Get started

SPX (S&P 500 Index)

Nightly $SPX / $SPY Scenarios for 1.31.2025🔮 📅 Fri Jan 31 ⏰ 8:30am 📊 Core PCE Price Index m/m: 0.2% (prev: 0.1%) 📊 Employment Cost Index q/q: 0.9% (prev: 0.8%) 💡 Market Scenarios: 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: A further gap up would lead to it holding a little, then chopping down into EEZ. Watch for resistance in the Hedge Pressure Zone before any reversal. 📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: Slight move higher from earnings, then drop lower into 6055. Expect some chop and potential liquidity sweeps before continuation. 📉 GAP BELOW HCZ: Consolidate lower into the Hedge Cushion Zone, then pump back higher. A strong bounce is likely if price interacts with the Weekly Hedge Cushion and liquidity builds up. #trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #charting #trendtao
SP:SPX
by PogChan
S&P500 starting a Channel Up on Golden Cross to 6200The S&P500 index is trading inside a Channel Up on the (1h) time frame. A (1h) Golden Cross was just formed and the whole pattern draws comparisons with November's (2024) Channel Up. Both started with a +6% rise that pulled back to the 0.5 Fibonacci level, which in turn initiated the Channel Up. Trading Plan: 1. Buy on the current market price. Targets: 1. 6200 (near the 1.236 Fibonacci extension, like November). Tips: 1. The RSI (1h) is also forming the same Channel Up as November, after getting oversold under 30.00. Please like, follow and comment!!
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by TradingBrokersView
SPX to find sellers at market price?SPX500USD - 24h expiry Price action looks to be forming a top. A Doji style candle has been posted from the high. This is negative for short term sentiment and we look to set shorts at good risk/reward levels for a further correction lower. Further downside is expected although we prefer to sell into rallies close to the 6058 level. Although the anticipated move lower is corrective, it does offer ample risk/reward today. We look to Sell at 6058 (stop at 6099) Our profit targets will be 5942 and 5920 Resistance: 6102 / 6190 / 6235 Support: 6030 / 5980 / 5940 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by OANDA
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Scenarios for 1.30.2025🔮 Nightly SP:SPX / AMEX:SPY Scenarios for 1.30.2025 📅 Thu Jan 30 ⏰ 8:30am 📊 Advance GDP q/q: 2.7% (prev: 3.1%) 📊 Unemployment Claims: 221K (prev: 223K) 🌎Global Events: 🇪🇺 European Central Bank Meeting: The ECB is expected to announce its monetary policy decision, with markets anticipating a rate cut. 🇩🇪 Germany GDP Release: Germany will publish its GDP figures, providing insights into the health of Europe's largest economy. 💹 Market Insights: 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: A further gap up would lead to it holding for a little, then chopping near the EEZ. 📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: Markets might overreact, but this meeting was void of new information. All things markets knew beforehand. 📉 GAP BELOW HCZ: We will likely bounce hard from these lower levels and hold higher. #trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #charting #trendtao
SP:SPX
by PogChan
S&P500: Buy the dip and target 6,215.The S&P500 index is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 54.213, MACD = 29.690, ADX = 23.794) as it has completed the technical dive following the 4H Golden Cross just like August 21st 2024, and is rebounding. The two patterns are so far similar, both rebounding on oversold 4H RSI, and the September 2024 rebound almost reached as high as the 1.5 Fibonacci extension. We aim for another close test of the 1.5 Fibonacci (TP = 6,215). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by InvestingScope
2025 S&P500 Forecast Guess by Tim WestI included 2024's guess that I posted here in January last year which turned out to be quite accurate in terms of "action" and "direction". The volatility the market saw with wild swings back and forth was outlined on here as we reached the clusters of guesses from Wall Street estimates. This is an old technique that I learned from Ken Fisher of Fisher Investments and from Forbes Magazine. His wise and witty insights were the foundation of my investment strategy when I started investing in the mid 1980's. Basically, when you see what the "market expectations" are for a market like the FOREXCOM:SPX500 or S&P500 Index, you can then figure out what needs to happen to get the market to their estimates and realize the market will go to somewhere else other than their guesses. With 2024 showing a majority of "less than historical average" forecasts and more downside forecasts, it was quite clear that the market could easily outpace or outperform those forecasts. Now that 2025 shows that analysts are looking for an average year or more, I think it is safe to say that we won't get an average year. We now have a rising US dollar, which hurts overseas earnings. We also have higher energy prices which also hurts earnings. And yet we have plenty of cash on the sidelines as everyone who missed the rally is hoping to buy on a decline and others are just happy to earn 5% on their cash balances thanks to an ultra-tight Fed (compared to the last 20 years). So, I expect more of the same that we have seen in January and I also expect sharp declines if we get any moves above the highs and up towards 6500 on the SPX.
EIGHTCAP:SPX500
by timwest
11
SPx / Fed Watch: Should AI Volatility Raise Concerns?Should the Fed Worry About an AI Wobble? In this week's meeting, the Fed may not address the DeepSeek AI saga, but AI-driven volatility warrants close attention. Monday’s Nvidia-led selloff, triggered by China’s cheaper DeepSeek AI, rippled into U.S. interest rate markets, highlighting AI’s growing impact on financial stability. S&P 500 Analysis – Market Outlook The S&P 500 stabilized at a key bullish zone and continues to exhibit strong upward momentum, aligning with our previous expectations. A potential retest of 6051 is likely before resuming the upward movement. A successful rebound from this level would strengthen the bullish case, targeting 6103 and 6122 before attempting to break 6143, which would mark a new all-time high (ATH). The index must maintain price action above the 6051 pivot level for the bullish trend to remain intact. A 4-hour candle close below 6051 could shift momentum towards a bearish correction, with downside targets at 6020 and 5997. Key Levels Pivot Point: 6077 Resistance Levels: 6103, 6122, 6143 Support Levels: 6051, 6020, 5997 Trend Outlook 📈 Bullish as long as the price remains above 6051. ⚠️ A sustained break below 6051 could trigger bearish pressure toward 6020. Previous idea:
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SroshMayi
S&P 500 Hits Record High as Trump Pushes for Lower RatesSPX: S&P 500 Logs First Record of 2025 as Trump Pushes for Lower Interest Rates The S&P 500 (SPX) has achieved its first record high of 2025, closing at 6,118.71, following a 0.5% gain in Thursday’s session. Investors appeared to respond positively to Donald Trump’s calls for lower interest rates “immediately,” despite the U.S. President having no direct authority over monetary policy. His statements, however, influenced market sentiment, pushing the index to new heights. S&P 500 Technical Analysis The S&P 500 has stabilized in the bullish zone after breaking a key resistance level. The price is likely to continue upward, targeting 6143 as the next milestone. However, if the price closes a 4-hour candle below 6103, it could signal a bearish correction toward 6077 and 6051. Key Levels Pivot Point: 6105 Resistance Levels: 6143, 6180, 6205 Support Levels: 6077, 6051, 6020 Trend Outlook Bullish: The trend remains upward as long as the price stays above 6103. Bearish: A 4-hour close below 6103 could indicate a move lower. Previous idea:
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SroshMayi
4
S&P500 INDEX / US Stock Futures Eye Recovery Amid AI ConcernsUS Stocks Set to Rebound US stock futures climbed higher on Tuesday, with S&P 500 futures rising by 0.4%, as markets sought to recover from Monday’s sharp sell-off. The recent downturn was fueled by concerns over the US’s AI dominance amidst intensifying competition from China’s DeepSeek. S&P 500 Technical Analysis The price is expected to maintain a bullish trajectory as long as it remains above 6020. It may test 6051, and if a 1-hour or 4-hour candle closes above 6051, it could drive the price higher toward 6077 and 6103. For a bearish scenario, the price must close a 1-hour or 4-hour candle below 6020, potentially targeting 5995 and 5970. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 6020 Resistance Levels: 6051, 6077, 6103 Support Levels: 5995, 5970, 5937 Trend Outlook Bullish: While above 6020 Bearish: If a 1-hour or 4-hour candle closes below 6020 Previous idea:
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SroshMayi
S&P500 Yesterday's crash has confirmed +9.20% rebound.The S&P500 index (SPX) rebounded strongly back to its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), following yesterday's flash crash and recovered most than 50% of last week's Highs. The rebound took place exactly on the former Lower Highs trend-line of December's correction. This correction was the technical Bearish Leg of the post August 05 2024 Channel Up and the rebound on it indicates that the market has turned it from Resistance to Support. Similar Lower Highs trend-lines were formed during the last two major corrections (July and April 2024) and the common feature on all (including the current one) is that a 4H Golden Cross was formed immediately after the break-out. What followed after the Golden Cross was one last pull-back before a +9.20% rise. Yesterday's crash is most likely that pull-back. As a result, we should now be expecting a new +9.20% rise on the medium-term, with our Target being 6450. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by TradingShot
11
SPX week of Jan 27th 2025 The upcoming week could be a bit wild based on the recent gaps and the FOMC meeting. There are a few ranges from recent gaps up that are prime candidates to be filled on a retracement. Especially considering that the last time the FOMC spoke about rates, the index dropped over 3% in a single day. That move is pictured below, and it spans from the current level of 6100 to the top of the lowest gap at 5890. Compounding this is that the highest level of negative gamma exposure sitting directly below the highest gap. Since volatility could pick up if we breach that negative exposure level and there are 2 large gaps below we could see a significant move down. The flip side of this is earnings of course - some of the biggest players are expected to beat estimates this week. That combined with the multiple levels of high gamma exposure sitting above the current level might keep the index rising all week towards the 6200 level. A very inexpensive way to play both sides would be far out of the money inexpensive debit spreads expiring Friday 1/31 centered around the strikes of 6200 to the upside and 5980 or even 5900 to the downside. Of course I am literally brand new at trying to do this kind of analysis so I quite possibly am getting all of this wrong (although I feel like I am getting the jargon down pretty well ;)
SP:SPX
by MWFarmFarm
1
DeepSeek AI Model Drives Bearish Pressure on U.S. Stock FuturesDeepSeek Model Sparks Decline in U.S. Stock Futures U.S. equity index futures are experiencing a significant decline on Monday, driven by the overwhelming popularity of DeepSeek, an inexpensive Chinese artificial intelligence model. This has triggered a selloff in AI-related stocks, with megacap companies like Nvidia being particularly impacted. S&P 500 Analysis The S&P 500 has dropped over 5.00%, primarily due to the release of this cost-efficient AI model in China. The market remains under bearish pressure, particularly as U.S. stocks, including Nvidia, have already experienced substantial losses, with Nvidia alone losing approximately $400 billion in market capitalization amid this development. As long as the price remains below 6,020, the market is likely to see bearish and volatile activity. A break below 5,969 could signal further declines toward 5,937 and 5,863. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 5970 Resistance Levels: 6000, 6020, 6051 Support Levels: 5937, 5890, 5863 Trend Outlook Bearish with Volatility
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SroshMayi
1