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S&P 500 (SPX500)

SPX to turnaround?US500 - 24h expiry Broken out of the wedge to the downside. The formation has a measured move target of 5773. An overnight positive theme in Equities has led to a higher open this morning. Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile. The sequence for trading is lower lows and highs. We look to Sell at 5847 (stop at 5865) Our profit targets will be 5802 and 5792 Resistance: 5845 / 5847 / 5857 Support: 5815 / 5800 / 5785 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by OANDA
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 10-24 : Breakaway PatternToday's trading should begin to resolve as a reversion back to the upside after yesterday's panic selling. I spend a lot of time going over what happens when news or outside events disrupt price action and sometimes disrupt my SPY Cycle Patterns so everyone can try to understand how the SPY Cycle Patterns work. My SPY Cycle Patterns are not immune to news or outside events. They attempt to predict what price will "most likely" try to do for a day based on Fibonacci, GANN, Tesla, and Rodin Vortex Math concepts. They don't attempt to predict or address any outside news, geo-political, earnings, or other external data. As I like to describe them.. They represent price characteristics, showing what price would most likely attempt to do if no outside event disrupts the markets. Given yesterday's panic selling and the fairly strong recovery/reversion we are seeing in early trading, I believe the SPY/QQQ will attempt to move into a moderate rally phase lasting till October 30-31, then move aggressively downward just before the US Elections. Gold and Silver will follow roughly the same path but may become even more volatile just before the elections. Bitcoin is still consolidating sideways - just as I expected/suggested. Please pay attention to my comments about HEDGING and POSITION SIZING over the next 3+ weeks. These market trends (with lower liquidity) can often be very difficult for all traders. It is better to cut your trading allocation down to 20-25% of normal sizes throughout these election cycles (especially so close to a hotly contested election). Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by BradMatheny
2
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 10-23 : Gap/Breakaway PatternToday's Pattern suggests the SPY will attempt to move higher in a potential Gap/Breakaway mode. I read this as a potential for an opening price gap (likely higher) and trending upward throughout most of today. I will point out that I believe the QQQ will not follow this same pattern. The expectation I drew earlier with my SPY Cycle Patterns suggests the QQQ will attempt to consolidate today - possibly moving slightly downward. This can, and often does, happen when we get a divergence between the SPY & QQQ. Gold & Silver appear to be moving into my expected Rally phase over the next 4+ trading days. I believe Gold and Silver will attempt to rally about 2.5% to 3.5% higher before reaching a peak near 10-29~10-30. Bitcoin is consolidating in the Phase #4 Excess Phase peak pattern - just as I suggested. Watch for support to form near 65,600 or slightly higher. I believe this congestion phase will last until after November 2-4 - be aware. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
26
DreamAnalysis | SPX500 at a Crossroads Key Trading Strategies✨ Today’s Focus: SPX500 (US500) – A Key Market Driver We dive into recent price movements and analyze critical market levels to identify potential trends. 📊 Current Market Overview: The price is currently consolidating within the Previous Weekly Range, showing little movement for now. However, it's important to note that the Previous Month's High (PMH) has already been taken, and the market needs to accumulate more liquidity before making a decisive move—hence the consolidation. 🔴 What to Expect: Short-Term vs. Long-Term Scenarios We'll explore both short-term and long-term outlooks, offering insights into bullish and bearish possibilities for day traders. 🗣 Short-Term Outlook: In the short term, we may see a retracement into the Fair Value Zone or the Equilibrium (50% of the range). However, without significant information from higher timeframes, it's best to wait for lower timeframe confirmations before entering a trade. 🗣 Long-Term Outlook: From a long-term perspective, the price may dip lower to absorb sell-side liquidity before continuing its upward trend. 🕓 Key Levels to Watch: Keep an eye on these levels, which could impact price action: - PMH: Previous Month High - PML: Previous Month Low - PWH: Previous Week High - PWL: Previous Week Low - BSL: Buy-Side Liquidity - SSL: Sell-Side Liquidity - Daily FVG: Fair Value Gap (Imbalance Zone) These levels highlight potential liquidity absorption points and areas where price might rebalance. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) are key zones for potential retracement before the market resumes its trend. 🔔 1Hour Outlook: 📈 Bullish Scenario: For a bullish setup, we need the Previous Week Low (PWL) to be taken out, or we can use the lower timeframes to identify Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL) levels. Once price sweeps these liquidity levels, we can look for an entry model to target the Buy-Side Liquidity, such as the Previous Week High (PWH). 📉 Bearish Scenario: On the bearish side, lower timeframes are already offering potential entry models. With the monthly high (PMH) taken and a Smart Money Technique (SMT) divergence with the NASDAQ (US100), there’s a strong confluence for bearish continuation. 📝 Conclusion: Stay flexible as market conditions shift. Monitor these key levels and setups closely to fine-tune your strategy and seize high-probability trading opportunities. 🔮 Looking Ahead: Keep following as we track developments in NASDAQ, DXY, EUR/USD, and other major markets. Timely insights will be provided as trends unfold. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always perform your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
CAPITALCOM:US500
by DreamAnalysis
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade EOD Update : Rally ContinuationThis quick update related to my SPY/GOLD cycle patterns, and other research/predictions, is to help you plan and prepare for the pending rally phase in the markets. Based on my research, the markets will likely pause a bit tomorrow, Wednesday, and move into a basing/bottoming phase - where price will attempt to develop support. From that support, I see a fairly strong rally taking place on Thursday and lasting into late- Monday/mid-Tuesday next week. As I have urged traders to stay cautious over the next 15+ days (elections and liquidity issues), this may be a great time to play the last rally phase before the 3-5 day pullback just before the US elections. Watch this video. Follow my research. If you are new to what I'm doing, then watch my Plan Your Trade videos for a week or two. See if you like my style of analysis and if it helps you improve your trading. My objective is to help as many traders as possible. I'm not 100% accurate in my predictions - but I believe my research is uncomparable to others in what I'm capable of presenting/sharing with all of you. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
3
SPY/QQQ Plan Your trade For 10-22: Gap Reversal In Counter-TrendToday's Gap Reversal in Counter Trend mode should resolve as a moderate downward early price trend - possibly transitioning into a base/bottom and turning higher near the end of the trading day today. Looking at the charts, it appears price is actually leading my SPY Cycle Patterns by about 12+ hours right now. Why?? I don't actually know why - but it appears price is anticipating the cycle patterns a bit early. Given the heightened sense of concern related to the elections, price may be rolling through stages of liquidity and volatility with only about 15 days to go before the elections. Either way, as I suggested, this week is going to be tough to trade with the markets moving into a pause phase ahead of the elections. Most traders are trying to position assets away from the markets or are planning on riding things out past the elections right now. I continue to suggest traders scale back allocation levels this week and next because of the issues related to liquidity in the markets. Look for the SPY/QQQ to attempt to find a base and try to melt upward near the end of trading today. Gold & Silver should stay rather muted today. Bitcoin is consolidating - just as I suggested. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
16
SPX Grand Super Cycle- Possible Target $ 6000 to 7000There is no denial for a short-term pullback in the market, which will be healthy for the market. Also lots of speculation/leverage in the current market So the market maker may shake out the weak hands soon. If we see SPX in the quarterly chart Wave 1 started in 1976 and ended in 2000 which was around 26 years. Wave 2 was from 2001 to 2009. Total nine years for wave two corrections. Wave 3 started in 2009 and correction in 2020 March was quick just two months correction (Most probable it should not be wave 4 correction). This can be a nest (each wave is built of smaller waves and, at the same time, each wave is a part of a bigger wave) and wave II of a second nest. In my opinion, there would be two probable scenarios, the first one is SPX is still in wave three and it will go to 6000/7000 in this decades. As if we go with SPX Grand Super Cycle then- possible targets can be 4700 to 5000 or more before a major crash (Wave 4 correction multi-years) happen and after the wave 4 correction wave 5 targets can be 6000 to 7000 or more The second one is to complete wave 5 around 4600 to 5300 and 60-80 % crash to 1500 - 2000 So just remember a sharp correction/crash wouldn’t be the end of the world, it will be an opportunity to invest for the long term Trend-based fib extension support the first scenario. This is just my view please share your views in the comment section. Thank you Disclaimer This idea does not constitute financial advice. It is for educational purposes only,
TVC:SPXLong
by RNB98
2
US500 continues to trade around the all time highs.SPX500USD - 24H EXPIRY Price action continues to trade around the all-time highs. Posted mild net daily gains but all trading confined to the previous days range, an indecisive Inside Day. The 261.8% Fibonacci extension is located at 5901 from 5682 to 5766. Due to an Ending Wedge formation, we continue to treat extended gains with caution. Reverse trend line resistance comes in at 5898. We look to Buy at 5848 (stop at 5823) Our profit targets will be 5898 and 5905 Resistance: 5892 / 5898 / 5901 Support: 5848 / 5770 / 5766 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by OANDA
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 10-21: Gap Potential PatternToday's pattern suggests an opening price Gap is likely. Given the markets are trading slightly lower this morning, this Gap potential plays very well with my Roadmap trading outline from last week. I highlighted the need to sell out of positions last Friday and look to buy into the Gap Potential pattern today. If the markets rally off this opening gap pattern, we could see a nice move in the SPY up to 587-588+. Gold and Silver are rallying again. But be aware today is a TOP pattern for Gold/Silver. That means both Gold & Silver will attempt to identify resistance and move away (lower) from that resistance level. Bitcoin looks to have moved into the Ultimate Peak level on an intermediate-term Excess Phase Peak pattern. Additionally, the deeper low sets up a longer-term Excess Phase Peak pattern that suggests Bitcoin has entered the Consolidation Phase (#3). Because of this, I suspect Bitcoin will fall below the FWB:67K level and potentially move into broad consolidation for a minimum of at least 5-6 weeks. These Consolidation phases in longer-term Excess Phase Peak patterns can be brutal for traders. The volatility of these consolidation phases can present real challenges and last about 50% of the time it took to Flag. Given this information, we may see many weeks of consolidation within a range in Bitcoin - possibly lasting into December 2024. This will be a tough week for traders. Try to stay aware of the bigger picture and play the rotation headed into next week. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by BradMatheny
5
S&P Bulls Hold Strong, But Is a Market Cooldown Coming?Last week wasn't particularly remarkable. Despite two bearish attacks (on Tuesday and Thursday), buyers still managed to push the market to a new historical high. It was somewhat concerning that they couldn’t sustain the high for even an hour after the open, but since the bearish movement didn’t gain momentum on Friday, the bulls still have the upper hand. We may see some consolidation in the upcoming weeks, as there are signs that the rally is approaching exhaustion (weakening of upthrust, weekly RSI entering the overbought zone, weakness in XLK). However, this market has repeatedly demonstrated its resilience and ability to exceed expectations. The long-term outlook remains bullish, but given these signals, it would be prudent for buyers to downsize their positions and refrain from selling PUTs. Mind TSLA report on Wednesday as it can cause some volatility and act as a trigger.
AMEX:SPY
by hermes_trisme
SPX: not ready to slow downThe S&P 500 counts the sixth straight week of winning streaks, and seems ready to count for more. During the previous week a fresh new all time highest level was reached at the level of 5.876. Only during the previous week the index gained 0,96%. Tech companies were again in the center of the market attention. The environment of decreasing interest rates and posted positive quarterly results of companies included in the index, continue to be main drivers of investors optimism. As per analysts comments, the 75% of companies which posted quarterly results have beaten market expectations, which was another positive boost for the index. On the opposite side are some analysts who are noting that such moves of equities are “atypical” for the election year. Normally, the equity market will post some volatility prior to elections, considering that the US is only three weeks away from the final election day. On the other side are analysts who are more oriented toward the economical background of such strong moves. Namely, they are noting that the ongoing surge in equities is partially due to government deficit spending, as it is currently 14% higher from the same period last year.
SP:SPX
by XBTFX
Full Plan for Monday Oct 21stPlan for Monday: Supports: • Major: 5892, 5878, 5869, 5850, 5820, 5802-05, 5787, 5770, 5752, 5734, 5710, 5683, 5676, 5657-60 • Minor: 5882, 5871, 5862, 5857, 5842, 5834, 5828, 5814, 5796, 5782, 5779, 5763, 5755, 5746, 5740, 5725, 5721, 5715, 5708-10, 5702, 5693, 5679, 5669, 5666 What I’m Watching: We are inside a broad consolidation zone from 5915 to 5850, but the tighter consolidation within this range (5892 to 5915) is becoming tricky due to the deep use of these levels. Flexibility is key when trading in this range. For Monday, 5892 is the first major support, though it’s been overused and may no longer be reliable. I’d prefer to wait for a reaction there, with safer longs only coming if we reclaim 5902 after testing lower. If 5892 fails, a selloff could follow, a common occurrence for Monday. Below that, 5878 is the next key level down, but I’m less inclined to take long positions here unless we see a failed breakdown with a recovery back above 5869. If we get a further breakdown, 5850 becomes the key line of defense before a potential flush down to 5820. Resistances: • Major: 5900-02, 5914, 5933, 5945, 5956, 5962, 5997-6000, 6007, 6040-45, 6070, 6098 • Minor: 5907, 5922, 5935, 5951 Bull Case for Monday: We’re in a broad consolidation zone from 5915 to 5850, with bulls still holding the advantage as long as this structure remains intact. The tighter range of 5892 to 5915 will likely dictate the early moves. For the bulls, the ideal scenario is to hold above 5892, base out, and then rally to 5933 and beyond. As loose concepts though, I’d consider any flagging that does not make a new high above Friday’s high and that holds 5900 or 5892 (bonus if we flush to 5892 and recover 5900) as being very bullish and worth adding. In the “ultra bull case,” we wouldn’t even lose 5892, quickly basing above 5900, which could lead to a squeeze toward 5933 and potentially higher. Bear Case for Monday: The bear case becomes relevant if 5850 breaks down. Breakdowns are tricky and often trap traders (80% failure rate), so it’s a low-win rate but high-reward setup. If 5892 fails, we could see some downside pressure, with 5878 and then 5850 as key supports. If these levels don’t hold, we could see a sharper selloff toward 5820 or lower. However, I am obviously not going to just short below 5850 after selling 60 points there from here. I’d need to see a strong bounce there or a failed breakdown, see longs work, and only then would I consider shorting under wherever the structure (lows) are at the time—this could be around 5847. On a shorter-term basis, there may be a short opportunity if 5892 fails. This level has been heavily worked, but it’s ideal to see one more bounce attempt there, and then short just under the low of that bounce. Be careful here, as we could easily flush to 5869 and then squeeze back up. If I do short, I would exit and be willing to switch long. Summary for Monday: We’re stuck in a consolidation range between 5915 and 5850, with 5892 to 5915 being the tighter range within. The market could ping-pong between these levels before making a more decisive move. My lean remains to defer to the overall trend, with a preference for buying dips unless key supports like 5850 fail. A break of 5892 could lead to a Monday dip, but as long as bulls hold 5850, the broader structure remains bullish, targeting 5933+.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by ESMorg
#202442 - priceactiontds - weekly update - sp500 e-miniGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr sp500: 4 different upper bull trend lines for multiple wedges and all are kinda valid. You just never know which one will be most respected by the algo’s. 6000 is the target, much more likely we get there before a bigger correction. Don’t try to be the first bear on this. Quote from last week: comment: Two decent days were enough for the bulls to make new ath. Again a bad place to trade, 8 points below the new ath. We have nested bull wedges and market broke above the bigger one. Odds favor some pullback but I would rather wait and be flat than to short this. comment : Monday made the 50 points higher and that’s all bulls achieve last week. We had two pause bars on the daily chart with Tuesday and Thursday but that was not enough to put doubt in bulls minds that this rally is over. 6000 is the target and, same as dax, we will likely hit it one way or the other. current market cycle: nested bull wedges key levels: 5800 - 6000 bull case: Bulls know technically we are at the top of them all and the rally is on it’s last legs. Big round numbers are still just too good to not hit if history tells us anything. Bears are not doing anything and not enough bulls are taking profits, so the market only knows one direction. As long as we are staying above the two bull trend lines that are closest, bulls are good and we continue. Invalidation is below 5800. bear case: Bears are not doing enough. They have many reasonable targets below but what good are those if the 4h 20ema keeps getting bought almost the entire week? Can you sell new highs for a scalp? Sure. Bears need anything below 5800 to start having arguments. Reasonable scalp is probably a break below 5850 for 5800 but as of now, there isn’t much more to expect for Monday. I am open to surprises though. Overall I just doubt many bears want to short 5900 when they know everyone wants to see 60000 and there is much more value to short there. Invalidation is above 6050. outlook last week: short term: Neutral since we are exactly at the top of two big patterns and 8 points below the ath. Sitting on hands is best here. → Last Sunday we traded 5859 and now we are at 5906. Neutral wasn’t too bad since market made 60 points on the week. Wasn’t good either, I know. short term: Neutral between 5870 - 5930 and bullish above 5930 for 6000. medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-13 : Very rough guess for the remaining trading weeks in 2024. Spike up, decent correction (~10%), nasty (blow off top) year end rally if earnings hold in Q4. Don’t trade based on that guess. current swing trade: None chart update: Adjusted the many bull trend lines to show it’s pure guesswork which one will be respected. All are valid until clearly broken. Big dotted means that the pattern is on the weekly or monthly chart, and some breaks above are tolerable and do not mean the pattern is invalid. Close is always close enough.
CME_MINI:MES1!Long
by priceactiontds
S&P500, NASDAQ, & DOW JONES Weekly Outlook Oct 21The 3 Indices are in position to move higher. I am looking for buys setups, as my bias is bullish. My first targets are the PWHs, and potentially ATHs. I've included some notes on how I project bullish targets above ATH's. Tell me what you think of it in the comments section. Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Long
by RT_Money