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Very good Daily candle showing the fightback of NiftyWe saw a very good Daily candle showing the fightback of Nifty a closing above important résistance of 21421 indicates that we might be heading towards 21500+ tomorrow if global factors keep the things bright. In this case the resistance that Nifty will face will be at 21582(Major resistance), followed by 21684 and 21772. On the lower side the supports for Nifty will be at 21412, 21137 and 21080 (Major support 50 days EMA and Mid-Channel resistance). Things are poised interestingly with shadow the candle looking slightly positive for the start tomorrow.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Strong Resistance ensures steep fall in Nifty. Strong Resistance zone of 21607 to 21857 sends Nifty in a downward spiral and makes it topple towards 50 days EMA(Mother Line). This has lead to frantic fall in RSI of Nifty. On 15th January the Rsi of Nifty was 73.88 today it is 44.88. Still little bit of cool down in RSI can not be ruled out. The immediate support for Nifty is near 21218. This is a weak support which may not hold but you never exactly know. The next support if 21218 is broken will be near 21065. 21065 in not only the Mother Line (50 days EMA) but also the mid channel support on the daily chart making it a very strong support. If 50 EMA does not hold the bears will tighten the grip on the stock market and may try their best to bring the Nifty to 20794. Holding 21065 or 20794 will be very important and the levels to watch out for. If these do not sustain we may see 20297, 19849 or even 19738.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty trapped between strong support and strong resistanceRight now Nifty seems to be trapped between strong support and strong resistance. The support zone is 21415 to 21581. Resistance zone is 21670 to 21847. Nifty needs little bit of consolidation in the range. Results from various companies will drive the nifty forward in either direction. The interim budget is also around the corner that can also be a guiding light for Nifty. Wild swings in either direction in addition to Geo-Political events can also turn the fate of Nifty and things can turn cloudy in a session or two. My advice for now will be stick to large caps and selective mid and small caps with ethical management and strong fundamentals and avoid companies with low durability, high debt, high pledging and questionable ethics. Which should be the case anyway but more so with Macro and Micro global situations and events which are in progress and around the corner.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty trying to form bottom after taking channel bottom supportNifty trying to form a bottom after taking channel bottom support. Nity touched the bottom of our hourly channel and trying to consolidate in the zone. Major support for Nifty from here will be 21405 (200 Hours EMA) (Father Line) and Channel bottom 21285. If 21285 is broken Nifty may fall further till 21089 or even 20967. On the way up major resistances that Nifty will face now are 21544, 21650 and 21715 (Major Resistance 50 Hours EMA). Also note that Mid channel channel resistance is also near 21740 region. So 21715 to 21740 will be major resistance on the way up. Nifty might try to stage a recovery tomorrow but let us see if the levels hold. Weekly closing is important with Geo-Political tensions rising between Iran and Pakistan. As well as Afghanistan and Pakistan.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Market becomes a ruthless teacher today. Market today was in ferocious ruthless form today. Overheated RSI sometimes stays overheated for few days or weeks and sometimes like today cools off in a day. Yesterday the RSI was above 70 and today it is below 30 on the hourly chart. 21550 is a good support zone from where we can see recovery but it is less likely possible point of reversal. The possible point of reversal can be 21450 and 21397. If 21397 is broken the next supports levels will be at 2133, 21188 or 20999. On the upper side the resistances will be at 21687, 21754, 21796 and 21847. It looks like the start might be negative but later in the afternoon or Friday Nifty can try to stage a recovery.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Was it profit booking or Channel Top resistance? or both? Nifty is facing a channel top resistance and trying to cool down/climb down from the overbought zone. The Major resistance for Nifty going ahead are at 22056 and very strong Channel top resistance near 22124. Supports for Nifty on the lower side as it tries to cool down it's RSI will be at 21973, 21917, 21840 (Mother Line, Good support 50 Hours EMA), 21758 and 21687 (Mid Channel Support). If Mid-Channel support is broken the next supports will be near 21591, 21455 and finally 21377 (Father line, Major support 200 Hour EMA). Nifty looks as if it will start negatively tomorrow in the afternoon it can try and stage a recovery.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
New Record But How Far can The Rally Stretch? Blockbuster rally makes it a festive Makar Sankranti, Uttarayan, Bihu, Lohri and Pongal for investors but how far can this rally stretch is the question? I will try to answer the question based on Technical analysis. On the onset let me tell you that predicting exact top and exact bottom in a short term is a very difficult task but The candle today has opened the door that leads us towards 22326 which is a Fibonacci resistance level. Fibonacci resistances are really little difficult to cross and it will require full force of bulls to do so. If 22326 is crossed the next resistance can be near 22769 and 23119. Immediate resistance for Nifty will be at 22115. Supports on the lower side for Nifty are at 21952, 21716 (strong support), 21474 and finally 20928. Closing below 20928 the Nifty can fall to the levels of 19624.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Medium Term and Long Term Targets for Nifty for 2024. There are two trend triangles formed in the daily chart of Nifty. The larger triangle indicates the long term target for Nifty at 23098. The triangle within that which indicates the medium term range or target of Nifty tells us that current rally can peak near 22326. In the process of reaching these targets the support zones are indicated by the green lines and Mother, Father lines (50 and 200 days EMA) which are at 21743, 21486, 20988, 20880 50 Days EMA strong support (Mother line), 20542, 20268, 19857 and finally 19599 200 days EMA very strong support (Father line, 200 days EMA).
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Trendline resistance stopping Nifty again and again. Trendline resistance stopping Nifty again and again. Tomorrow is critical for Nifty as it is squeezing between the trendline and 50 Hours EMA. 50 Hours EMA currently at 21616 is supporting Nifty and Trendline resistance is stopping Nifty since January 24 as you can see in the chart. Very important for Nifty to cross and close above it tomorrow or in the next few days for it to grow further. If Nifty is not able to cross the same in next few trading sessions weakness can engulf it. Critical supports for Nifty are at 21616, 21544 and finally 21457. The movement in Nifty giant Reliance since last 2 days is helping Nifty close in Green. Tomorrow if Reliance continues its move, TCS with decent result moves upwards Nifty can break the trendline resistance and grow ahead. On the other hand HDFC is showing little stiffness due to become little exhausted, Infosys has given a below par result and these 2 are dragging the Nifty down along with some other players. Resistance for Nifty remains at 21680, 21718, 21768 and 21830. With supports and resistances staying strong some thing's got to give. Shadow of the candle seems positive again but things can change quickly with more important quarterly results coming and Nifty squeezing between supports and resistance. Big move on either side is also a clear and present possibility.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty closed strongly above 50 hours EMA more upside possibleNifty closed strongly above 50 hours EMA after testing exactly the channel bottom drawn and shown by us from last few days more upside is possible but important resistances for Nifty to cross on the way up will be 21661, 21718 and 21768. closing above 21768 will open the doors for 22K+ again with resistances at 21830 and 21927. Supports for Nifty on the lower side are at 21604, 21514 and 21457. Below 21457 bears wake up again. Things look positive for a good start tomorrow but later in the day there can be some resistance + Selling pressure at 21661 and 21718 or 21768.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty felt the heat again in the trend line resistance. As you can see in the chart Nifty started the day brilliantly jumped above 50 Hours EMA and was going up in a rapid pace wiping all the losses of yesterday till it hit the trend line resistance which was near 21725 and immediately fell relentlessly giving a big red candle for the day. Only saving grace was it ended in Green at the close of the day again finding the support near 21500 this time at 21517. Support and resistance for Nifty now will be at 21619 50 Hours EMA (tough resistance), 21700 and 21768 another tough mid channel resistance. Supports on the lower side are near 21500, 21389 and finally 21235. Volatility and Profit booking at higher levels in selected counters in addition to buying at lower levels again may remain the theme for some time now.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty Showing weakness and near important support level.Nifty was repelled from the resistance zone near 21768 and got thrashed throughout the day as RSI had to cool down. Further downside is possible if support zone of 21500 to 21425 is broken. In this case further down side upto 21389 or 21235 is possible. The worst case scenario as of now looks near 21143. In case 21143 is broken Bears can strengthen their grip and bring the index under their control. Resistances zone on the up side is between 21593 and 21613. Further upside upto 21686 or 21768 can be seen in case we are able to close above 21613 level.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Its a Doji formed in Nifty with a positive shadow. As discussed in the morning in the video/ previous messages, the area around 21500 can be a major support area and so it proved to be. Nifty stayed aloft the whole day but closed below the next resistance of 21686 . If we get an opening above 21686 or if we get few hourly candles above 21686 and the Nifty sustains there for a couple of hours further journey can begin with resistances at 21839. Next resistance will be at 22005 and finally channel top of 22363. Supports on the lower side remain at 21555, 21500 and 21242.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Weakness can continue if important levels breached. Two key levels for Nifty to hold on in this market weakness triggered by some global events and Profit booking are 21555 and 21450. Closing below 21450 can lead to further weakness and Nifty can fall to the levels of 21242, 20951 or even 20768. The worst case scenario visible as of now seems to be 20592. In case 20592 is breached Bears will start calling the shots and pull Nifty back levels of 19809 are possible but not probable. (Major Negative News). In case Nifty takes support at 21555 or 21450, form a bottom and bounce resistance will be near 21751, 21839. Closing above 21839 will open the door towards channel top area which can lead Nifty to 22K or even 22363 levels.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
21800 to 21840 is zone which is proving to be strong resistance.Another Dangerous Doji formed today. If yesterday's Doji candle was indecisive, today's Doji was little negative in nature as the closing was substantially low compared to where the index was before just an hour or 2 before closing. Mainly the news of Earthquake in Japan and the magnitude of destruction could be one of the reason of sudden weakness. Support for Nifty will be at 21682, 21471 and 21242. Resistance on the upper side for Nifty will be at 21802 and 21840. Crossing and closing above 21840 can give Nifty a free run towards 21900 or even 22000. But indecisiveness is causing a negative shadow.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty facing a trendline resistance near 21800.Nifty is facing a trendline resistance near 21800. 22000 seems to be the top for the current hourly parallel channel with a strong resistance near 21800 and 21891. There are various levels of support for the Nifty from the current level are 21676, 21597, 21526 (Strong Support 50 hours EMA), 21397 and 21239 (Channel bottom). Either 20995 or 20883 can be the turning point or reversal points closing below which current bull rally can end.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty Moving Swiftly taking the support of trend-line. Nifty Moving Swiftly taking the support of trend-line making a HHHL pattern (Higher High, Higher Low). Nifty might face little bit of a technical resistance between today's high 21675 and 21690. Closing above 21690 will open the gates towards 21799 and finally 22K levels. The road towards 22K after Crossing 21799 might not be as smooth as things have been till now. Supports for Nifty remain at 21599, 21476 and 21373 (Very important and strong support). closing below 21373 can take Nifty upto 21112 or even below 20K levels. Resistances on the way up for Nifty will be at the zone between 21675 and 21690. Major channel top resistance is near 21799.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty continues good show, ends above mid-channel resistanceNifty continues good show and ended the day above mid-channel resistance. Nifty right now looks pretty fairly placed to touch the previous high or end making a new high. Top of the currently looks near 21800. The resistances on the way towards top of the channel are at 21483, 21541 and 21592. Crossing and closing above 21592 will open the doors for 21800. Supports on the down side are near 21397, 21303 (Major Support 50 Hours EMA), 21113 and finally channel bottom near 20980. Trend will change to negative if we get a closing below 20696.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty stopped at Mid-Channel resistance of hourly channelNifty today stopped at mid-channel resistance of hourly channel. holding above 50 hours EMA (Mother Line) was a significant step in recovery towards recent high that Nifty made earlier this month. Supports for Nifty 50 remain at 21302 and 21258 (Major support - 50 hours EMA) mother line. If we get a closing next week below 21258 the Nifty can fall further to 21113 or 20980 levels. Trend can change to negative if we get a closing below 20777. Bear can awaken from coma if and only if we get a closing below 20641 (200 Hours EMA)(Father Line). Resistances on the way up will be at 20397, 21483 and previous high around 21593.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Possibility of V shaped recovery for NiftyNifty staged a good recovery. There is a further possibility of V shaped recovery for Nifty if it manages to close above critical resistance level of 21322. If we get a closing above 21322 tomorrow and there is no further bad news regarding COVID or some international factor in the weekend the next resistance levels will be 21418 and 21483. Final resistance before we reach 21600 will be at 21952. Support levels on the lower side for Nifty will be at 21231 (50 Hours EMA), 21113, 20980 recent low and finally channel bottom of 20849. If we get a closing later in the month below 20849 the Nifty can fall to 20172 and 20591. Closing below 20591 will be a trend change to negative. For morning as of now the things are looking good.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Reasonsing the fall support resistance levels of Nifty. Detection of New Covid variant set the panic button rolling. There has to be a reason for overbought market to fall. This news created panic or it was used to create panic. We never know for certain how big this will be. Everyone wants to be cautious. The markets were overbought on charts. FIIs were sitting on handsome Profits and Christmas time they usually encash the same to book profits. Show it in the account books. Usually they book Profits around this time / year end (Financial year end in the West). Show the profit where ever and if they want to / have to. Hence they book Profit. Also there is periodic churning and sectoral rotation. Which is necessary in my opinion even for the long term investors. Lot of Large cap stocks did not suffer / did not suffer as much as the small and mid cap stocks. We have been vocal about sectoral rotation towards Large and selective Mid/Small cap stocks since long time. RSI / MACD (Relative Strength Index/ Moving Averages Convergence and Divergence ) were indicating since last few days that markets are overbought. Hence correction on Technical grounds was also necessary for fresh leg of rally. What Next? Invest in fundamentally strong stocks which are looking good on chart. Booking losses is also part of the investment journey if required. (Specially if stop losses are hit). When to buy? Do not catch a falling knife. Catch the bouncing ball. Let the stock you like the most confirm their bottom. Bounce from the bottom and then you buy them. Market is always a mystery. If you look at FII DII numbers today. DII were buying the dip. You never know for sure when the market will turn exactly. This fall should have happened 10/15 days back. But in one day market can cover what it could have done in 10 days. In One day it can come back with a bang tomorrow. We should always follow the individual chart of the company. Book Profit where every we can periodically at least partial profit booking can be done. No one has gone broke in the world by booking profits. Sectoral rotation at times is also beneficial. As far as support and resistance levels are concerned. Nifty Support Levels: 21097, 21032 and 20849 are the supports. (20849 is rather a strong support). If 20849 is broken Nifty can fall further to 200 Hours EMA at 20546. Resistance Levels: 21236 (Strong resistance) followed by 21322 and 21483. 21593 (high of the current rally will me a major resistance now). Wait for the bounce do not buy the dip in a hurry.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Positive sentiment dragging Nifty further. Daily Chart of Nifty 50 suggests us that Nifty has hit the resistance zone. The zone between 21505 and 21665 is a resistance zone and has multiple resistances. Nifty continues as on date to be overbought. The reason of Nifty not falling is support from FII buying and multiple technical supports between 21352 and 21246. If 21246 is broken Nifty can fall to 21037 or even 20776 levels. 20776 should be considered a major support. If by chance we see a closing Below 20776 bears will get out of comma and can try to drag Nifty to 20502 or even 20178 levels. This should be the range of Nifty for the next 15 days to 1 month. Momentum of Nifty remains strong as on date and every dip is being bought. Such stage can lead to euphoria and investors getting trapped at higher levels. One needs to be very choosy in selecting the scripts while investing as always but more so in the stage of rally we are currently.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty exactly at Mid-Channel support looking to confirm bottom. Nifty RSI cooled rapidly and the index currently is exactly at Mid-channel support line. This line can act as a support but incase we do not get a green candle to start the day tomorrow the next support for Nifty will be near 21368 strong support followed by 21295 and 21237. If 21237 is broken Nifty can fall further to 21155, 21117 or even 21082. If some negative global news or the fear of New Covid Variant create panic and in case we get a closing below 21082 there is a chance of Bears trying to make a come back. Resistances on the upper side are at 21460, 21498 and finally 21546. The rally can for a top near 21604 if it has not formed a top already.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment