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SPX (S&P 500 Index)

SPX500 wrestling with overhead resistanceeThe short-term hourly SPX500 has resistance around 5,320. However, the longer-term daily is still positive, implying short-term pullbacks may be dips in the broader uptrend. This video is intended for the users of Stratos Markets Limited, Stratos Trading Pty. Limited and Stratos Global LLC, (collectively “FXCM Group”). Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com) : CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com) : Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website: Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
FX:SPX500Long
by FXCM
US500 S&P Technical Analysis and Trade Idea Taking a comprehensive view of the US500, we observe a prevailing bullish trend, particularly evident when analyzing the monthly and weekly charts. Although there was a recent minor downturn, the daily chart exhibited bearish movements. However, the overall sentiment is optimistic once again. Notably, we’ve identified bullish price action—a decisive break in market structure on the 4-hour timeframe—which could potentially shift the 4-hour trend to bullish. In our video, we delve into trend analysis, explore price action dynamics, dissect market structure, and introduce key technical analysis concepts. Toward the video’s conclusion, we present a trade idea. It’s essential to emphasize that this information serves educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. 📈
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by fxtraderanthony
AMD GOING UP TO 169 ? NASDAQ:AMD 169 TP THIS WEEK ? 6 REASONS WHY Strong Financial Performance: AMD's financial performance has been a significant contributor to its stock price surge. The company's earnings per share (EPS) and forward dividend & yield figures have shown considerable improvement, reflecting a robust financial health that has instilled confidence in investors. Superior Product Offerings: AMD's product portfolio is another reason for its success. The company offers a diverse range of microprocessors, graphics processing units (GPUs), and other semiconductor products that cater to a wide range of industries. This versatility has allowed AMD to tap into multiple markets, driving its revenue and stock price upwards. Market Share Gains: AMD has been steadily gaining market share from its competitors, particularly in the high-growth sectors of data centers and AI chips. The company's innovative products and competitive pricing have enabled it to outperform its rivals, leading to an increase in its market share. Positive Market Sentiment: The overall positive market sentiment towards the semiconductor industry has also played a role in AMD's rally. As the demand for semiconductor products continues to grow, driven by emerging technologies like AI, IoT, and 5G, companies like AMD are well-positioned to benefit from this trend. Strategic Partnerships and Collaborations: AMD's strategic partnerships and collaborations with other leading technology companies have also contributed to its success. These partnerships have allowed AMD to leverage its partners' resources and expertise to develop innovative products and expand its market reach. Effective Management: Finally, AMD's management team has been instrumental in driving the company's success. Under their leadership, AMD has successfully navigated the challenges of the semiconductor industry, positioning the company for long-term growth.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by NYRUNSGLOBAL
SPX: overbought momentumThe S&P 500 managed to reach a fresh all time high at 5.322 during the previous week, supported by the market optimism. This was a gain of 1.5% on a weekly level. There are currently several reasons for such a move. Certainly, economic data is currently one of the most watched by the market. Posted inflation data in the US for April, showed that the inflation was moving in line with market expectations, and a bit lower from the March data. This supported market confidence that the first Fed's rate cut might come in September this year. There have also been notes from some Fed officials that the inflation developments in April are perceived positively, however, the Fed will still need more confidence that the inflation will indeed move to the lower grounds in the coming period. On the other side are relatively strong earnings from some companies included in the index of 500 most valued companies in the US. The information technology sectors continue to lead the market, however, the previous week we have seen that the real estate sector is emerging from the period of high pressure due to high interest rates, which was 2.5% higher during the week. Overbought momentum continues to be evident for the index. Some relaxation might be possible in the week ahead, however, the market continues to be highly bullish on the US equities.
SP:SPX
by XBTFX
SPX: And Mrs. Market says not yet!!Well, my previous idea for a higher degree wave 4 got busted! Market is not ready to be bearish just yet. On Friday we got a breakout from the trendline resistance and retest. Next week we should expect a move upwards toward the next resistance at 5402. However, it seems like Market is poised to run towards the 1.236 fib extension of waves AB which is also around the 0.618 fib extension of Primary waves 1 and 2. If the contracting diagonal theory is correct, then that would be an area of interest to see the market turn for a bigger correction. If market decides to blow through those levels, then we need to rethink this whole count and maybe get even more bullish. For now, still looking for a higher degree top and a good 25%-30% correction in the next few months.
SP:SPXLong
by mukit1
SPX - Enjoy the rally while it last!For those who have been here since 2022 early 2023 when there was so much fear in the market and we called the market had bottomed. I think it was the right call, even though we had a lot of naysayers. Now I think we are nearing the end of this rally which I estimate will be sometime in February 2024. I have two outcomes the green line below which I highly favor and believe that is the path and the grey line which is definitely possible but unlike in my opinion due to election year. Also it looks like we are following the cup and handle. I have also explained in my other ideas why I think we are like in 1990 and 2012 (base on the fear). If the grey line happens, Biden loses the election guaranteed so I am certain the fed will hold the stock market at least until after the election. Give a like if you find helpful
SP:SPXLong
by BlackisKing
27
S&P rally continues; will we see new high?After confirmation of control in the first days of May, bulls enjoyed their dominance. The market opened with a gap up on Monday, rallied throughout the entire week, and closed very strongly within the top value area. There was some profit-taking on Monday, but sellers were not able to push the price even below the previous day's high. At this stage, there are no major warning signs for the buyers. On the other hand, there are many signs that confirm their strength: 1. Price is in a daily uptrend, aligned with higher level context (weekly/monthly uptrend). 2. Two unfilled gaps (Friday the 3rd and Monday the 6th). 3. Strong close of the week within the top value area (price has retraced >80% of April’s bearish wave). The only technical weakness on the chart is the monthly consolidation. Bears might try to defend April’s high ( 524 ), but unless they receive support from economic reports coming this week, their position looks very vulnerable. An important level for the bulls is 515 , where the price pivoted on Wednesday after a pre-market sell-off. Important economic data will be released on Tuesday and Wednesday, which could cause volatility in both directions. But as long as there are no major negative surprises, pullbacks are buying opportunities Disclaimer I don't give trading or investing advice, just sharing my thoughts.
AMEX:SPYLong
by hermes_trisme
Trading Plan for Friday, May 17th, 2024Trading Plan for Friday, May 17th, 2024 Market Sentiment: Uncertain, as the market shows signs of fatigue after 10 consecutive green days. Traders are anticipating a pullback and adjusting strategies accordingly. Important Note: It's OPEX Friday, which often leads to choppy price action and pinning (price moving a lot but ending near the starting point). Exercise caution and be prepared for potential traps. Key Supports Immediate Supports: 5309-11 (major), 5294 (major) Major Supports: 5271 (major), 5249 (major), 5217-20 (major) Key Resistances Near-term Resistance: 5329-31 (major), 5342 (major), 5361 (major) Major Resistances: 5398-5400 (major), 5433-36 (major) Trading Strategy Post-Rally Caution: The market is overdue for a correction after the recent parabolic move. Prioritize protecting profits and consider reducing exposure. Long Opportunities: Look for failed breakdowns at 5309-11, followed by a reclaim above 5314, as a potential long entry point. Short Opportunities: As always, avoid shorting green candles and breaking trends. If considering shorts, look for a test and bounce/failed breakdown at 5309-11, then consider shorting at 5306 for a move down the levels, exiting all runners at 5294. Proceed with extreme caution as shorting in an uptrend is risky. Level-to-Level Focus: The breakout from the downtrend channel has created a volatile environment. Trade the provided support and resistance levels rigorously and take profits aggressively. Bull Case Holding Support: Defending 5309-11 is crucial for maintaining short-term bullish momentum. A hold here would allow for further base-building and potentially another leg up to 5330, 5342. Bear Case Breakdown Signals: A convincing break below 5309-11 triggers a more significant dip. Consider shorting at 5306 after a bounce/failed breakdown confirmation, with level-to-level profit-taking. News: Top Stories for May 17th, 2024 🌍 Eurozone Financial Stability Risks: The European Central Bank has issued warnings regarding the fragility of financial stability in the Eurozone amidst ongoing geopolitical tensions and policy uncertainties during a significant election year. 💼 U.S. Defense Spending Surge: Recent U.S. military budget allocations have reached new heights, with significant implications for global military and defense strategies. 💰 China's Treasury Sell-Off: In a notable shift in financial strategy, China has reduced its holdings of U.S. Treasury and agency bonds, marking a record sell-off that underscores evolving trade and economic relations. 📉 Federal Reserve's Interest Rate Strategy: The Federal Reserve signals a cautious approach towards interest rate adjustments, reflecting ongoing concerns about inflation and economic recovery. 📈 Global Trade Dynamics: A significant rebound in global trade is anticipated, driven by easing inflation and robust economic activities in key regions, promising a shift in international trade flows and economic recovery.
CME_MINI:ESM2024Long
by spytradingpro
SPX500 potentially setting up before cash openThe longer-term SPX 500 daily chart is sitting in a bullish channel with positive technical indications. The shorter-term hourly is heading towards positivity, however there need to be some developments to confirm. This video is intended for the users of Stratos Markets Limited, Stratos Trading Pty. Limited and Stratos Global LLC, (collectively “FXCM Group”). Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com) : CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com) : Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website: Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
FX:SPX500Long
by FXCM
S&P500 Ultimate 20-year cheat-sheet! See when to sell!The S&P500 index (SPX) is having another very strong bullish month, following the red 1M candle of April, which was the first after 5 straight months of profit. Many might be wondering why a deeper correction didn't come at this stage and the answer is simply that it's not yet the time for it. We present to you today what we call the "Ultimate stock market cheat sheet" which is simply an observation of the market's Cycles of roughly the past 20 years. As you can see, since the 2007/08 Housing Crisis, there is a very consistent pattern and the Sine Waves display perfectly that frequency. More specifically, we can see that a rough frequency when the S&P500 tops is 3.5 years. Every 42 months (3.5 years) the index either hits a High or already has and is on a minor decline before a stronger correction comes, which is always within the technical standards of pull-backs within a greater Bull Cycle expansion. Roughly also, the sell signal is given after the 1M RSI breaks below its MA trend-line having previously been on overbought territory (above 70.00). As a result, the market still has another full year until a sell signal emerges (July 2025). Of course it is advisable to be off stocks before that date just to be on the safe side but the important conclusion of this finding is that investors can continue feel safe buying for several more months. What's your take on this? Do you still feel safe buying? ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:SPXLong
by TradingShot
6
Trading Plan for Thursday, May 16th, 2024Trading Plan for Thursday, May 16th, 2024 Market Sentiment: Bullish, but highly extended and statistically due for a significant pullback after 10 consecutive green days. Proceed with extreme caution and prioritize protecting gains. Key Supports Immediate Supports: 5308-10 (major) Major Supports: 5272 (major), 5253-56 (major), 5200-02 (major), 5145-50 (major) Key Resistances Near-term Resistance: 5327-31 (major), 5337 (major), 5370-72 (major) Major Resistances: 5395-5400 (major), 5430-35 (major) Trading Strategy Extreme Caution: 10 green days in a row is statistically rare, and a deep pullback could occur at any time. Long Opportunities: Avoid chasing long entries at current levels. Focus on potential bids at 5308-10 only after a dip and strong reaction (ideally, a failed breakdown of the afternoon low). Consider deeper longs at 5272, 5253-56, or lower majors only on strong confirmations (failed breakdowns of lows, etc.). Short Opportunities: While shorting in a strong uptrend is discouraged, those comfortable with counter-trend trades may consider the 5370-72 zone, but only after a bounce/failed breakdown. Proceed with extreme caution. Prioritize Preservation: Focus on protecting profits and minimizing risk exposure in this highly uncertain environment. Avoid overtrading and wait for high-probability setups. Bull Case Ultra Bull Case (Unlikely): ES needs to hold above 5308-10 on any dips, with a new base forming between 5308 and 5331. This would be the most bullish scenario, leading to a potential test of 5337, 5348, then 5370-72. Bear Case Breakdown Signals: A convincing break below 5308-10 could trigger a substantial dip. Watch for bounces/failed breakdowns at 5272, 5253-56, and lower major supports for potential long entries if the market rebounds. If 5308-10 fails, consider shorts after a bounce/failed breakdown at 5300. News: Top Stories for May 16th, 2024 📈 S&P 500 Hits All-Time High: Yesterday, the S&P 500 index reached a new all-time high, closing at 5,253 points. This reflects investor confidence and market optimism driven by favorable economic indicators and expectations of accommodative monetary policy from the Federal Reserve. 🌐 IMF and World Bank Spring Meetings: The International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank are preparing for their spring meetings amidst ongoing geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties. These meetings will address global economic issues, including conflict impacts and strategic economic adjustments. 🏦 UN Economic Update: The United Nations will launch the mid-year update of the World Economic Situation and Prospects 2024. This update will assess global economic conditions, highlighting challenges such as high interest rates, debt difficulties, and geopolitical risks. 📊 Wall Street Analyst Revisions: Wall Street analysts are revising their forecasts for the S&P 500 due to the market's unexpected strength. This reflects the dynamic nature of market expectations and investor agility in navigating the evolving financial landscape. 🌍 Critical Minerals Demand: Global economic discussions are focusing on managing the demand for critical minerals essential for low-carbon technologies. This ties into broader sustainability goals and the economic opportunities and challenges for developing countries.
CME_MINI:ESM2024Long
by spytradingpro
SHILLER P/E RATIO ... Went Higher than 1929!Only Twice in 150 Years of US Equities has the Shiller PE ratio gone higher than the 1929 TOP 2000 & 2022 The Shiller PE is useful as it smooths out the PE ratio over a 10 year average ... very useful for forecasting. The financial markets have been perverted & all know this. The #FED can only print and save your Assets after a financial crisis appears on the scene and when #DEFLATION takes hold. They're are actively rugging the markets The FED always creates volatile markets the exact opposite of their mandate As this is what their shareholder actually want.
SShort
by BallaJi
Trading Plan for Wednesday, May 15th, 2024Trading Plan for Wednesday, May 15th, 2024 Market Sentiment: Bullish, but extremely overbought after 9 consecutive green days. Expect high volatility and the potential for a substantial rug pull triggered by the CPI data release. Key Supports Immediate Supports: 5257 (major), 5215-17 (major), 5208 (major) Major Supports: 5162 (major), 5133-36 (major), 5096-5100 (major) Key Resistances Near-term Resistance: 5272 (major), 5302 (major), 5329-32 (major) Major Resistances: 5362-64 (major), 5398-5402 (major) Trading Strategy Expect Volatility: Prioritize capital preservation during the CPI release and limit your trading activity. Long Opportunities: Look for failed breakdowns at 5257 (if not already broken) or 5215-17 as potential long entry points after a CPI sell-off. Consider the 5162 and 5133-36 zones for deeper longs, but only on quick recoveries and failed breakdowns. Short Opportunities: Due to the bullish trend and the unpredictable nature of CPI day, avoid shorting unless the market reacts very negatively to the data. Monitor potential back-tests of 5302 or 5329-32, but proceed with extreme caution. Level-to-Level Focus: The breakout from the downtrend channel has created a volatile environment. Trade the provided support and resistance levels rigorously and take profits aggressively. Bull Case Holding Support: If 5217-20 holds after the CPI dip, there's potential for continued consolidation within the 5236-5261 range, setting up for a later breakout towards 5285, 5294, and 5302+. Ultra Bull Case (Unlikely): ES would need to hold above 5257 (extremely unlikely) to continue upwards with minimal correction. Bear Case Breakdown Signals: A convincing break below 5217-20, especially if the CPI news is negative, triggers a larger dip. Monitor failed breakdowns at 5162 and 5133-36 for potential long entries. News: Top Stories for May 15th, 2024 📉 U.S. April CPI Report Released: The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics announced April's Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures, indicating a slight moderation in inflation with headline inflation at 3.4% and core inflation (excluding food and energy) at 3.6%. This data is crucial for understanding the Federal Reserve's future interest rate decisions (U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics). 📊 Impact on Federal Reserve Policy: The CPI data implies a cautious approach from the Federal Reserve regarding interest rate adjustments. Despite a slight decrease in inflation, the rate remains above the Fed's 2% target, leading to market uncertainty about potential rate cuts (Federal Reserve). 🛢️ Sector-Specific Inflation: Significant contributors to the CPI increase included gasoline and shelter costs, which together accounted for over 70% of the monthly rise. Gasoline prices increased by 2.8% in April due to seasonal factors and changes in refinery practices (USA Today). 📈 Global Inflation Trends: The International Monetary Fund projects a global inflation rate decline to 5.8% for 2024, down from 6.8% in 2023. This trend is attributed to tighter monetary policies and a drop in energy prices, though regional variations persist, with hyperinflation in Venezuela and lower rates in developed economies (IMF). 🌐 Market and Trade Impact: High inflation rates can increase export prices, making goods less competitive globally, while countries with lower inflation may see more stable consumer prices and better trade balances. Geopolitical tensions and supply chain disruptions continue to influence these dynamics (UNCTAD).
CME_MINI:ESM2024Long
by spytradingpro
FEDERAL DEBT priced in the DOW JONES is too HIGH!Those dollars that the US government owes must be inflated away! As paying back 33 Trillion dollars is not feasible in today's version of dollars. So they must be paid in even more worthless dollar currency units. If the US government stops spending they will send the US economy into a recession. They must continue to pump money into the economy and the stock market. The con job that inflation is under control is a lie.. and we will continue to see higher prices the rest of the decade albeit at a slower rate. BUT even 2% annual inflation compounded will erode purchasing power quickly as we have seen in the past. And I have charted before. I believe we will continue to see the stock market ramp up the next two quarters before taking a summer break. The underlying hidden to most, inflation trend, will continue to inflate revenues and earnings for most stocks going forward. The bottom line is that Inflation is a FRAUD perpetuated on the people by the Government. They print and spend the money first, and then the workers get it after beingTAXED and after prices have gone up. Then they TAX you on the gain in asset prices! :) So if u can invest in assets that are in wrapped up Tax free vehicles --- seek those out. #Crypto can be a way to supercharge your returns for periods of time, but come with inherent, built in volatility --- most people walk away with, what could have been stories -- rather than life changing returns
FRED:GFDEBTN
by BallaJi
3
New Volume Footprint option on TradingViewHi all, This is the first (stream replacement) educational video with a very quick overview of volume. Tradingview just released the new Footprint Beta tool. It's something I asked them for a long time ago, so I am glad it's finally here! In this video I cover the time-price-opportunity tool as well as visible and fixed range. Leading into footprint. This is not a deep dive, it's more an intro to and how these things come together. If there is enough interest in this idea I will create a sequence based on trading volume in depth. Thanks for watching! See you on the next stream/idea.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by Mayfair_Ventures
11
Trading Plan for Tuesday, May 14th, 2024Trading Plan for Tuesday, May 14th, 2024 Market Sentiment: Bullish, but cautious given the 8 consecutive green days. The risk of a sudden pullback increases as the market becomes more overbought. Key Supports Immediate Supports: 5235 (major), 5221-17 (major), 5210 (major) Major Supports: 5192 (major), 5174-76 (major), 5144-47 (major) Key Resistances Near-term Resistance: 5246 (major), 5262 (major), 5272 (major) Major Resistances: 5302 (major), 5327-29 (major), 5400-05 (major) Trading Strategy Chop Zone Management: The 5235-5262 zone is a chop area, making it difficult to trade with high conviction. Avoid overtrading and focus on level-to-level scalping for small gains. Long Opportunities: Look for failed breakdowns at 5235 or 5210 for long entries. Prioritize reactions at these levels, ideally with quick recoveries. In the event of a deeper dip, consider knife-catches at 5192, 5174-76. Short Opportunities: As always, avoid shorting green candles and breaking trends. For those inclined to counter-trend shorting, consider 5272 or 5302 as potential levels, but proceed with extreme caution. Bull Case Uptrend Continuation: As long as 5235 holds (or any breakdown is quickly recovered), the bullish trend remains intact. Focus on a potential base building within the 5235-5262 range, followed by an upside breakout targeting 5272, 5290, and ultimately 5302. Ultra Bull Case: No dip below 5235, with continued basing above it. Reclaiming 5245 could be a signal to add exposure, but only with acceptance and no break above 5262. Bear Case Breakdown Signals: A convincing break below 5235 would trigger a potential correction. Monitor bounces/failed breakdowns at 5231, 5221-17, and 5210 for short entry opportunities, but prioritize a more significant level like 5192 for confirmation and to avoid traps. News: Top Stories for May 14th, 2024 China's Strategic Bond Sale: China initiates a substantial bond sale, aiming for $140 billion to combat its property crisis and stimulate economic growth through infrastructure projects. Russia's Economic Resilience: Despite Western sanctions, Russia's economy shows unexpected strength, with GDP projected to outpace the U.S. This resilience is attributed to increased non-oil revenues and strategic fiscal management. Indonesia's Nickel Boom: Western car manufacturers are flocking to Indonesia for its nickel resources, crucial for electric vehicle batteries, highlighting Indonesia's growing importance in the global EV supply chain. Meme Stock Mania Returns: The meme stock phenomenon resurges, with GameStop and AMC Entertainment experiencing significant price volatility following social media activity by influential traders. Global Economic Concerns: Leaders from Serbia, North Macedonia, and Georgia express apprehensions about the requirements for joining international economic communities, potentially impacting regional economic policies. China's Bond Sale and Global Implications: China's upcoming bond sale aims to bolster its economy and could influence global interest rates, foreign exchange markets, and international bond market dynamics. Meme Stock Resurgence and Market Volatility: The return of "Roaring Kitty" to social media sparks a renewed frenzy in meme stocks, leading to dramatic price swings in GameStop, AMC, and BlackBerry.
CME_MINI:ESM2024
by spytradingpro
Will soaring commodities lead to a surprise in tomorrow's data?The inflation rate, CPI, and retail sales for the previous month will be released tomorrow. The general market expectations are that the inflation rate advanced higher by 0.4% MoM and 3.4% YoY in April 2024. The CPI is forecasted to come in at 313.75, and retail sales are expected to soar by 0.4% MoM, slowing down from an increase of 0.7% in March 2024. However, with accelerating inflation in the first three months of this year and commodities soaring across the board in April 2024, the question lingers whether investors are due to be surprised once again with tomorrow’s data. Change in April 2024 Aluminium = 8.4% Copper = 11.5% Cocoa = -6.5% Gold = 2.4% Iron ore = 8.4% Silver = 5.3% Steel = 4.9% West Texas Intermediate crude oil = -2.2% Change since the start of 2024 Aluminium = 7.5% Copper = 23.6% Cocoa = 77.8% Gold = 13.7% Iron ore = -18.7% Silver = 20.2% Steel = –11.9% West Texas Intermediate crude oil = 9.62% Technical conditions Daily time frame = Bullish Weekly time frame = Neutral Monthly time frame = Bullish Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
SP:SPX
by Tradersweekly
2