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S&P 500 (SPX500)

BIG BIG weekI think 7 FED speakers, A lot of tension in the markets, tops mean polarisation, considering reflexivity theory extreme volatility will ensue. A lot of people might think the -0.786 ATH we got before the holidays is the top. I think they are mistaken as seen in the analysis below. There is still legroom for higher, this is a big bet on my part. I have a few contracts on the mag7 (GOOGL, TSLA and META) focusing on GOOGL since they seem to be in the same headwind as S&P Let's see how this plays out
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by Osmanomics
#202501 - priceactiontds - weekly update - sp500Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr sp500 e-mini futures: Neutral. Much less bearish than dax because the pull-back above 6100 was so strong. We are right below the most important price 6000 and with it the bear case lives or dies. If bulls can go above again and test the bear trend line around 6050, the odds for the bears become really bad. Much more likely outcome then is more sideways inside the triangle. If bears do a strong move below 5900 on Monday/Tuesday, they took control again and odds are decent for the big second leg down. It’s 50/50 for me right now who wins this. comment: 6000 is the big round number for both sides to close above or below. The longer bears can close below, the better the odds for a second leg down. I do think bear’s fumbled their chance for now a bit with the strong bullish close on Friday. If bulls continue higher on Monday we will likely test the bear trend line 6040ish again and it will be interesting to see if big sellers come around again. If the bears would have been stronger, this second bounce at 5870 wouldn’t have happened. The current triangle could continue for couple more days. current market cycle: Trading range key levels: 5870 - 6100 bull case: Strong close on Friday and it’s reasonable to expect more upside on Monday. The current descending triangle pattern has room for a couple of more days. Bulls who scaled into longs with a stop below the October and November low 5797 are making money and bears would need to build bigger selling pressure below 5860 for them to cover. I don’t think many bulls will hold long on Monday if we fail to trade above 6000. Invalidation is below 5860. bear case: Bears are not doing enough below 5800. Bulls printed a decent double bottom to buy. Now they need to stop the market from finding acceptance above 6000 again. If we stay below 6000 and go more sideways between 5860-6000, I do think bears are favored for the second leg down because scaling in bulls can’t hold long if we break below 5860 and late bulls who got trapped above 6100 will likely also give up on a bigger pull-back above 6100 again. Invalidation is above 6100. short term: Neutral between 5900 - 6000, bullish above 6000 for at least 6040 and bearish only below 5860. Shorts near 6050 are great r:r wise and I will take them for a swing. medium-long term - Update from 2024-12-22: Ultimately 5200-5300 in 2025. Again, rough guess as of now and since we have not seen a strong first bear leg, these targets are the lowest I am willing to give an honest outlook about. If bears surprise and we see a huge leg down to 5500, we will go much lower for the second and third leg. current swing trade: None chart update: Nothing
CME_MINI:MES1!
by priceactiontds
Weekly Trading Plan: ES Futures 1/6/2025Market Context The ES Futures market is currently balancing, with a defined pivot point at 5964. This plan focuses on trading around the pivot while targeting key upside and downside levels. We’ll also prepare for potential failure scenarios where the market tests beyond key levels but fails to sustain momentum. Key Levels Pivot (Midpoint): 5964 Upside Targets: 6056 6107 6146 Downside Targets: 5875 5819 5785 🧑‍💼 Strategy Overview Objective: Trade within the balancing market, utilizing the pivot (5964) as a directional bias. Prepare for possible breakout failures near key levels. Risk Management: Place stops just outside extreme levels to mitigate breakout traps. Execution Plan: Execute trades systematically based on price action confirmation near pivot and target levels. Trade Execution Plan Pivot Zone: 5964 If price holds above 5964: Look for long opportunities targeting upside levels. If price breaks and holds below 5964: Look for short opportunities targeting downside levels. Upside Trade Setup: Entry: Enter long positions near 5964 on confirmation of support (e.g., bullish candlesticks or strong buying momentum). Targets: 6056 6107 6146 Downside Trade Setup: Entry: Enter short positions near 5964 on confirmation of resistance (e.g., bearish candlesticks or strong selling momentum). Targets: 5875 5819 5785 ⚡ Failure Scenarios Looking Above 6146 and Failing: Scenario: The market breaches 6146, signaling a breakout, but quickly reverses back below. Trade Opportunity: Short the market on confirmation of failure (e.g., rejection candles, increasing sell volume). Targets: 6107 → 6056 → Pivot (5964) Stop Loss: Place stops just above 6146 to avoid prolonged breakout risk. Looking Below 5785 and Failing: Scenario: The market breaches 5785, signaling a downside breakout, but quickly reverses back above. Trade Opportunity: Long the market on confirmation of failure (e.g., rejection candles, increasing buy volume). Targets: 5819 → 5875 → Pivot (5964) Stop Loss: Place stops just below 5785 to avoid prolonged breakout risk. Fake Breakout from Pivot (5964): Scenario: The market shows a breakout from 5964 but fails to sustain momentum and reverses. Trade Opportunity: Trade in the direction of the failed breakout, targeting the opposite side of the range. Stop Loss: Place stops just outside the failed breakout level. 💡 Risk Management Position Sizing: Risk no more than 1-2% of your account balance per trade. Tighten stops to minimize loss in failure scenarios. Break-Even Adjustments: Move stops to break-even once the first target is achieved. 📈 Trade Monitoring Order Flow Analysis: Monitor volume and order flow near key levels for signs of breakout or failure. Market Context Update: Adapt the plan if the market establishes a new range or breaks out of balance. 💰 Exit Plan Take profits incrementally at each target. Exit immediately if the market signals sustained breakout momentum beyond extreme levels. 🔔 Stay disciplined and adapt to price action! #ESFutures #WeeklyPlan #BalanceZone #RiskManagement
CME_MINI:ES1!
by dhjesus
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Jan 3, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: During this abbreviated trading week, the S&P 500 made a wild ride pullback against a very significant Mean Sup 5870. Subsequently, it rallied robustly, approaching our newly established target of Key Resistance at 5972. This upward movement is anticipated to stabilize or continue to rise, sustaining the bullish trend. However, it is crucial to acknowledge that encountering subsequent resistance may trigger a substantial pullback, potentially leading to the Mean Support at 5870, which remains a plausible scenario.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
Phathom Pharmaceuticals ($PHAT ): High-Growth Potential I spend time researching and finding the best entries and setups, so make sure to boost and follow for more. Phathom Pharmaceuticals ( NASDAQ:PHAT ): High-Growth Potential in Biopharmaceuticals Trade Setup: - Entry Price: $7.53 (Activated) - Stop-Loss: $5.67 - Take-Profit Targets: - TP1: $22.00 - TP2: $41.80 Company Overview: Phathom Pharmaceuticals ( NASDAQ:PHAT ) is a biopharmaceutical company focused on developing and commercializing novel treatments for gastrointestinal diseases. With a pipeline of promising drugs, NASDAQ:PHAT is gaining attention as a high-potential player in its sector. Recent FDA approvals and upcoming clinical trial data releases have positioned the company for significant upside. These developments could catalyze rapid stock price appreciation in the coming months. Earnings Reports: - In its most recent quarter, NASDAQ:PHAT reported revenues of $12.3 million, driven by early sales from its newly approved drug for acid-related conditions. - Operating losses narrowed compared to previous quarters, reflecting disciplined cost management. Valuation Metrics: - Market Cap: $500 million, indicating a small-cap stock with room for growth. - Price-to-Sales (P/S) Ratio: 4.1, suggesting moderate undervaluation compared to industry averages. Market News: - Phathom recently announced successful Phase III trial results for another key drug in its pipeline, expected to drive future revenue growth. - The company is expanding its distribution partnerships, aiming to broaden its market reach. Technical Analysis (Daily Timeframe): - Current Price: $7.53 - Moving Averages: - 50-Day SMA: $6.80 - 200-Day SMA: $7.00 - Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 55, signalling neutral momentum with room for further upside. - Support and Resistance Levels: - Immediate Support: $7.00 - Resistance: $9.00 The stock has activated the entry at $7.53, with strong support at $7.00. A breakout above $9.00 could set the stage for rapid movement toward TP1 at $22.00 and TP2 at $41.80. Risk Management: The stop-loss at $5.67 limits downside risk to approximately 25%, while the first take-profit target at $22.00 offers a **192% gain**, and TP2 provides a massive **455% return**, making this an attractive trade for long-term investors. Key Takeaways: - NASDAQ:PHAT is a high-risk, high-reward opportunity in the biotech sector, driven by a strong pipeline and recent FDA approvals. - The trade setup offers an excellent risk-to-reward ratio, aligning with the stock’s growth potential. - Ideal for investors seeking exposure to a rapidly developing biopharmaceutical company. When the Market’s Call, We Stand Tall. Bull or Bear, We’ll Brave It All!
NASDAQ:PHATLong
by SiriusTrading
LGVN(Longeveron Inc.): Stock Trade Analysis - 4xLGVN: Stock Trade Analysis and Sentiment Overview I spend time researching and finding the best entries and setups, so make sure to boost and follow for more. Market Overview (Current Price $1.86): - LGVN has activated the buy entry at $2.13, showing bullish potential as speculative interest grows around small-cap biotech stocks. - Sentiment in the healthcare and biotech sector has improved recently due to increased funding and positive market momentum. Technical Overview: - Support Levels: $1.50, $0.78 (Stop-Loss) - Resistance Levels: $5.00 (TP1), $8.50 (TP2) - Indicators: RSI on the daily chart indicates the stock is approaching a neutral zone after prior selling pressure. MACD shows early bullish divergence, aligning with potential upward movement. Fundamental Catalysts: - Company-Specific News: LGVN has been gaining attention for advancements in clinical trials, which could drive investor interest. - Sector Trends: The biotech sector has been experiencing renewed speculative interest due to an influx of venture funding and increased M&A activity. - Market News: Broader market recovery trends in small-cap stocks favour upside potential for LGVN. Scenario Planning: - Bullish Scenario: Positive momentum could drive the stock price to TP1 ($5.00), with the potential for a longer-term move to TP2 ($8.50). - Risk Scenario: Negative trial outcomes or broader market weakness could test the SL at $0.78. Trade Setup: - Entry Price: $2.13 (Activated) - Stop-Loss: $0.78 - Take-Profit Targets: - TP1: $5.00 - TP2: $8.50 When the Market’s Call, We Stand Tall. Bull or Bear, We’ll Brave It All!
NASDAQ:LGVNLong
by SiriusTrading
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade: Learning A or B Trading StylesYesterday, after the GDP Now data hit, I received a number of messages related to my SPY Cycle Patterns and how they work in comparison to big news data (like GDP, JOBS, PMI, & Others). Let me try to explain one simple thing to all of you. The SPY Cycle Patterns are based on GANN/Fibonacci Time/Price cycles. They DO NOT correlate or predict price movement based on NEWS EVENTS or other extraneous data. The SPY Cycle Patterns are, in essence, the core price expectations related to time/price cycles WITHOUT EXTERNAL NEWS EVENTS. They represent what price is likely to do without any big news, economic data, or critical major event taking place to disrupt the Cycle Pattern. So, it is important for traders to understand what I call the "A or B" type of trade setup. Price is always attempting to reach new highs or new lows - ALWAYS. Failure to reach new highs means price must roll downward and attempt to reach new lows. Failure to reach new lows means price must roll upward and attempt to reach new highs. It is that simple. Price is always attempting to break above previous critical highs or lows - ALWAYS. Thus, once you understand this as a basis of price structure/movement, then you can begin to apply more advanced patterns (Fibonacci Price Theory, Excess Phase Peak Pattern, Others) as an additional layer to price structure in an attempt to understand how price dictates all trending/movement. Now, one must also understand when price attempts to break levels (high or low), it can REJECT at those level (after breaking to new highs or lows). This is what I call a "Washout" pattern. Rejection happens when a new low or high is reached, but the price FAILS to continue to trend in that direction. For example, if price were to reach a new higher high, then reject, this would be an example that strong resistance exists at/near the previous high level - causing price to FAIL to maintain that new high price level. Thus, I would expect price to move downward after REJECTING at the new high levels (see above). The reason I'm trying to teach you these price concepts is because I want you to learn to make better decisions - not learn to just "follow along". You have to learn to understand price and understand how price moves related to opportunities. That is what trading is all about - anticipating price moves because of what you are able to discover on a price chart. Get some. Happy Friday. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
2
Critical Turning Point for the S&P 500: Bullish or Bearish?Happy New Year, everyone! 🎉 I hope you all had an amazing start to 2025. Let’s dive into the S&P 500 chart because it’s showing some critical patterns that could define the market's direction moving forward. The S&P 500 has now broken below the Rising Channel, confirming a bearish breakdown from the long-term uptrend. This move adds to the bearish pressure initiated by the previously formed Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern. The breakdown of the Rising Channel, combined with the confirmed H&S pattern, suggests a significant shift in market sentiment. With the price also sitting below the 50 EMA, the bears appear to have the upper hand. 1. Rising Channel Breakdown : After respecting the channel boundaries for months, the price has decisively fallen through the lower boundary, signaling the uptrend is over. 2. H&S Pattern Confirmation : The neckline has been broken, further validating this bearish reversal structure. 3. 50 EMA Resistance : The inability to reclaim the 50 EMA solidifies the bearish momentum. Targets to Watch * 5,687.33: The next immediate support level where price could pause or consolidate. * 5,600.45: A breach of 5,687.33 could send the price toward this stronger support zone. * 5,119.26 (Channel Projection): If bearish momentum accelerates, the longer-term target aligns with the channel's projected downside. What’s Next? With the Rising Channel broken, the market’s bullish structure has collapsed, leaving traders watching key support levels to assess the depth of the pullback. Bulls will need to reclaim the 50 EMA and push the price back into the channel to regain control, but this seems unlikely in the short term. The market now leans bearish, and the next few sessions could confirm whether this breakdown leads to a larger correction or stabilizes near support. Let me know your thoughts and how you plan to approach this setup. Wishing you all a successful and profitable trading year ahead! 🚀 #SP500 #TechnicalAnalysis #BearishBreakdown #RisingChannel #HeadAndShoulders
SP:SPX
by CryptocurrencyWatchGroup
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 1-2-25 : Inside Pause PatternToday's pattern suggests the markets will stall a bit after the overnight reversion move. If you were following my research, you already knew I was expecting the markets to rally a bit over the past 3-5 trading days. But that didn't happen as the low liquidity end of year trading prompted another downside price event. In my opinion, this was all due to a lack of market liquidity. When there is very low liquidity, the MMs can move price more easily as the number of buyers and sellers drops (creating a wider price spread). It is also the type of market environment where FLASH CRASH types of events can take place. Now that we are into early 2025, liquidity will deepen (more active traders) and this will result in a possible reversion event (upward) in price leading to the Inauguration event (IMO). Just like I've been suggesting over the past 2-3+ weeks. Gold and Silver are recovering nicely. I believe Gold and Silver will move back towards their recent highs over the next 30+ days. Bitcoin is still struggling just below $100k, but I believe the ultimate move for Bitcoin will be a retracement to the downside before finding support near $72k and then starting a bigger rally above $120k. In 2025, I've made a commitment to do more to help more traders. I'm working on new TIMING tools to assist in developing better analysis for everyone. If this research/work plays out well, I'll try to make these new tools available to everyone. Remember, trading is all about managing capital, expectations, and risks. If you are still struggling with your trading - follow my research and learn how to time/execute better trades. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by BradMatheny
2
S&P 500 Technical Analysis: Key Levels and Trend OutlookS&P 500 Analysis The price is currently trading with bullish momentum, reaching 5,969. A breakout above 5,969 is likely to push the price towards 6,022. On the other hand, if the price remains stable below 5,969, it will fluctuate between 5,969 and 5,935. A break and a 4-hour candle closing below 5,935 will support a bearish trend, targeting 5,893 and 5,863. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 5935 Resistance Levels: 5969, 6022, 6053 Support Levels: 5905, 5863, 5790 Trend Outlook: Bearish Stability: Maintained below 5,969 Bullish Trend: Confirmed by a breakout above 5,969
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SroshMayi
2024-01-01 - priceactiontds - daily update - sp500Good Evening and happy new year. comment: Bears have all the arguments on their side now. Santa rally was drowned and market formed a textbook head & shoulders pattern. My lowest target in my year end special was around 5300 and the h&s target is 5400. The yearly close below 6000 was very important for the bears because now we have multiple confirmations of the sell-off and sell signals going into the new year. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 5800 - 6120 bull case: Bulls are in serious doubt about this bull trend. They need a strong close above 6000 to keep the market neutral between 5900 - 6100. If they manage that, we move sideways for longer. We have a triangle on the daily chart which could hold for a couple more days before we see a bigger breakout. We are also still trading above the weekly 20ema but that’s at 5930 and the next daily bear close will close below. Invalidation is below 5860. bear case: Bears have many arguments on their side. For bulls it’s a bad place to force the market to bottom out because they have much bigger support at 5800. Bulls have also blown the rally by printing the lower high 6107 and the head & shoulders looks too perfect for bears. Volume has also increased decently so bears have now created many good sell signals going into 2025. My rough guess for the next days is either more chop inside the triangle before the second leg down or a fast and decisive move tomorrow/Friday down to 5800 and below to test the bigger bull trend line around 5750. Invalidation is above 6100. short term: Neutral 5900 - 6000. Bearish below 5900 for 5800 and then 5750. Can’t see this going above 6100 but if we do, I am wrong and we likely do 6200. medium-long term - Update from 2024-12-22: Ultimately 5200-5300 in 2025. Again, rough guess as of now and since we have not seen a strong first bear leg, these targets are the lowest I am willing to give an honest outlook about. If bears surprise and we see a huge leg down to 5500, we will go much lower for the second and third leg. current swing trade: Nope trade of the day: Market was closed
CME_MINI:MES1!
by priceactiontds
Bullish bounce off overlap support?S&P500 is falling towards the pivot which is an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as an overlap resistance. Pivot: 5,853.42 1st Support: 5,788.43 1st Resistance: 5,926.47 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:US500Long
by ICmarkets
S&P500 - The Next 14 Days Will Decide Everything!S&P500 ( TVC:SPX ) is about to break all resistance: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Over the past couple of weeks, the S&P500 has been repeating the major breakout rally of 2021. Back then the S&P500 actually broke above the channel resistance and immediately rallied more than +15%. If we see the confirmed breakout, we will likely see the same thing happening again. Levels to watch: $6.000, $7.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
TVC:SPXLong
by basictradingtv
24
S&P500 Measured Move - ES Target 2024 Reached?That's a ...ummmhh..surprise at least. And it's crazy. I never thought this could happen. But we better shall believe, that ECH - Everything Can Happen! So, is the target reached for 2024? Nobody knows, right? But, I start to further close positions and take my profits in these Index and the correlating Markets. Don't let Greed eat your Brain §8-) As for my Christmas Lotto Ticket this year, I take a small Short Position now...LEAPs, Bear-Spread, dunno yet, but it's a Shortie that I can let sit for a couple Months. Talk soon...
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by Tr8dingN3rd
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 12-31: Top PatternHappy New Year Everyone, Today's pattern is a TOP pattern. This suggests the SPY/QQQ will rally in early trading, attempting to identify a resistance level and then rolling into a TOP type of pattern. I don't expect the markets to fall much after reaching the top/resistance level. I expect it to be more of a stalling type of price action after reaching resistance. Gold and Silver will likely attempt to confirm a base/bottom near recent lows. I don't expect too much movement in metals today. Bitcoin moved below recent support, then rejected back to the upside. If this support fails, Bitcoin will move strongly to the downside over the next few days. As we move into 2025, capital will start to rush back into the markets in early January. This low-liquidity phase will end near Jan 5 through Jan 8. Be prepared for price to attempt to revert back into normal 0.5 to 1.25% price ranges - consolidating as liquidity increases in the markets over time. Remember, the first half of 2025 will be very volatile - so buckle up and get ready for some big price rotation in early 2025. Get some.. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
2
S&P 500: Final Day Analysis with Key Levels and Trend OutlookS&P 500 Technical Analysis It's the final trading day of the year. The price shows bullish momentum up to 5,969, which must be confirmed by a 4-hour candle closing above this level. This could lead to a further rise toward 6,022, followed by a correction. Conversely, stability below 5,969 will trigger a bearish move from 5,969 toward 5,899 and potentially 5,863. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 5937 Resistance Levels: 5969, 6022, 6053 Support Levels: 5905, 5863, 5790 Trend Outlook: Bearish Momentum: Stability below 5,969 Bullish Trend: If 5,969 is broken
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
$FFIE Soars! This Stock Looks Just Like It, Trade Before Surge!Yesterday, NASDAQ:FFIE made a huge jump while it had been lying in my watchlist. I’ve been observing it for over a month and had been analyzing the technical aspects and monitoring the trading volume. However, due to concerns about its fundamentals, I hesitated to enter. The sudden surge yesterday left me shocked, and I missed out on such a significant profit opportunity! I really regret it... So I spent the day researching, using my stock selection system. This time, I focused solely on the technical and found a small-cap stock - NASDAQ:AIFU - that looks extremely similar to NASDAQ:FFIE before its surge! First, let me share my technical analysis of NASDAQ:FFIE before its surge, then I’ll compare it with the current technical trends of $AIFU. If you find it makes sense, consider giving it your attention! From a technical perspective, NASDAQ:FFIE had been oscillating in a triangular formation at the bottom for a while, before its surge it was continuously testing the upper resistance of that triangle, before stabilizing and then rising! Additionally, there was unusual activity in trading volume leading up to the surge, with significantly increased volume just before it skyrocketed. Lastly, looking at the RSI, it was oscillating at the bottom, but the RSI was consistently rising, indicating a clear bullish divergence supporting the stock price increase. Now, interestingly, let’s take a look at the technical trends for NASDAQ:AIFU : From a technical standpoint, on the daily chart, NASDAQ:AIFU is also experiencing oscillation in a triangular formation, just like NASDAQ:FFIE did before its surge. It has started testing the upper triangle resistance, and if it breaks through and retests, establishing stability at that position would signal a potential breakout! Similarly, trading volume has been showing unusual activity, continuously increasing. Finally, looking at the RSI, although it hasn’t shown a clear upward trend during the oscillation period at the bottom of NASDAQ:AIFU , neither has it created any new lows; in fact, the stock price has made a new low, technically indicating a divergence at the bottom. Could it all just be a coincidence? After missing the opportunity to double my investment with NASDAQ:FFIE , I really don’t want to miss out on $AIFU. I’m willing to take a chance and see if I can strike it rich this time!
NASDAQ:AIFULong
by xugina78
SPY (S&P500 ETF) - Daily Price Consolidation - End of 2024SPY (S&P500 ETF) is currently in a short-term consolidation price pattern (end of December 2024). SPY price needs to hold and rally above $583 to avoid a daily bearish head-and-shoulders resistance price pattern. Support Prices to the downside are: $583, $577, $569, $555, $532. Resistance Prices to the upside are: $592, $600, $604, $613, $626. Several Key Events will be occurring in the USA, January 2025: -CES 2025 Conference (week 2) -Inflation Data (week 2) -Stock Market Earnings Season begins (week 2 to 4) -New President taking office, potential law changes (week 3 to 4) -FOMC Press Conference (week 4) Note: Any of the above events can cause stock market volatility and override technical charts. Date: 12/30/2024 pm
AMEX:SPY
by NoFomoCharts
2024-12-30 - priceactiontds - daily update - sp500tl;dr sp500 e-mini futures - Bearish. Good selling today and bulls could not close above the breakout price around 5990. The close was near the open of the week and since we had a big gap down, this is bearish confirmation. Below 5900 this could very well close the year below 5860, which would be a nasty bearish reversal bar on the monthly chart and a clear sell signal going into January. Bulls need to break above the trend line and 6000 again and a close above it would be neutral. comment: I am heavily favoring a yearly close below 5900 as of now. The selling is strong enough and bears made lower highs again. Anything below 5860 would surprise me though. We are in a clear bear channel and bulls need something above 5965 and bears a break below 5900. The open of December was near 6100 and the lower bears can close this monthly bear bar, the better. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 5800 - 6050 bull case: Bulls retraced 78.6% of the sell-off which was the fib retracement to the tick. Did it help? No. Very strong selling into the close again and after hours. Bulls need to fight for 6000. The only thing they have going for them is that we made a higher low. Any yearly close above 6000 would be good for them. Invalidation is below 5860. bear case: Bears are trading below the 1h 20ema, daily 20ema and have 2 bear trend lines going for them. They need strong follow through tomorrow and close this below 5865, which was the previous December low. We have nested bear channels on the 1h chart but also a triangle with last weeks low. Objectives for the bears tomorrow are to keep the 1h 20ema resistance and break below 5900 to test 5865. Invalidation is above 6038. short term: Neutral 5950 - 6000. Bearish below 5950 for 5900 and then 5865. Uber bearish below 5865. medium-long term - Update from 2024-12-22: Ultimately 5200-5300 in 2025. Again, rough guess as of now and since we have not seen a strong first bear leg, these targets are the lowest I am willing to give an honest outlook about. If bears surprise and we see a huge leg down to 5500, we will go much lower for the second and third leg. current swing trade: Nope trade of the day: Selling since Globex open. The reversal from the 5918 low was very strong and trapped many late bears. Second best trade was to take it and hold until market stalled for multiple hours near 5990.
CME_MINI:MES1!
by priceactiontds
Strategy 2025. BTC Airless Scenario Below $100'000 Choking PointThe crypto market is flashing a worrying outlook for 2025, since a disappointing Santa Claus rally this year could deepen issues. This is especially important if BTC will not be able to finish the year 2024 firmly above $100'000 per coin. The financial market has had a tough week, but it might also be in store for a tough year in 2025. The market is on track for its worst weeks over years after the Federal Reserve gave a hawkish forecast for interest rate cuts in 2025. But looking at the market's internals, it's clear that damage had been inflicted well before the Fed's Wednesday meeting—and the signal is a historic indicator of tough times ahead. The number of stocks in Top Stock Club S&P 500 that are declining outpaced advancing stocks for 14 consecutive days on Thursday. The advancing/declining data helps measure underlying participation in market moves, and the recent weakness signals that even though the S&P 500 is only off 4% from its record high, there's damage under the hood of the benchmark index. This is evidenced by the equal-weighted S&P 500 index being off 7% from its record high. According to Ed Clissold, chief US strategist at Ned Davis Research, the 14-day losing streak for the S&P 500's advance-decline line is the worst since October 15, 1978. Clissold said 10-day losing streaks or more in advancing stocks relative to declining stocks can be a bad omen for future stock market returns. While this scenario has only been triggered six times since 1972, it shows lackluster forward returns for the S&P 500. The index has printed an average six-month forward return of 0.1% after these 10-day breadth losing streaks flashed, compared to the typical 4.5% average gain seen during all periods. "Studies with six cases hardly make for a strategy. But market tops have to start somewhere, and many begin with breadth divergences, or popular averages posting gains with few stocks participating," Clissold said. Perhaps more telling for the stock market is whether it can stage a recovery as it heads into one of the most bullish seasonal periods of the year: the Santa Claus trading window. If it can't, that would be telling, according to Clissold. "A lack of a Santa Claus Rally would be concerning not only from a seasonal perspective, but it would allow breadth divergences to deepen," the strategist said. Also concerning to Clissold is investor sentiment, which has flashed signs of extreme optimism since September. According to the research firm's internal crowd sentiment poll, it is in the seventh-longest stretch in the excessive optimism zone, based on data since 1995. "Several surveys have reached what could be unsustainable levels," Clissold said, warning that any reversal in sentiment could be a warning sign for future market returns. Ultimately, continued stock market weakness, especially in the internals, would suggest to Clissold that 2025 won't be as easy as 2024 for investors. "If the stock market cannot rectify recent breadth divergences in the next few weeks, it would suggest our concerns about a more difficult 2025 could come to fruition," the strategist said. Moreover, Dow Jones index has printed recently The Three Black Crows Bearish candlestick pattern, on weekly basis. This is especially important, since mentioned above pattern is massively unwinding from Dow's all the history highs. Previously this pattern has already appeared in TVC:DJI in November 2021 and lead to 20 percent decline in 2022 for Dow Jones Index and to more than 70 percent decline in BTC. The Three Black Crows Bearish candlestick pattern also has appeared in Dow Jones Index in September, 2018 (lead to 18% decline) and in July, 2007 (lead to more than 50% decline). The main technical graph represents a Choking Strategy for BTC in 2025, i.e. BTC airless scenario below $100'000 choking point. The epic 52-week SMA breakthrough in BTC will definitely accelerate a decline at all.
by PandorraResearch
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