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SPX (S&P 500 Index)

SPX Continues to Rise After FOMC DecisionThe U.S. index has been gaining more than 2% in recent trading sessions, and the bullish bias has remained intact since the Federal Reserve’s decision during yesterday’s session. The central bank once again opted to keep the interest rate steady at 4.5%. However, according to some comments, Chairman Powell mentioned that the economy is approaching a point where it may soon be appropriate to begin cutting interest rates. This has fueled expectations of future rate cuts and has helped sustain confidence in equity indices over the short term. Uptrend: Since April 9, a new short-term uptrend has been consistently forming, with price movements holding above the 5,000-point mark. However, the price is now approaching a key resistance level, and as long as this barrier holds, it could lead to short-term neutrality in recent price action. ADX: The ADX line has been falling sharply in recent sessions and is now nearing the neutral 20 level. This indicates a lack of sustained volatility in recent price moves. If the ADX remains at these levels, it could reinforce a period of consolidation or range-bound movement in the short term. RSI: The RSI line remains consistently above the neutral 50 mark, indicating that buying momentum still dominates in the short term. However, as the RSI approaches the overbought level near 70, this could open the door for short-term bearish corrections. Key Levels: 5,750 points – Nearby resistance: This level coincides with the 200-period simple moving average. A breakout above this zone could strengthen the bullish bias and support a more sustained uptrend. 5,540 points – Nearby support: This level aligns with the 50-period moving average and may serve as a potential zone for bearish corrections to unfold. 5,370 points – Critical support: This level aligns with the short-term ascending trendline. A drop below this support could jeopardize the current bullish structure in the short term. Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
FOREXCOM:SPX500
by FOREXcom
Up-a-Bar, Down-a-Bar? Sorted.Gap Higher Into 5700 Heat Ever make a tiny tweak to your bias, ignore the noise, and then watch the market validate every inch of it? That’s the vibe this morning. Yesterday’s post-FOMC tag of the lower Bollinger Band confirmed the mechanical turn, and if you’ve been following along, that means our bullish bias got an official upgrade. Futures are already up 60 points overnight, price is lifting into the 5700 zone, and yes… that broken wing butterfly we placed in the slop is now basking in the spotlight. Didn’t catch the full breakdown of that clean +98.1% ROC win? You should. Because boring trades print – and this one did just that. --- SPX Market View Let’s talk about the move we didn’t miss. We spotted the sideways chop. The indecision. The textbook “up-a-bar, down-a-bar” noise. But instead of guessing direction into FOMC chaos, we made a minor but vital adjustment: Bullish above 5600. Stay mechanical. Stay patient. That call aged well. FOMC came and went with all the urgency of a soggy biscuit. The lower Bollinger Band tag arrived right on cue, and with overnight futures up strong, we’re sitting in validation territory. Now today? 5700 becomes the zone of truth. It’s the GEX cluster. It’s the high of the week. (so far) It’s where a gap-and-go or gap-and-fade could unfold. If price breaks clean, we could see new highs forming into the weekend. If not, expect a choppy pullback from the open before things stabilise. Either way… Already in swings. Already got B&B on. No need to chase. Let the market come to us. This is why structure wins. Expert Insights: Flipping bias mid-chop – let price confirm. Don’t front-run. Forcing entries post-gap – wait for structure, not speed. Ignoring prior levels – 5700 is loaded. Watch for traps. Missing the post-review edge – yesterday’s trade gives today’s confidence. Chasing noise into FOMC hangovers – let the dust settle before committing. --- Rumour Has It… Apparently, the Fed’s post-FOMC statement was originally just a shrug emoji and the word “meh” repeated 17 times. When asked to elaborate, the AI bot in charge blinked twice and played a jazz loop. Traders remain unsure if it was dovish or just tired. This is entirely made-up satire. Probably! Breaking scoops courtesy of the Financial Nuts Newswire-because who needs sanity? --- Fun Fact In 1983, the S&P 500 posted its largest one-day post-Fed reversal at the time, rallying over 3% after a morning selloff – all while inflation was double digits and headlines screamed chaos. The takeaway? News means nothing if your setup is clean and your risk is defined. The same edge applies today.
SP:SPXLong
by MrPhilNewton
S&P500: Hit its 4H MA50. Can it provide a price push?S&P500 (SPX) is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.949, MACD = 19.450, ADX = 31.038) as the index just hit its 4H MA50, which is holding since April 22nd. This is at the bottom of the 4H Channel Up so as long as it holds, the signal is bullish. In the meantime the index again hit the P1 level, which was previously a Resistance. As long as this demand zone holds, we are aiming at the R2 level (TP = 5,790). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by InvestingScope
1
5600: Bullish Border or Bear Trap?Theta’s Working. Setup’s Lurking. This market’s behaving like it needs a reboot. We’ve got the classic tag‑n‑turn setup doing a dodgy impression of itself-upper band got touched, but instead of a clean pivot, we’ve now got a bearish pulse bar flashing and a near‑miss on the lower Bollinger Band. It’s like waiting for a bus, getting two at once, and realising they’re both headed to “Confusion Junction.” So here’s the deal: 5600 is now the cliff edge. Stay above, and we’ve got some bullish life. Drop below, and we’re in breakdown city. If you’re testing the waters today, keep it light. FOMC is on deck, and that alone can whiplash any intraday idea straight off your charts. Meanwhile, theta quietly does its work in the background, even if price action’s stuck in a tight horizontal fog. And for the more cautious of you yes, we’re experimenting with broken wing butterflies as a way to lean into the system without going full throttle. More on that in today’s Fast Forward call. --- SPX Market View Let’s break down the weirdness. We’re in a mechanical tag‑n‑turn, but it’s misbehaving. Usually, the upper Bollinger Band tap sets off a swift reversal. But this time? We got the tag… and then nothing. Just sideways drift. Until yesterday, that is, when bear pulse bars flickered in, suggesting sellers might finally be stretching their legs. Now? We’re hovering just shy of a lower Bollinger Band tag, with the bands pinching tighter than a miser’s wallet. This setup is usually the calm before either a surge—or a slip. Enter the line: 5600. • Above 5600: bull bias stays alive. • Below 5600: breakdown setup gets the greenlight. The GEX crowd seems to be repositioning slightly, but the main range remains intact. Volatility premiums are compressing again, suggesting the real move hasn’t triggered yet. If you’re risk‑curious but cautious, broken wing butterflys are worth exploring. By placing your risk off-centre, you create room to collect theta while limiting max damage if direction gets wonky. I’ve been testing it in real-time, and I’ll share specifics on today’s mentorship call. And then, of course, we’ve got the FOMC main session coming up. If that makes your stomach churn—don’t trade it. Watch it. Tomorrow’s another day. No one gets a prize for being caught on the wrong side of a news candle. --- Expert Insights: Assuming a tag means turn – the tag-n-turn isn’t magic. Wait for confirmation. Forcing trades around news events – FOMC days don’t need your capital. Underestimating sideways risk – no trend doesn’t mean no danger. Skipping risk-defined plays – BWB’s give breathing room when setups are unclear. Failing to adjust bias – bullish and bearish both live here—bias must shift with price. --- Rumour Has It… A mysterious algorithm known only as “TurnTagger X” is reportedly running its own contrarian SPX strategy. It waits for tag-n-turn setups-then does the exact opposite, cackling through your stops. One trader claims it’s powered by caffeine, salt, and old Janet Yellen quotes. Could be hedge fund AI… or just your broker’s cat walking on the keyboard. This is entirely made-up satire. Probably! Breaking scoops courtesy of the Financial Nuts Newswire-because who needs sanity? AI-Powered ETFs Go on Strike A rogue batch of AI ETFs issued a joint statement this morning refusing to rebalance “until humans stop panic-buying tops.” BlackRock is reportedly negotiating with a mediator chatbot named GaryBot-9000. Retail Traders Launch ‘NapMap’ App After months of whipsaw hell, Reddit traders launched NapMap – a tool that identifies the safest hours to sleep through “algorithmic tantrums.” It’s already outperforming the S&P. CBOE Announces ‘Calm VIX’ The Chicago Board of Exchange revealed its newest product: a “Calm VIX” that tracks how unbothered markets pretend to be. Readings are currently at ‘Zen Master’ despite 4 black swans circling the drain. This is entirely made-up satire. Probably! Breaking scoops courtesy of the Financial Nuts Newswire-because who needs sanity? --- Fun Fact The phrase “broken wing butterfly” comes from aviation-not options. Pilots once used the term to describe asymmetric recovery manoeuvres. Traders later borrowed it to describe strategies with off-centre risk profiles-ideal when you expect range but want room for error. Bonus trivia: the strategy can be structured for credit or debit, making it one of the few “choose-your-own-adventure” plays in options. Cartoon metaphor for using broken wing butterflys in volatile markets.
SP:SPXLong
by MrPhilNewton
S&P500 Stuck between the 1D MA50 and 1D MA200.The S&P500 index (SPX) is now on a short-term correction following the impressive recovery of the last 30 days that made it almost test its 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). This is a technical rejection but the fact that the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) is now the Support can be encouraging. The reason is that since January 2023, every time the index broke above its 1D MA50 it turned into a Support that held and produced an immediate bullish extension on every occasion except for one time (Sep 2024), which still recovered 1 week after. As a result, it is more likely for SPX to test its All Time High (ATH) by July than entering a long-term correction again. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:US500Long
by TradingShot
May 6, 2025 - Markets Hold Their Breath Before Powell SpeaksHello everyone, it’s May 6, 2025 and markets are once again at the mercy of politics, Powell, and presidential mood swings. After a 9-day rally, U.S. markets finally took a breather yesterday, with mild profit-taking ahead of the much-anticipated Federal Reserve decision. Investors are caught between two competing visions: Trump’s push for massive rate cuts, insisting inflation is a myth cooked up by bureaucrats, and Powell’s more sober stance acknowledging inflation isn’t dead, the economy is softening, and premature easing could trigger full-blown stagflation. With Friday’s job report stronger than expected, Powell is expected to hold rates steady, staying cautious while tariffs and growth clouds loom. Markets are pricing in a July cut at best, but uncertainty lingers mostly around what Trump might tweet in reaction to Powell’s speech tomorrow night. Meanwhile, despite the 90-day tariff moratorium, the trade war narrative hasn’t vanished. NYSE:F suspended its 2025 outlook, citing $1.5 billion in expected tariff costs and four major risks: disrupted supply chains, retaliatory measures, unclear tax policies, and emission rules. NASDAQ:MAT is also hedging its bets shifting production out of China and pausing forecasts, while begging for zero tariffs on toys “for the kids.” Their stocks dropped modestly after hours. OANDA:XAUUSD surged again to $3,368, as fear and safe-haven demand ticked up. BLACKBULL:WTI rebounded to over $58 following an OPEC statement, helping airline stocks breathe a bit. BINANCE:BTCUSDT continued its meteoric rise, now sitting around $94,400. On the macro front, inflation data like CPI and PPI are being shrugged off everyone’s waiting to see if Powell plays ball with Trump. There’s hope, too, that all this chaos is just Trump’s way of muscling the world into negotiation especially China and if a “deal” emerges, markets could rip higher. Until then, we’re stuck dancing between uncertainty and hope. Asia opened strong this morning, led by China’s cautious optimism. Futures point slightly lower in the U.S., and volatility remains king. The Fed could flip the script tomorrow or keep us hanging. Stay buckled in.
SP:SPX
by SmartApingAI
$MSFT BEST TRADE EVER? SUB $400 incoming by Mid JuneHey everybody, I hope that rally didn't kick your arses the way it did mine. You know, it's like I'm allergic to taking upside atm due to how bearish the MACRO is. Of course, with time, I'm going to assume I get most of my downside Price Targets in the next several years. If you refer to the previous 23% Run to the 200DMA from the 50day in 2023 , NASDAQ:MSFT produced a 9 COUNT SELL SIGNAL , RALLIED for a week, and then dropped to new lows. That is what I am expecting here. NASDAQ:MSFT looks absolutely ripe for the taking. We just rallied 17% and got the 9 COUNT SELL SIGNAL . Mind you, Gaps galore below. The Monthly and the Weekly both have Gaps . Charts do not like that, let me tell ya. I'm excited if you can't tell. NASDAQ:META and NASDAQ:AVGO look great as well. I'm still cautious about a spike out but I figure if we continue higher, i will have opportunity to grab more for cheaper as I am very confident in this move. The price moved above the DEATH CROSS and above the 200DMA . Not ever a healthy move if it moves Vertically from the 50 day and Crosses above both MA's without a stop. Mid June NASDAQ:MSFT should be at new lows.
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by TazmanianTrader
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for May 6, 2025 🔮🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 📉 Market Retreats Amid Tariff Concerns U.S. stock markets declined on May 5, 2025, as investors reacted to potential tariffs and key earnings reports. The S&P 500 dropped 0.6%, and the Nasdaq decreased 0.7%. Notably, Palantir Technologies ( NASDAQ:PLTR ) fell nearly 8% in extended trading despite raising its full-year revenue forecast and exceeding Q1 revenue estimates. 🏛️ Fed Meeting Commences Amid Political Pressure The Federal Reserve's two-day meeting begins today, with the central bank expected to maintain its benchmark interest rate at 4.25%-4.5%. Despite President Trump's calls for rate cuts, the Fed remains cautious due to inflationary risks from new tariffs and migration policies. 🎬 Entertainment Stocks Under Pressure Streaming giants Netflix ( NASDAQ:NFLX ) and Disney ( NYSE:DIS ) experienced premarket losses of over 5% and 3%, respectively, following President Trump's proposal of a 100% tariff on foreign-made movies. 🏠 Housing Market Faces Challenges The U.S. housing market is weakening due to persistent high mortgage rates and economic uncertainty driven by tariff policies. Mortgage rates, currently averaging 6.76%, have deterred both prospective buyers and sellers. 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Tuesday, May 6: 8:30 AM ET: U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services (March) ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
May 2nd Trade Journal & Stock Market AnalysisEOD accountability report: +598.75 Sleep: 6 hour, Overall health: :thumbsup: Another great day in the market, Signals worked decent. Daily Trade recap based on VX Algo System — 9:40 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! — 11:10 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal, (double sell) — 2:53 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal( double sell + x3 sells) — 3:30 PM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! Next day plan--> Over 5650 = Bullish, Under 5650 = Bearish Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
CME_MINI:ES1!
by WallSt007
US Stocks Pare Back All Tariff-Fueled Losses. Are We So Back?Remember “Liberation Day”? The one that felt more like Liquidation Day ? When markets tanked, tickers turned red, and you were afraid to check the markets on the next day? Well, turns out the rumors of the market’s demise were — once again — greatly exaggerated. If the average recession 10 years ago lasted two years, this year’s recession was approximately 37 minutes (more or less, depending on the day). Just a month ago, the S&P 500 SP:SPX started crumbling to the point it entered into correction territory (and then got out of correction territory ). Long story short, it took the punches, went down 15%, stood back up, and is now throwing jabs with a nine-day winning streak — its longest since 2004, when iPods were still a thing and Facebook was just for Harvard students. So… are we back? Like, really back? Let’s dig in. 💰 Trillions Lost, Trillions Found On April 2, President Donald Trump dropped the hammer — or rather, the online post — unveiling his “reciprocal tariffs,” which, in true Trumpian fashion, sounded equal parts policy and promo PR. Markets didn’t take it well. Global stocks collectively threw a tantrum. The S&P 500 dropped like it had a brick in its pocket . Financials cratered, energy took a gut punch, and tech? See for yourself — we don't want to talk about it . But now? The dip buyers are shopping up, scooping up, snapping up everything from banks to oil stocks to beleaguered megacaps. Suddenly, all those stock discounts look like missed opportunities, and the cash-on-the-sidelines traders are jumping in. 👌 Jobs Data: Not Too Hot, Not Too Cold Friday was a good day. Why? Because April’s nonfarm payrolls ECONOMICS:USNFP report came in at 177,000 jobs — not too strong to trigger Fed-tightening fears, not too weak to imply economic decay. It was the goldilocks print. The number was a drop from March’s revised 185,000, but what mattered was the beat: economists had pencilled in just 135,000. Markets took that as permission to throw a party. The S&P 500 jumped 1.5%, reclaiming the level it had before Trump’s tariff tirade and putting an emphatic end to the selloff. Nine green days in a row? That’s a bull flex Wall Street hasn’t seen in two decades. 💥 Truth Social Posts That Move Markets Not to be left out of the celebration, Trump hopped onto Truth Social with his usual caps lock enthusiasm: “THE FED SHOULD LOWER ITS RATE!!!” Sounds familiar? Still, even without a rate cut (for now), the market got what it wanted: signs that the US labor market isn’t collapsing, trade talks might be back on the table, and the economy hasn’t lost its way. 😌 A Global Sigh of Relief While the US led the rally, global markets also joined the rebound chorus. China’s commerce ministry chimed in Friday, saying Washington had expressed a “desire to engage in discussions.” In market-speak, that translates to: "Everyone calm down — we might not blow this up after all." It doesn’t take much to change sentiment. A tweet here, a headline there, a hint of diplomatic progress — suddenly risk appetite returns and everyone forgets they were panic-selling just three weeks ago. But don’t go lining up the espresso martinis just yet — not everything is fully recovered. The US dollar, for example, remains nearly 4% below its pre-tariff-announcement level. 🤔 We Are So… Back? So are we officially back? Short answer — “put the word out there that we back up” for now . Markets are up, volatility is down, and everyone’s pretending they didn’t sell the dip at the worst possible time. But — and you knew there’d be a “but” — caution still applies. Trade tensions aren’t over. The next Trump post could shake things again. The Fed hasn’t made its next move (that’s coming this Wednesday). And geopolitics remains a powder keg. Still, what this rebound tells us is clear: the market has resilience. Maybe not logic. Maybe not grace. But resilience? Yes. It also reminds us that trying to time news-driven selloffs is a dangerous game. Often, the best trades happen when fear peaks and everyone else is running for the hills. 👉 Final Thoughts: Watch the Calendar, Not the Chaos The key takeaway from this tariff-to-rally rollercoaster? Markets can move fast — but they can also recover faster. If you panicked, you probably sold low. If you stayed focused, checked the earnings calendar , and remembered that market narratives shift like wind direction, you're probably doing well right now. We’re so back — for now. But stay sharp. This market may have nine lives, but it also has the attention span of a toddler. Your move : Did you ride the dip? Buy the bounce? Or just mute the chaos and sip your coffee? Drop your best “Liberation Day to Redemption Rally” trade below.
SP:SPX
by TradingView
20
SPX: trade should not be a weaponPositive sentiment continued on the US equity markets during the previous week, after stronger than expected US jobs data. The Non-farm payrolls posted on Friday reached 177K in April, which was significantly above the 130K expected by the market. The market estimate was significantly lower from March data, as analysts were expecting to see a spill over effect of the imposed trade tariffs. As the jobs market seems still quite strong, the positive market sentiment was intact during the week. However, the recession fears are still holding among investors. The S&P 500 continued its 9-days winning streak, ending the week at the level of 5.686. On a positive side was the news that Chinese authorities are considering starting negotiations with the US Administration regarding trade tariffs. This was another positive boost for investors' sentiment. Berkshire Hathaway was holding shareholders annual meeting on Saturday, where the most attention of both media and investors was on the speech of its founder and famous investor, Warren Buffet. In his address to the shareholders, Buffet strongly criticized the trade tariffs, noting “Trade tariffs are an act of war … trade should not be a weapon’. For the moment, it could be expected that the positive sentiment might continue also in the future period. However, the FOMC meeting and Fed rate decision is scheduled for Wednesday, May 7th. This could be a day of higher volatility, as Fed Chair Powell will address the public at the press conference after the meeting. The markets will closely watch what he has to say regarding the current state of the US economy and potential rate cuts during the course of this year.
SP:SPX
by XBTFX
SPX: Short term bearish to touch gap? And fill? Looking like there is apparently “no tariff talks” per China. We’re still in such an uptrend, but looking for a short-term pull back on negative news. Also we have FOMC this week. Does Powell give what Trump and the people want, a rate cut? I’m looking for 5678.33 to - TP1: 5672.46 - TP2: 5635.06 Possible touch or fill gap of below 5603.21? Let me know what you think. Do your DD, not FA. Let’s see what the week brings.
SP:SPXShort
by sweatytrigger
S&P Melt-Up, FOMC, Gold, Bitcoin - Key Levels and OutlooksHappy Saturday!!! I just finished a live roundtable session so charts and analysis was fresh on the mind. S&P just closed 9 consecutive days higher S&P Futures 9 green candles The melt-up has been slow and steady, but persistent Markets are now "repaired" back to or above the US Liberation Day break levels on April 2/April 3 I see some near-term resistance in the S&P with FOMC coming this week. There are some reasonable gaps lower for some pullbacks, but the PAIN trade persists. The "pain" trade now is higher highs because sentiment is so bearish. The "pain" trade if we see all-time highs would be a bull trap. FED is likely staying paused for May and June per the FED Watch Tool and the first rate cut may start in July 2025. But I'm watching US Yields to see if they persist higher because that may ruin the FED's plan and power and 40+ year correlations. Eyes wide open and small risk. Short-term strategies are doing well in this environment. I'll continue to grind. Thanks for watching!!!
CBOE:XSP
by ChrisPulver
May 2nd Trade Journal & Stock Market Analysis** May 2nd Trade Journal & Stock Market Analysis** EOD accountability report: +821 Sleep: 6 hour, Overall health: :thumbsup: Another great day in the market, Signals worked decent. **Daily Trade recap based on VX Algo System** — 12:50 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal :check: — 1:12 PM VXAlgo ES X3 Sell Signal :x: — 3:30 PM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! :check: Next day plan--> Over 5650 = Bullish, Under 5650 = Bearish Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
CME_MINI:ES1!
by WallSt007
3