S&P500 4H Channel Up aiming higher.This is a short-term outlook on the S&P500 (SPX) following yesterday's Fed Rate Decision. The short-term pattern on the 4H time-frame is a Channel Up and is giving us some important developments.
Even though yesterday's attempt to stay above the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) failed, the index managed to stay on the Channel Up bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) and is since rising steadily on green 4H candles, attempting to form a bottom (Higher Low).
A closing above the 4H MA50 can be the bullish confirmation this pattern needs but outside of it, we see the Ichimoku Cloud turning green again for the first time since April 09. If the 4H MACD completes the emerging Bullish Cross, we will have a strong bullish mix in our hands and most likely the Channel Up will go first for a 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) test, since last time it was rejected on the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) and eventually complete a +4.00% Bullish Leg (like the previous one) at 5200.
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SPX (S&P 500 Index)
✅ Daily Market Analysis - 02 MAY 2024Economic events:
USA - Initial Jobless Claims
Eurozone - HCOB Eurozone Manufacturing PMI (Apr)
Eurozone - ECB's Lane Speaks
U.S. equity markets saw a partial recovery subsequent to the Federal Reserve's choice to maintain interest rates at their current levels on Wednesday. Additionally, the Fed disclosed intentions to commence a gradual tapering of its balance sheet reduction initiative, commonly referred to as quantitative tightening, beginning in the coming month. As a result, the S&P 500 index made a modest gain of 0.1%, while the NASDAQ Composite index advanced by 0.2%. Furthermore, the Dow Jones Industrial Average exhibited notable strength, surging by 179 points, equivalent to a 0.50% increase.
NDX, SPX, and DJI indices daily chart
The Federal Reserve opted to maintain its key interest rates within the 5.25% to 5.5% range, signaling a potential prolongation of elevated rates owing to the slower-than-expected progress in addressing inflationary pressures. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) highlighted insufficient headway toward achieving the targeted 2 percent inflation rate in recent months.
Nevertheless, the FOMC announced plans to initiate a reduction in its holdings of Treasury securities, commencing in June with a reduction of approximately $25 billion per month from the current pace of $60 billion. This decision follows recent labor market data indicating a slight imbalance, with job openings reaching a three-month low in March. Despite this, April saw private sector job gains exceeding economists' projections.
Market focus now shifts to the imminent release of the nonfarm payrolls report scheduled for Friday, with expectations of a robust addition of 243,000 jobs to the U.S. economy in April.
In currency markets, the EUR/USD pair continued its upward trajectory on Thursday, propelled by prevailing market optimism favoring risk-sensitive currencies like the Euro. This upbeat sentiment may be attributed in part to Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's dovish commentary on Wednesday. However, the Eurozone faces challenges due to a comparatively more dovish stance from the European Central Bank compared to the Federal Reserve. Recent inflation data from the Eurozone showed stability in April, aligning with expectations.
EUR/USD daily chart
Moreover, core inflation witnessed a decline, fueling speculation regarding a potential interest rate reduction by the European Central Bank (ECB) in June. Thursday also marks the release of the final HCOB Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index data, with market expectations aligning with preliminary figures. This index serves as a leading indicator, offering insights into business activity within the Eurozone manufacturing sector.
In contrast, the Japanese Yen faced notable selling pressure during the Asian session on Thursday, retracting from its over two-week high against the US Dollar observed the preceding day. Initial reactions to rumors of Japanese authorities intervening once again, marking the second intervention this week to support the domestic currency, quickly waned amid expectations of a sustained wide US-Japan rate differential. Furthermore, a generally positive risk sentiment surrounding US equity markets serves as a significant factor undermining the safe-haven appeal of the JPY.
USD/JPY daily chart
In the early Asian trading hours, the USD/CAD pair persists in its downward trajectory around 1.3730. Late on Wednesday, Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem reaffirmed the central bank's confidence in an ongoing reduction in inflation. Macklem indicated that the BoC is nearing the point of deliberating rate cuts, underscoring that the central bank is not bound to mimic the Federal Reserve's strategies. He emphasized that higher rates in Canada are demonstrating greater efficacy compared to the United States.
USD/CAD daily chart
Amid mounting speculation among traders, there is growing anticipation that the Bank of Canada may opt for interest rate cuts in June, prompted by Canada's economic deceleration in the initial quarter of this year. Notably, Canada's GDP exhibited a subdued expansion of 0.2% month-on-month in February, a slowdown from the preceding 0.5% figure and below the market's projected 0.3% growth. Additionally, according to S&P Global on Wednesday, the Canadian Manufacturing PMI descended to 49.4 in April and 49.8 in March, falling short of the market consensus of 50.2.
Despite lackluster figures from the Australian Bureau of Statistics, including weaker-than-expected Trade Balance and Building Permits data, the Australian Dollar persists in its strengthening trend on Thursday. The AUD/USD pair garners support from the prevailing positive market sentiment, buoyed by dovish remarks issued by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Wednesday.
AUD/USD daily chart
The ascent of the Australian Dollar finds its roots in the hawkish stance adopted by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), anticipated to uphold elevated interest rates throughout 2024. Additionally, last week's domestic inflation figures surpassing expectations have fueled speculation that the RBA could defer any potential interest rate cuts.
Traders are eagerly awaiting the release of several key economic indicators from the United States on Thursday, including weekly Initial Jobless Claims, Nonfarm Productivity, and Factory Orders. These data releases are poised to provide additional clarity regarding the present condition of the US economy.
SPX has toppedthere is a confluence of time and fib levels, the market will fall in 1-4 weeks. what will be the narrative ? idk , there is an Elliott wave count that says this is a major yearly high, but I don't want to believe it cause that would be catastrophic for the world, I hope it's just a pullback of 10-15%.
All you need to know about yesterday's FOMC meetingYesterday's FOMC meeting concluded with a decision to keep the monetary policy unchanged, leaving the federal funds rate at 5.25% to 5.5%. During the subsequent press conference, Jerome Powell outlined the solid state of the economy alongside heightened inflationary pressures. Notably, he disclosed plans to commence with the reduction in quantitative tightening starting from June 2024; per the statement, the cap on Treasury redemptions will be lowered to $25 billion per month from the current $60 billion per month. Market sentiment reacted positively to this news, with indices soaring during the chairman's address. However, a more hawkish tone regarding rate cuts was seemingly ignored at first when Jerome Powell admitted a lack of progress in taming inflation over the past few months, requiring the central bank to keep interest rates steady for longer; though, the chairman was swift to deny any prospects of future interest rate hikes. In summary, despite initial market enthusiasm following Powell's announcement, lingering concerns over inflationary pressures and the prospect of prolonged interest rate stability may continue to shape future market dynamics.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows the 1-minute graph of the SPX. The yellow arrows indicate the main events of the day.
Important statements from Jerome Powel
“The economy has made considerable progress toward our dual mandate objectives. Inflation has eased substantially over the past year while the labor market has remained strong and that’s very good news. But inflation is still too high, further progress in bringing it down is not assured, and the path forward is uncertain. We are fully committed to returning inflation to our 2 percent goal.”
“Our restrictive stance of monetary policy has been putting downward pressure on economic activity and inflation, and the risks to achieving our employment and inflation goals have moved toward better balance over the past year. However, in recent months inflation has shown a lack of further progress toward our 2 percent objective, and we remain highly attentive to inflation risks.”
“The labor market remains relatively tight, but supply and demand conditions have come into better balance. Payroll job gains averaged 276 thousand jobs per month in the first quarter, while the unemployment rate remains low at 3.8 percent.”
“Inflation has eased notably over the past year but remains above our longer-run goal of 2 percent. Total PCE prices rose 2.7 percent over the 12 months ending in March; excluding the volatile food and energy categories, core PCE prices rose 2.8 percent. The inflation data received so far this year have been higher than expected.”
“We have stated that we do not expect it will be appropriate to reduce the target range for the federal funds rate until we have gained greater confidence that inflation is moving sustainably toward 2 percent. So far this year, the data have not given us that greater confidence. In particular, and as I noted earlier, readings on inflation have come in above expectations.“
“We are prepared to maintain the current target range for the federal funds rate for as long as appropriate. We are also prepared to respond to an unexpected weakening in the labor market.”
“Specifically, the cap on Treasury redemptions will be lowered from the current $60 billion per month to $25 billion per month as of June 1.”
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
A soft landing is unlikely to materializeThe SPX has rallied approximately 3.5% since its lows on 19th April 2024 and well into the two-day FOMC meeting that kicks off today. In line with general market expectations, we do not anticipate any change to the central bank’s monetary policy, and just like on previous occasions, we expect Jerome Powell to reiterate the FED’s commitment to fighting inflation during his speech at the press conference tomorrow. The chairman is likely to praise the economy for its resilience and make remarks about the historically strong labor market in spite of financial tightening. In addition to that, Jerome Powell is probably going to outline challenges the FED faces, most notably accelerating inflation, which became a topic of discussion following the weakness in the stock market after the last print showed inflation rose for the second consecutive month. This fact could lead to his reluctance to discuss the central bank’s move toward easing, which in turn could lead to a resurgence in volatility and weakness in stocks. By keeping interest rates higher for longer, the FED risks constructing a recession on its own, which has been repeatedly a case in history. Therefore, we continue to hold the opinion that a soft landing will not materialize. Instead, signs of recession will become even more apparent. With that said, we believe there is a high chance for a major repricing event to take place in 2024.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 displays the daily chart of the SPX and two simple moving averages. The yellow arrow indicates a bullish breakout above the 20-day SMA. Now, the 50-day SMA and the price's ability to break through it will be in focus. If the price fails, it will be worrisome.
Technical analysis gauge
Daily time frame = Bearish
Weekly time frame = Bearish
*The gauge does not necessarily indicate where the market will head. Instead, it reflects the constellation of RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+-, ADX, and moving averages.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Trading Plan for Wednesday, May 1st, 2024Trading Plan for Wednesday, May 1st, 2024
Market Sentiment: Uncertain, with the potential for sharp swings amplified by the FOMC announcement. Increased caution and focus on capital preservation are paramount.
Key Supports
Major Supports: 5060 (major), 5043-47 (major), 5030-32 (major), 5000 (major)
Additional Supports: 4976 (major), 4938-41 (major)
Key Resistances
Near-term Resistance: 5066, 5077-82 (major), 5102 (major), 5144 (major)
Major Resistances: 5171 (major), 5200 (major), 5246-50 (major)
Trading Strategy
FOMC Volatility: Expect unpredictable price swings driven by reactions to the FOMC interest rate decision and related news.
Prioritize Capital Preservation: Focus on protecting your account rather than chasing aggressive moves. Adapt position sizing and risk management strategies accordingly.
Long Opportunities: Due to FOMC, direct bids are high risk. Focus on failed breakdowns for better risk/reward. Potentially long at major support levels after flushes and reclaims (5043-47, 5030-32).
Short Opportunities: Due to FOMC, direct shorts are also high risk. Watch for strong bounces and failed breakdowns. Consider shorts at key resistance levels only if the reaction to FOMC is definitively bearish. Proceed with extreme caution.
Level-to-Level Trading: Employ level-to-level scalping techniques and profit-taking, navigating this volatile environment with tighter stops.
Bull Case
Holding Support: Defending the 5043-47 support zone is crucial for bulls, with 5030-32 as the absolute minimum. Reclaiming resistances like 5066 could indicate buyer strength.
Bear Case
Breakdown Signals: A convincing break below 5030, intensified by negative FOMC news, signals a downside move. Watch for bounces/failed breakdowns for potential shorts.
News: Top Stories for May 1st, 2024
Global Economic Outlook
Mature economies are stabilizing with a slight growth uptick projected for 2024 and 2025.
Emerging economies maintain stability with growth projections at 4.3% for both 2024 and 2025.
Regional Trends
Asia, including China, anticipates a slowdown, while Latin America expects gradual growth increases.
Inflation and Monetary Policies
Global inflation is expected to decrease, reflecting central bank rate hikes for price stability and growth support.
Geopolitical Impacts
Populist policies and recent elections in the US and EU pose financial policy and market stability challenges.
Transition to a New Monetary Order impacts interest rates, asset values, and lending environments globally.
EU regulatory changes affect financial markets and trading regulations, emphasizing compliance.
Digital Transformation
Focus on digital assets and CBDCs outside the US signals shifts in financial transactions and regulations.
Blockchain technology enhances financial security and transparency, notably in DeFi platforms.
AI integration reshapes financial services, optimizing operations and decision-making processes.
Digital and open banking experiences exponential growth, fostering fintech innovations and collaborations.
RegTech solutions powered by AI help firms manage regulatory obligations efficiently across jurisdictions.
Prep and Lean ES/NQ/SPX Wednesday ES Trade Plan
Inflection: 5095
Upper lvls: 5115 / 5127 / 5137
Aggressive Inflection: 5076
Lower lvls: 5052-5056 / 5030-5038 / 5005
NQ Trade Plan
Inflection: 17628
Upper lvls: 17660 / 17776 / 17818-17838 / 17901-17937
Lower lvls: 17507 / 17356-17370 / 17283-17293 / 17163
SPX Pivot 5036
Stay Frosty!
SPY gave us a solid sell. Is it still bearish?Last time we looked at SPY (April 11, see chart below), we got what we wanted, a break below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) that met our exact bearish expectation which was a -5.93% decline, absolutely symmetrical with August 18 2023:
As the subsequent rebound got rejected on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line on the chart above), the question is the following: Is SPY still bearish?
Technically, yes as long as it closes weekly (1W) candles below the 1D MA50. But at the same time, being supported on the 1D MA100 (green trend-line on the chart above), keeps short term neutral/ ranged thus the expectations for a bullish break-out live. But it has to close above the 1D MA50 to confirm that.
As you can see, a comparison with recovery patterns following systemic Cycle corrections like the one in 2022, offers valuable conclusions. Basically, since the 2009 bottom of the U.S. Housing Crisis, the three major corrections of the current Cycle, have followed similar patterns (2011 - 2013, 2015 - 2017 and 2022 - 2024). The key common characteristic is that the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) has been the major Support.
After two pull-backs that hit the 1W MA50 straight after the correction's bottom, both the 2011 - 2013 and 2015 - 2017 fractals made a smaller pull-back (green Rectangle) that hit the 1D MA100. It appears that this is where the index is currently at. If this correlation continues to hold and the index won't dive further to the 1W MA50, it might hit the 2.0 Fibonacci extension as its first Target, which is what the other two fractals aimed at. That is at 555.00. Notice also the similarities between the 1W RSI patterns.
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SP500 - corrupt money supply - inflationThis ES1 chart is the six + Europe and Asia trading sessions.
this hasn't corrected properly in over a decade.... and this is what it looks like when they print trillions out of thin air, as "aid for Ukraine" which is then spent entirely on weapons or infrastructure supplied by our military industrial complex. we were warned about this shit. Orwell, Roosevelt.
BREAD, Circus, Genocide. thats a pretty clear indicator of how broken our government is. they show us Captain America and Captain Planet on the programming we got as kids... just an illusion to the reality of our criminal monetary systems and war mongering. all crimes against humanity, and sins of the soul that keep us trapped on these low vibrational levels.
Time to ascend. Time for the Ponzi scheme of the us financial markets, and now corrupted federal government to fall gracefully.
Teh SPX is long over due. the second leg down from covid is just now getting started... delayed by TRILLIOns of new money printed as stimulus. That is trillions stolen from all of us that have earned our money with our time and energy.
It flows through Ukraine, Israel, Palestine, and right back to the US stock market in the portfolio of the corrupt dudes that oppress the rest of us. inflated by blood money. and now tethered to BTC with the ETF.... poisoning that currency as well.
So.. time to pay the piper for all the money printing... the harmonics of the SPX suggest that we need to check in on the old resistance... now turned support, and 1600. bold white dotted line.
ps... BTC ETF + HALVING . . . is everyone just now figuring out "buy the rumor sell the news"
huge correction incoming.
Where will everyone put their credits with the US markets and BTC dumping???
sounds scary?!!? well, fear and greed are the dominant forces in these markets.
Hmmm... is there a coin that raises a different emotion??? maybe the emotion of Love? I know! DOGE coin. dogs are known for unconditional love. Love is the answer. love will prevail... im going that emotion moving forward. no more playing at the table with the blood money military complex sharks. im going to play at the table with all my friends. my tribe. the DOGE tribe.
SP500 & a corrupt money supplyThis ES1 chart is the six + Europe and Asia trading sessions.
this hasn't corrected properly in over a decade.... and this is what it looks like when they print trillions out of thin air, as "aid for Ukraine" which is then spent entirely on weapons or infrastructure supplied by our military industrial complex. we were warned about this shit. Orwell, Roosevelt.
BREAD, Circus, Genocide. thats a pretty clear indicator of how broken our government is. they show us Captain America and Captain Planet on the programming we got as kids... just an illusion to the reality of our criminal monetary systems and war mongering. all crimes against humanity, and sins of the soul that keep us trapped on these low vibrational levels.
Time to ascend. Time for the Ponzi scheme of the us financial markets, and now corrupted federal government to fall gracefully.
Teh SPX is long over due. the second leg down from covid is just now getting started... delayed by TRILLIOns of new money printed as stimulus. That is trillions stolen from all of us that have earned our money with our time and energy.
It flows through Ukraine, Israel, Palestine, and right back to the US stock market in the portfolio of the corrupt dudes that oppress the rest of us. inflated by blood money. and now tethered to BTC with the ETF.... poisoning that currency as well.
So.. time to pay the piper for all the money printing... the harmonics of the SPX suggest that we need to check in on the old resistance... now turned support, and 1600. bold white dotted line.
ps... BTC ETF + HALVING . . . is everyone just now figuring out "buy the rumor sell the news"
huge correction incoming.
Where will everyone put their credits with the US markets and BTC dumping???
sounds scary?!!? well, fear and greed are the dominant forces in these markets.
Hmmm... is there a coin that raises a different emotion??? maybe the emotion of Love? I know! DOGE coin. dogs are known for unconditional love. Love is the answer. love will prevail... im going that emotion moving forward. no more playing at the table with the blood money military complex sharks. im going to play at the table with all my friends. my tribe. the DOGE tribe.
✅ Daily Market Analysis - 01 MAY 2024Economic events:
USA - ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Apr)
USA - S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI (Apr)
USA - ISM Manufacturing PMI (Apr)
USA - ISM Manufacturing Prices (Apr)
USA - JOLTs Job Openings (Mar)
USA - Crude Oil Inventories
USA - FOMC Statement
USA - Fed Interest Rate Decision
USA - FOMC Press Conference
On Tuesday, the S&P 500 underwent a decline, terminating its five-month streak of consecutive gains. This downturn was propelled by apprehensions surrounding inflation, ignited by data highlighting wage pressure. Concurrently, this development aligns with the commencement of the Federal Reserve's two-day meeting.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average witnessed a decline of 570 points, equating to a 1.1% decrease, while the S&P 500 experienced a 1.5% drop, and the NASDAQ Composite saw a 2% downturn. Particularly noteworthy is the S&P 500's recording of a 3% loss for the month.
NDX, SPX, and DJI indices daily chart
The escalation in US labor costs throughout the first quarter exceeded expectations, primarily propelled by rising wages and benefits. This development has revived apprehensions regarding inflation, particularly amid a diminishing investor confidence in potential Federal Reserve rate reductions.
As per the Employment Cost Index, labor expenses surged by 1.2% in the preceding quarter, following an unrevised 0.9% uptick in the quarter prior. On a year-over-year basis, labor costs climbed by 4.2%.
This report emerges following recent data indicating a buildup of price pressures in the initial quarter, amplifying concerns surrounding inflation.
The downtrend of EUR/USD persists for the second consecutive day, with the pair hovering around the 1.0650 level during Asian trading hours on Wednesday. Amid European market closures in observance of Labour Day, market participants eagerly anticipate the Federal Reserve's forthcoming policy decision.
EUR/USD daily chart
Despite the release of robust Eurozone data on Tuesday, the Euro encountered challenges in sustaining its upward trajectory. Notably, Eurozone GDP surpassed expectations, expanding by 0.3% in the first quarter. Moreover, the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) exhibited stable year-over-year growth, meeting anticipated levels. However, the core HICP, excluding food and energy prices, exhibited a softening trend, albeit still surpassing estimates.
Investor sentiment remains optimistic regarding the possibility of interest rate cuts by the European Central Bank in June, as a majority of ECB policymakers have signaled their endorsement for such measures.
On Tuesday, the Japanese Yen incurred notable losses against its American counterpart, reversing a significant portion of the gains witnessed the previous day, driven by the potential intervention by Japanese authorities. The primary contributor to the JPY's weakness is the substantial interest rate differential between Japan and the United States, a trend expected to persist in the foreseeable future. This, combined with heightened demand for the US Dollar, propelled the USD/JPY pair higher during intraday trading.
USD/JPY daily chart
Following the publication of the AiG Industry Index on Wednesday, indicating a continued contraction in Australia's private business activity for March, the Australian Dollar remains subdued. Despite this, market sentiment suggests that the Reserve Bank of Australia will maintain its current interest rates of 4.35% in the upcoming meeting scheduled for next week.
The Australian Dollar faced additional downward pressure following the release of disappointing Aussie Retail Sales data on Tuesday, raising speculation about its potential impact on the RBA's interest rate stance. However, optimism stemming from higher-than-anticipated domestic inflation figures from the previous week has led to speculation that the central bank might delay any decisions regarding interest rate cuts.
AUD/USD daily chart
During the early Asian session on Wednesday, the NZD/USD pair faces selling pressure around the 0.5880 level. The New Zealand Dollar depreciates in response to worse-than-expected employment data from New Zealand.
NZD/USD daily chart
In the first quarter of this year, New Zealand faced a notable increase in its unemployment rate amidst a prolonged recession compounded by high-interest rate conditions. According to Statistics New Zealand's report on Wednesday, the nation's Unemployment Rate rose to 4.3% in Q1 from 4.0% in Q4, surpassing market expectations of 4.2%. Simultaneously, Employment Change figures recorded a decrease of 0.2% in Q1, contrasting with the previous reading's 0.4% rise and falling short of the projected 0.3% increase.
The upsurge in the unemployment rate may prompt the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to uphold its elevated rate for an extended duration to counter inflationary pressures. Market sentiment suggests that the RBNZ is inclined to maintain a restrictive Official Cash Rate, with any potential for rate cuts unlikely until 2025.
As the Federal Reserve initiates its two-day policy-setting meeting, market consensus leans towards the central bank maintaining its benchmark interest rate within the current range of 5.25%-5.50%, a level sustained since July.
Investors are particularly attentive to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's subsequent remarks following the monetary policy statement. These remarks are expected to carry substantial significance, with investors keen to glean insights into Powell's alignment with the market's less dovish perspective on the rate outlook.
Amazon delivers results for the first quarterAmazon announced its earnings for the first quarter of 2024 yesterday after the closing bell. The company reported net sales worth $143.3 billion, marking a 13% YoY increase, and net income of $10.4 billion, up 225% YoY. Operating income rose to $15.3 billion, representing a growth of 218% YoY, with the AWS segment contributing $9.4 billion to the figure and accounting for 62% of the total operating income. In addition, the company’s operating cash flow increased by 82% to $99.1 billion for the trailing twelve months, compared with $54.3 billion for the trailing twelve months ended by 31st March 2023. These results topped the estimates, and the company’s shares slightly soared in the aftermarket.
Net sales = $143.3 billion (13% YoY) vs. $127.4 billion in 1Q23
Net income = $10.4 billion (225% YoY) vs. $3.2 billion in 1Q23
Operating income = $15.3 billion (218% YoY) vs. $4.8 billion in 1Q23
Additional information:
Amazon sales in North America rose by 12% YoY.
International sales grew 9.6% YoY.
Sales within the AWS segment increased by 17% YoY.
Sales within Amazon’s advertisement unit grew by 24% YoY.
Forward guidance
Net sales for the second quarter of 2024 are expected to fall between $144 billion and $149 billion, representing a growth between 7% and 11% compared with the second quarter of 2023. Operating income is expected to be between $10 billion and $14 billion, compared with $7.7 billion in the second quarter of 2023.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Expanded Flat - Wave C BeginningSPX has possibly completed forming Waves A and B of a complex expanded flat correction, and may be near starting its Wave C.
More likely this is the case should TVC:DXY continue up to and above 112-115. See related chart linked below under related ideas.
Another possibility is a running flat correction where it turns back up near the 100% fib instead.
SP 500 cash Top view of wave structure 5146 +or - 2 The chart posted is my view of the wave structure it is forming . We had two legs of equal in the sp 500 up into 5123 from 4954 .I would be rather bearish BUT cycles are in a time frame coming up and I think I would see a rather complex structure in formation . We have had a.7.3 % Correction >So I have now taken a 40 % net long I did want to add at 5061/5058 .I would look for the sp 500 now to rally into 5146 area to end wave A up to the alt abc rally idea reason is a simple one the decline is corrective and NOT impulsive in the structure as that the TVC:DXY target of 106.6 is nearing best of trades WAVETIMER .
Sharing AMZN chart from the TTR We are short as of high of the Sharing AMZN chart from the TTR
We are short as of high of the day
AMZN reports after the close
The price has re-tested the broken ending diagonal channel from below, a bearish signal by itself.
I will take one lotto put. Implied volatility for AMZN stock is about 8% in either direction