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SPX (S&P 500 Index)

S&P bulls maintain control but no initiative yetLast week was characterized by controlled selling, with prices drifting down slowly as the market awaited the unemployment data released on Friday. As we can see on the daily chart, sellers were unable to close the day below the previous day's low, even after a significant sell-off on Tuesday. Once the unemployment data was published, alleviating concerns about a potential recession, the bulls regained control, and the week closed on a positive note. The next key objective for buyers is to break through the resistance around 574.7 . Given that this level has been retested multiple times, it's unlikely to hold. However, we still need to closely monitor the price's reaction to this level and observe what happens immediately after the breakout. The long-term outlook remains bullish. In the short term, there is still a high possibility that prices will continue consolidating within the 565–575 range , as the market remains influenced by political uncertainty in the U.S.
AMEX:SPY
by hermes_trisme
SPX: pricing the soft landingThe US equity markets were traded in a mixed manner during the previous week. On one side there should be considered funds outflows to China's stocks, after the announcement of significant stimulus measures by their Government. In anticipation of non-farm payrolls data, the S&P 500 was traded with a negative sentiment, moving from the level of 5.760 down to 5.680. Still after a release of 254K of new jobs in the US economy in September, which was far above the market expectation, the optimism was back on the market. The Index ended the week at the level from the beginning of the week, 5.751. Majority of analysts are now in agreement that a soft landing for the US economy is the most likely scenario, and that the US economy is more resilient from their initial expectations. Tech mega-cap companies were the ones that led the market to the upside on Friday's trading session, followed by companies from the financial sector. As per analysts, the financial sector is expected to gain during the following period, as an environment of decreased interest rates would support the credit activity. In this sense, JPMorgan and WellsFargo gained more than 3% for the week. Additional support for the index rally on Friday came from oil companies included in the S&P 500. Namely, as tensions in the Middle East continue, the price of oil has increased bringing companies within this sector higher by 7%.
SP:SPX
by XBTFX
Weekly Recap & Market Forecast $SPX (Oct 6th—> Oct 11th)Looking Ahead: Next week will bring several key events: Monday: Fed Speak; Nvidia AI Summit ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) Tuesday: PepsiCo Earnings ( NASDAQ:PEP ) Wednesday: Fed FOMC Minutes; 10-Year Bond Auction Thursday: CPI Inflation, Jobless Claims; Tesla Robotaxi Event ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) Friday: PPI Inflation, Consumer Sentiment; Bank Earnings ( NYSE:JPM , NYSE:WFC , NYSE:BLK ) As we move forward, these developments will be crucial in shaping market sentiment and guiding investment decisions. If you have any questions or need further insights, feel free to reach out. Here’s to another week of informed investing and strategic decision-making! 🌟
SP:SPXLong
by WallSt007
ES/SPX Plan For Oct 7thPlan for Monday: Supports: • 5796, 5783 (major), 5773-76 (major), 5764, 5758, 5751, 5745-40 (major), 5734, 5729, 5725, 5721 (major), 5716, 5711 (major), 5702-04 (major), 5697, 5694 (major), 5686, 5680, 5672 (major). What I’m Watching: • We had a big squeeze into the close, so now is not the best time to trade. After strong moves, both longs and shorts carry risks: chasing longs is risky under resistance, and shorts are against the trend, increasing the chance of consolidation. Sit back and let setups unfold. • I typically wait for a volatility spike (like a dip) before new setups appear. With the close at 5805, there’s no immediate appeal in new trades. The first major support on Monday is 5783. I’m hesitant to buy first supports on Mondays due to the “Monday morning hangover effect,” especially after a strong Friday close, as ES often gives back gains on Monday. I’ll look for a reaction first. If intense selling occurs, I’ll wait for a flush and recovery above 5783 to long. • The 5805 to 5740 range is a consolidation zone (flag). This could extend for days, so don’t be surprised if we retrace to bottom support Monday. If we lose 5783, we’ll likely work down the range. I’m not interested in bidding at 5764, but if there’s a flush to 5758 followed by a reclaim, I’d consider it. Below that, the 5740-45 zone could come back into play. A flush to 5740 early Monday could offer a final bid, but I’d prefer a test of that zone and a recovery of the session low at 5751 first. If 5740 breaks, I’d flip short as longs below become risky. Resistances: • 5805 (major), 5814 (major), 5821, 5828, 5839 (major), 5841, 5850 (major), 5860 (major), 5866, 5877 (major), 5881, 5885 (major), 5894, 5908 (major). • As usual, I don’t short strength in ES. Maintaining a high win rate means avoiding setups with lower probabilities, aka fighting an uptrend. For those who do, 5805 would normally be a short spot, but it was just tested into the close, so be cautious. Above here, 5814 is another potential resistance, but if cleared, it’s clear blue skies to 5850 for buyers. Buyer’s Case for Monday: • The buyer’s case sees this flag breaking out. The broader structure is from 5805 to 5721, but a more actionable range is 5740-5805. If it holds, ES could break out to 5814, 5828, and eventually 5839+. The ultra-buyer’s case for Monday would see ES hold 5782 (perhaps undercut, but hold), ping-pong between 5782 and 5805, and attempt a direct breakout. Watch 5783 closely Monday. Seller’s Case for Monday: • The seller’s case begins with a break below 5740. Breakdown trades are tricky and often trap traders (80% of breakdowns fail). If you can’t tolerate these odds, it’s better to avoid them. I’d look for a test of 5740-45, which plays out for buyers before considering a short—likely around 5737 or lower. A failure at 5783 could also trigger shorts, but this is a more advanced trade. Ideally, we’d see a test of 5783 or a failed breakdown. After longs bounce, I’d short below that structure, probably near 5771. Summary for Monday: • The new consolidation range is 5805 to 5740-45. This could develop in various ways, but my lean is toward further filling out, meaning a pullback to start Monday, potentially to 5783. If buyers are motivated, that could be the lows, but if we lose 5783, a test of 5740-45 is likely. A breakout of the range targets new all-time highs. If 5740 fails, look for short opportunities.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by ESMorg
Predictive Correlation the SG10Y Bond Yields on S&P500I have posted about this correlation previously. Perhaps this time it might be clearer to see... This uncanny correlation between the SG10Y Govt Bond Yields as a leading indicator for the S&P500 was noticed some time ago, and tested since. As shown, the major turning points were seen in trend changes of the SG10Y GBonds first, before the S&P500 reacted. The vertical time markings show when you would short or long depending on the trend breakouts of the SG10Y GBonds (see lower panel, blue line), Comcomitantly, comparing what happens from that point, you can see the S&P500 in the upper panel with yellow line. The lowest panel is the MACD... and this shows the correlated pattern of a (lagging) technical indicator. Since 2023, there are at least six instances with 100% hit rate. Now... that brings us to TODAY. It appears that we are given advance warning of the next couple of months. For now, there should be a quick pop up to the very recent high followed by a failure of support in the S&P500; and then the expected trends should play out...
TVC:SG10YShort
by Auguraltrader
S&P 500 Index Market Exposure and Sector Insights The S&P 500 Index is currently in a confirmed uptrend as of October 4th, maintaining support above its 21-Day Moving Average (DMA) . With 4 distribution days , market conditions suggest some caution, but the overall uptrend remains intact. Our current market exposure is recommended at 100% , reflecting confidence in the strength of the broader market. Key Points: Market Condition: The S&P 500 remains above the critical 21-DMA level, indicating continued positive momentum. This key support should be monitored in the coming sessions for signs of potential changes in market direction. Industry Strength: Strong sectors include Technology and Communication Services , with leading stocks showing resilience. Weaker sectors such as Utilities and Consumer Staples are underperforming, with multiple stocks trading below their 50-DMA and 200-DMA . Opportunities: Leading stocks continue to demonstrate setups for potential gains, with key players in the Tech sector showing strong bases or breakout potential. We advise focusing on high-quality setups in stronger sectors while avoiding underperforming segments trading below critical moving averages. The key takeaway here is to remain invested in leading areas while keeping an eye on market exposure and distribution day count for any shifts in sentiment. Let us know—are you focusing on defensive sectors, or do you see opportunities in growth industries? Disclaimer: The information provided here is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you could lose some or all of your investment. Always do your own research and consult with a professional financial advisor before making any trading decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
SP:SPXLong
by TradeVizion
Bearish Pressure Builds Amid Middle East Tensions, Targets 5675Middle East uncertainty after Iran attack makes for tricky trading Beyond tensions in the Middle East, there are several potential catalysts that could keep investors on edge, including the upcoming U.S. election in November and a key jobs report this week that will help shape the Fed's policy direction. Technically: The price has reached our target and continues to decline towards 5675 and 5643 while remaining below 5713 and 5732. To shift to a bullish trend, the price must break above 5732. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 5715 Resistance Levels: 5732, 5784, 5820 Support Levels: 5675, 5643, 5584 Trend Outlook: Bearish while under 5732 previous idea:
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
AAPL: 25% Correction / Liquidity Gap at $175🔸Hello traders, today let's review 12H price chart for AAPL/Apple. This is advanced technical trade setup based on historic price fractal. 🔸AAPL currently entering distribution at the top stage with distribution defined by the ABCD fractal. Same price fractal was observed in the market in Dec21/Jan22 before a subsequent 25% market correction in AAPL. 🔸ABCD ongoing distribution defined by range highs at 230 USD and range lows at 205 USD. Once we complete the ABCD structure expect a sharp mark-down in price / correction from point D into point E near 175 USD liquidity gap / open gap will drag price down. 🔸Recommended strategy AAPL traders: Advanced traders may short AAPL / buy May 2025 LEAP put options. No valid strategy currently for the bulls, it's best to wait until liquidity gap gets filled later in Q1/Q2 2025 before buying low at/near 175 usd. 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team! RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by ProjectSyndicate
16
TSLA: 125% gains Best Level to BUY/HOLD 🔸Hello traders, today let's review 4hour price chart for TSLA. Currently a mixed package overall with limited upside potential, I don't recommend entering any buys at current price. 🔸Ongoing accumulation since May 2023, significant lows printed in April 2023 / 2024, so I'm tagging April 2025 as a potential reversal for TSLA / bottom buying near range lows totally makes sense. 🔸Accumulation range defined by range lows at 175 usd and range highs at 255 usd. premium prices below at 145/165 and above at 280 and 305 usd. 🔸Recommended strategy bulls: expecting pullback based on measured move projection set to extend further down towards 175 usd. currently trading at 250 usd, no entries recommended on buy side. This is a trade setup for patient traders. may take more time to develop. conservative target is 350 USD, so +125% gains off the lows. 🔸Finally, check out the TSLA related story below and let me know in the comments section if you'd like to get more updates like this. Don't forget to follow/like/comment, this is much appreciated. Year 2030. Tesla coupe safely lands on Mars. Exploration mission starts in April 2030. ▪️ In this fictional tale in 2030, Tesla founder Elon Musk and his wife Grimes make a historic landing on Mars, marking a new era in space exploration. ▪️ Upon arrival, they establish a settlement called "New Teslaville," aiming to turn it into a sustainable colony for future generations. ▪️ Their first day involves setting up essential infrastructure, including solar panels, an oxygen generator, and a Mars rover. ▪️ The next day, they plant a Tesla flag on Mars, signifying humanity's first successful landing on the red planet. ▪️ On day three, Musk shares a heartfelt message about the importance of space colonization for humanity's survival. ▪️ After a successful first week, they receive a message from Earth, indicating the start of the "New Mars Era" and their status as the first Martian settlers. ▪️ The couple ends their week by enjoying the Martian sunset in a Tesla coupe. 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team! RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by ProjectSyndicate
23
S&P500 Fractal from 2019 points to a 6100 rally.The S&P500 (SPX) is absorbing all the negative news on the recent geopolitical unrest in the Middle East and could post its first red week after a streak of three green 1W candles. This shouldn't however make us lose our long-term perspective and a fractal from 2018 - 2020 comes to remind us why. As you can see, the 1W RSI sequence from July 24 2023 until now, is quite similar to the one from October 01 2018 - September 30 2019. The price actions between the two fractals are also similar. Both started with a bottom on (or near) the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) and transitioned into a Bullish Megaphone. After the September 30 2019 Low, the index resumed the uptrend within a (green) Channel Up, which extended higher up until the COVID crash, which is of course a 1-in-100 year Black Swan event that couldn't have been predicted. If it weren't for that, the market would have at best tested the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for new buyers and then extended the bullish trend like it did after June 2020. In any case, we expect a similar behavior with a bullish continuation of +25.50% from the last Low (-3% lower like the 2019 rise was from its previous Bullish Leg). This gives us an end-of-year Target around 6100. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by TradingShot
S&P500 Consolidation before the next leg to 6000.The S&P500 index / US500 may have pulled back a little today but on the long term pattern, which is a Rising Megaphone, it only shows that it turned sideways. This ranged trading, is the consolidation that the previous leg up did after rebounding on the 0.618 Fib and the 1day MA50. The index is possibly repeating this pattern so what's next is a rally to the 1.618 Fib extension. Buy and target 6000. Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by TheCryptagon
S&P500: Upward Potential!We still give the S&P more room and time to complete its turquoise wave B, which should primarily peak below the resistance at 5946 points. If the index breaches this level, we will have to assume that the larger green wave alt.(4) has already bottomed out. We consider this alternative scenario 38% likely. However, we primarily expect the S&P to fall into our green Target Zone (coordinates: 5110 – 4921 points) after reaching the upcoming top of wave B. This range is where the regular green wave (4) should be completed. Thereafter, we expect the upward movement to continue, with wave (5) finally breaking above 5946 points.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MarketIntel
SPX500 intraday dips continue to attract buyers.US500 - 24h expiry Buying pressure from 5714 resulted in all the initial daily selloff being recaptured. Broken out of the channel formation to the upside. Price action continues to trade around the all-time highs. Dips continue to attract buyers. We look to set longs in early trade for a further test of the fragile looking resistance. Our profit targets will be 5785 and 5800 Resistance: 5780 / 5784 / 5800 Support: 5745 / 5730 / 5714 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by OANDA
Types of traders 101Overview of types of traders SCALPER 🔸Scalpers buy and sell securities quickly, usually within seconds, with the aim of achieving profits from minuscule price changes from large trade volumes. 🔸Scalper also refers to someone who buys up in-demand merchandise or event tickets to resell at a higher price. 🔸Scalpers buy and sell securities many times in a day with the objective of making consistent net profits from the aggregate of all these transactions. 🔸Scalpers must be highly disciplined, combative by nature, and astute decision makers in order to succeed. EATRADER / Algo Trader 🔸Algorithmic trader will use process- and rules-based computational formulas for executing trades. 🔸 Algorithmic trader is performing statistical analysis on stocks, funds, or currencies and then writing algorithms and programs using computer languages like C# or Python or PineScript. 🔸While it provides advantages, such as faster execution time and reduced costs, algorithmic trading can also exacerbate the market's negative tendencies by causing flash crashes and immediate loss of liquidity. Technical Trader 🔸Generally, a technician uses historical patterns of trading data to predict what might happen to market in the future. 🔸A technical trader prefers to study price patterns over time periods ranging from a few minutes to a month. This is usually done using a variety of tools, such as indicators, to understand which way price is moving in any given market. Swing Trader 🔸Swing trading refers to a trading style that attempts to exploit short- to medium-term price movements in a security using favorable risk/reward metrics. 🔸 Swing traders primarily rely on technical analysis to determine suitable entry and exit points, but they may also use fundamental analysis as an added filter Fundumental Trader 🔸Fundumental trader focuses on company-specific events to determine which stock to buy and when to buy it. Trading on fundamentals is more closely associated with a buy-and-hold strategy rather than short-term trading. 🔸Furthermore, fundumental traders must understand technical analysis to identify trends and price patterns supporting their fundamental analysis. Money Manager 🔸A money manager is a person or financial firm that manages the securities portfolio of individual or institutional investors. 🔸 Professional money managers do not receive commissions on transactions; rather, they are paid based on a percentage of assets under management. 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team! RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
Education
by ProjectSyndicate
3