USOUSD Spot Oil Jumps on Geopolitical Escalation LONGSpot Oil on 30-minute chart had a slow rise in the past 24 hours followed by a pause and then a
jump on the Israeli retaliation strikes into Iran. Middle East oil shipping in the Red Sea and
Persian Gulf are at risk and shipping insurance for ongoing shipments is likely to experience
heavy rate increases if shipping does occur. Houthi rebels may resume proxy attacks on the
behalf of Iran. New sanctions contemplated against Iran may include increased action on oil
exports and the Israelis could target oil infrastructure. Overall, spot oil now has a bullish
bias. I see good cause to increase oil based positions at this time. My target for spot oil
based on VWAP lines currently on the chart is 87.5 about 4% upside without leveraging.
The volume indicator shows increased buying volumes relative to selling. The PVT shows a quick
burst of trend momentum while the TTM indictor triggered and has an upgoing histogram.
Spotoil
OXY SHORT after bouncing down from All Time ResistanceOXY as shown on the chart is still in a megaphone pattern.
Horizontal resistance red line is the all time highs of Spring 2018.
In the past several trading sessions, spot oil has dropped from $96 to $87.
The MACD indicator which is lagging shows the K / D cross over the histogram.
Accordingly, OXY is now trending downward to the mid-Fibonacci retracement levels
and the confluence of the mid-line of the megaphone pattern.
This appears to be a safe short trade setup especially now that the buying
pressure of Mr. Buffet has subsided.