Trading Plan for Tuesday, April 30th, 2024Trading Plan for Tuesday, April 30th, 2024
Market Sentiment: Bullish, within a consolidation period likely followed by a breakout. Exercise caution and patience with trades.
Key Supports
Immediate Supports: 5127-30, 5121 (major), 5108
Major Supports: 5083 (major), 5067 (major), 5039 (major)
Key Resistances
Near-term Resistance: 5136, 5150-55 (major), 5176 (major), 5191 (major)
Major Resistances: 5205-5208 (major), 5230, 5246 (major), 5270-75 (major)
Trading Strategy
Consolidation Breakout: Anticipate a breakout from the current 5120-5155 consolidation range. Plan accordingly for both bull and bear breakout scenarios.
Long Opportunities: Prioritize failed breakdowns at 5121 for potential long entries. Focus on bids within the current range and knife-catches on major supports if deep flushes occur (5067, 5039).
Short Opportunities: Due to the potential for a strong breakout, approach shorts cautiously. The 5176 and 5191 levels offer shorting opportunities, but with increased risk in the bullish environment. Utilize level-to-level profit-taking.
Risk Management: Implement disciplined risk management in this potentially volatile period.
Bull Case
Holding Support: Defending the 5120 support within the current consolidation range is crucial for bulls.
Breakout and Retest: Look for an upside breakout from the 5155 resistance area, followed by a successful retest for further confirmation.
Targeting Higher Levels: A breakout could trigger an upward move, focusing on targets at 5176, potentially extending to 5191.
Bear Case
Breakdown Signals: A convincing break below 5121 signals a downward move. Watch for a bounce/failed breakdown as an entry point for a short position, with level-to-level profit-taking.
News: Top Stories for April 30th, 2024
Market Dynamics and Corporate Earnings
Global Activity: High activity with 1,300 company earnings reports expected; Federal Reserve's FOMC meeting closely watched for rate decision insights.
Sector Highlights: Tech sector leads with major gains by Nvidia and Super Micro; Financials gain on rate cut hopes; Real Estate and Energy sectors lag.
Economic Indicators and Central Bank Decisions
FOMC Meeting: Coming up on 5/1
Jobs Data: Upcoming release expected to influence Fed's future decisions, especially on inflation control.
International Markets
Asian Markets: Mixed responses with Japan's Nikkei up and Shanghai Composite down.
European Central Bank: Anticipated to follow Fed with potential rate cuts amid inflation challenges.
Analysts' Projections and Market Sentiment
Future Rate Cuts: Initially expected in mid-2024, now possibly delayed due to persistent high inflation.
Investor Outlook: Cautiously optimistic but prepared for potential volatility due to uncertain monetary policy outcomes.
SPX (S&P 500 Index)
SPX500 Maintaining Short-Term Bullish MomentumThe daily chart has been bouncing since moving oversold around the 19th of April. The daily RSI has now moved to the positive side of the indicator.
The SPX500 hourly chart still shows signs of positivity. Its stochasstic indicates a bullish momentum, with no short-term oversold signals.
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Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
Trading Plan for Monday, April 29th, 2024Trading Plan for Monday, April 29th, 2024
Market Sentiment: Bullish, following a multi-day rally. However, proceed with caution as a period of price discovery and more complex action is likely after the strong movement.
Key Supports
Immediate Supports: 5127 (major), 5117, 5102 (major), 5089 (major), 5082
Major Supports: 5068-72 (major), 5043 (major), 5034 (major)
Key Resistances
Near-term Resistance: 5150 (major), 5168-5171 (major), 5185 (major)
Major Resistances: 5206-5208 (major), 5230, 5245 (major)
Trading Strategy
Consolidation Anticipated: Expect a period of consolidation and complex price action after the recent surge. Overtrading can lead to losses.
Long Opportunities: Look for failed breakdowns at 5127 or 5102 as potential long entry points. Prioritize bids within the current range for a cautious approach.
Short Opportunities: Target the 5185 level (resistance of the downtrend channel) for possible short positions. Consider level-to-level profit-taking within the range.
Risk Management: Maintain disciplined risk management in this potentially volatile environment.
Bull Case
Holding Support: Defending the 5127 or 5102 major supports is crucial for bulls to maintain control.
Reclaiming Resistances: Bulls need to push above the 5150/5168-71 zones for a potential run to the next major target, 5185.
Adding on Strength: In an ultra-bull case, look for bull flagging above 5127 to add exposure in anticipation of an upward move.
Bear Case
Breakdown Signals: A convincing break below 5102 could trigger a deeper retracement. True bear case resumes with a break below 5033. As always, be wary of traps – look for a bounce/failed breakdown first, then consider shorting with level-to-level profit-taking.
News: Top Stories for April 29th, 2024
Equity Market Overview
Global Performance: S&P 500 and Dow Jones rose over 10% in Q1 2024; European and Asian indices also hit highs.
Sector Trends: AI boom fuels tech sector gains; value stocks participate more in market rallies.
Bond Market Dynamics
Interest Rates: Delayed rate cuts by the Federal Reserve impacting bond yields.
Performance: High yield bonds outperforming investment-grade due to favorable risk-return amidst volatile rates.
Key Economic Indicators
Inflation and Sentiment: Persistent inflation concerns; consumer sentiment improves slightly.
GDP and Employment: Strong GDP growth and employment figures support bullish equity market sentiment.
Market Outlook and Investor Sentiment
Short-Term: Continued growth expected, but potential for increased volatility.
Long-Term: Earnings growth modest in sectors like IT, significant in "Magnificent 7" companies.
Federal Reserve Policy and Market Outlook
Fed Stance: Maintains rates; cautious on inflation.
Market Impact: S&P 500's performance influenced by rate cut expectations; market may face limited growth post-rate cuts.
Volatility will be put to the test this weekWhile volatility pulled back following a spike earlier this month, this week will put it back to the test with the FOMC meeting (on Tuesday and Wednesday) and economic releases throughout the week, including S&P Global Manufacturing PMI, ISM Manufacturing PMI, JOLTs job openings, S&P Global Composite PMI, S&P Global Services PMI, ISM Services PMI, nonfarm payrolls, participation rate, and unemployment rate.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
BRIEFING Week #17 : After the Volatility, the Rotation ?!Here's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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S&P500 (ES1!, SPX500, SP500) From Bullish to BEARISH1.
Price swept a lot of low resistance
lows with this bearish impulse, and
created a new Swing Low. This is the
External move.
2.
Price retraced to the -FVG, a
premium PD Array. This is an
Internal Range Liquidity move.
Expecting price to wick up past
the PDH, but close inside the
-FVG, and potentially end the
retracement. Bearish PA should
follow.
Price is in premium prices now, as it
crossed the Equilibrium of the trading
range. Buys are not recommended
until the price action shows a significant
+BOS with a strong bullish close.
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Weekly Outlook - 27/04/2024Last week brought huge earnings reports for some of the big US tech companies, with mixed reactions. We saw META lose 7% during the previous week after a great earnings report, and Alphabet (GOOG) soaring 10% on Friday. Next week, we will see earnings from Amazon (Tuesday) and Apple on Thursday as well as other large cap earnings reports. Will the market be pricing in higher earnings off the back of last week's form?
First, let's observe the broader markets...
S&P 500
SPX looks to have created a bearish break of structure. I am anticipating a retrace into the pattern, at approximately $5,200 (around a 2% up move), at which point, the price may look to reverse to the downside. We can find confirmation for this on the RSI, where the momentum, which was holding at ~40, was broken and bulls are clearly losing power for the time being.
DXY
The DXY (or dollar index) is inversely correlated to the S&P 500. To put it simply: dollar goes up; stocks go down, and vice versa.
In this image, you can see that the DXY has broken down from the highs and is looking to retrace. We have already seen a throwback into the consolidation pattern, and are now looking for the dollar to retrace...thereby adding confluence to the fact that stocks will see a rise in the early days of the week
AAPL
For AAPL, it is simple. A break below $165.67 would cause a major impulse to the downside, targetting ~$149.50. However, with current momentum, what I believe is more likely is a retrace to between $186 and $191 (an increase of nearly 10% and 13% respectively). For this to happen, a clean break of the swing high at 178.36 would need to occur.
That's all for this market outlook. In conclusion, I am looking for a declining dollar and rising stocks in the early part of next week.
Let me know what you think.
Cheers
The market is growing emotionalYesterday’s financial print in the United States revealed a notable decrease in the GDP growth rate on a quarterly basis, coming down from 3.4% in 4Q23 to only 1.6% in 1Q24. This figure was well below market expectations of 2.5%, which spooked investors and led to a sudden drop across U.S. stock market indices. Nevertheless, by the market close, the SPX recovered all of its losses and staged a rally following the announcement of Alphabet and Microsoft’s earnings in the aftermarket. Both companies reported good results, seeing revenues and net income rise by significant percentages on an annual basis. Amid Alphabet’s plans to conduct a share buyback worth $70 billion and pay the first dividend ever to its investors, the company’s shares rose by more than 12%. Meanwhile, the reaction to Microsoft’s results was more subdued, with shares soaring slightly more than 2%.
However, despite stocks soaring after the closing bell, the continuous S&P 500 E-mini Futures showed that the price failed to break above the 20-day and the 50-day SMA, which just recently produced a bearish crossover; both of these moving averages continue to act as important resistance levels. In addition to that, although RSI, MACD, and Stochastic reversed to the upside on the daily chart (after the preceding weakness in stocks), they are not necessarily outright bullish yet. The overall picture is mixed.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 depicts the 1-minute chart of the ES1! (S&P 500 E-mini Futures). Yellow arrows highlight the time of financial print release and earnings announcement.
Illustration 1.02
The illustration above shows the daily graph of the ES1! (S&P 500 E-mini Futures) and two simple moving averages, the 20-day SMA and the 50-day SMA. The yellow arrow indicates a bearish crossover between the 20-day SMA and 50-day SMA, a typically bearish sign. One interesting thing to note here is that despite the broader market rising after the big earnings announcement after the closing bell, the ES1! has not broken above the mentioned moving averages.
Technical analysis gauge
Daily time frame = Bearish (turning neutral)
Weekly time frame = Bearish
*The gauge does not necessarily indicate where the market will head. Instead, it reflects the constellation of multiple indicators.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
MSFT is bearish!I personally don't trade this stock on the long side due to personal believes.
But I dont mind shorting it with puts.
MSFT is bearish on daily timeframe
Today’s action hit its golden retracement pocket, as I was expecting after seeing yesterday’s AHs action.
The downside action remains the same - 370, and TTR long with Jun expiration 395 puts
Trading Plan for Friday, April 26th, 2024Trading Plan for Friday, April 26th, 2024
Market Sentiment: Uncertain, with bulls maintaining short-term control but facing the after-hours earnings event, which could bring sudden volatility.
Key Supports
Immediate Supports: 5067, 5058 (major), 5048
Major Supports: 5036-33 (major), 5010 (major), 4996-5000 (major), 4935-40 (major), 4904-08 (major)
Key Resistances
Near-term Resistance: 5080-82 (major), 5092 (major), 5108 (major), 5126-29 (major), 5145-50 (major), 5177-81 (major)
Major Resistances: 5222, 5243-46 (major), 5272 (major)
Trading Strategy
Earnings Volatility: Be prepared for unpredictable price action and adjust your strategy in real-time.
Trading the Range: Expect price to play within the broad 5036-5126 range. Exercise caution and consider bids/shorts within the range rather than chasing direction.
Long Opportunities: Look for failed breakdowns at 5067 or 5058 after earnings. Focus on bids cautiously within the range, prioritizing the knife-catch protocol for deeper longs at major levels.
Short Opportunities: Look for backtests of 5126-29, 5145-50, or the major 5177-81 zone if reached. Given earnings, approach shorts very cautiously.
Profit-Taking: Use level-to-level profit-taking on any position taken, given the increased volatility risk.
Bull Case
Holding Support: Defending the current 5036-33 major support is critical.
Reclaiming Resistances: Bulls need to push above the 5108 zone for a potential run to the next major target areas of 5126-29 and 5145-50.
Bear Case
Breakdown Signals: A convincing break below 5036 triggers the downside move. As always, be wary of traps – look for a bounce/failed breakdown first, then consider shorting with level-to-level profit-taking.
News: Top Stories for April 26th, 2024
Economic Environment
March PCE inflation report and its impact on the Fed's policy decisions.
Apollo Global's acquisition of US Silica and implications for the materials sector.
Stock Market Updates
Mixed signals from global markets amidst geopolitical tensions.
Bank of Japan's interest rate policy.
Global Market News
Market response to various corporate earnings and announcements.
Additional Market News
Bond market dynamics and potential interest rate cuts.
Gold's performance and investment implications.
Currency market updates and the impact of the Bank of Japan's actions.
Additional Market Insights and News
Economic Indicators and Outlook
US GDP and Economic Growth: Analysis of the latest GDP report and its implications for growth trends.
Corporate Earnings Outlook: Forecasts for 2024 and sector-specific performance expectations.
Inflation and Interest Rates: Understanding the relationship between inflation, Fed policy, and corporate earnings.
Labor Market Dynamics: Assessing the health of the labor market and its impact on consumer spending and corporate profitability.
Technological Advancements and Market Shifts
Generative AI and Business Transformation: How is GenAI impacting decision-making and efficiencies in various industries.
Quantum Computing and Competitive Edge: Exploring the potential of quantum computing in various sectors and its implications for competitive advantage.
Sustainable Technology Initiatives: The increasing focus on green technologies and the integration of sustainability with innovation.
Industry Cloud Platforms (ICPs): Examining the adoption of ICPs and their role in accelerating digital transformation.
Reminder: The after-hours earnings events introduce major volatility risk. Prioritize risk management and adapt your trading strategy accordingly.
S&P500 Quick buy trade.The S&P500 is approaching the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) to test it as a Resistance for the first time after the April 15 bearish break-out. It has already broken above the Bearish Megaphone, the 4H RSI has formed a Channel Up similar to the price action's and so far this sequence of events is fairly identical to the previous correction of August 2023.
That sequence almost touched the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level before pulling back again, so we have ourselves a solid short-term bullish target. In fact we are placing ours a little lower at 5150, which represents a +4.70% rise from the bottom as that is not only the % rise that the August 2023 rebound returned but will also make contact with the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line).
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S&P Bears are strong but Bulls still have a chanceLast week, sellers firmly controlled the market. Buyers attempted to defend March's low, but the bears left them no chance. Prices consistently declined for six consecutive days, with the futures chart ( CME_MINI:ES1! ) appearing even more bearish.
We are now approaching a critical juncture, which presents a significant opportunity for buyers to take a stand. The daily RSI is nearing an oversold condition, and simultaneously, the price is approaching the SMA100 alongside a horizontal support level ( 490 ) from the February consolidation.
There is no absolute certainty that buyers will seize this opportunity, but we should closely monitor the price action next week. Although sellers have demonstrated their strength, we are still in a weekly uptrend, and trends do not end easily unless there is a radical shift in sentiment. Despite negative news in recent weeks, nothing has emerged as critically detrimental yet. However, this could change, so we must regularly reassess the situation as new information becomes available.
The short-term outlook remains bearish, but this could change depending on how the price reacts to these support levels.
Disclaimer
I don't give trading or investing advice, just sharing my thoughts.
$SPY Does it Need a Bigger Correction?I have zoomed out to larger timeframes on AMEX:SPY to come up with some larger / longer timeframes. Here is what I started with; the weekly chart (shown) then zoomed out to the Monthly Chart (not shown) to draw the February 2009 trendline. I came back to the weekly to find the March 2020 trend. I then looked that the latest run starting in October 2023. That trend line is almost parabolic and was unsustainable.
I am not making any prediction here, but it would be prudent to have a plan for a larger correction. I have horizontal lines near the top of the chart that were drawn using the daily chart and it is possible that one of them (or none) could be support areas. It is all to be determined. Keep an open mind. Corrections can happen in price or time or a combination of both.
I would like to point out that on any of the charts that I post I am only correct about 50% of the time. My posts are more about self-accountability than anything else. However, I do hope that you find some value in the technical aspect of the posts.
Thanks for looking.
Trading Plan for Thursday, April 25th, 2024Trading Plan for Thursday, April 25th, 2024
Market Sentiment: Uncertain, with bulls maintaining short-term control.
Key Supports
Immediate Supports: 5088-92 (major), 5082, 5077 (major), 5067
Major Supports: 5054-57 (major), 5033-36 (major), 5005-10 (major), 4966 (major)
Key Resistances
Near-term Resistance: 5104 (major), 5115-20 (major), 5133-36 (major), 5171-75 (major)
Major Resistances: 5191 (major), 5225, 5240-45 (major)
Trading Strategy
Trading the Chop Zone: The 5088-5115 range is currently a choppy, congested zone. Exercise caution with overtrading and consider sniping within the zone over chasing direction.
Long Opportunities: Look for failed breakdowns at 5088-92 or 5077. After earnings, focus on bids cautiously within the range, prioritizing the knife-catch protocol for deeper longs at major levels.
Short Opportunities: Look for backtests of 5115 or the major 5171-75 zone if reached. Given earnings, a breakout of the current flag pattern is possible and could be considered, but use caution.
Profit-Taking: With Meta earnings, use level-to-level profit-taking on any position.
Bull Case
Holding Support: Defending the current bull flag structure (5088-5115) is critical. Look for a base building within this range or a breakout.
Reclaiming Resistances: Bulls need to push above the 5133-36/5155 zone for a potential run to the next major target, 5171-75.
Bear Case
Breakdown Signals: A convincing break below 5077 triggers the downside move. As always, be wary of traps – look for a bounce/failed breakdown first, then consider shorting with level-to-level profit-taking.
News: Top Stories for April 25th, 2024
Earnings Releases
Meta Earnings: Reports weak revenue guidance, drops 16%.
Earnings season produces wild movesAfter the closing bell on Tuesday, Tesla reported its earnings for the first quarter of 2024. Despite the report showing a 9% YoY decline in total revenue and a staggering 55% YoY drop in net income, along with an increase in operating costs by 37% YoY, shares of the company soared more than 12% in the aftermarket. The price action, however, was not the same for Meta Platforms, which delivered much better results yesterday, with revenue growing by 27% YoY, net income by 117% YoY, and operating costs by 6% YoY; yet, the company’s shares plummeted more than 15% following the announcement.
While trying to wrap our heads around these moves, we would like to point out the double divergence forming on the monthly graph between the price and RSI, shown in Illustration 1.01. In addition to that, we would want to highlight an impending bearish crossover between the 20-day SMA and the 50-day SMA, both of which currently act as crucial resistance levels. If the SPX breaks and maintains ground above them, it will be positive, but if the SPX fails, it will be slightly worrisome. Besides that, another spike in the VIX will also be concerning. Today, there are several important data releases, including jobless claims, GDP growth rate, wholesale inventories, and pending home sales. Furthermore, several big names are reporting their earnings, most notably Alphabet and Microsoft.
Illustration 1.01
Above is the monthly chart of SPX and RSI. Yellow arrows indicate the first and the second divergence between the price and RSI.
Technical analysis gauge
Daily time frame = Bearish
Weekly time frame = Bearish
*The gauge does not necessarily indicate where the market will head. Instead, it reflects the constellation of RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+-, ADX, and moving averages.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Trading Plan for Wednesday, April 24th, 2024Trading Plan for Wednesday, April 24th, 2024
Market Sentiment: Uncertain, with bulls maintaining control after yesterday's rally but price action becoming more complex after a trend day.
Key Supports
Immediate Supports: 5095-5100 (major), 5082, 5076 (major), 5067
Major Supports: 5056 (major), 5047-45 (major), 5027 (major), 4996-5000, 4966 (major), 4945-49 (major)
Key Resistances
Near-term Resistance: 5120 (major), 5136 (major), 5171 (major), 5190 (major)
Major Resistances: 5220 (major), 5246 (major)
Trading Strategy
Post-Trend Caution: After a significant move yesterday, be aware of complex price action and increased potential for traps. Prioritize caution over conviction.
Long Opportunities: Due to the choppy nature of post-trend days, direct bids are less reliable. Consider bids with a failed breakdown at 5090 (after it's reclaimed) or on major supports (5056, 5046-45). Prioritize the knife-catch protocol for deeper longs.
Short Opportunities: Look for backtests of 5136 and particularly 5171 for shorting. A breakdown below 5076 could open up downside targets, with level-to-level profit-taking.
Risk Management: Scale back position sizing and be prepared to potentially take some losses while price discovery takes place.
Bull Case
Holding Support: Defending the 5045 zone is encouraging for bulls.
Reclaiming Resistances: Bulls need to push above the 5120/5136 zone for a potential run to the next major target, 5171.
Adding on Strength: Breaks and acceptance above 5095, within a bull flag pattern, could offer opportunities for adding to long positions. Observe closely to ensure it's not a backtest for a downside rejection.
Bear Case
Breakdown Signals: A convincing break below 5045 triggers the downside move, while a short-term failure of 5076 could lead to a dip. As always, be wary of traps – look for a bounce/failed breakdown first, then consider shorting with level-to-level profit-taking.
News: Top Stories for April 24th, 2024
Economic Environment
IMF Global Financial Stability Report highlights optimism and lingering risks.
US Dollar's strength despite expectations of decline.
Economic indicators: Focus on upcoming employment report, CPI report, and Bitcoin halving.
Stock Market Updates
S&P 500 performance: new highs followed by a downturn due to inflation concerns.
Additional Market News
Boeing's quarterly performance and supply chain stabilization.
Reminder: The market is reacting to a mix of earnings reports, economic data, and the critical battle at the 5040 resistance. Prioritize risk management and adapt your trading strategy accordingly. Let me know if you'd like any changes!
META 529 AFTER EARNINGS ? REASONS WHY !!
AI Integration and Advancements: Meta has been prioritizing the integration of artificial intelligence across its applications, which has played a crucial role in the company’s rally2. The market has responded positively to Meta’s efforts in developing and monetizing AI applications, leading to a boost in the stock price.
2. Digital Advertising Market Recovery: The digital advertising market has seen a rebound, which has directly benefited Meta’s core revenue stream. As one of the leaders in digital advertising, Meta’s financial performance has improved with the market’s recovery.
3. Operational Cost Reduction: Meta has implemented several rounds of layoffs, reducing its operating costs significantly. This move has improved the company’s profitability and margins, making it more attractive to investors.
4. Strategic Shifts: Meta has made strategic shifts, such as scaling back its investments in the metaverse, which were initially met with skepticism. This change in strategy has improved investor confidence and contributed to the stock’s growth.
5. Market Conditions: The overall market conditions, including interest rates and economic policies, have also played a role in Meta’s stock performance. A favorable environment for tech stocks has helped propel Meta’s stock to new heights.
SPX Will Go Up! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for SPX.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 4966.93.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 5113.40 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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Big earnings this week could pave the way for a reboundThe S&P 500 Index has been edging lower for nearly a month, accompanied by a rise in volatility. From its all-time highs in late March 2024, the SPX has declined about 5.6%, which begs the question of a rebound. Interestingly, this week, several big names, including Alphabet, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, and Tesla, are reporting their earnings for the first quarter of 2024. If these results are generally good, then there is a significant chance that SPX will recover some of the losses. However, if earnings fail to fulfill investors’ expectations and there are notable downgrades to future forecasts, it could spark more fear among investors and rekindle volatility in the market.
Illustration 1.01
The picture above shows the daily graph of SPX and two simple moving averages, the 20-day SMA and the 50-day SMA. The yellow arrow indicates an impending bearish crossover between these two moving averages, which represent resistance levels to watch out for in the case of a stock market rebound.
Technical analysis gauge
Daily time frame = Bearish
Weekly time frame = Bearish
*The gauge does not necessarily indicate where the market will head. Instead, it reflects the constellation of RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+-, ADX, and moving averages.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TESLA 130 AFTER EARNINGS !! High Valuation: Tesla’s market capitalization has skyrocketed in recent years, leading some to argue that its current valuation is not justified by its earnings or sales figures. If these critics are correct, Tesla’s stock could be overpriced, and a market correction could be on the horizon.
2. Competition: The EV market is becoming increasingly crowded. Traditional automakers like General Motors and Ford are ramping up their EV production, and newcomers like Rivian are making waves as well. Increased competition could erode Tesla’s market share.
3. Regulatory Risks: Tesla operates in a highly regulated industry. Changes in policies related to EVs, self-driving technologies, or environmental standards could have a significant impact on Tesla’s operations.
4. Production and Delivery Challenges: Tesla has faced criticism for production delays and quality control issues in the past. If these problems persist, they could harm Tesla’s reputation and bottom line.