Market Reversal or Just a Pause? PEPSI Faces a Pivotal MomentIs PEP Ready for a Breakout or a Breakdown?
NASDAQ-PEP finds itself at a crossroads, trading at $150.39, nearly 24% below its all-time high of $196.88 from May 2023. However, recent price action suggests that volatility is brewing. The stock has rebounded 6.2% from its absolute low of $141.51, recorded just 24 days ago, and is now hovering near key technical levels.
The 50-hour moving average (MA50) at $151.06 and 100-hour moving average (MA100) at $150.93 indicate that PEP is struggling to maintain upside momentum. Additionally, the RSI14 is at 39.18, signaling that the stock is nearing oversold conditions—historically a zone where buyers start stepping in.
Adding to the intrigue, a Buy Volumes Takeover pattern appeared on January 31, with an attempted push higher, but the main directional force remained bearish. Will buyers finally overpower the downtrend, or is this just another false hope before a deeper correction?
With resistance looming at $155.94, PEP needs a convincing breakout. Failure to reclaim this level could expose it to renewed selling pressure, possibly retesting lower supports at $149.14 and $146.45.
The question remains: Is this the last chance to catch an uptrend before PEP slips further? Stay tuned for the next move!
NASDAQ-PEP: Pattern Roadmap – The Market’s Hidden Clues
The market never moves randomly—every candle tells a story. Let’s break down the latest sequence of patterns that shaped NASDAQ-PEP’s price action and see which signals traders should have paid attention to.
January 27 - Buy Volumes Surge, Bulls Step In
Opening at $152.26 and closing at $153.57, PEP flashed an Increased Buy Volumes pattern, hinting at a bullish move. The next step? Confirmation was needed—would price hold above its recent lows and push higher?
January 28 - Bearish Shift as Sellers Dominate
Just a day later, the script flipped. A Sell Volumes Max pattern took over, pulling PEP down from $150.6 to $150.19. The abrupt reversal signaled a shakeout—weak longs got trapped.
January 29 - VSA Buy Pattern Brings the Bounce
The bulls fought back, forming a VSA Manipulation Buy Pattern. With a low of $150.23 and a push to $150.95, this setup hinted at smart money stepping in. The key was the low of the last three bars—a crucial trigger point for future movement.
January 30 - VSA Sell Triggers a Deeper Drop
Despite the previous day’s rally, VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern 2nd took control, closing at $152.01 from an open of $152.37. This was a textbook trap—prices moved up, only to be swept back down.
January 31 - Buy Volumes Takeover, Bulls Reload
After the prior day’s bearish push, another Buy Volumes Takeover emerged, attempting to shift control back to buyers. The range tightened, but was this a real reversal or another bull trap?
The roadmap shows a clear battle between buyers and sellers, with rapid shifts in direction. The market is at a tipping point—will bulls finally regain control, or is another sell-off looming? Stay locked in.
Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Levels to Watch
Every market move is a test—either levels hold, or they flip into resistance. Here’s where the real game is played:
Support Levels:
$149.14 – First demand zone. If buyers step in, expect a bounce. If not, it flips into resistance, trapping late longs.
$146.45 – The make-or-break level. A failure here could open the door for a deeper dive.
Resistance Levels:
$155.94 – First wall for bulls. Needs a solid breakout to confirm upside momentum.
$163.18 - $165.15 – Heavy supply zone. If price stalls here, shorts will pile in.
$168.7 - $170.83 – Stronger hands waiting to offload. Only a clean breakout can shift momentum.
Powerful Support Levels:
$169.2 – If price ever reclaims this, the game changes completely.
$196.57 – The final boss level.
Levels are only as strong as their reaction. If support fails, these same levels will act as magnets for sellers, creating resistance on any pullbacks. Stay sharp—this is where the market traps traders.
Trading Strategies with Rays: Precision Entry & Exit Points
The market moves through a dynamic structure of Fibonacci-based rays, where each interaction defines the next move. These rays, combined with VSA (Volume Spread Analysis) levels, create a predictive map—guiding trades from one ray to the next.
Optimistic Scenario: Bullish Ray Interaction
If price interacts with the $149.14 support level and shows buying volume confirmation, we look for a move toward the next ray. The key signals:
Moving averages (MA50 at $151.06, MA100 at $150.93) aligning with price movement.
First target: $155.94 – the first strong resistance where sellers may emerge.
Second target: $163.18 - $165.15 – a breakout here signals trend continuation.
Third target: $168.7 - $170.83 – a full bullish scenario unfolding.
Pessimistic Scenario: Bearish Breakdown Below Support
If price fails to hold $149.14 and sellers take control, we pivot to a short strategy:
Price confirms a breakdown below $146.45, signaling further weakness.
First target: $141.51 – the previous absolute low, critical for buyers to step in.
Second target: New breakdown structure, where price searches for fresh demand zones.
Key Trade Setups Based on Ray Interactions
Bounce Long from $149.14 → Target $155.94: If price interacts with the ray and moving averages turn upward, this trade has strong risk-reward potential.
Breakout Trade Above $155.94 → Target $163.18: Needs clear volume confirmation—watch for aggressive buy-side flows.
Short Below $146.45 → Target $141.51: A clean break and close under this level confirms bearish sentiment.
Every move starts with interaction with a ray, and the price will continue from one ray to the next—that’s the core principle. The market map is set—are you ready to play it?
Your Move – Let’s Talk Trading!
Markets don’t lie—price respects structure, and now you’ve got the map. Check back later to see how price follows these rays and levels—because that’s the key to understanding real trading setups.
Got questions? Drop them in the comments! Let’s discuss the setups, confirm levels, and make sure everyone gets clarity. If this analysis helped you, hit Boost and save it—you’ll want to revisit this as price plays out.
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SPX (S&P 500 Index)
IDXX: The Market Is at a Crossroads—Breakout or Breakdown?Is This the Moment to Act?
The stock of IDEXX Laboratories (NASDAQ: IDXX) is hovering at a critical juncture, trading at $422.05, a 27.7% drop from its all-time high of $583.39. At first glance, the recent movement seems like a mere consolidation, but beneath the surface, an intense battle is unfolding between buyers and sellers.
Technicals reveal a brewing storm—the RSI at 46.35 suggests neutrality, but Money Flow Index (MFI) at 39.98 leans toward weakness. The 50-day moving average (MA50) at 422.3 is a stone’s throw away from the current price, indicating the market is watching for confirmation. Meanwhile, resistance at $424.53 is just within reach—if bulls take charge, this could be the first signal of a short-term breakout.
But wait—there’s a catch. Recent candle patterns indicate increased sell volumes, a classic warning sign of potential downside risks. The last major sell pattern on January 31 showed a sharp rejection at $424.43, and unless we see strong volume buyers stepping in, the risk of slipping toward support at $402 remains high.
Where Are We Headed?
With IDXX standing on this thin line, the market is asking: Is this the moment to position for a reversal, or are we bracing for a deeper correction? Traders and investors should be watching for a decisive break above $424.53 or a failure to hold support levels.
This could be the last chance before a major move—are you ready?
NASDAQ-IDXX: Roadmap of Market Moves – The Battle of Bulls and Bears
A roadmap in trading isn’t just a sequence of events—it’s a story of market psychology, where each pattern leaves a footprint on the battlefield of buyers and sellers. Here’s the real flow of price action for NASDAQ-IDXX, based purely on patterns that confirmed their direction.
The Bulls Charge – But Can They Hold the Line?
January 27, 20:00 UTC – Buy Volumes Max
The market roared with an increased buy volume, opening at $426.77 and closing higher at $427.23. This signaled an attempt by bulls to break through resistance. However, there was a looming challenge: resistance levels ahead had to be cleared for real momentum.
January 28, 15:00 UTC – Another Bullish Wave
Buyers doubled down, pushing the price from an open of $416.11 to a close of $421.37. This further confirmed bullish control, and the pattern movement of 12.52% showed serious strength. The trigger worked—the price moved up in line with the bullish pattern's prediction.
The Tide Turns – Sellers Strike Back
January 31, 20:00 UTC – Sell Volumes Max
Just when it seemed like bulls had control, sellers stepped in aggressively. The price peaked at $424.43, only to close lower at $421.69. This was a warning shot—bears were waiting at resistance, and the volume shift suggested an impending reversal.
February 1 – The Market Faces a Crossroad
If buyers can reclaim the $424.53 resistance, momentum might continue. But if sellers push below $420, the next stop could be the $402 support. This is the make-or-break zone—who wins this battle will dictate the next big move.
What’s Next?
NASDAQ-IDXX is at a decision point—does it continue the rally or give way to bearish pressure? Keep your eyes on the next volume shifts. The market has shown its hand, but the final move is still in play.
Technical & Price Action Analysis
Support Levels:
402 – key support; if broken, opens the door to 388.76
388.76 – potential bounce zone, but if lost, it flips into resistance
368.57 – deeper retest area; a breakdown strengthens bearish pressure
334.33 – last line of defense for the bulls
Resistance Levels:
424.53 – seller zone; a breakout could open the path to 442.86
442.86 – testing this level will decide the next move
454.52 – holding above could trigger further upside momentum
474.54 – critical breakout level for a stronger rally
Powerful Support Levels:
449.01 – strong demand zone; failure to hold flips it into resistance
458.67 – key structural support, breaking below turns it into a ceiling
466.6 – battle zone for buyers; a break here gives sellers full control
489.56 – ultimate test before entering deeper correction territory
523.81 – major historical support, but if lost, expect a trend shift
Powerful Resistance Levels:
370.92 – if broken, will act as a support zone for future price action
If these levels fail to hold, expect them to flip into resistance, setting the stage for a trend shift. Keep an eye on volume confirmation before committing to a directional bias.
Trading Strategies Based on Rays
Concept of Rays
The VSA Rays system is built on Fibonacci mathematical and geometric principles, dynamically adapting to market movements. These rays serve as key zones for price interaction, signaling either a reversal or continuation. Instead of predicting exact levels, the method allows us to analyze probabilities of reaction, ensuring trades are executed only after interaction with a ray and confirmation from dynamic factors such as VSA volume shifts and moving averages (MA50, MA100, MA200, MA233).
Price action will move from one ray to another, providing clear trade objectives with defined risk and reward.
Optimistic Scenario (Bullish Setup)
Entry: After a confirmed bounce from the 402 support level or the 50-day MA at 422.3, aligning with an ascending Fibonacci ray
First Target: 424.53 – local resistance and key interaction level
Second Target: 442.86 – major resistance where sellers may step in
Third Target: 454.52 – breakout confirmation level for further momentum
Pessimistic Scenario (Bearish Setup)
Entry: After rejection from 424.53 resistance or failure to hold above 422.3 (MA50)
First Target: 402 – nearest liquidity zone
Second Target: 388.76 – secondary structure support
Third Target: 368.57 – deep retracement zone, possible reversal point
Trade Ideas Based on Key Levels & Rays
Buy from 402 → Target 424.53 → Extended to 442.86 (if volume confirms)
Sell from 424.53 → Target 402 → Extended to 388.76 (if rejection is strong)
Breakout Buy above 424.53 → Target 442.86 → Extended to 454.52
Breakdown Sell below 402 → Target 388.76 → Extended to 368.57
Each trade should be confirmed by price action and volume interaction with rays, ensuring strong confluence before taking a position. The movement will continue from ray to ray, allowing traders to adjust their targets dynamically.
Your Move, Traders!
Markets are always in motion, but the key is understanding where and when to take action. If you found this analysis useful, make sure to hit Boost and save this idea—watch how price respects the levels and rays over time. Trading isn’t just about reacting; it’s about learning to anticipate.
Got questions? Drop them in the comments! I always check feedback and will gladly discuss setups, confirm key levels, or refine targets based on new data.
I use a private indicator that automatically maps all rays and levels in real-time—if you’re interested in using it, send me a direct message.
Need an analysis for a different asset? Let’s talk! I can provide public breakdowns or work on private requests if you prefer to keep your strategy to yourself. The rays work across all markets, so whether it's stocks, crypto, or forex, I can map out the movement for you.
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Nightly $SPX / $SPY Scenarios for 2.3.2025🔮
📅 Mon, Feb 3
⏰ 10:00 AM ET
📊 ISM Manufacturing PMI
Previous: 49.3
Forecast: 49.2
💡 Market Scenarios:
📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ:A further gap up would lead to it holding for a little, then chopping near the EEZ.
📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ:Breakout to the EEZ, make a higher push, and round out the top.
📉 GAP BELOW HCZ:Due to the ongoing momentum, we will get a slight recovery but still drop and chop back down into the lower range.
#trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #charting #trendtao
Weekly Plan $ES and $NQ FuturesHey traders!
Welcome to this week's market outlook for NYSE:ES and $NQ. In this video, I’ll break down key levels, trends, and setups to watch, helping you stay ahead of the moves. We’ll cover key zones, potential trade scenarios, and what to expect based on volume and price action.
Let’s dive in! 🚀
AMD'S Technical rating indicator monthly !Still pretty high comparing with historical data all way back to IPO. Still high
even with last low ( 2 Green circles) Even though we might have a bounce big time
20%-40% up on a monthly we are still on the high side or readings comparing an
Apple for Apple all else absolute.!
BRIEFING Week #5 : Still Patient...Here's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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-10% CRASH Bears coming, Bulls, BTD for a Blow off Top $SPYDecline Ahead, we have the exact same chart on the monthly. I guess that means we could have just one month at least of red. This is a weekly chart with the same pattern as the monthly on SPX. I will post it shortly. We have a 9 Count Sell Signal with a 13 Count Follow up. The 14th Candle takes a 10% dip. On several occasions in this candle combo. I will attach a link to another example.
-10 Decline in the next month, Buy the dip for a Blow off top Refer to a Previous Post. Blow OFF TOP COMING. BUT NOT BEFORE A COUPLE OF SCARES. Short the RIP. BUY THE DIP. Patience. 4-6 weeks of 10% moves back and forth... Accumulate the wins for the Longs... Hold for a year... Short everything Mid 26' if it gets that far MCFLY
ES Morning Update Yesterday’s game plan was all about the 6070 area staying above, which set up longs targeting 6105, 6115, and 6127 to fill Sunday’s gap starting point. We’ve now hit 6127—let the runner go, anything more is a bonus for today
As of now:
• 6109-6115 = key support zone; bulls need to hold above to set up 6136, 6154
• Lose 6109, and we dip toward 6086
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Scenarios for 1.31.2025🔮
📅 Fri Jan 31
⏰ 8:30am
📊 Core PCE Price Index m/m: 0.2% (prev: 0.1%)
📊 Employment Cost Index q/q: 0.9% (prev: 0.8%)
💡 Market Scenarios:
📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ:
A further gap up would lead to it holding a little, then chopping down into EEZ. Watch for resistance in the Hedge Pressure Zone before any reversal.
📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ:
Slight move higher from earnings, then drop lower into 6055. Expect some chop and potential liquidity sweeps before continuation.
📉 GAP BELOW HCZ:
Consolidate lower into the Hedge Cushion Zone, then pump back higher. A strong bounce is likely if price interacts with the Weekly Hedge Cushion and liquidity builds up.
#trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #charting #trendtao
S&P500 starting a Channel Up on Golden Cross to 6200The S&P500 index is trading inside a Channel Up on the (1h) time frame.
A (1h) Golden Cross was just formed and the whole pattern draws comparisons with November's (2024) Channel Up.
Both started with a +6% rise that pulled back to the 0.5 Fibonacci level, which in turn initiated the Channel Up.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 6200 (near the 1.236 Fibonacci extension, like November).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1h) is also forming the same Channel Up as November, after getting oversold under 30.00.
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ES Morning Update Jan 30thYesterday chopped around one key level in ES: 6066-70. It failed pre-FOMC, with a few very quick dips below it til market closed..after, targets at 6087(hit), 6094(hit), and 6105(not yet). We reached 6101 tops overnight.
As of now:
• 6074, 6066 = key supports; bulls remain in control above
• Holding keeps 6098, 6105, and 6120 in play
• If 6066 fails, expect a selloff toward 6055, then 6043
SPX to find sellers at market price?SPX500USD - 24h expiry
Price action looks to be forming a top.
A Doji style candle has been posted from the high.
This is negative for short term sentiment and we look to set shorts at good risk/reward levels for a further correction lower.
Further downside is expected although we prefer to sell into rallies close to the 6058 level.
Although the anticipated move lower is corrective, it does offer ample risk/reward today.
We look to Sell at 6058 (stop at 6099)
Our profit targets will be 5942 and 5920
Resistance: 6102 / 6190 / 6235
Support: 6030 / 5980 / 5940
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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Nightly $SPX / $SPY Scenarios for 1.30.2025🔮 Nightly SP:SPX / AMEX:SPY Scenarios for 1.30.2025
📅 Thu Jan 30
⏰ 8:30am
📊 Advance GDP q/q: 2.7% (prev: 3.1%)
📊 Unemployment Claims: 221K (prev: 223K)
🌎Global Events:
🇪🇺 European Central Bank Meeting: The ECB is expected to announce its monetary policy decision, with markets anticipating a rate cut.
🇩🇪 Germany GDP Release: Germany will publish its GDP figures, providing insights into the health of Europe's largest economy.
💹 Market Insights:
📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ:
A further gap up would lead to it holding for a little, then chopping near the EEZ.
📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ:
Markets might overreact, but this meeting was void of new information. All things markets knew beforehand.
📉 GAP BELOW HCZ:
We will likely bounce hard from these lower levels and hold higher.
#trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #charting #trendtao
S&P500: Buy the dip and target 6,215.The S&P500 index is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 54.213, MACD = 29.690, ADX = 23.794) as it has completed the technical dive following the 4H Golden Cross just like August 21st 2024, and is rebounding. The two patterns are so far similar, both rebounding on oversold 4H RSI, and the September 2024 rebound almost reached as high as the 1.5 Fibonacci extension. We aim for another close test of the 1.5 Fibonacci (TP = 6,215).
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2025 S&P500 Forecast Guess by Tim WestI included 2024's guess that I posted here in January last year which turned out to be quite accurate in terms of "action" and "direction". The volatility the market saw with wild swings back and forth was outlined on here as we reached the clusters of guesses from Wall Street estimates.
This is an old technique that I learned from Ken Fisher of Fisher Investments and from Forbes Magazine. His wise and witty insights were the foundation of my investment strategy when I started investing in the mid 1980's.
Basically, when you see what the "market expectations" are for a market like the FOREXCOM:SPX500 or S&P500 Index, you can then figure out what needs to happen to get the market to their estimates and realize the market will go to somewhere else other than their guesses.
With 2024 showing a majority of "less than historical average" forecasts and more downside forecasts, it was quite clear that the market could easily outpace or outperform those forecasts.
Now that 2025 shows that analysts are looking for an average year or more, I think it is safe to say that we won't get an average year.
We now have a rising US dollar, which hurts overseas earnings. We also have higher energy prices which also hurts earnings. And yet we have plenty of cash on the sidelines as everyone who missed the rally is hoping to buy on a decline and others are just happy to earn 5% on their cash balances thanks to an ultra-tight Fed (compared to the last 20 years).
So, I expect more of the same that we have seen in January and I also expect sharp declines if we get any moves above the highs and up towards 6500 on the SPX.
ES/SPX Morning UpdateYesterday, 6042 reclaimed and triggered a move to 6070 and 6105, with 6105.50 marking the high of the day. Today will likely be choppy until FOMC at 2pm, followed by extreme volatility.
As of now:
• Hold runners; 6087 is support
• Staying above keeps 6105, 6115, and 6130+ in play
• If 6087 fails, expect a dip to 6066-70