S&P500 INTRADAY down 1% in pre market tradingS&P 500 futures are down 1%, with global markets falling on US tariff concerns and tech weakness (Nasdaq 100 -1.4%, Nvidia & Tesla -3% premarket). The S&P 500 is down 5.1% for Q1, its worst quarter since 2022, as uncertainty over Trump’s tariff plans (starting April 2) and a potential Russian oil ban weigh on sentiment.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 5711
Resistance Level 2: 5788
Resistance Level 3: 5863
Support Level 1: 5487
Support Level 2: 5412
Support Level 3: 5262
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
S&P 500 (SPX500)
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-31 : Carryover PatternToday's pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will attempt to carryover Friday's selling trend.
I do believe the SPY/QQQ will attempt to find some support as we move into a Temp Bottom pattern tomorrow. So be aware that the SPY/QQQ may attempt to find support near 535-540/450-455 over the next few days.
I would also urge traders to not get very aggressive in terms of trying to pick a bottom in this downtrend.
In my opinion, I don't see any reason why anyone should be buying into this breakdown unless you are prepared to take a few big lumps. Just wait it out - wait for a base/bottom to setup.
Gold and Silver are moving higher and I believe this trend will continue for many weeks/months.
BTCUSD should continue to move downward - trying to establish the Consolidation Phase range.
As we move into trading this week. Be aware that Tuesday/Wednesday of this week are more ROTATION type days. They may be wide-range days - but they are still going to be ROTATIONAL.
Get some.
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How low will it go? The S&P Bear MarketI don't believe the market has bottomed yet. There is more to come.
Trump's tariffs will continue to cause uncertainty and as economic figures confirm a US slowdown, stock markets could fall further.
From a technical perspective, I will be looking to buy between 4700 and 5200. This is based on evident weekly horizontal levels, bullish channel support, and 100 and 200 SMA's.
VANTAGE:SP500 PEPPERSTONE:US500 ICMARKETS:US500 OANDA:SPX500USD
SPX500 Long at 55301. All timeframes are massively oversold due to the huge sell-off on Friday night
2. It is the start of the week, and it opened at the low, which tends to mean there would be some strength to go up
3. Unfortunately, I cannot check if there is a harmonic pattern due to technical difficulties.
4. This is at excellent support as it is at the year low
5. There is a lot of divergence due to this not being a long consolidation try to exit at M15 overbought
6. Stop loss below 5500
Stock Markets Decline Amid Trump Tariff NewsStock Markets Decline Amid Trump Tariff News
Comparing the approximate difference between last week's opening and closing prices on stock index charts:
➝ The US S&P 500 (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) fell by 2.4%.
➝ The European Euro Stoxx 50 (Europe 50 on FXOpen) dropped by 2%.
Why Are Stocks Falling?
The bearish sentiment in stock markets is largely driven by news surrounding White House tariff policies, as reflected in Federal Reserve statements late last week:
➝ Boston Fed President Susan Collins stated that tariffs will "inevitably" fuel inflation, at least in the short term.
➝ Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin noted that rapid shifts in US trade policy have created uncertainty for businesses.
US developments are also weighing on European stock markets, which were already under pressure following President Donald Trump’s announcement of a 25% tariff on foreign cars. Trump has also threatened further tariffs on the EU and Canada, heightening trade tensions.
Today, the Euro Stoxx 50 index opened with a bearish gap, hitting its lowest level since early 2025, falling below the previous yearly low of 5,292. This reflects growing market concerns ahead of 2 April, when Trump is expected to confirm the implementation of new tariffs.
Technical Analysis of the Euro Stoxx 50 Index (Europe 50 on FXOpen)
Since late 2024, the price has been moving within an ascending channel (marked in blue), but today, it has fallen below the lower boundary—suggesting the channel is losing relevance. Bearish dominance is evident through the following signals:
➝ The 5,550 level proved to be an insurmountable resistance for bulls.
➝ The median of the blue channel acted as resistance (marked by a red arrow).
➝ The 5,406 level shifted from support to resistance (marked by black arrows).
If the bearish trend persists, the Euro Stoxx 50 index (Europe 50 on FXOpen) could continue fluctuating within a descending channel (outlined in red).
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Yearly Candle on NQ 2025I believe what we're seeing right now is simply the market printing the “open low” of the yearly candle. The recent dip seems driven by short-term fear surrounding the new tariffs, but in my view, this is just noise. Long-term, this sets up a bullish scenario.
Businesses won’t adjust overnight—it takes time to shift operations away from high-tariff regions. But as that transition unfolds, we’ll likely see improved margins and stronger fundamentals emerge.
From a technical standpoint, I’m watching for a key reversal after price revisits the order block. If we get that reaction, it could mark the beginning of a broader move higher. This looks like manipulation, not distribution.
OLHC
- Gavin
NFA, DYOR
Update about my previous warning about a crash of the SPX500📉 SPX500 Major Correction: Scenario 1 or 2?
In my previous analysis, I explained a scenario that could mimic the 2022 crash (Scenario 1):
🔗
However, the price action dropped much faster than in 2022, accelerating the correction.
Now, on the daily timeframe, we already have a bullish MACD crossover, signaling a potential bullish trend for several days:
🔗
Could This Invalidate the Bearish Trend?
✅ Yes, absolutely.
In June 2023 (Scenario 2), a similar situation occurred:
A bearish MACD reset was interrupted mid-course by a violent dump
This triggered a strong rebound, breaking through resistance levels
There are now strong signs that Scenario 2 might play out again.
What Does This Mean for Crypto & TradFi?
📈 If this bullish reversal holds, it could sync Crypto & TradFi, with both gaining bullish momentum on the weekly timeframe, peaking around May 2025.
Two Possible Outcomes:
1️⃣ Scenario 1 – The reversal collapses, and the correction continues 📉
2️⃣ Scenario 2 – The reversal holds, leading to a rally 📈
Let’s monitor this closely to see which scenario unfolds.
🔍 DYOR!
#SPX500 #StockMarket #Crypto #Trading #BullishReversal #BearishTrend #MACD #MarketAnalysis #Investing
Meta Stock Goes 'Untoward', Fall Off The Cliff 200-Day SMAMeta's Descent into Bearish Territory. Understanding the 2025 Stock Crash
Meta Platforms has recently slipped into bearish territory, with its stock experiencing a significant downturn in early 2025. As of March 31, 2025, Meta shares trade at $576.74, reflecting more than 20.0% decline over the past month and erasing all year-to-date gains. This analysis examines the key factors driving Meta's bearish turn and what it means for investors.
Disappointing Financial Outlook and Investment Costs
Meta's stock decline comes despite previously strong performance, with the company's shares shedding 22% from their February 18, 2025 peak. Although Meta reported robust Q4 2024 profits, its outlook for Q1 2025 has significantly disappointed investors. The company's forward-looking EPS for Q1 2025 is projected at $5.25, raising sustainability concerns despite the previous quarter's EPS of $8.02 beating estimates.
A major contributor to investor anxiety is Meta's massive capital expenditure plans. The company has projected spending $60-$65 billion in 2025 on AI infrastructure alone, raising concerns about cash flow strain if revenue growth falters. These high fixed costs associated with AI investments, including data centers and engineering talent, create particular vulnerability during economic downturns.
Metaverse Losses Continue to Drain Resources
The company's Reality Labs division, responsible for virtual and augmented reality initiatives, continues to be a significant financial drag. This division lost $13.7 billion in 2022 alone with no clear path to profitability. Despite CEO Mark Zuckerberg's continued commitment to the metaverse vision, investor sentiment has soured on these costly experiments as they continue to consume capital without generating meaningful returns.
Broader Market Pressures and Industry Positioning
Meta's decline isn't occurring in isolation. It represents the last of the "Magnificent Seven" tech stocks to turn negative for the year, with the Bloomberg Magnificent 7 Total Return Index down 16% in 2025. The Nasdaq Composite has faced significant correction, declining 7.3% year-to-date and over 12% from its peak.
This market-wide pressure stems from persistent inflation concerns, Federal Reserve interest rate policies, and growing recession fears, creating a particularly challenging environment for growth-oriented technology stocks like Meta.
Influential Market Moves and Analyst Adjustments
Notable market participants have signaled caution regarding Meta's prospects. Cathie Wood's ARK Invest sold over $7 million in Meta stock (12,000 shares) on March 18, 2025—its first Meta sell-off in nearly a year. This high-profile divestment has further fueled bearish sentiment among investors.
Similarly, analysts have begun adjusting their outlook. KeyBanc Capital Markets recently downgraded its price target on Meta from $750 to $710, citing "greater macro uncertainty" and competitive pressures. This downgrade reflects growing concerns about Meta's ability to maintain growth momentum in the current economic climate.
External Challenges Mounting
Meta faces increasing competitive threats from platforms like TikTok and Snapchat, which continue to draw user attention and advertising dollars. Additionally, regulatory headwinds loom large, with an upcoming FTC trial on April 14, 2025, potentially forcing Meta to divest Instagram and WhatsApp—a prospect that has further spooked investors.
In conclusion, Meta stock now stands at a critical juncture, with investors carefully watching whether this represents a temporary correction or the beginning of a more prolonged bearish phase.
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Best wishes,
Your Beloved @PandorraResearch Team 😎
The Greatest Opportunity of Your Life : Answering QuestionsThis video is an answer to Luck264's question about potential price rotation.
I go into much more details because I want to highlight the need to keep price action in perspective related to overall (broader) and more immediate (shorter-term) trends.
Additionally, I try to highlight what I've been trying to tell all of you over the past 3+ years...
The next 3-%+ years are the GREATEST OPPORTUNITY OF YOUR LIFE.
You can't even imagine the potential for gains unless I try to draw it out for you. So, here you go.
This video highlights why price is the ultimate indicator and why my research/data is superior to many other types of analysis.
My data is factual, process-based, and results in A or B outcomes.
I don't mess around with too many indicators because I find them confusing at times.
Price tells me everything I need to know - learn what I do to improve your trading.
Hope you enjoy this video.
Get Some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
TESLA is up 47X vs the SPX. Can it do another 6.9X?An extraordinary unicorn enterprise, or a collection of companies and intellectual properties, led by the most prominent CEO in the history of public companies.
TESLA and ELON are impossible to overlook, and this chart has kept many observers on the sidelines for over 14 years. In the initial 6 to 9 years, Wall Street analysts and commentators failed to grasp the bigger picture, focusing excessively on the balance sheet and evaluating the company merely as an automaker. They completely missed the groundbreaking technologies being developed and advanced.
Today, we stand on the brink of fully autonomous vehicles becoming commonplace, artificial intelligence integrating into our everyday lives, and affordable space exploration becoming a reality, not to mention the myriad of other innovative technologies emerging from this remarkable company.
Individuals often enjoy predicting market peaks and labeling stocks as overvalued.
However, this chart comparing Tesla to the S&P 500 indicates that the stock may be gearing up for another surge to new heights.
Picture 10 million robotaxis cruising through our streets.
Envision a fleet of vehicles that not only generates income but also undergoes upgrade cycles, in contrast to traditional cars that face maintenance cycles, and are bogged down by Human operator's.
This development is poised to significantly transform the self-hailing ride-sharing market and the food delivery sector, potentially eliminating the role of human drivers.
In fact, Uber could very well become Tesla's largest client!
SPY Price Projection: Mid-2025 TargetRevealing Market Trends: Logarithmic Regression Analysis Indicates Bullish Path for SPY
In the ever-evolving realm of financial analysis, the search for reliable predictions remains ongoing. Logarithmic scale regression analysis, coupled with potent indicators, has emerged as a promising tool for discerning trends, particularly regarding assets like the SPY.
This analysis delves into the utilization of logarithmic scale regression alongside two robust indicators, offering insights into the potential trajectory of the SPY's price movement. It's essential to note that the interpretations and predictions presented are based on my analysis alone and should not be construed as financial advice. As with any market analysis, uncertainties persist, and actual outcomes may diverge from projections.
Logarithmic scale regression accounts for the exponential nature of price movements, providing a nuanced perspective on long-term trends. When combined with indicators such as moving averages or momentum oscillators, the analysis gains depth, revealing not only the direction but also the strength of the trend.
After meticulous examination of historical data and the application of analytical tools, our analysis suggests a bullish trajectory for the SPY, with a projected price nearing 620 EUR by mid-2025. This projection implies a significant uptrend from the current date, with a potential increase of approximately 20% over the specified timeframe.
However, it's crucial to approach such forecasts with caution, recognizing the inherent risks associated with financial markets. While our analysis indicates a positive outlook, market conditions can change rapidly, leading to deviations from expected trends.
In summary, logarithmic scale regression analysis, supported by robust indicators, offers valuable insights into market trends and potential price movements. While our analysis suggests a bullish sentiment for the SPY, investors should conduct thorough research and seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer: The analysis provided is based on personal interpretation and should not be considered financial advice. Investing in financial markets carries risks, and actual outcomes may differ. Readers are encouraged to conduct their own research and consult with financial professionals before making investment decisions.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of March 28, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During this week's trading session, the Index gapped higher, passing our completed Inner Index Rally of 5712 and setting a Mean Resistance of 5768. This target was accompanied by considerable reversal, ultimately causing a downward movement. On the final trading day of the week, the Index underwent a pronounced decline, resulting in a substantial drop that surpassed the critical target of Mean Support set at 5603. The Index is positioned to retest the completed Outer Index Dip level of 5520. An extended decline is feasible, with the possibility of targeting the subsequent Outer Index Dip at 5403 before resuming an upward rally from either of these Outer Index Dip levels.
The possibility of the upward correction ending and the decline Considering the zone marked on the chart and considering that the price has seen a lower low, it seems that the upward correction in the price will end soon and we should wait for a new downward movement. Targets and stop loss of my position are marked on the chart.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-28-25 EOD Review : Brutal SellingI sure hope all of you were able to profit from this big selling trend today.
And I also hope you didn't get trapped in the potential for a base/bottom rally off the recent lows.
This move downward reminds me of the 2022-2023 downward trending pattern when the Fed was raising rates.
What Trump is doing with tariffs is very similar. It is slowing the economy in a way that will not break it - but it will result in slower, more costly, economic function.
Watch this video and I sure hope all of you have great (profitable) stories to share with me today.
I know I do. And, I'm positioned for the weekend. Ready to profit no matter what the markets do.
Get some.
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S&P to find buyers at current market price?US500 - Intraday
Closed the day little net changed.
An overnight negative theme in Equities has led to a lower open this morning.
Immediate signals are hard to interpret.
Bespoke resistance is located at 5853.
Bespoke support is located at 5536.
Dips continue to attract buyers.
We look to Buy at 5609 (stop at 5572)
Our profit targets will be 5719 and 5853
Resistance: 5719 / 5737 / 5853
Support: 5616 / 5607 / 5536
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-28-25 : Carryover in Counter TrendToday's pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will attempt to move downward in early trading. The SPY may possibly target the 564-565 level before finding support. The QQQ may possibly attempt to target the 475-476 level before finding support.
Overall, the downward trend is still dominant.
I believe the SPY/QQQ may find some support before the end of trading today and attempt to BOUNCE (squeeze) into the close of trading.
Gold and Silver are RIPPING higher. Here we go.
Remember, I've been telling you of the opportunities in Gold/Silver and other market for more than 5+ months (actually more than 3+ years). This is the BIG MOVE starting - the BIG PARABOLIC price rally.
BTCUSD has rolled downward off the FWB:88K level - just like I predicted. Now we start the move down to the $78k level, then break downward into the $58-62k level looking for support.
Love hearing all of your success stories/comments.
GET SOME.
Happy Friday.
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S&P 500 Struggling Ahead of Key Economic ReportsThe S&P 500 is showing signs of weakness as it approaches a critical juncture ahead of tomorrow’s economic reports. After a sharp V-shaped recovery, the index is now facing resistance and struggling to maintain upward momentum. If key support levels fail to hold, we could see further downside in the coming sessions.
Key Levels to Watch:
5,700 - 5,720: A significant resistance zone where recent rallies have stalled. A break above this level could signal renewed bullish momentum.
5,650 - 5,670: A minor support area that previously acted as a pivot. Losing this level could increase selling pressure.
5,520 - 5,504: A major support zone that must hold to prevent further downside. If broken, it could trigger a larger sell-off.
5,350 - 5,400: A potential next area of support if the index continues to slide. This level aligns with previous consolidation zones.
4,790 - 4,800: A worst-case scenario target if market sentiment deteriorates significantly.
Technical Breakdown:
The current price action suggests a potential reversal if support levels do not hold. The index has failed to reclaim key resistance and is now at risk of breaking down further. Volume has increased during recent selling, indicating stronger downside pressure.
The next move will likely be dictated by tomorrow’s reports. If economic data comes in weaker than expected, it could fuel concerns of a slowdown, leading to further selling. Conversely, stronger-than-expected data may provide temporary relief, but resistance levels still need to be reclaimed for the uptrend to resume.
Market Sentiment and Strategy:
A break below 5,504 could trigger a wave of selling, making downside targets more likely.
If support holds and we see a strong bounce, it could offer a short-term buying opportunity.
Given increased volatility, traders should be cautious and monitor key levels closely.
With economic data on the horizon, the S&P 500 is at a critical decision point. The next 24-48 hours will determine whether the recent recovery holds or if further downside is ahead.
SPX a brear flag complete?SPX is going to finish a bear flag and could break down. The Vix is also showing slight upward strength but not much yet. Based on that I don't think we have much downside now in next 2/3 months. However the overall trend of VIX is trending upwards similar to 2022 making higher bottoms since Dec 24, So we could have a year with big swings like we did in 2022
Daily Trade Recap based on VX Algo SystemEOD accountability report: +$786.25
Sleep: :ok: Overall health: Day 1 of fasting, edgy as f
I finally got to test Caffeine and lions mane on an empty stomach and it was crazy, really sharp focus but jumpy as well.
We started the day off pretty scary, Huge drop to 5720 and instant recovery to the top. Traded a bit on one of my APEX evals that renewed today but
Didn't really touch the funded account until 11:20 when we hit the 48m resistance and got a 10m signal.
Overall day was pretty decent, 10m and 5 m chart worked really well.
Daily Trade Recap based on VX Algo System
9:50 AM VXAlgo ES 10M Buy signal 2x
11:10 AM VXAlgo ES 10M Sell Signal 2x
12:24 PM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3!
Bitcoin Tests the Trendline as Trade War Fears IntensifyBitcoin is near a decision point. The market's reaction to the new tariffs came at a bad time. The daily timeframe downtrend line is being tested, and the short-term uptrend that carried the price to the trend line seems to be about to break. In that case, Bitcoin bulls are about to face pain, again.
The SP:SPX is still the main catalyst for the crypto market. The newest auto tariffs are a problem, and if the EU strikes back hard with the Anti-Coercion Instrument, the bad scenario might come to pass. In the next seven days, volatility could rise.
For an upside relief, Bitcoin should break both the trendline and the 91,000 resistance.
S&P INTRADAY - Stronger Growth, Labour Market ResilientUS Q4 GDP (Annualized) came in at 2.4%, beating forecasts of 2.3%, signalling resilient economic growth despite higher interest rates. A stronger-than-expected economy supports corporate earnings but may also reinforce the Fed’s cautious stance on rate cuts.
Initial Jobless Claims (4-week average) declined to 224K from 227K, pointing to continued labor market strength. A tight job market supports consumer spending, which is crucial for corporate revenue but may keep inflationary pressures elevated, influencing Fed policy expectations.
Market Impact:
S&P 500: The better-than-expected GDP and healthy labor market data suggest economic momentum remains intact, supporting corporate earnings and risk appetite. However, persistent strength may delay Fed rate cuts, potentially leading to market volatility.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 5780
Resistance Level 2: 5844
Resistance Level 3: 5920
Support Level 1: 5660
Support Level 2: 5604
Support Level 3: 5540
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.