Nifty squeezing between strong support & resistance zonesNifty is squeezing between strong support & resistance zones currently. The Résistance zone is between 19466 to 19548. Strong Support zone is between 19323 and 19414. Neither side is willing to give way. The next Three trading sessions hold key to decide the direction of the market in the short term. In the long term overall sentiments of the market remain positive.
Spotnifty
Good Closing to the week. Light may shine in Muhurat trading.A very good candle to close the week by Nifty on Friday. In general, there is good buying on the Muhurat day. In addition to this markets in US and seems to be closing on a strong footing in US. All this can lead to a bumper Muhurat day session and the following week can also shine with positivity in this festivity adding more glitter to the festival of lights. Resistances on the upper side remain at 19444 (Looks like this resistance can be leapfrogged). Further resistances will be near 19582, 19695 and finally 19860. Supports on the lower side will be near 19316 and 19221. (The zone between 19316 and 19221 is a strong support zone now). Below this level 19078 and 18873 will be the final supports.
Nifty consolidating below 50 days EMA. Nifty is consolidating below 50 days EMA. Also note that 50 days EMA is the Mother line so the stock price below the same indicates that 50 EMA is a resistance(To Know what is Mother Father Small Child Theory contact us). Once this resistance is crossed the next resistances for Nifty will be at 19695, 19860, 20047 and finally 20215. Crossing and closing above 20215 will open the gates for Long Term Target or 21000 or by next Diwali even 22000. The supports on the lower side for Nifty remain at 19294, 19075, 18863 and finally 18663. Below 18663 Nifty becomes weak and Bears take control of the same.
Nifty (Market Outlook) (Diwali to Diwali Outlook)Nifty will continue to consolidate but remain bullish in the coming 12 months the range in which we expect Nifty to remain till next Diwali will be 18800 to 22000. Worst case scenario seems to be 17800 and the best case scenario seems to be Nifty going towards 22K.
Midcap will remain bullish if FII inflow continues and Large caps are also expected to grow decently between 7 to 15%. Large caps will be a safer bet for conservative investors as volatility will be expected.
Volatility is expected in the index as it is an election year and unresolved global issues are still trying to play a role however, India should remain rising and shining star of global economy.
Good jump but more distance to go post consolidation or gap up. As Depicted yesterday we crossed level 1 resistance and ended just below resistance level 2. Level 2 resistance was 19413 and we closed to 19411. Once we get a closing above 19413 the next level will be 19562. Supports for Nifty now are at 19353 and 19276. Things still looking positive either we jump above the resistances we can progress very fast towards 19681 and 20K levels.
Nifty forming a good channel on hourly chart. Nifty is forming a good channel on hourly chart and things are looking positive for now. Once the Nifty crosses and closes above small resistance of 19145 and 19177 and hold that support. (It is very much possible that Nifty opens gap up above 19177 which will be very good technically, the next targets for spot nifty will be 19230, 19353 and 19425. Support on the lower side are at 19070, 19007 and 18935. Expecting a good closure to the week as things right now look positive. Some big negative news from Middle East can still spoil the party so be cautious.
US FED Pause can give the Market a much needed Booster doseThe market was crumbling under the pressure of crisis in the Middle East since last few days but the news of US FED Pause in the rate hike can give the Market, a much needed Booster dose. The things can turn positive from here because of the news mentioned above as well has market respecting the support zone between 18985 to 18839 zone. Last 2 to 3 days have seen a consolidation of sorts, which can charter the path or market recovery. Important resistance levels for Nifty will be 19094 and 19230. Above 19230 the major resistance level will be near 19472.
Mid Channel Resistance stopped Positive looking NiftyMid channel resistance acted on positive looking Nifty and levels above 19230 could not sustain. Closing below Mid channel resistance is not a good sign. If Nifty had closed above 19230 we would have seen a sharp rise. Now we are looking at an important support level of 19033. If Nifty can give a closing above 19033 tomorrow it will be considered a positive signal again. If Nifty is not able to sustain above 19033 then again the recent low of 18837 will be tested. If 18837 is not held in the coming week we may see a dip again upto 18489 levels. (Looks little unlikely but you can never be sure with the global tensions going on). Resistances on the upper side will be 19124 and 19230. Above 19230 the next resistance will be near 19492.
Nifty Giving a confirmation candle today spells positivity Nifty has given a perfect consolidation candle today which can lead to positivity for the coming day or it can even extend the full week if some critical resistance levels are crossed.
Important Resistance levels for Spot Nifty now are: 19374 and 19509(Very strong resistance).
Important Support levels for Spot Nifty now are: 18835 and 18489.
Nifty Weekly Outlook. As expected Nifty took support from 200 days EMA (Father Line) and jumped 190 points. We are not out of woods yet as the resistance levels in front of us now are 19097, 19366 and 19524 (Major resistance). Supports for Nifty are near 18832 and 18557. Falling below 18557 Nifty can crash further to 18333 levels. It is important for Nifty now to give a confirmation reversal candle on Monday. If we get a Green confirmation candle on Monday we can finally say that Nifty has bottomed out of the Middle East crisis. So Monday and Tuesday closing will be important for further recovery.
Nifty still looking weak.
Nifty looks week and it is presenting / Will Present a great opportunity for the long term investors to accumulate gems from bottom. Market is not yet oversold but it starting to look one.
Important support levels for Nifty are: 18830, 18333 (likely bottom). If 18333 is broken we might see bears taking complete charge of the market and drag it further down to 17734 or 16818 levels. (Very unlikely but you never say never).
Predicting exact top and exact bottom is next to impossible job we can pick probable levels which can at as strong supply zones or comeback zones for spot Nifty.
More Fall possible but bottom fishers can get readyIn all likelihood the market is getting ready to test the support levels mentioned earlier that is 19029, 18867 or 18826. Long term investors who are holding on to cash can start taking X/3 or X/4 entries in the Portfolio / Long term investment stocks. Market seems to be on the verge of being oversold. Start selecting the stocks that are most likely to be less affected by the Middle East crisis or the stocks that can benefit from the Middle East crisis. More money is made by investing during market falls in the stocks that are looking strong and not hitting the stop losses than actual investment during the bull run.
Recovery from the big jolt on Monday expected but slowly.As depicted during the weekend a fall was expected. Now recovery from the big jolt on Monday expected but slowly. The supports will be tested again and the recovery might not be as smooth as expected by many investors. As you might have seen FIIs and DIIs were net buyers in the current fall then why the market crashed? Mostly it was due to rush of retail investors who were holding the market. The knee jerk reaction to the Middle East crisis was there to be seen in the market and difficult times might not be over as chances of further escalation is a clear and present danger.
Supports For Nifty: 19213, 19029, 18867 and 18826.
Resistances For Nifty: 19331, 19477 and 19684.
The support that Nifty took today will be tested. Nifty took a decisive support today and bounced back closing above 50 days EMA which shows strength in the market, however the support taken by Nifty yesterday 19512 might be tested again today. If that support hold then we may see a positive up move on today or in the coming week. Nifty will remain under pressure throughout the day. situation remains grim due to Middle East crisis. Auto sector looks positive and Chemical sector seems to be forming a bottom.
Nifty Supports: 19511 and 19357.
Nifty Resistance:19690 and 19898.
Middle East Crisis send shivers down investor's spines. Middle East Crisis send shivers down investor's spines. Things are not looking that great as Nifty will probably look for further support levels. It will be a surprise if spot Nifty hold ground and closes above 50 days EMA (Mother line) that is 19604. If 19604 is broken further supports for Nifty can be found at the levels of 19357. Resistance on the upper side will be at 19878. Let us see where Nifty can hold 19357 by end of this week. Only saving grace is DIIs are buying and buying big since last few days against FII selling.
Nifty Looking forward with strong positive biasNifty looking strong and holding above the strong support of 19770 can be good positive other supports for spot Nifty are at 19731, 19680 and 19634. Major support closing below which the positive trend can change is 19481. Crossing and closing above 19856 will unleash more upside to Nifty and take it towards 19942, 20053 and finally 20219. Things are looking strong as of now it the level of 19770. The only catch and red flag being further escalation in Middle East crisis and Third of Fourth party joining the ongoing conflict.
Reverse Head and Shoulder pattern forming in Nifty (Positive)On a closer look at the Nifty hourly chart and smart recovery from the lows of the day, it seems that Nifty is forming a 'Reverse Head and Shoulder' pattern. This is very effective and very positive pattern. This pattern will come into effect if we get a daily closing above 19851 or thereabouts. The supports on the lower side for Nifty will be at 19712, 19600 and 19481. Resistances on the upper side are at 19851, 19891, 19942 and 20009.
19831 proved as resistance as depicted yesterday. Read Yesterday's idea and look what was said about 19831. Look at the chart and see what 19831 did. Yesterday the resistance level was given 19831 look what happened today. Look at the specific area in the circle. That ladies and Gentlemen is power of Technical analysis. All the other resistance and support levels remain the same. As we could not cross the resistance today we might start negatively or very negatively and Nifty might stage a recovery later in the day or couple of days. 19690, 19663 or 19622 can prove to be important supports.
Nifty Looking Strong and rampaging ahead.Nifty is touch wood crossing resistance after resistance and rampaging ahead as if these resistances where mere matter of small hurdles to cross. The next major resistance for Nifty is just around the corner at 19831 which it might again try to cover by opening gap up tomorrow. If not gap up it will take some doing to cross 19831 and 19994. As they are strong resistances. Support for Spot Nifty on the lower side remain at 19722 and 19572.
Great Come back by Nifty in the background of Middle-East CrisisNifty made an immense come back to post the knee-jerk reaction to the crisis brewing in the Middle East. A follow up candle tomorrow to confirm the grip of bulls will be required however for the bull run to continue. The resistances on the upper side for spot Nifty will be at 19721, 19817 and 19894. Supports for Nifty on the lower side will be at 19474 (Strong Mid-channel support) and 19333.
Nifty took support at the trendline todayImmense massive selling pressure across sectors Nifty took support at the trendline 19479. holding this level is the key now to progress. If in the coming week this support is broken we may see support near 19227 or 18905. Closing below 19560 (50 days EMA) is a bad sign. Let us see if Nifty recovers tomorrow from the trend line support. In case of recovery further resistances will be at 19560, 19657 and 19777.
Nifty can bounce from Support. Nifty can bounce from Support if it can sustain above the levels of Friday high. That is 19799 tomorrow or in the coming week. In this case the resistances on the upper side will be 19921, 19991, 20038 and finally 20176. Supports for Nifty on the lower side remain at 19502 and 19208 on the daily chart. The momentum it gained on Friday should continue on Tuesday otherwise the Nifty will remain side ways for a few days. Crossing and closing above 19799 levels is crucial for fresh leg of rally to start in Nifty .
Market is indecisive but bias seems to be positive to neutral.Market is indecisive but bias seems to be positive to neutral. If the support near 19483 will be broken the Nifty can further fall towards 19227, 18905 or 18531 levels. Resistances on the upper side for Nifty remain at 19795 and 20000. Nifty took a support on Friday at the trendline and bounced handsomely above 19600 which is a good sign. Now sustaining above the same will be the key for regaining 20,000+ levels. The chances for Nifty remaining side-ways are also there for the coming week.