SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-14-25: Temp BottomToday's Cycle Pattern is a Temporary Bottom pattern. I suspect the markets may attempt to move a bit lower in early trading before attempting to find a new base/support level.
Yesterday's low may prove to be very important depending on what the markets do today. Initially, I thought yesterday's low was the Temporary Bottom pattern (one day early). But, I do believe the markets will continue to be volatile in early trading today and may move downward to retest lows before trying to move higher - setting up the Temporary Bottom pattern.
Gold and Silver will likely continue to melt upward unless there is some big news that disrupts the US Dollar's downward slide. I see Gold trying to rally above $3200 very quickly over the next 15+ days.
Bitcoin is still consolidating and is currently in a short upward price phase (much like the SPY/QQQ). In fact, the SPY/QQQ and Bitcoin are all in an EPP consolidation phase.
So, that means even though we may see a volatile type of price move over the next 15-30+ days, price is ultimately trapped in a consolidated price range and will/should attempt to break downward into the Ultimate Low.
Therefore, if we get a moderate pullback/rally phase over the next 5+ trading days, be aware that the rally upward will end near March 21-24 and turn downward very sharply before the end of March (based on my research).
You have lots of opportunity if this base sets up for a moderate rally in the SPY/QQQ, but play it cautiously as I don't believe we'll see new ATHs anytime soon.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
SPX (S&P 500 Index)
Gold takes Adv. since Trump-a-rally pans out to Bulls fartIt's gone 2 weeks or so, since Mr. Trump has secured a win over his Democrat-rival Kamala Harris in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as it declared by the Associated Press.
Since that, a lot of stocks soared in a meme-style mode, while Bitcoin clears $93,000 and Dogecoin soared amid Trump-fueled crypto rally.
Among nearly 2000 components of Smallcap Russell 2000 Index TVC:RUT , appr. 90 percent of them (without any fundamental reasons) were up on November 6 - at the day Trump clinched White House victory.
For S&P 500 SP:SPX and Nasdaq-100 NASDAQ:NDX indices these numbers were 70 and 75 percent respectively.
Since US dollar interest rates are still near multi year highs and Powell still says the Fed is in no hurry to cut interest rates.. all of that means Trump-a-rally gives no light for super-duper bets, as it's been discussed in earlier posted ideas.
Moreover, Geopolitics is roaring back, as current U.S. President Joe Biden tries to authorize the yellow-blues to use powerful long-range American-made weapons inside Russia's legal areas, potentially inside Kursk region where located The Kursk Nuclear Power Plant, that is one of the three biggest nuclear power plants (NPPs) in Russia and one of the four biggest electricity producers in the country.
The main graph is for Gold spot OANDA:XAUUSD , and it indicates on Cup with Handle technical structure in development as Gold takes Adv. since Trump-a-rally pans out to Bulls fart.
If SPX Rallies Here… I’m Hitting the Sell Button HardIf SPX Rallies Here… I’m Hitting the Sell Button Hard | SPX Analysis 14 Mar 2025
The lazy bear keeps rolling downhill, but if history has anything to say about it, it might just wake up for a quick stretch before heading lower again.
📌 Last time, SPX pushed down, bounced, then continued lower.
📌 Gamma Exposure suggests 5500/5520 are price magnets, with 5550 acting as resistance.
📌 A short-term pop before another drop wouldn’t be surprising.
With bear swings already unloading, profits are stacking up, but there’s still plenty of juice left in the move.
I’ll be watching for one more push higher before looking for the next bearish entry—unless the market decides to hand me a clean setup first.
Otherwise? I’m calling it early for some live music, a zoo visit, and a St. Paddy’s pint. 🎷🍻
Let’s break it down…
---
Deeper Dive Analysis:
The market continues to stair-step lower, but like any good trend, nothing moves in a straight line forever.
📌 The Setup – Is a Bounce Before the Next Drop Coming?
If you look at past price action, the last time SPX broke down, it:
Pushed lower.
Briefly popped back up.
Then continued the descent.
Now, we’re seeing a similar structure forming.
📌 GEX Levels Are Painting a Clear Picture
Using my new toy, Gamma Exposure, I’m watching:
5500/5520 acting as magnets—price is likely drawn to them.
5550 as a possible resistance level before rolling back down.
If price rallies into these levels, I’ll be hunting bearish entries.
📌 Trade Execution Plan – Stick With What Works
Delaying bullish trade ideas until we clear 5700.
Looking for reversal setups and pulse bars around 5550.
Targeting 5500/5520 for a possible low-of-day move.
📌 Profits Locked In—Time for a Break?
Bear swings are paying out, and I’m sitting in a good position with my exposure.
Some tranches have already hit profit targets.
If more reach exit targets, I’ll reposition if the setup aligns.
Otherwise, it’s time to enjoy a well-earned long weekend.
The market can move without me for a couple of days—but if the setup is there, I’ll be ready to strike.
🎷 Saxophones, zoo visits, and a St. Patrick’s pint are calling. 🍀
---
Fun Fact
📢 Did you know? The first recorded stock market crash happened in 1637—and it wasn’t stocks that crashed, it was… tulips.
💡 The Lesson? Markets have been overreacting to hype for centuries. Whether it’s tulips, tech stocks, or meme trades, human nature never changes—only the assets do.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 14, 2025🔮 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍:
🇺🇸⚠️ Potential U.S. Government Shutdown ⚠️: The United States faces a potential government shutdown on March 14 if lawmakers fail to agree on the 2025 budget. This impasse could lead to the closure of government agencies and furloughs of federal employees, impacting various sectors and potentially affecting market sentiment.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊:
📅 Friday, March 14:
🛒 University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (10:00 AM ET) 🛒:This index measures consumer confidence regarding personal finances, business conditions, and purchasing power, providing insights into consumer sentiment.
Forecast: 64.0
Previous: 64.7
🛢️ Baker Hughes Rig Count (1:00 PM ET) 🛢️:This report provides the number of active drilling rigs in the U.S., offering insights into the oil and gas industry's health.
Previous: 592
⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.⚠️
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
S&P500 Index Goes 'DRILL BABY DRILL' Mode due to Tariffs BazookaThe Trump administration's aggressive use of tariffs — we termed at @PandorraResearch Team a "Tariff' Bazooka" approach due to their broad, unilateral application — has exerted significant downward pressure on the S&P 500 index through multiple channels. These include direct impacts on corporate profitability, heightened trade war risks, increased economic uncertainty, and deteriorating market sentiment.
Direct Impact on Corporate Earnings
Tariffs raise costs for U.S. firms reliant on imported inputs, forcing them to either absorb reduced profit margins or pass costs to consumers. For example, intermediate goods like steel and aluminum—key inputs for manufacturing—face steep tariffs, squeezing industries from automakers to construction. Goldman Sachs estimates every 5-percentage-point increase in U.S. tariffs reduces S&P 500 earnings per share (EPS) by 1–2%. The 2025 tariffs targeting Canada, Mexico, and China could lower EPS forecasts by 2–3%, directly eroding equity valuations6. Additionally, retaliatory tariffs from trading partners (e.g., EU levies on bourbon and motorcycles) compound losses by shrinking export markets.
Trade Escalation and Retaliation
The EU’s threat to deploy its Anti-Coercion Instrument—a retaliatory tool designed to counter trade discrimination—could trigger a cycle of tit-for-tat measures. For instance, Canada and Mexico supply over 60% of U.S. steel and aluminum imports, and tariffs on these goods disrupt North American supply chains. Retaliation risks are particularly acute for S&P 500 companies with global exposure: 28% of S&P 500 revenues come from international markets, and prolonged trade wars could depress foreign sales.
Economic Uncertainty and Market Volatility
The U.S. Economic Policy Uncertainty Index (FED website link added for learning purposes) surged to 740 points early in March 2025, nearing levels last seen during the 2020 pandemic. Historically, such spikes correlate with a 3% contraction in the S&P 500’s forward price-to-earnings ratio as investors demand higher risk premiums. Trump’s inconsistent tariff implementation—delaying Mexican tariffs after negotiations but accelerating others—has exacerbated instability. Markets reacted sharply: the S&P 500 fell 3.1% in one week following tariff announcements, erasing all post-election gains.
Recession Fears and Sector-Specific Pressures
Tariffs have amplified concerns about a U.S. recession. By raising consumer prices and disrupting supply chains, they risk slowing economic growth—a fear reflected in the S&P 500’s 5% decline in fair value estimates under current tariff policies. Industries like technology (dependent on Chinese components) and agriculture (targeted by retaliatory tariffs) face acute pressure. For example, China’s tariffs on soybeans and pork disproportionately hurt rural economies, indirectly dragging down broader market sentiment.
Long-Term Structural Risks
Studies show tariffs fail to achieve their stated goals. MIT research found Trump’s 2018 steel tariffs did not revive U.S. steel employment but caused job losses in downstream sectors8. Similarly, the 2025 tariffs risk accelerating economic decoupling, as firms diversify supply chains away from the U.S. to avoid tariff risks. This structural shift could permanently reduce the competitiveness of S&P 500 multinationals.
Conclusion
In summary, Trump’s tariff strategy has destabilized equity markets by undermining corporate profits, provoking retaliation, and fueling macroeconomic uncertainty.
Overall we still at @PandorraResearch Team are Bearishly calling on further S&P 500 Index opportunities with further possible cascading consequences.
The S&P 500’s recent slump reflects investor recognition that tariffs act as a tax on growth—one with cascading consequences for both domestic industries and global trade dynamics.
--
Best 'Drill Baby, Drill' wishes,
@PandorraResearch Team 😎
S&P500: Bottom of 2 year Channel. Target 6900.S&P500 is oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 27.644, MACD = -113.480, ADX = 60.232) as the price didn't only cross under the 1D MA200 but is also almost at the bottom of the 2 year Channel Up. In the meantime, the price reached the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level while the 1D MACD touched its LH trendline. The last time all those conditions were met at the same time was on the October 30th 2023 Low. What followed was a massive rally to the -0.618 Fib extension before the next 1D MA50 pullback. This is a unique opportunity to buy and aim for the -0.618 Fib (TP = 6,900).
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
S&P 500 Index, Gold, and BitcoinToday, I’m analyzing the weekly charts of the S&P 500 Index, Gold, and Bitcoin. Notice anything interesting? 🤔
Since late 2022, these assets have been moving in sync, showing an unusually strong correlation. At times, it almost feels like they’re behaving as a single market. But spotting these connections provides valuable insights we can use to our advantage.
One chart that stands out is the S&P 500 Index, particularly its rebound from the dual Fibonacci support zone around $5520. This is a critical level, and as long as it holds, both Bitcoin and Gold are likely to maintain their upward momentum.
For now, the overall market sentiment remains bullish, and this trend could continue throughout the year. 🚀
Bearish Darvas Box? Here’s How I’m Trading It...Bearish Darvas Box? Here’s How I’m Trading It | SPX Market Analysis 13 Mar 2025
The market is stuck on repeat, playing the same song over and over. Drop, pause, drop, pause—sideways, down, sideways, down. This looks very much like a bearish Darvas box pattern.
And guess what? We nailed it (yesterday).
📌 SPX continues to stair-step lower, just as we anticipated.
📌 5650 remains a rock-solid resistance level—confirmed by Gamma Exposure.
📌 On Monday, we expected a sideways stall—and we got exactly that.
With this predictable rhythm, we locked in another live zero-day trade during my Fast Forward Mentorship call, hitting max profit by the end of the day.
Until a breakout forces a change, I’ll keep stacking bearish trades, watching pulse bars, and waiting for the next clean setup.
Viva la profits!
---
Deeper Dive Analysis:
At this point, the market feels like it’s reading from a script—stair-step down, stall, stair-step down again.
And frankly? I’m not complaining.
📌 The Setup – Another Day, Another Bearish Move
From Monday’s analysis, we expected this exact movement—SPX meandering sideways after a drop, before setting up the next move.
5650 remains resistance, confirmed by Gamma Exposure.
5700 is the key level before I even think about bullish setups.
If we break lower, 5255 is still the daily breakdown target.
📌 The Trade – Zero-Day Profits, Executed to Perfection
With the market following our expected pattern, I took full advantage:
✅ Live zero-day trade executed during my Fast Forward Mentorship call. (see main blog for walkthrough)
✅ Plan was simple—sell premium at the range high, let the market do the work.
✅ Expired at max profit by the end of the day.
This is what happens when you trade with structure—no guessing, no chasing, just following the game plan and letting the market pay you.
📌 What’s Next? Playing the Game Until It Changes
Until SPX decides to break out, I’ll continue to:
Look for bearish entries, pulse bars, and breakouts.
Delay bullish plays until we clear 5700.
Stay patient and let the profits stack up.
Because when you have a system that works, you don’t need to force the market—just follow its lead.
Viva la profits!
---
Fun Fact
📢 Did you know? The Darvas Box Trading Strategy was created in the 1950s by a professional ballroom dancer who turned $25,000 into $2.25 million in 18 months—all while travelling the world.
💡 The Lesson? Sometimes, the best traders aren’t even traders at first—but they know how to follow a system that works.
relief pumpSeems like election bull was already priced in, new money got washed.
Bonds are making a comeback, cash is a position.
Expecting more downturn after a relief pump, coinciding with yields retracement.
Yields trending with equity price are usually signs of either economical expansion or economical fears, such as slowdown or recession, during up and downs. The markets just jumped from one narrative to the other:
expansion(trump gets in office) ---> slowdown(tariffs imposed)
I think the expansion narrative will take a while to settle back(end of Q2 at least) after all the executive orders signed.
Although, I'm still long for the month of March, nice opportunity for a relief pump, before resuming of slowdown narrative.
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): LONG to resistance area of 5915.Colleagues, I was waiting for the price to reach the support area of 5656, because the big corrective wave “IV” should end soon.
I am still looking for a long entry point. I expect that wave “IV” has either ended or will soon end its downward movement in the 5656 area and we will see the beginning of an upward wave.
I expect that the first target is the resistance area of 5915.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
SPX to dump 30% - 50% for Inflated Expectations in 2026I like to say the narrative follows the price . This was bound to happen after such an overheated year, couple years. Blame whomever you want, in the end its your wallet if you aren't ready to have your expectations met.
Best case scenario, the breakout of macro is confirmed after the retest (blue arrows). Worst, more likely case, it smashes down to confirm a double bottom with a strong foundation to form a macro support. The sawtooth can provide opportunities for volatile scalps, but its gonna get gnarly I can already tell.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 13, 2025 🔮 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍:
🇰🇷🇺🇸 South Korea's Trade Minister Visits U.S. 🇰🇷🇺🇸: South Korea's Trade Minister, Cheong In-kyo, is visiting Washington, D.C., from March 13 to 14 to discuss trade issues, including reciprocal tariffs and investment opportunities, with U.S. counterparts. This visit aims to address concerns about tariffs following President Trump's comments regarding disparities between U.S. and South Korean tariffs. The outcome of these discussions could impact sectors reliant on U.S.-South Korea trade relations.
🇩🇪🛠️ German Debt Reform Debates 🇩🇪🛠️: Germany's Bundestag is set to begin debates on debt reform plans starting March 13, focusing on increasing infrastructure spending and reforming state borrowing rules to fund defense. The proposed creation of a €500 billion infrastructure fund aims to stimulate the economy. These reforms could influence European economic stability, indirectly affecting U.S. markets through global economic interconnections.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊:
📅 Thursday, March 13:
🏭 Producer Price Index (PPI) (8:30 AM ET) 🏭:The PPI measures the average change over time in selling prices received by domestic producers, offering insights into wholesale inflation trends.
Forecast: +0.3% month-over-month
Previous: +0.4% month-over-month
📉 Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET) 📉:This weekly report indicates the number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits for the first time, providing insight into the labor market's health.
Forecast: 226K
Previous: 221K
⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.⚠️
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
S&P500 Strong Support cluster on the 2-year Channel Up.S&P500 (SPX) has been trading within a 2-year Channel Up that has made the market recover from the 2022 Inflation Crisis, taking it to a new All Time High (ATH).
The recent 4-week decline however has been an aggressive one and rightly so has sparked heightened fear to investors, especially considering the trade war fundamentals. Technically, the index just broke below its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and is approaching the bottom of this long-term Channel Up, a development that in the eyes of short-term traders is disastrous.
On the long-term though, this is a very strong Support level as the market seems to be repeating the Secondary Channel Up (blue) of February - October 2023. The end of this was also an aggressive correction which broke below both the 1W MA50 and 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level temporarily before starting a massive Bullish Leg. Even the 1W RSI sequences among the two fractals are similar, despite the current price action being more aggressive.
Interestingly enough, they both declined by at least -10%, so if we see the current week closing in green and by the next starting to recover, it is likely to see a similar Bullish Leg to test the -0.5 Fibonacci extension as the April 01 2024 Top did. That would give us a 6900 long-term Target, which would be a +24.75% rise from the current low, exactly identical with the rise from the April 19 2024 to February 19 2025.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Bearish & Boring? Maybe. Profitable? Definitely.Bearish & Boring? Maybe. Profitable? Definitely. | SPX Market Analysis 12 Mar 2025
You know that feeling when you wake up and wonder if you’re stuck in a time loop? Yeah, me too.
For what feels like the hundredth time, I’m reporting that the bear move is grinding lower. The difference? The profits keep stacking up—so I’m not complaining.
Yesterday’s rally was supposedly triggered by Canada pausing tariffs, but let’s be real—this market is looking for any excuse to bounce. Yet, the overall trend remains the same: a slow, stair-stepping drop. Based on this drop-pause-drop rhythm, I suspect we’re entering the next pause before another leg down.
My bear boots are full, my trade allocations are set, and I’m waiting for two tranches to exit profitably before considering any new plays. Until SPX clears 5850, the bullish setups stay on the shelf.
This is the good kind of waiting—the kind where the market moves for me instead of me chasing it.
---
Deeper Dive Analysis:
If it feels like Groundhog Day, you’re not alone. The bearish grind continues, slowly pushing lower, delivering small but steady wins. Unlike a panic-driven crash, this move is unfolding in slow motion, keeping traders on edge, wondering if a rally is lurking around the corner.
📌 A Market Looking for an Excuse to Bounce
Yesterday’s rally attempt was supposedly fueled by news that Canadian tariffs were being paused, but let’s be honest—this market is desperate for any reason to move higher. The reality? The larger bearish structure remains intact.
Every bounce so far has been short-lived.
The market keeps following a drop-pause-drop pattern.
We’re likely entering the next "pause" phase before another move down.
📌 My Trading Approach—Locked, Loaded, and Waiting
Right now, my bear boots are full, meaning I’m not adding new positions until my current tranches exit profitably.
Two tranches are set to exit with profits by the end of the week.
If we push lower or continue sideways, I’ll take my exits and reassess.
Until SPX clears 5850, I won’t even think about bullish setups.
📌 What’s Next? The Good Kind of Waiting
There’s no need to chase trades or force new entries. I’m simply letting my plan play out. If the market continues its slow-motion decline, I’ll collect my wins, reload selectively, and wait for the next prime setup.
For now, I sit back and enjoy the show—because this time, the market is working for me, not against me.
---
Fun Fact
📢 Did you know? In 2008, Porsche trapped hedge funds in one of the greatest short squeezes in history, briefly making it the most valuable company in the world—all thanks to a secretive stock manoeuvre.
💡 The Lesson? Markets don’t just move up and down—they can also turn traders inside out. The wrong bet at the wrong time can be devastating… unless, of course, you have a system that keeps you on the right side of the trade. 🚀
SPY S&P 500 etf Oversold on the RSI ! 2025 Price Target ! The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) is flashing a major buy signal, with its Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently sitting at 28.33 — firmly in oversold territory. Historically, every time SPY has entered oversold levels on the RSI, institutional buyers have stepped in aggressively, driving sharp rebounds in the following weeks and months.
The last time SPY dipped below the 30 RSI threshold was during market pullbacks in 2022 and 2023 — both of which were followed by significant rallies as institutions capitalized on discounted valuations. The current setup is no different. With earnings growth stabilizing, inflation cooling, and the Federal Reserve signaling a potential shift toward rate cuts in the second half of the year, the backdrop for a recovery is aligning perfectly.
Technically, SPY is also approaching key support levels that have held strong in past market corrections. The combination of an oversold RSI and strong institutional appetite at these levels creates a compelling case for a bounce.
My price target for SPY by year-end is $640, representing over 15% upside from current levels. With sentiment stretched to the downside and technical indicators flashing green, SPY looks primed for a sharp and sustained rebound. Now could be the perfect time to position for the next leg higher.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 12, 2025 🔮 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍:
🇺🇦🇷🇺 Ceasefire Proposal in Ukraine 🇺🇦🇷🇺: Ukraine has expressed willingness to accept a month-long ceasefire proposal, leading to a surge in the euro to five-month highs. This development has introduced volatility in European and U.S. equity markets, influenced by ongoing U.S. tariff plans.
🇺🇸🇨🇦 U.S. Tariff Increases on Canadian Imports 🇺🇸🇨🇦: President Trump has threatened to double tariffs on Canadian steel and aluminum imports to 50%, escalating trade tensions and contributing to a deepening stock market sell-off. This move has raised concerns about inflation and economic growth, affecting investor confidence.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊:
📅 Wednesday, March 12:
📈 Consumer Price Index (CPI) (8:30 AM ET) 📈:The CPI measures the average change over time in prices paid by urban consumers for a basket of goods and services, serving as a key indicator of inflation.
Forecast: +0.2% month-over-month
Previous: +0.3% month-over-month
⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.⚠️
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
S&P500 Channel Down good until cancelled.S&P500 / US500 is trading inside a 20day Channel Down that spearheaded the technical correction from last month's All Time High.
The 1hour RSI is on a bullish divergence and within this pattern this has signalled a temporary rebound near the 1hour MA100 for a Lower High rejection.
As long as the pattern holds, a tight SL sell position there is the most optimal trade, aiming at 5450.
A crossing over the 1hour MA200, invalidates the bearish sentiment and restores the buying bias. In that case, take the loss on the sell and buy, aiming at 6040 (Fibonacci 2.0 extension).
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
S&P 500 reversal target - 6151Looking at a potential reversal target for the S&P 500 as we move beyond the election year into 2025. When scanning backwards on the previous high from late 2021, we can see price action clearly retested the speed fib on multiple weeks before a final rejection that induced the mini bear market which ended Oct of '22. Following that same speed fib forward into 2024, we can clearly see price is NOW, once again, retesting this magnetic fib zone.
To figure out where this is all going, let's measure from the Jan '22 high into the Oct '22 low.
Here, we get a 1.854 and 2.0 fib extension which intersects with the speed fib in question. Making some assumptions that price will AGAIN, range and retest multiple times before resolving, we can overlay "bars pattern" (from Jan '21 HIGH - Oct '22 LOW) and see when and how this could play out.
Now, we wait and see how this movie ends!
Note: Not trading or investment advice. ENTERTAINMENT ONLY!
S&P 500 is gearing up for a drop to $348.11 or even $218.26.SP:SPX AMEX:SPY are gearing up for a potential crash. Markets and indices seem aligned for a downturn.
What will trigger it?
Hard to say, but watching the stock and crypto markets, it certainly looks that way.
My expectations for SPX / SPY:
➖ Fibonacci 161.80% targets have been reached.
➖ Key downside levels: $348.11 and $218.26.
TVC:DXY
The dollar index is leaning towards growth for now. I think it might follow this scenario. Let’s keep an eye on how things develop.