S&P 500 Pullback Nearing End? Hammer + Elliott Wave Say Rebound!The S&P 500 Index ( FOREXCOM:SPX500 ) is one of the most important indexes in the financial market these days , with the cryptocurrency market and especially Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) having a strong correlation with this index .
After Donald Trump suspended tariffs on 90 countries (except China) , the S&P 500 Index started to rise and seems to have managed to break through the Resistance zone($5,284-$5,094) and is pulling back to this zone .
One of the signs of a reversa l of the S&P 500 Index can be the formation of the Hammer Candlestick Pattern , which announces the end of the pullback .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that the S&P 500 Index is completing a corrective wave that could be in the form of a main wave 4 ( it is correcting both in time and price ).
I expect the S&P 500 Index to resume its upward trend in the coming hours, if nothing special is released , and to reach the Resistance zone($5,680-$5,500) and Yearly Pivot Point . If this happens, today's Bitcoin analysis could also be correct .
Note: In the worst case, if the S&P 500 Index touches $5,050, we should expect a further decline in the S&P 500 Index and Bitcoin.
Do you think the S&P 500 Index will return to an upward trend, or is this increase temporary?
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
S&P 500 Index Analyze (SPX500USD),1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Spx500analysis
S&P 500 Index Under Pressure – Another -10% Drop Incoming?Today, I want to analyze the S&P 500 Index ( FOREXCOM:SPX500 ) for you. This index is one of the most important indices in the US stock market , which has been determining the direction of parallel financial markets such as crypto and especially Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) for the past few days, so an analysis of this index can be important for us.
The S&P 500 Index started to fall after Donald Trump imposed new tariffs on countries around the world, which was like a coronavirus .
The question is whether this fall is temporary or will continue . To answer this question, we need to consider many parameters, but if we look at the sds chart from a technical analysis chart , we can expect a further decline .
The S&P 500 Index is moving near the Resistance zone($5,284-$5,095) and is completing a pullback . It also lost its important Uptrend lines last week, which is not good news for the S&P 500 Index and US stocks .
From an Elliott wave theory , the S&P 500 IndexS&P looks like it has completed the main wave 4 , and we should expect the next decline(-10%) .
I expect the S&P 500 Index to attack the Heavy Support zone($4,820-$4,530) at least once more. The area where we can expect the S&P 500 Index to pull back is the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
What do you think? Will the S&P 500 Index continue its downward trend, or was this decline temporary?
Note: If the S&P 500 Index touches $5,408, we can expect further Pumps.
Note: There is a possibility of a Bear Trap near the Heavy Support zone($4,820-$4,530) and PRZ.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
S&P 500 Index Analyze (SPX500USD),4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
S&P 500: Valuation Correction or the Start of a Breakdown?Valuation Correction or the Start of a Breakdown?
Zoom out. Clear the noise.
We might still sweep the lows, but when viewed on the weekly timeframe, this current S&P 500 move looks more like a healthy valuation correction than a structural breakdown.
Let’s break it down by the numbers using fractal analysis:
🟩 March 2020 (COVID Crash):
▪️~35% drop
▪️V-shaped recovery
▪️Oversold RSI bounce
🟨 2022 Bear Market:
▪️~27% correction
▪️Multi-month wedge consolidation
▪️Eventually led to an upside breakout
🟦 Now (2025):
▪️~21% correction so far
▪️Retesting long-term trendline
▪️RSI in familiar oversold zone
📊 Fractal Math:
- From 35% to 27% = 22.86% decrease
- From 27% to 21% = 22.22% decrease
Both legs show a consistent ~22% drop in correction depth suggesting bearish momentum is weakening with each cycle. Currently bouncing off the1844 days of support.
Is this the bottom? Will there be relief?
🔁 If this pattern holds:
- We could see a short-term sweep or deviation under recent lows.
- But structure favours a potential recovery from this zone, unless the trendline breaks decisively.
📌 Watch levels closely. Timing matters.
🧠 What’s your take, is this another “buy the dip” moment?
Do hit the like button if you liked this update and share your views in the comment section.
"SPX500/US500" Index CFD Market Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "SPX500 / US500" Index CFD Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise to Place sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level.
Stop Loss 🛑: (5730) Thief SL placed at the nearest / swing high level Using the 8H timeframe swing / day trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 5300 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
"SPX500 / US500" Index CFD Market Heist Plan (Swing/Day) is currently experiencing a bearishness,., driven by several key factors.
📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT Report, Geopolitical and News Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Index-Specific Analysis, Positioning and future trend targets... go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
Head & Shoulder Breakdown: Will S&P 500 Drop Another 10%?● The S&P 500 has experienced significant volatility recently, mainly due to President Donald Trump's announcement of new tariffs.
● On April 3, 2025, the index saw a nearly 5% drop, its worst single-day loss in five years.
● The recent price action suggests that the index has broken below the neckline of the Head and Shoulder pattern, indicating a potential continuation of the downward trend.
◉ Key support levels to watch
● 1st Support - 5,200 - 5,250
● 2nd Support - 4,950 - 5,000
S&P 500: The Correction Is Not Over Yet – Targets Around 5000At the moment, the S&P 500 is holding relatively stable, but I believe the current decline is just part of a larger correction following decades of growth.
Right now, the index is retracing to the 50% pullback area (marked on the chart), which aligns with a typical retest before a potential continuation of the downward move. In this zone, a manipulation is likely, after which the decline may resume.
An additional confirmation of this scenario is the unfilled gap below, which remains uncovered. Historically, the market tends to close such gaps. Moreover, there are untested price levels lower on the chart, suggesting a high probability of further downside movement, with targets around 5000 points.
I will keep monitoring the situation and update my outlook as new data emerges.
Trendline Broken – Is the Bull Run in Trouble?The S&P 500 index is currently exhibiting a critical technical structure. After forming a series of Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL) within a well-respected rising trendline, the price recently made an All-Time High (ATH) but has since shown signs of weakness. The trendline, which has acted as a dynamic resistance multiple times, has now been broken.
At present, the price is retesting the key horizontal support zone and the 200 EMA after the breakdown. This retest is crucial—a rejection here could confirm a bearish shift, potentially leading to lower levels near the next key support zone. Additionally, the RSI is displaying a bearish divergence, signaling weakening momentum despite recent highs.
Key Takeaway:
Watch for confirmation at the retest zone. A rejection may signal a deeper correction, while a reclaim of the trendline and 200 EMA could reestablish the bullish structure. Risk management is key at these pivotal levels.
SPX500 Move Up Expected!
HI,Traders !
SPX500 made a bullish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 5640.66 and the
Breakout is confirmed
Because the daily candle
Closed above the key level
So on the market open
We will be expecting a
Local pullback and then
A strong move up !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
"SPX500USD" Indices Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰🐱👤🐱🏍
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "SPX500USD" Indices Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Sell below (5930) then make your move - Bearish profits await!"
however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA or Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 6025 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
Primary Target - 5875 (or) Escape Before the Target
Secondary Target - 5750 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
"SPX500USD" Indices Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors.
👉Fundamental Analysis
Earnings Growth: The SPX500 earnings growth rate is expected to slow down in 2025, driven by economic uncertainty and trade tensions.
Valuation: The SPX500 forward P/E ratio is around 17.5, slightly below the historical average.
Dividend Yield: The SPX500 dividend yield is around 2.0%, relatively attractive compared to other asset classes.
👉Macro Economics
GDP Growth: The US GDP growth rate is expected to slow down in 2025, driven by economic uncertainty and trade tensions.
Inflation: The US inflation rate is expected to remain around 2.0% in 2025, slightly above the Federal Reserve's target.
Interest Rates: The Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates relatively stable in 2025, with a possible rate cut in the second half of the year.
👉COT Data
Commitment of Traders: The COT data shows that large speculators are net short SPX500, indicating a bearish sentiment.
Open Interest: The open interest in SPX500 futures is decreasing, indicating a declining interest in the market.
👉Market Sentimental Analysis
Bearish Sentiment: The market sentiment is currently bearish, with many investors expecting the SPX500 to continue its downward trend.
Risk Aversion: The market is experiencing high risk aversion, with investors seeking safe-haven assets such as bonds and gold.
👉Positioning
Short Positions: Many investors are holding short positions in SPX500, expecting the index to continue its downward trend.
Long Positions: Some investors are holding long positions in SPX500, expecting a potential bounce or reversal.
👉Next Trend Move
Bearish Trend: The current trend is bearish, with the SPX500 expected to continue its downward trend driven by economic uncertainty and trade tensions.
Support Levels: The next support levels are seen at 5700 and 5600.
👉Overall Summary Outlook
Bearish Outlook: The overall outlook for SPX500 is bearish, driven by economic uncertainty, trade tensions, and slowing earnings growth.
Volatility: The market is expected to remain volatile, with investors closely watching economic data, earnings reports, and geopolitical developments.
👉Real-Time Market Feed
SPX500 Price: 5990.0
24-Hour Change: -1.2%
24-Hour High: 6050.0
24-Hour Low: 5950.0
Trading Volume: 2.2 billion
👉Prediction Next Target
T1: 5875 (short-term target)
T2: 5750 (medium-term target)
T3: 5650 (long-term target)
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
Don't Miss Out We Predicted S&P 500 Drop to 5740 It Happened📉 Don't Miss Out – We Predicted S&P 500 Drop to 5740 , and It Happened! 🔥
In our previous recommendation, we clearly stated that S&P 500 would drop to 5740 , and it happened exactly as predicted, reaching the 61% Fibonacci level! ✅
🚨 Will You Wait Until You Fall with Losing Stocks? 🚨
The market doesn’t wait, and opportunities don’t last forever! If you’ve been following our recommendations, you’ve avoided the collapsing stocks we warned about.
⚠️ Don’t let the market get ahead of you – Follow our recommendations to stay on the winning side! 🔥💰
#SPX500 #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis #InvestmentOpportunities
SPX Is About to Explode – Here’s What I’m WatchingSPX is at a critical level, and whichever way it breaks, the move could be huge. Here’s my take:
If we drop below 5663, I see a move down to 5534 – 5445. If that zone fails, we could head toward 5332, and if selling pressure keeps up, 5234 might be next.
But if we break above 5800, the bulls could take over, pushing to 5972, and maybe even 6149.
It’s all about reaction levels now. I’m watching these zones closely—what’s your take? Are we heading up or breaking down?
Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange
Trader Smarter Live Better
2022 Déjà Vu? Markets Stalling at a Critical Level2022 Déjà Vu? Markets Stalling at a Critical Level | SPX Market Analysis 05 Mar 2025
We expected roller-coaster swings this week, and the market hasn’t disappointed. The price action feels oddly familiar, reminiscent of early 2022, when a failed all-time high attempt led to a slow, choppy bear market.
Right now, the market is stuck at a key decision point—dithering at the lower range like it can’t decide whether to break down or bounce back up. ADD data leans slightly bullish, suggesting a possible range-bound chop with an upward bias, unless sellers take full control and push us into the February/March correction cycle.
No need to guess—I’m hedged and ready for either outcome. The only thing left to do? Wait for the market to tip its hand.
---
Deeper Dive Analysis:
The market is moving exactly as expected—lots of noise, little commitment, and price action that mirrors early 2022, just before the slow-motion bear market began.
📌 What’s Happening Right Now?
Markets failed to make new highs and are now chopping near the range lows
The last time we saw this structure? Early 2022 before a major shift downward
Price is hesitating, signalling traders are waiting for a catalyst
📌 Two Possible Outcomes:
1️⃣ A Range Reversal (Bullish Scenario)
ADD data suggests a short-term bullish bias
A grinding, sideways move with an upward tilt is likely
Ideal for small, quick trades—but no trend confirmation yet
2️⃣ The February-March Correction Cycle (Bearish Scenario)
If support fails, sellers could accelerate the move lower
Seasonal trends often bring a correction this time of year
Watching for signs of a decisive breakdown
📌 How I’m Approaching This Market:
✅ Staying hedged so that a move in either direction is fine
✅ Being patient—waiting for a strong move before committing capital
✅ Avoiding impulse trades—letting the market tell me what’s next
Traders who rush in too early this week could get chopped up in the indecision, while those who wait for a clear confirmation will be in the best position to capitalize.
---
Fun Fact
📢 Did you know? The biggest one-day percentage drop in history wasn’t 2008—it was Black Monday in 1987, when the Dow crashed 22.6% in a single day.
💡 The Lesson? Markets can collapse out of nowhere, but structured traders with hedges and a system don’t panic—they profit.
SPX500: Possible bounce from key support toward 5,980?FOREXCOM:SPX500 has reached a significant support zone, highlighted by previous price reactions and strong buying interest. This area has acted as a key demand zone, increasing the likelihood of a bullish bounce if buyers step in.
The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms support within this zone, we could see a bullish reversal. A successful rebound could push the price toward 5,980 . However, if the price breaks below this zone, the bullish outlook may be invalidated, opening the possibility for further downside.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!
S&P 500's Big Drop Raises Alarm: Is a Market Correction Looming?◉ Fundamental Rationale:
● US stocks fell sharply on Friday, with major indices like the S&P 500 SP:SPX and Dow Jones Industrial Average TVC:DJI experiencing significant losses.
● The sell-off was triggered by a warning from Walmart NYSE:WMT , which raised concerns about weakening consumer demand, rising costs, or other challenges impacting its business. As a retail giant, Walmart's outlook is seen as a barometer for consumer health.
● The decline coincided with the release of consumer sentiment data, which dropped to a 15-month low, signalling growing pessimism among consumers about the economy.
● The market reacted to fears of inflation, rising interest rates, and the potential for a recession, which could further weigh on corporate earnings and economic growth.
● The sell-off was not limited to retail stocks but reflected broader anxieties about the economy and future market performance.
◉ Technical Observations:
● Following a significant sell-off of nearly 1.7%, the index is expected to find initial support at the trendline.
● If the index breaches this support level, the next strong support zone is anticipated in the range of 5,650 to 5,700.
SPX at a Critical Decision Point: Breakout or Breakdown?The S&P 500 has been respecting this rising channel (green support and red resistance) for an extended period. Currently, price action is testing the mid-range, making this a key level for future movement.
Possible Scenarios:
1️⃣ Bullish Continuation → If SPX holds above the green trendline, we could see a breakout towards the upper resistance (red trendline), targeting 7,000+.
2️⃣ Bearish Breakdown → A loss of the trendline support could trigger a correction, potentially sending price towards 5,500 or lower.
🔍 Watch for:
✔️ Confirmation of support holding (bullish signals).
✔️ Breakdown and retest of the green trendline as resistance (bearish signals).
⚡ Trade Idea:
• Long on bullish confirmation above trendline.
• Short on breakdown + retest of support as resistance.
SPX Target 6270 - Can It Get There?SPX Targets 6270 – But Can It Get There? | SPX Market Analysis 20 Feb 2025
The SPX is climbing like a caffeinated squirrel... ok, maybe not. It’s more like a slightly confused sloth trying to find second gear!..., while DJX and RUT are stuck in the mud.
The breakout move we’ve been waiting for has arrived, and now the question is—does it have enough fuel to hit 6270, or will it stumble and trigger my hedge at 6100? Bollinger Bands are too tight for reliable setups, so I’m sticking with my 6 money-making patterns until volatility expands.
Let’s break it all down…
---
SPX Deeper Dive Analysis:
📈 SPX is Soaring (like a fat pigeon!) – But the Other Indexes Aren’t Joining the Party
While SPX is off making new highs, its friends DJX and RUT seem to have lost their invitations.
DJX is struggling to gain meaningful ground 📉
RUT can’t even catch an uptick, making it the weakest of the bunch ❌
Meanwhile, SPX is leading the way, with a clear breakout in play
A closely following NDX is nipping at SPX's heals
💡 Breakout Confirmed – But Can It Hold?
Scenario #1 from our previous discussions has unfolded—the range has broken out.
Target: 6270 🎯
Hedge trigger: 6100 in case the move fails
This is the good kind of waiting—waiting for profits to materialise
🔄 Why I’m Avoiding Tag ‘n Turn Setups Right Now
Normally, after a breakout, I’d shift back to Tag 'n Turn setups. But there’s a problem…
Bollinger Bandwidth is too tight, making moves too fast
Price is flipping from one side of the bands to the other
A Bollinger Band pinch is forming, indicating more compression before expansion
So, what’s the plan?
✅ I’ll continue to use my 6 money-making patterns
✅ I’ll wait for volatility to expand before returning to Bollinger setups
✅ No forced trades—only high-probability moves
🚀 Final Takeaway?
The breakout is here, the target is set, and the plan is clear. Now, it’s time to let the market do its thing and wait for the move to play out.
---
Fun Fact
📢 Did you know? In 2018, Amazon briefly became a $1 trillion company—but it only stayed there for a few hours before dropping back below the threshold.
💡 The Lesson? Even the biggest breakouts can be short-lived—just because a stock (or index) makes a new high doesn’t mean it will stay there forever. Always have a plan—targets and hedge triggers matter.
SPX In Limbo - Which way will it break?SPX in Limbo – Will It Break Up or Down? | SPX Market Analysis 19 Feb 2025
Still waiting. Yep, that’s where we are.
The market is about as exciting as watching paint dry, but this is not the time to get impatient. As much as I’d love to jump into a trade just to feel productive, I know better—waiting for the right entry beats chasing the wrong one.
Let’s break it down while we sip on tea and pretend to be Zen masters of market patience.
---
SPX Deeper Dive Analysis:
Why Patience is Everything in Trading
There’s an old trading rule that never fails—the market will always move… eventually. But right now, it’s in one of those frustrating, indecisive moods where:
Nothing is confirming (so forcing a trade is a bad idea)
It’s stuck between two key levels (meaning we wait for the breakout or breakdown)
Volume is sluggish (which means false moves are more likely)
Still Watching Two Scenarios
☑ Scenario #1 – The Bullish Breakout Entry
Needs price to confirm above key resistance
No fakeouts—just clean, strong momentum
Only then do I consider a bullish trade
☑ Scenario #2 – The Bearish Reversal Entry
Needs clear rejection at resistance
No weak, choppy movements—just a solid confirmation
Only then do I take a bearish setup
Why Forcing Trades is a Losing Game
Let’s be honest—waiting is boring. But do you know what’s worse? Jumping into a trade just because you're impatient… and then watching it immediately go against you.
Every trader, at some point, has thought:
"It looks like it’s going to move, maybe I should enter early…" (Nope.)
"I don’t want to miss the move…" (You won’t—if you follow the plan.)
"Other traders are jumping in—should I?" (Nope. They’re probably wrong.)
The right trade at the wrong time is still the wrong trade.
What’s Next?
✅ Stay patient—the market will tip its hand soon enough
✅ Wait for clear confirmation—not “I think this might be it” confirmation
✅ Don’t trade out of boredom—trade because the setup is 100% valid
📌 Final Takeaway? Patience = profit. I’m still waiting, tea in hand, and when the market finally makes its move, I’ll be ready.
---
Fun Fact
📢 Did you know?
The stock market used to take 5 months to process a trade before the 1970s. Now? It happens in milliseconds—but traders still struggle to wait a few hours for the right setup.
💡 The Lesson?
Patience has always been a trader’s best tool. Some things never change.
S&P 500 BREAKOUT?! 18.2.25Simple as can be.
1. November 2024 - Feb 2025 wedge pattern, converging support and resistance with higher highs and lows.
2. Descending trend-lines within the wedge, first line broken Jan 16th (highlighted) - 3% jump in 3 days of trading, second line broken today, Feb 18th.
3. Potential rise to the top of the wedge pattern, around the mid 6300's.
Stay logical, with a plan and consistent.
Fortune favors the brave!
S&P consolidation continuesThe S&P (US500) index price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. However, since reaching an all-time high on Friday 24th Jan the S&P index price action is consolidating in a sideways trading range.
The key trading level is at 6012, which is the current swing low. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 6012 level could target the upside resistance at 6080 followed by the 6117 and 6130 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of 6012 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook targeting a further retracement and a retest of 5964 support level followed by 5925.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Bearish Bias Locked int - Now We wait for the dropBearish Bias Locked In – Now We Wait for the Drop | SPX Market Analysis 11 Feb 2025
The bullish chapter is closed, and our focus is now entirely bearish as we eye a move toward 5980. Futures are already pointing lower, teasing a 20-point drop at the open.
Will we get the full range move, or will SPX keep stalling?
Either way, we’re locked and loaded—now, we wait for the market to tip its hand.
---
SPX Deeper Dive Analysis:
📉 Bearish Positions Locked In
SPX is now fully bearish, with bullish trades wrapped up profitably or at break-even following the bear turn signal. This continues to aligns perfectly with our 6 money-making patterns, where we expect a move from range highs to range lows.
📊 Futures Hint at a Lower Open
Overnight futures are already down 20 points, suggesting:
✅ A weaker SPX open
✅ A potential move toward 5980
✅ Confirmation that momentum is shifting lower
🔍 ADD Still Has Room to Fall
Yesterday’s ADD reading hit the upper bullish extreme
That leaves plenty of downside wiggle room
If ADD pushes lower, indexes could also follow through
⏳ For Now, It’s a Waiting Game
The bearish setup is in place
Price action will dictate the next move
A clean range move to 5980 remains the primary target
🚀 Key Takeaway? The market is aligning with expectations, but we still need follow-through to lock in profits.
Fun Fact:
📢 Did you know? In 1987, the Dow dropped 22.6% in a single day—the biggest percentage crash in history. That’s the equivalent of the S&P 500 dropping over 1,000 points today!
💡 The Lesson? Even in structured markets, major moves can happen fast. This is why having a rule-based trading system keeps you ahead of the chaos.
Monday sell Off? History May Repeat Itself...Monday Sell-Off? This Setup Says It’s Coming... | SPX Market Analysis 10 Feb 2025
Another week wraps up, and as I eye Monday’s open, I can’t shake a sense of déjà vu.
The last two weeks started with a gap down, followed by a bearish finish into the weekend.
Super Bowl Sunday is also here – Can the Kansas City Chiefs complete an unprecedented three-peat in Super Bowl 59 or will the Philadelphia Eagles gain revenge? Just like the markets, only time will tell and we will have to wait and see.
That said, Friday’s setup is setting the stage for another pop ‘n drop. The only question? What triggers the fall this time?
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SPX Deeper Dive Analysis:
📉 Mondays Have Been Bearish – Will This One Be Too?
The last two Mondays started with a gap down, followed by a bearish move into the weekend. If the pattern holds, next week could open with a bang – but not necessarily to the upside.
🏈 Super Bowl & The Markets – A Perfect Parallel?
The markets are playing their own Super Bowl showdown. Will the bulls make a comeback, or will the bears crush their hopes yet again? Just like the Chiefs vs. Eagles, we can only wait and see.
🔻 Friday’s Bearish Setup – A Warning Sign?
- V-shaped reversal entry ✅
- Bearish pulse bar confirmation ✅
- Similar daily bar pattern to the last two Fridays ✅
📌 So What Happens Monday?
If history repeats itself, we could see:
- A pop higher at the open, luring in buyers 🏹
- A sharp drop shortly after, trapping the late bulls 🕳
- A repeat of the last two weeks' bearish close 📉
🔑 Key Takeaway: The setup is there. Now we wait for the trigger.
Fun Fact:
📢 Did you know? The Super Bowl Indicator suggests that if an AFC team wins, markets go bearish, but if an NFC team wins, markets go bullish.
💡 The Lesson? As ridiculous as it sounds, market psychology is a wild beast. While we don’t trade superstition, it’s always fun to see how random events get tied to stock performance.