 22345 Nifty becomes very weak and Bears take over the market. Shadow of the candle is neutral to positive for tomorrow.
Nifty returning from 22591 indicates strong resistance zone.Nifty returning from high of 22591 has given indication of strong resistance zone ahead. Also closing above Mid-Channel resistance was a good move but still it is not a convincing upward gallop with market breadth remaining negative and FII still selling relentlessly. Some decent mid and large cap stocks are not moving despite good results and some average stocks and PSU are moving towards exaggerated valuation. PE investing or comparing the 10 year PE to the current PE of the stock should be the way to go for investors. Do not get trapped at levels which might not return for years. (I am nor fear mongering but that should be the case in every and any circumstance anyway.)
Nifty Supports levels: 22470, 22402, 22345, 22257 and 22055.
Nifty Resistance levels: 22530, 22591, 22658, 22730 and 22831.
Good move ahead if mid channel support is held by NiftyGood move ahead for Nifty can hold the levels of 22470 and give a closing above 22522. Incase we get a closing above 22522 the resistances ahead will be 22587, 22658, 22730 and 22800+. In case Nifty gives a closing below 22470 the supports will be at 22345, 22246 and 22055. 22522 is however a strong trendline resistance and gap up opening and holding above it is the way to overcome it faster. Shadow of the candle is positive for the beginning of the week.
Good closing by Nifty just above mid-channel resistance. Nifty saw a good closing today above mid channel resistance but could not hold on to higher levels as it found the resistance at 22502 to hot to cross. 22502 was today's high and might act as a resistance again tomorrow. If this level is crossed and we get a closing above it the next resistance levels will be at 22587 and 22658. Above 22658 bull have potential to take full control of the market and in such a scenario we can see Nifty climbing to the highs of 22730 and 22801 in the coming week or weeks. On the lower side, today's low of 22345 is a good support followed by Mother line support of 50 Hours EMA at 22235. Below 22235 Nifty becomes week and we might again see the levels of 22055, 21937 and 21815. Below 21815 closing Bears take total control of the market. Nifty is interestingly placed with shadow of the candle being neutral and it was a Doji candle that we saw today emphasizing the tussle between bulls and bears or shall we call it a tussle between FIIs and DIIs + Retail investors?
Remarkable Comeback Nifty but now faces Mid-channel resistance.Nifty recovered handsomely 349.85 points from the low of the day in the last hour against all frantic FII selling. This shows the power of DII and retail investors. Now Nifty faces a tough mid channel resistance 22438 which will take some doing to cross it. If Nifty manages to cross 22438 the next resistances will be at 22496, 22587, 22658, 22730 and 22801. If Nifty is not able to cross the Mid channel resistance the supports will be at 22298, 22215 and 22054. Nifty will be very weak below 22054. Shadow of the candle is looking neutral to negative but if FII jump into action (which unlikely) then frantic upside is possible. Volatility and peak tussle between FII and DII might continue.
Nifty Squeezing in tight space between supports and resistances.Nifty is squeezing in a tight space squeezing between major supports and resistances. A major move on either side can not be negated. With US inflation, Lok Sabha election phases, Announcements by FM about course correction discussion with SEBI on how F&O will operate in future, and other important data awaited, mixed bag results. Today 200 Hours EMA acted as a major resistance. Nifty barely touched it and returned closing fractionally below 50 hours EMA. Trend line resistance and support are also acting not allowing Nifty to move much in either directions. FII is selling on every rise. DII is buying on every dip.
Very interesting phase which is testing the patience of investors is going on. All we need to do is watch important levels, important results and important data. Holding on to what we have high conviction in and letting go of what is not convincing valuation wise is important. Not reacting to market noise and filtering out your portfolio is important, before the next bull run begins. If it has not already begun.
Important Resistance Levels: 22242, 22302 (200 Hours EMA) Father line, 22400 mid channel resistance and 22501.
Important Support levels: 22148, 22068, 21937 and 21815 (Nifty becomes very weak and goes into bear grip below this level.)
Good Closing For Nifty but major resistance ahead. Nifty closed very well above 50 hours EMA (Mother Line) but is facing a formidable resistance of 22273 and 22309. The best thing to happen can be if Nifty opens gap up above this resistance and sustains the level. In such a scenario the next resistance it will face will be at 22374. Crossing and closing above 22374 will bring back bulls firmly in the business and they can push the nifty towards 22501, 22598 or even 22695. In case the resistance of 22273 and 22309 are not crossed by Nifty successfully the supports for Nifty will be at 22205, 22096, 22020 and finally 21937. Below 21937 Nifty has only one support of channel bottom at 21815. closing below 21815 can empower the bears to run havoc but shadow of the candle looks positive right now.
Nifty received some support from bottom and the Home Minister. Nifty today received some support from the bottom and some support from the interview of home Minister where he was seen very confident about forming a stable government as well as talking about investments in the share markets and how things will be in case they win (Which he was confident about. Nifty took support near 21821 and broke a negative trend line and gave a closing above it at 22104 as seen in the chart. However formidable resistances at 22177, 22207 and 22317 remain to be conquered. Bulls can breath easy only above this level. Also FIIs might further sell at every bounce. Unless FII and DII both are buying volatility will remain at the forefront. Supports for Nifty at lower levels are at 22020, 21938 and 21769. Below 21769 bears can create further mayhem.
Nifty trying to bounce after bottom formation. Nifty is trying to bounce after bottom formation. The bull rally can commence and the bounce can sustain only if the level of 21938 is held and we get a closing above 22070. In the case of up move after 22070 is crossed and held the resistances for future will be 22129 and 22188. Post closing above 22188 50 and 200 Hours EMA (Mother and Father line) 22236 and 22339 will be the next major resistance levels. Bulls can breath easily only after we get a closing above 22339. In this case the future target will be 22502. In case we get a closing below 21938 in the coming week the next support level will be at 21769. (Right now charts do not suggest that we can get a closing in Nifty below this point but in case we get a closing below 21769, bears will play major havoc and can drag Nifty even to sub 21K levels.) However this does not look probable right now as shadow of the candles look positive (Green) but you can never say never. Bulls have potential to fight back above 22070 levels and specially can take centre stage if we get a closing later this week or the next above 22339.
Dangerous H&S Pattern forming on Nifty.(Pending confirmation)A Dangerous Head & Shoulders Pattern is forming on Nifty charts.(Pending confirmation) If we get a confirmation candle tomorrow or if the support zones of 22240 to 22186 are broken and if we get a closing below 22186 there will be confirmation for the same. If we get a confirmation of Head and shoulders pattern bears will have potential to drag Nifty further down to 21962, 21769, 21543, 21142 or even 20968 levels in a short to medium term. In that case I will consider it a buying opportunity only. Things will start to become sour only if we get a monthly closing below 20968 levels. On the brighter side today Nifty has taken a support at 50 days EMA. (Mother line). In case bulls are able to take control from here on the levels on the upper side will be at 22488, 22592, 22691 and finally 22800 levels. If Bulls have to fight back it has to be in next 2 or 3 days. Shadow of the candles is neutral right now.
Even after the dramatic fall on Friday Nifty looking strong.Even after the fall due to Profit booking and fear in investors due to Fed rate pause Nifty is not looking weak. Seemingly it has taken 200 Hours EMA support in late trading hours of Friday at 22388 after falling below it just for a while. If 22388 is not broken in the coming week the targets/resistances on the upper side will be at 22535 (Major resistance) (best way to avoid it will be to open gap up above it.), 22691, 22799, 22873, 22973 and 23039. Channel top seems to be around 23155. If the support at 22388 is broken and we get a closing below it, the supports will be at 22348, 22186 and finally channel bottom support near 21962 (in very unlikely event). The shadow of the candles is positive right now but there will be profit booking effort at every rise. Bears will try to fight the bulls who were taken by surprise by the bear attack on Friday.
Strong higher high higher Low pattern on Hourly chart. Positive.Nifty is making a higher high, higher low, pattern on Nifty. Which looks very promising and positive. For going further and higher and into unchartered territory Nifty needs to hold 22625 or at least 22547. These two points will work as great supports too. Below 22547 the next supports will be near 22483 and 22379. On the upper side the resistance levels seem to be at 22709, 22881, 22967 and finally 23026. Shadow of the candle looks positive.
Resistance zone between 22783 and 22755 comes into effect.After making a new high of 22783 there was a bought of Profit booking seen in Nifty. Two important international events of US FED Interest decision and CPI Inflation data are awaited so traders may have thought of being cautious at this juncture. Further bullishness leading to 22800, 22887 and 23026 is also a possibility but for that overcoming this important resistance zone is imperative. Supports for Nifty on the lower side in case of consolidation or further profit booking will be 22544, 22508 and 22358. If 22358 is broken we may see bullish grip weaken a bit and in this scenario bears can drag the Nifty further down to 22200 or even levels below 22000. The zone between 22544 and 22508 is an important support zone for Nifty now.