Nifty Delicately placed near the support zone.Nifty is delicately placed above the 50 EMA and 200 EMA support zones (Mother and Father support) which are at 22404 and 22316 respectively. This zone can act as a buffer and should provide proper technical support to Nifty. In case 22316 is broken Nifty can further fall to the levels of 22201 or even 21972. Worst case scenario as of now looks like 21784. If supports of 22404 and 22316 are respected we may see the Nifty rising upwards with resistances at 22458, 22545, 22625, 22692 and 22775. Shadow of the candle looks neutral with slightly positive bias.
Spotnifty
What does Arrow in the chart of Nifty say? Arrow in the chart of Nifty is pointing in the direction of which Nifty intends to go in the long term. There may be some slip-ups in the short run but in the long run Nifty will be seen travelling in the direction the arrow is pointing.
Today Nifty returned from an important trendline resistance of 22625. crossing the same will be a little bit of a challenge. If we get a weekly closing above 22625 Nifty can quickly make new highs in the coming days with resistance at 22692 and 22775.
In case the mid arrow support is broken tomorrow we may see a down side with supports at 22545, 22481, 22430, 22380 and 22304. Below 22304 Nifty becomes weak again and bears can start calling the shots.
Shadow of the candle is negative to neutral as of now.
22447 to 22481 proving to be a tough resistance to crack.Since yesterday 22447 to 22481 is again and again blocking the Nifty rally. Only after 22481 is crossed and held we will see the rally continue further. Further resistance will be near 22558, 22612, 22692 or even 22780+. In case the resistance proves strong enough the supports will be found at 22376, 22342 and 22290. If 22290 is broken then further supports will be found at 22201, 21972 and finally 22784. Shadow of the candle is still looking positive.
Strong resistance around 22447 blocked Nifty rallyA strong resistance around 22447 blocked the bull rally of Nifty today. If this resistance is not crossed the Nifty will try to re-test the supports. There is a strong support in the range of 22279 and 22312 region which includes 50 EMA, 200 EMA (Mother Father lines) and a trend line support. If these supports are broken we can see weakness which can lead Nifty further down to 22201 or even 21972 levels. If the Nifty successfully crosses and closes above 22447, further resistances will be found at 22510, 22612, 22692 and 22780. A frantic Bull-Bear tussle is going on and it will be interesting to see which side is able to call the shots during reminder of the week.
Very Positive close by Nifty indicating more bullishnessMore up move is on card baring there is no further bad news related to Iran and Israel conflict and other news surrounding the Middle East and Levant nations. The closing above 50 and 200 EMA hourly indicates that there might be more bullishness in store for Nifty with resistances at 22430 and 22517. If these 2 levels are crossed easily then we may see 22692, 22780 and even 23K+ levels in Nifty in the coming weeks or months. Supports on the lower side for Nifty in case there is some negativity remain at 22201, 21972, 21784 and 21716. Below 21716 bears again take control of Nifty.
Nifty took a critical support at 21777. (A number to watch)Nifty fell like a hot knife going through butter slab reacting to Iran Israel news. There was some respite today as Nifty has takena support at 21777 and bounced back to close the week at 22147 staging a remarkable recovery. 21777 will remain a critical support to watch for reminder of the month. In case this support is not held further supports will be only between the range of 21157 and 20973. If 20973 is further falls casualty to any escalation between Iran and Israel, we still have a strong support near 20592 which is also a Mid channel support. If by chance mid channel support is broken there can be a free fall towards 20237 or even 18878 levels if situation worsens. On the positive side of it if 21777 is respected we can further see resistances near 22318, 22514 and ATH resistance near 22775 levels. Things are delicately poised but let us hope peace prevails and we see nifty bouncing back drastically in the coming week or weeks. Local sentiments still remain good except for the fact that some FIIs are not happy with tax heavens status withdrawal from Mauritius. Global factors specially related to Israel and Iran are governing the global sentiments currently.
Market Outlook: Israel and Iran Conflict continues to haunt. After taking a drastic beating due to Israel and Iran conflict Nifty today has taken a support near Mother line (50 EMA). There is also a trend line support at the same place. If there is no bad news in next one or two days we might see a reversal in Nifty in favor of Bulls. In case there is some more bad news we may see bears tightening the grip over the market.
Right now main factors driving the market are global. One in global inflation and commodity prices (Specially metals/ Precious metals and crude oil) and Israel and Iran conflict. Local factors are firmly looking good and no changes seen.
If there is a full scale war the imp act will be Global and no market will remain insulated from the same. But India because of local factors and neutral stance (which might be challenged as well) will be the first or the fastest to bounce back.
Supports for Nifty are at 22113, 21722, 21145 and finally 20767.
Resistances for Nifty will be at 22214, 22306, 22421 and 22513.
Disclaimer: The Purpose of this analysis is purely for Education. Any decision to invest in shares of F&O should not be taken based on it. This is just to show you how technical analysis works.
Market Outlook:Market Outlook:
The factors related to Israel and Iran Conflict will e the leading cause for market and moves rather than other local or Techincal factors for the next few days it seems. However the Support and Resistance levels seem to be as under.
Nifty Resistance: In case there is some positive news of tension related to conflict decreasing will be at 22424, 22534 and 22620.
Nifty Supports: In case there is further escalation in conflict which looks more likely will be at 22622, 22112(Major support from where Nifty can bounce), 22008, 21711.3. If 21711.3 is broken we can see the levels of 21149 or even 20753.
Shadow of the candle is negative and anyway Global factors specially Iran and Israel will be decisive force driving the Nifty for next few days it seems.
Nifty broke a major support and is near a crucial support. As depicted in the last message. Nifty was near a crucial resistance zone which is between 22770 and 22808. Nifty fell sharply from these levels triggred by possibility of a major 3rd World War like crisis due to Iran and Israel conflict. Now Nifty is below a major resistance that is 22567 and just above a major support level near 22511. Any further escalation in war has potential to make Nifty plunge into a nose dive towards 22416 or 22309 levels. If 22303 levels are broken Nifty can further fall quickly towards 22K levels or below. However if there is de-escalation we can see a relief rally in Nifty with resistances at 22567, 22622 and 22689 levels. In case of Nifty rising this week again 22770 to 22808 zone will be a very nasty resistance to cross. Shadow of the candle is neutral as of now and anything can happen due to global factors. Local factors are in favour of investors and fall if any can be used to invest and bottom fish.
Closing above 22629 has ensured it is a cup and handle BO. Closing above 22629 has ensured it is a cup and handle Break Out for Nifty. Now the only major hurdle remaining between another leg of bull run and consolidation is the resistance at 22701. Once 22701 is crossed next targets for Nifty will be 22803(Major Resistance), 22910, 23047 and 23220. If the breakout fails and Nifty is not able to cross 22701 swiftly the support levels will be at 22619, 22536, 22454 and finally 22219. Bears will awaken from coma only after we get a closing below this level till that time enjoy the bull run. Perhaps some consolidation might also be seen before some further progress in unlikely circumstances. Right now it is a one horse race for bulls and shadow of the candle is positive.
Nifty can scale further highs if it sustains above previous ATH.Nifty bounced back but pretty well after confirming a near term bottom around 21710. right now facing mid-channel resistance. Daily closing firmly above 50 days EMA is another positive sign. Right now Nifty will face or is facing mid channel resistance which is near Friday's high of 22180. Nifty next week crossing and closing above 22180 will ensure that Nifty has closed not only above mid channel resistance but also trend line resistance which is in the same range. This dual resistance can be little stiff to cross. If it is crossed and held, next resistances will be at 22301, 22449 and finally 22526. In case the hurdle of Mid-channel resistance is not crossed the support levels for Nifty will be at 21877 (50 days EMA), 21710 and finally 21544. Shadow of the candle is neutral with positive bias indicating consolidation in the range or a further up move.
Chart says JUST DO IT...Last year after the Ukraine was there was such a panic in the market. People were selling their precious shares at whatever price they could not expecting an adverse event or a fall is an adverse event in itself. In stock market there will be ups and there will be downs...Become a long term investor in Equity. Even the chart today says JUST DO IT as Nifty touches All Time high of 22619.
At this juncture there is a very strong trend line resistance from where there was a drastic fall. The support levels indicated in earlier messages / posts were tested as the Nifty again jumped after taking the support near 22303.
Nifty ended the day again finding itself trapped at 22514.65 which is a strong resistance zone indicated since many days between 22500 and 22530. Once Nifty gives a closing above this zone there will be strong bullish moves across the sectors.
Until then Nifty Supports will be at: 22470, 22417, 22350 and finally 22164.
Nifty Resistances will be at: 22520 to 22530, 22587, 22636, 22690, 22787 and 22830.
In the long run investing in fundamentally strong stocks that are giving a technical is a great idea. So... JUST DO IT .
Again the same resistance stopping Nifty from Progressing. Again Nifty is facing the same resistance as we have seen for the last 2 days as Nifty returned from the day's high of 22521. However the support came from the expected level mentioned yesterday i.e.22346. Most important turning point on either side can be US FED Chair Jerome H. Powell speech about Economic Outlook. (At the Stanford Business, Government, and Society Forum, Stanford, California). This will give definitive direction to global and Indian markets or atleast it will have a strong effect if not give direction. The support and Resistance remain same as yesterday.
Nifty Supports: 22417, 22350, 22315, 22252 and finally 22143.
Nifty Resistances: Range between 22500 and 22530, 22597, 22690, 22787 and channel top will be near 22830.
As Depicted Yesterday Nifty is facing a resistance zone.As mentioned yesterday Nifty is getting trapped in a mild resistance zone after making a new ATH near 22529. This resistance zone is between 22477 and 22529. It looks like Nifty needs a little bit more consolidation to cross this zone. If this zone is crossed the next resistances for Nifty will be near 22597, 22690 and 22787. Supports for Nifty remain at 22388 and 22350. The zone between 22300 and 22252 will be a strong support zone in case of a fall with Mother line support of 50 EMA at 22268 (Strong Support). Very interestingly poised is nifty with shadow of a candle little bit on the negative side.
Nifty in a mild resistance zone after making a new ATH. Nifty in a mild resistance zone after making a new ATH. After making a new ATH at 22529.95. As it did not close successfully above the previous all time high that is 22526 it has become a mild resistance. Momentum is good for it to make a new ATH tomorrow but the resistance may act again if it is not a gap up opening above the same level. In case of Nifty not able to cross and close above the hurdle the supports will be at 22434 and 22350. 22214 to 22252 is a strong support zone as of now. Resistance zone will be 22500 to 22529. If that resistance is successfully taken down the next resistance will be near 22597, 22690 and finally 22787. Shadow of the candle is looking neutral but the momentum can be helpful.
Nifty Looking Strong But final few hurdles before making an ATH.Nifty looking strong and my rise riding on the current momentum wave but the hurdles it needs to cross (The Resistances in the way) are 22350, 22449, 22526. The New high that Nifty can make in the current bull run can be in the range of 22597, 22690, 22787 or higher. In case some of the resistance does not allow Nifty to progress further the supports for Nifty will be at 22252, 22132 and 22070. Momentum is looking good and the shadow of the candle is Positive but there can be selling pressure on FIIs and some DIIs as the election time comes near and near. Also Fresh financial year can bring fresh strategy for FII, HNIs and DIIs.
First hurdle 22080 crossed; Second hurdle around 22180-22200.We had depicted 22080 and 22180 as 2 hurdles for Nifty crossing which there can be a bullish rally. first hurdle was crossed today ut Second hurdle in the range of 22180 and 22200 remains. Today Nifty made a high of 22193 and returned from the same area due to the resistance zone indicated earlier. Crossing and closing the week above 22200 tomorrow will increase the chances of Bulls getting into rally mode. If the resistance in the region is not crossed and Nifty does not cross and close above today's high, there are chances that some supports will be tested again.
Nifty Supports Remain at: 22080, 21852, 21806 and finally 21710. Below 21710 Bears will get a firm grip of the market.
Nifty Resistances: 22193 (today's high), 22301, 22449 and finally 22526.
Trend line and deep resistance zone blocking Nifty progressThe resistance zone between 22081 and 22180 is blocking Nifty progress currently. Once Nifty closes above 22180 bulls can call shots in the market and take it further. After crossing and closing above 22180 further resistances will be near 22301, 22449 and 22526. On the lower side supports for Nifty are near 21882, 21710 and 21544. Nifty is interestingly placed for rest of the week. Shadow of the candle right now is neutral.
Nifty bounced back but right now facing mid-channel resistance.Nifty bounced back but pretty well after confirming a near term bottom around 21710. right now facing mid-channel resistance. Daily closing firmly above 50 days EMA is another positive sign. Right now Nifty will face or is facing mid channel resistance which is near Friday's high of 22180. Nifty next week crossing and closing above 22180 will ensure that Nifty has closed not only above mid channel resistance but also trend line resistance which is in the same range. This dual resistance can be little stiff to cross. If it is crossed and held, next resistances will be at 22301, 22449 and finally 22526. In case the hurdle of Mid-channel resistance is not crossed the support levels for Nifty will be at 21877 (50 days EMA), 21710 and finally 21544. Shadow of the candle is neutral with positive bias indicating consolidation in the range or a further up move.
Nifty Entering a Resistance zone after a making a good comeback.After making a low of 21710 yesterday has made a good comeback in one and a half session closing the day at 22011. Now Nifty is staring into a strong resistance zone. The resistance zone starts from the high of today. i.e. 22080 and ends at 22206. This zone consists of trend line resistance and mid channel resistance as well. Closing this week above 22206 will send a strong signal to the buyers who might return enmass post crossing this level. The next resistances after crossing 22206 will be near 22301, 22449 and 22526. On the lower side if these resistances act too strongly Nifty has a support at 22080, 21868 (50 days EMA) or mother line support, and 21710 which was the recent low. Below 21710 closing if at all it happens there can be further blood bath.
Nifty took a trend line support while trying to form a bottom.Nifty took a trend line support at 21710 while trying to form a bottom. If the bottom is confirmed tomorrow and we get a few positive candles while closing the day or week above 22042 some bullishness can return to the market. In case the level of 21710 is broken the next support level is near 21524. In case we get a closing this week above 22042. Further resistance levels will be seen at 22204, 22299 and 22454. Shadow of the candle for tomorrow looks firmly positive as of now.
Nifty Analysis and the levels where the buck might stop. In this video we have discussed the short to medium term outlook for Indian markets. We have also tried to analyse the micro and macro factors affecting the recent downturn. Also in the video we have explained how to use the tool called 'Parallel channel' to guesstimate levels of indices or stocks.
Double Bottom Kind of structure is forming in Nifty. Double Bottom Kind of structure is forming in Nifty but still it is delicately placed. If the levels of 22037 and 21912 are held which are a support zone and if the resistance zone of 50 and 200 Hours EMA which are at 22072 and 22144 are broken on the upper side we can see strength.
Thus the support Zones for Nifty are at: 22037 and 21912. Below 21912 bears will strengthen their grip.
The Strong Resistance Zones that Nifty needs to cross for Bulls to start taking control is the zone between 22072 and 22144.
Other Resistances if this zone is crossed will be at : 22206, 22301, 22361, 22445 and finally 22525.