$SPX - South Liquidity Run Before heading NorthWe Should See prices start to head up after reaching into the Fair Value Gap, up towaard 3967-3965 (Depending on broker) At this point there is also a Fair Value Gap as well as Bearish Order Block. I expect price to hit this area after the around the bell 9:15= 10:300 Eastern Time. This is where you should see the initial Sell.
(SEE CHART)
and the sell should reach around 3952 before it starts to turn. Why is it making a turn north? There are equal highs that price will want to attack. Keep in Mind there are a few more areas that have liquidity a little bit lower that price could reach, 3948 has an order block as well as the top of a breaker that could start making the turn.
(See Chart)
3939 is another breaker.
(See Chart)
And lastly 3934 would break all the liquidity and hit the last breaker. Unless it wants to take a huge dive south, I don't see it getting lower than this.
Once I can realize where the turn is I'll make the call to close the short trade and to go long. In the long we're aiming for the equal highs around 3977. Other take profits are 3982-3985 as that is bearish order block and fair fair value gap before the next high. The Last take profit be the current 127% Extension. 3994.1.
Once again, I'll have to read what's happening the entire time to make sure we're getting the best out of this trade. I wanted to do a NAS one but I dont have time.
OANDA:SPX500USD
Spx500analysis
US Market Technicals Ahead (29 Mar – 2 Apr 2021)Focus on the upcoming week will be on US employment report that due to release on Good Day (a market holiday), with forecast slated on signs of a further gradual job recovery. Market will also be watching on President Joe Biden’s infrastructure plan, which he is expected to unveil in Pittsburgh on Wednesday, along with OPEC+ meeting which could offer guidance into the coalition’s production plan from May.
Continued push and pull of the market rotation that favors cyclicals over growth and tech stocks is expected to continue into the next quarter.
Here’s what you need to know to start your week.
S&P500 (US Market)
The benchmark index ($SPX) maintained its resilience by closing +1.67% (+65.3 points) for the week. It is important to note that $SPX averted from further losses on Thursday, after a technical rebound at 3,860 level which was highlighted last week.
With $SPX remaining above its 20DMA & 50DMA and at a higher low trend formation, there are substantial traction for the index to breach 4,000 all time high level this week. The immediate support to watch for $SPX remains at 3,860 level, a break on the pivoted level from recent Thursday. Resistance to watch for $SPX is at 3,989 level, a continuation to break its all time high level.
US Employment Report (March)
The March jobs report is scheduled for a morning when the stock market is closed for the Good Friday holiday, but bonds will trade half a day, ending at noon. The labor market is expected to show signs of recovery following the approval of President Biden’s relief package and as several states ease coronavirus-induced restrictions amid the rapid pace of vaccination.
Infrastructure Plan
President Joe Biden is expected to unveil details of his $3 trillion to $4 trillion infrastructure plan on Wednesday in Pittsburgh, but strategists say it is too soon to say what form the plan could take or how large it will be in its final form.
The plan is expected to span multiple years, and Democrats are expected to seek tax hikes to pay for it.
Rotation
The rotation into cyclicals and value stocks is expected to continue into the next quarter. For the first quarter so far, energy and financials were the best performers, up about 33% and 16.5% respectively. Tech was up 1.7%, but it remains a better performer than utilities and consumer staples.
SPX500USD 2021 Mar 29 Week
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SPX500USD 2021 Mar 29 Week
Weekly / Daily / H4 = bullish
Last week's short target of 3844 not reached, as price reversed at 3856 instead.
With climatic up bar into previous resistance,
may have opportunity for short when we see toppish pattern.
3844-3856 will be the immediate support.
Entry preference will be a the SR and the yellow line price reaction zone.
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Have a good trading week ahead!
SPX500USD 2021 Mar 22 Week
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SPX500USD 2021 Mar 22 Week
Weekly = Bullish | Daily = Bullish | H4
Last week's analysis, scenario 2 unfolded.
It appears high volume up bar Bar 1 has been negated by next bar's lower close.
Prefer to short on test of high, target 3844
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SPX500USD 2021 Mar 08 Week
SPX500USD 2021 Mar 08 Week
Red/Green = preferred entry | Grey = price rotation zones
Yellow = test
W = Although still bullish, but weakness is observed.
D = Buyers came in strongly, testing 3844. Wait and see if
there is price acceptance here.
Another scenario is price coming down to test for supply first, then continue up.
Do note the top has mushroomed over
and we're still in the down channel.
Keep SL tight if you're long.
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Have a good trading week ahead!
SPX500 UPDATE with S/H/S-InverseHey tradomaniacs,
SPX500 is creating an S/H/S-Inverse-Pattern 👉
A break above the Neck-Zone could cause a clean bullish momentum as price is currently under a significant resistance-zone.
A trigger of stop-losses could attract more buyers to take action.
More risk-on-sentiment in the market would be awesome for our trades.
As you know, I can`t give you exact data for a trade as price varies from broker to broker❗️🙏
LEAVE A LIKE AND A COMMENT - I appreciate every support! =)
Peace and good trades
Irasor
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Short term perspective: Will SPX continue its fall?Markets have been driven by interest rate move in recent days. Expecting SPX to continue its weakness over the next few days.
But could there be bottom-fishing? I think it is likely.
Looking for price to retrace down to 3830 levels before rebounding back to 3900.
Let me know your thoughts.
SPX500 could MOVE UP soon!#UpdateHey tradomaniacs,
SPX500 aswell as other Indicies had a rough start into the day and we finally see some healthy retracements❗️
Looking at SPX500 you can see that price is re-testing a very interesting zone of a potential reversal 👉
Considering how weak the Forexmarket reacts to the global sell-off I really doubt that we are going to see a continuation of the current move, unless fundamentals by Powell will cause more uncertainy.
If SPX500 moves up from here we might see trend-continuations in the Forexmarket and strong pumps.
Let`s see what the Wallstreet is going to do.👌
S&P 500 Long PositionS&P 500 Long Position
🔵 Entry: $3,886.0
🟢 TP & RR: $3,929.1 (2.44)
⛔ Stop Loss: $3,868.3
REASONS FOR THE TRADE
✔️ Market Flow Green
✔️ Higher low on lower time frame
📝 I am expecting a small retracement upwards before price continues to go down. The second order I am looking to open is for a short at the $3,914.0 level.
SPX500 could move UP! Hey tradomaniacs,
Looking at SPX500 we can see a good rally after the expected fakeout#5 from yesterday 👉
As you can see we are currently re-testing the previous trendline of the entire weird and volatile correction.
If this level holds market could continue with its previous breakout and start a new rally!
If not.. SHORT IT ;-D
LEAVE A LIKE AND A COMMENT - I appreciate every support! =)
Peace and good trades
Irasor
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SPX500 COULD get PROBLEMS!Hey tradomaniacs,
YIELDS are still in focus and could cause problems for the stock-markets.
Why is that so important?
First of all you have to know that there is a difference between capital market rates and the Federal Funds Rate.
The Federal Funds Rate is an control mechanism to keep inflation, demand, supply and more economy related points balanced.
Capital markets refer to the places where savings and investments are moved between suppliers of capital and those who are in need of capital.
The rate of the capital market depends on the current risk which is increasing with the inflation.
Example:
Let`s say you borrow money to a customer with a duration of 1 year.
In this time-period you expect inflation to increase, means the money that you will earn with this deal will have less value than now.
As a compensation you claim a higher interest-rate in order to compensate the depreciation 👉 This is basically why YIELDS are currently rising!
Additionally you claim a bonus for special risk as higher inflation could cause a payment default of your customer.
This shows that Central Banks have way less impact on capital market rates, hence it is way harder to predict when YIELDS stop rising.
Why could that be a problem for stocks? Inflation is good isn`t it?
Simply because rising interes-rates mean less demand in credits due to higher expenses 👉 Less investment 👉 Less consume
When you look at this context you could assume that we kinda stuck in a loop.
1️⃣ FED prints money and causes inflation 👉 Bad for dollar and good for stocks
2️⃣ Capital market rates rise due to inflation 👉 Good for dollar and bad for stocks
...and so on...
I hope this helps you to understand why the current market is so choppy.
LEAVE A LIKE AND A COMMENT - I appreciate every support! =)
Peace and good trades
Irasor
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SPX500USD 2021 Feb 15 Week
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SPX500USD 2021 Feb 15 Week
Red/Green zones = preferred entry
Grey = price rotation zones
Last week's long targets
3938 = reached
3913 = reached
Support1 = 3905
Support2 = 3885
Support3 = 3868.8
Demand has come in, will maintain long on dip as long as buy volume can be sustained,
or on rest of 3931 level.
If in the near future reversal price action occurs and close below 3930.90,
then will consider change in direction to short.
Have a safe and profitable trading week.
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Gong Hei Fatt Choi & Happy Chinese New Year to my Chinese friends!
S&P500 Long SetupSPX500 Long Setup
🔵 Entry: $3,911.9
🟢 TP & RR: $3,954.0 (2.48)
⛔ Stop Loss: $3,894.9
REASONS FOR THE TRADE
✔️ Market Flow Indicator went green
✔️ Trade in direction of the trend
📝 Not much to analyse here aside that it's a trade based on my system. With that being said the price may drop down to the support level, where I will be looking to open a long order again.