S&P 500 Index (SPX) Analysis: Key Levels and Expectations.SP:SPX My Take:
Looking at the 4-hour chart of the S&P 500 Index, it's clear that we're approaching a critical juncture. The price recently rallied up to the $5,630 - $5,655 resistance zone, which has been a significant barrier in the past. However, this level has proven to be tough for the bulls to break through, and we're now seeing signs of potential exhaustion.
Key Levels:
Resistance:
$5,620 - $5,630: This is the zone where the price is currently facing resistance. It’s a crucial area to watch because a failure to break above it could result in a pullback.
Support:
$5,480 - $5,440: If we see a rejection from the current resistance, I'm expecting the price to retrace towards this support zone. This area has acted as a strong floor in the past, and it's likely where buyers might step in again.
Trendline Support:
The upward trendline, originating from the lows earlier this year, is still intact. This trendline could provide additional support around the $5,280 level if the price breaks through the aforementioned support zone.
Expectations:
Pullback Potential:
Given the current price action, I wouldn’t be surprised to see a pullback from this resistance zone. The first area I'll be watching for potential support is the $5,480 - $5,440 zone. A break below this could bring us down to test the trendline around $5,280.
Continuation of the Uptrend:
If the bulls manage to push through the $5,620 - $5,630 resistance zone, we could see a continuation of the uptrend with a possible target towards $5,700 and beyond. But for now, I’m leaning towards the possibility of a short-term pullback before any further upside.
Food for Thoughts:
Right now, I’m closely watching how the price reacts around this resistance zone. A pullback could offer a good buying opportunity, especially if it holds above the $5,480 - $5,440 support area. On the other hand, a strong breakout above $5,630 would signal that the bulls are in control and could push the market to new highs.
Stay tuned for more updates as the situation develops! Happy Trading from Deno Trading!
Spx500forecast
Is this a SELL SIGNAL for S&P 500 this week???Technical speaking, we have predicted that last week, the s&p 500 might started to rebound, since we've seen three to four bearish candles before trend reversal in the past pullbacks, and last week was the forth candle of this pullback. And it just moved as we've predicted.
And for now, the price is still rebounding from overall bearish market. So this week, we might pay close attention to the ending signal of this rebound, for example, the price be rejected by the resistance of previous low.
Key macroeconomic dates include the U.S. releasing the July PPI on August 13, the July CPI on August 14, and the so-called "dreaded" July retail sales data on August 15.
Also, Japan will release its Q2 GDP, likely stirring the pot again with yen carry trades.
In political news, the latest Financial Times poll shows Harris with a 1% lead over Trump in the presidential race.
I think from economic reports to the election, all could drive more volatility in U.S. stocks. Investors should keep a close eye on market movements and manage their risks accordingly.
Will the Stock Market Crash Continue? My Trading ideasOn the macro level, the Bank of Japan says it won't raise rates when the market's unstable, which helped calm the market this morning.
But rising tensions in the Middle East are making investors nervous.
I think in these shaky times, it's smart to spread out your investments and focus on safer bets like healthcare, consumer goods, and utilities.
You might also consider using options to protect against short-term losses.
Now let's check s&p 500 from technical aspect.
The price is moving in an overall bearish market, but recently, it be supported by previous high volume candle area.
Now the point we may need to pay attention is the yesterday's bearish engulfing pattern, since the price started to drop after this pattern of previous callback. Therefore, the price may continue to go bearish later.
And traders who are interested in short trading, like me, may be a good timing to watch now.
SPX500 correction soon to be finishedQuick idea to show that the Hash Ribbon indicator has turned green on 1D an Hourly timeframe.
The MACD is about to touch bottom and reverse.
These are signs that this correction is about to end. The SPX 500 just needed some cool down before continuing its uptrend, starting Monday I think.
SPX broke the trend line with a gap. Time to sell rallies?Since April, the SPX has risen around 15%, and since November's low, it has increased by almost 40%.
This is quite significant for such an index, making us wonder if this rise is fundamentally justified (in my opinion, it is not).
But, as they say, "trade what you see, not what you think".
What we saw was a strong upward move.
However, keeping this expression in mind, we also observed a breakdown with a gap yesterday, which was not filled during the day, indicating a "gap and run."
My preferred strategy for the index is to sell on eventual rallies above 5500, with a target at 5250.
This strategy would be negated by a new all-time high (ATH).
SPX500USD ( TRADE BELOW RESISTANCE TRENDLINE ) ( 4H )SPX500USD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency the price trade below resistance trendline , indicates the price is under bearish pressure
TURNING LEVEL : there is a blue line around 5,596 , indicates if the price trade below this level reach a support level , but if the breaking turning level reach a resistance level
NEW RESISTANCE LEVEL: there is a green line around 5,625 , it indicates the progress of the index
SUPPORT LEVEL : there is a red line around 5,544 , indicates buying have already increase this level , and in this level create a demand zone
PRICE MOVEMNET : the price stabilizing below turning level around 5,596 , in my opinion until the price trade below turning level , reach a support level at 5,544 , then breaking this level reach a next target at 5,503 , if the price breaking turning level create a new resistance level at 5,625 and 5,661
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 5,625 and 5,661
SUPPORT LEVEL : 5,544 , 5,503
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SPX500USD ( UNDER BEARISH PRESSURE ) ( 1H )SPX500USD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency the price stabilizing below turning level at 5,488 , indicates under bearish pressure
PRICE MOVEMENT :
the price stabilizing below turning level at 5,488 , indicates to reach a support level, have two condition to reach this level , first condition corrective 5,488 before dropping to 5,438 , the second condition in a direct manner reach around 5,378 ,
if the breaking turning level at 5,488 , the price of the spx500usd reach a new historical peak , but reaches the resistance level early around 5,524 , after create new resistance level at 5,561
TARGET LEVEL :
TURNING LEVEL : 5,488
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 5,524 , 5,561
SUPPORT LEVEL : 5,438 , 5,378
SPX 500 Breaks Record High, Targets 5650US SPX 500 – technical overview
Longer-term technical studies continue to look quite extended, begging for a deeper correction ahead. At the same time, the latest bullish breakout to a fresh record high beyond the 2024 high opens the door for the next measured move upside extension targeting the 5650 area. Key support comes in at 5194.
R2 5500 – Round Number – Strong
R1 5450 – 7 June/Record high – Medium
S1 5321 – 7 June low – Medium
S2 5194 – 31 May low – Strong
US SPX 500 – fundamental overview
Though we have seen a healthy adjustment of investor expectations towards the amount of rate cuts in 2024, the market still hopes policy will end up erring more towards the investor friendly, accommodative side of things. This bet has kept stocks well bid into dips and consistently pushing record highs. Still, if there is a sense the Fed will need to be more sensitive towards erring on the side of higher rates, it could invite major disruption to the stock market.
Exclusive FX research from LMAX Group Market Strategist, Joel Kruger
Do you think this path will happen for SPx500?Hello Dears
Stay with me by analyzing stock charts
After the strange growth of stocks, the correction in the coming days does not seem too unrealistic.
In my analysis, I used light black dotted lines, which are high in number because I want to see the reaction of the candles to these resistance areas together.
I considered three goals, of course, I set a loss limit with high confidence that if the price reaches that level, we should wait for the growth of the stock price.
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