S&P 500 Exhaustion - Sell OrderSPX500 Short Position
Entry: $3,865.0
TP & RR: $3,828.3 (1.95)
Stop Loss: $3,883.8
REASONS FOR THE TRADE
Clear divergence in the Market Flow indicator and we are reaching a trendline, which I believe will act as resistance. SL is set well above it, so we give the trade some space to breathe and hopefully develop as we expect. Target is set at the previously established resistance, which should now act as support.
Spx500forecast
Bears running out of woods!! Market crash in 2021 predictionIn recent two years SPY formed huge megaphone chart pattern. Right now, price touching upper megaphone pattern line and there are huge selling days signalling market is topping. Macro economics indicators - retail sales, jobless claims showing some weakening clearly, in recent weeks. Stock valuations are skyrocket high. Economy will suffer in months ahead because it will be damaged by global lockdowns and surging virus cases in US and other countries and stimulus bill wil not fully cover these hits.
So i see high probability of huge selloff next year, bigger than 2020 maybe.
S&P 500 Reaches a Level of Resistance - Short TradeSPX500 - Short Position(s)
Entries: $3,784.4 / 3826.8
TP & RR: $3,728.8 (3.29 / 4.12)
Stop Loss Levels: $3,801.3 / $3,850.6
REASONS FOR THE TRADE
I think it's time for the SPX500 to take a break from this bull run. As such, I am expecting that price will reach either of the two levels that I would like to short. The Risk:Reward Ratio is favorable and the Stop Loss is just above the invalidation levels.
Now, you may be wondering why the SL of the first short is not placed higher, somewhere around the second order's SL. The problem is in the Risk:Rewards Ratio. If I am to do that, I will need to adjust my position size to account for the bigger gap between entry and SL. Also, the RRR of 3.29 will fall down to 0.84. So, even if I short from the first level and the setup proves to be valid, I will increase my capital by less than 1%, compared to over 3% if I keep the trade as it is.
Even if the first setup is invalidated, and we open a profitable short on the second level, the profit of 4.12R will compensate for the 1R loss and we will be at a profit of 3.12R. Of course, it would be unpleasant to lose 1% of the account, but that's just how trading works. You either take the risk or you lose the chance.
On a side note, since it's Monday, I am not placing those as limit orders, rather I have set alerts at the levels. When we reach them I will look at the volume, the 1h candle close, and will update the idea. We don't want to blindly place orders and hope for the best.
S&P 500 FUTURES 1D-TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS✨S&P 500 1D-TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS✨
Hello ladies and gentlemen
This is my new idea for the SPX500
My idea is that the index will go higher
T1
4500
I hope my idea is clear
Support me by like and share
Stay Safe💯
Good luck💰
SPX500 close to LongHi Traders,
This is our view on this cross for the next days.
#SPX500
BUY 3775
SL 3755
TP 3845
We remind you that this is only a forecast based on what current data are.
Therefore the following signal will be activated only if the rules of our strategy are strictly respected.
Any updates will be given in the comment section below.
Stocks Above 150d MA Reflected on an SPX's chart, Bad for Bears!1/NYSE Stocks Above 150d Average Index "MMOF" Reflected here on SPX.
2/This is a confirmation that these high readings happen at the beginning of new grand cycles !!!
3/Between lines no big corrections Just 9% pullback, let see with covid-19 what happen !!!
SPX's Percentage Above 200 Day Averages, suggesting a new cycleIf you still have doubts that we are starting a new cycle from march low. Then , check my Elliott wave counts and SPX's Deviation they are also
suggesting with higher probability a new cycle. That's been said, we will get 30 % corrections here and there and even more during this cycle, as we go up and
percentages would be much easier to get and accepted for different reasons.
wish you all the best.
spx's options total volume, much safer to trade high volume Hey guys,
nothing really solid here, jus a safer zone to trad than another. Both success rate for buy/sell are not that good at all.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
8 signals low volume:
-------------------------------------
77 days before a crash
63 days before a top
up swing
@ a top
going down
63 days before a top
sideways
286 before a crash
------------------------
- 4 @ months before a
top like months !!!
- 3 false signals
-1 @ a top
***Summary:
50% months before tops
10% @ top
40% false signals
HIGH RISK
HIGH RISK
HIGH RISK
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
11 signals high volume:
----------------------
Going down
bottom
going down
going down
up siwng
bottom
up swing
bottom
bottom
bottom
up swing
---------------------------------
3 going down, 5 bottoms, 3 up swings
--------------------------
Summary:
- 45 % @ bottoms.
- 27% up swings
- 27% false signals
-Trade high volume
is safer.
lower risk
lower risk
lower risk
-----------------------------------------
trade above our High volume trigger line is much safer.
S&P 500 Long PositionS&P 500 Long Trade
Entry: $3,807.4
TP & RR: $3,871.4 (2.29)
Stop Loss: $3,779.5
REASONS FOR THE TRADE
Building upon yesterday's SPX500 trade on which we got stopped out, I am once again trying to catch a bounce up from the lower trendline in a channel.
This time the SL is set much lower and I am not a big fan of having such a wide distance, but I don't want to get stopped again.
S&P 500 Ascending Channel - Long SetupS&P 500 Ascending Channel - Long Position
Entry: $3,795.3
TP & RR: $3,873.6 (3.26)
Stop Loss: $3,771.3
REASONS FOR THE TRADE
I believe the price will respect the lower trendline in this ascending channel and will continue trending up. Initially, we had the order at a lower level, but it seemed that we wouldn't get a fill, so we trialed it up.
Needless to say, if the price breaks through it, I am expecting a fairly sharp drop and will be looking for a short position. The current entry is at a support level, which while being a bit conservative, gives us a good RR with the SL far enough and with enough room for the trade to breathe. If the price dives down or does something unexpected, we will close the order prematurely.
S&P 500 Channel - Long OrderSPX500 Long Position
Entry: $3,772.9
TP & RR: $3,849.1 (2.92)
Stop Loss: $3,746.8
REASONS FOR THE TRADE
SPX500 has formed an ascending channel, so I am looking to open a long order at the lower trendline. In addition to bouncing off the trendline, I also want to see a divergence in the Market Flow indicator, which will signal a potential reversal. In any case, I will be carefully examining this level, because I will not be too surprised if the price breaks through it and makes a sharp drop.
Stop Loss is relatively close here, but the entry is also fairly conservative. To get filled, the price should make a small drop and then gradually start going up. If it does touch the trendline above my entry I will examine the situation and might open a long there with a SL just under the lower trendline.
SPX500 Within a Channel - 2 Possible LongsSPX500 Long Setup Idea
Entry Levels:
1) $3,785.7
2) $3,764.8
TP & RR: $3,870.7 (4.89 and 5.71)
Stop Loss Levels:
1) $3,768.3
2) $3,746.1
REASONS FOR THE TRADE
SPX500 may be due for a small correction and I want to catch the indicated level, which is a flip from resistance to support. I believe it should hold well, but what I am really looking for is a quick, clean wick to the entry or worst-case scenario a close and then a quick trend up. If the price closes under that level, then the trade will be invalidated and I will be looking to open the second long order with an even better Risk : Reward. I will also be looking at the Trend Volume RSI Analysis and what it prints in terms of trend and divergences.
SPX500 could DROP!Hey tradomaniacs,
if you have traded my previous SPX-LONGTRADE you should consider to take profits.
The market is testing a round number of 3.800 right at ten upper Trendline.
The FOREX-MARKET is currently pricing in a risk-off-scenario with a rising DXY (US-DOLLAR) and falling AUD and NZD.
We see a divergence in stocks and Forex which is never a good sign.
KEEP IN MIND that we will get to see the Non-Farm-Payrolls tomorrow.
LEAVE A LIKE AND A COMMENT - I appreciate every support! =)
Peace and good trades
Irasor
Wanna see more? Don`t forget to follow me.
SPX's Daily Purchase/Sale filing for directors/officers ***The legendary Fidelity Investments manager Peter Lynch once said, "Insiders might sell their shares for any number of reasons, but they buy them for only one: they think the price will rise.” this guys is just simply smart.
***Beautiful data presented here very useful for long investors . Simple strategy, with every consideration you would usually take , just buy after these guys start buying : -) .
***No success rate here, just extremes reading here that's all
*** I wish Tradingview would add this to their indicators.
-------------------------------------------
***Trigger line to start watching for, for buying, is reading above 300:
-----------------------------------------
Date Reading
Mar, 16 2020 465
Aug, 10 2011 357
Mar, 10 2009 356
Dec, 1 2008 302
Nov, 28 2008 606
Oct, 14 2008 306
Nov, 13 2007 307
Nov, 20 2007 329
Aug, 6 2007 303
-----------------------------------------------------------------
***Trigger line to start watching for, for buying, reading between 200-300 :
------------------------------------------------
March 2, 2020 207
Dec, 11-26 2018 204*217* 229*220*226
Nov, 21 2018 215
Nov, 13 2018 250
Nov, 14 2016 217
Nov, 12 2015 202
Aug, 24 2015 239
Nov, 13 2012 220
Nov 12, 2009 204
Aug, 17 2007 295
May 11, 2004 212
May, 4 2004 216
----------------------------------------------------
***Selling reading above 400 are reflected here Red Arrows
S&P 500 Index Long SetupSPX500 LONG SETUP IDEA
Entry: $3,715.9
Stop Loss: $3,680.5
TP Levels and RR: $3,784.4 (1.94)
REASONS FOR THE TRADE
I know that I am posting this with a bit of hindsight, but by the time I opened my order and came back to do the analysis the price has already gone up. Anyway, I am posting this in case there's a small retracement and you decide to jump on board.
The indicator Trend Volume RSI Analysis shows a clear divergence in the volume and you can also see the buying and selling distribution in the Multi Time Frame Effective Volume Profile below. I have also applied a Fib Retracement to this ascending triangle, which indicates that the take profit should occur somewhere near the potential resistance.
The SL level is put at a level far enough from the trend line. You can be slightly more aggressive here and move the SL up, which would significantly improve your RR Ratio. Generally speaking, breaking down this trendline would invalidate the setup, so if you have taken that particular trade you may close your position before hitting the SL.
SPX'S Weekly Japanese candlestick signals since inception 1957 Hey Traders ,
what's up. From me to Humanity . I know that there is allot of data, i hate that as every one else does. But,
if you want to keep it simple just study, analyze and write down the Red & Green boxes they should sum up most of the study. I have included all the
data here . So feel free to redo, redistribute, reuse or shar it here or outside of tradingview with anyone even with out mentioning the source. from me
to humanity whom are trading SPX : - ). Moreover, If anything that this data is telling us in a very short English terms "Do not chase tops on weekly candles !!! " .
Also, some weekly candles could be treated as extinct data suggesting that !!! what's up with that!!! no Golden rule for these candles.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Bullish weekly candles :-
Weekly Bullish Happened success rate Max profit Max cost Risk/reward starting date.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
***Engulfing 28 60% 50% 43% D 1953
***Hammer 21 77% 102% 4.55% C+ 1952
***Inverted Hammer 11 45% 8% 4% F 1953
***Marubozu White 65 84% 40% 33% B - 1982
***Long Lower Shadow 78 70% 68% 40% C- 1963
***Rising Window 26 85% 165% 5% B 1971
***Spining Top White 59 61% 40 % 31% F 1979
***Dragonfly Doji 8 37% 4% 9 F 1951
***Upside Tasuki Gap 6 40% comes and goes !!!
***Tweezer Bottom 11 43% Disappeared since 2007
***Doji Star 3 33% Disappeared since 1982 !!!!
***Dragon Doji 2 50%
--------------------------------------------------------
Spining Top White 59 times : since 1979
---------------------------------------------------
Profit Lost
z 4
11
z 2
4
z 13
3
z 3
31
4
17
7
z 31
3
5
21
2
2
4
z 4
2
1
z 2
2
z 1
z 5
7
14
7
11
z 10
18
21
1
z 2
3
z 7
7
3
z 4
z 3
1
z 2
z 5
2
34
9
5
z 4
25
z 2
13
z 3
15
z 7
z 4
z 18
40
z 4
12
--------------------------------------
Dragonfly Doji 8 times : since 1951
--------------------------------------------
profit lost
z 2.55
4.85
z 2.42
z 9.09
z 1.60
4.89
3.50
z 3.37
------------------------------
37% success rate
-------------------------------------------
Hammer 21 times : since 1952
---------------------------------------------------------
Profit lost
8.46
4.39
8
z 6.46
8
6
66
70
4
4
4
z 1.86
z 4.55
3.27
z 9.02
4.83
3.04
102
2.59
z .91
10.99
------------------------------------
success rate 77%
--------------------------------------------
Inverted Hammer 11 times : since 1953
------------------------------------------------------------
Profit lost
4.56
z 7.95
z 2.97
z 4.43
z 4.72
z 2.54
z 6
8.14
3.27
1.69
1.90
-----------------------------------------------------------
success rate 45%
--------------------------------------------------------------
Marubozu White 65 times : since 195
----------------------------------------------------
Profit Lost
zero 33.98
zero 14.86
zer 11.91
4.56
9.75
2.16
6.25
2.06
z 14.92
8.55
4.76
1.81
19.11
5.60
1
2.55
7
z 8.88
1.61
2.84
12.43
2.64
5.44
4.77
12.32
1.81
1.25
1.93
31.87
z 30.37
3.87
12.84
4.49
z 7.68
2.13
5.79
26.66
4.31
17.15
z 6.44
2.39
33.20
9.71
11.63
7.47
15.27
3
4.75
4.66
17.26
z 6.63
z 4
1.59
3.58
8.66
3.56
5.71
5
30.40
1
2.76
8.27
7.64
8.84
40.67
50s million signal
--------------------------------------------------
84 % success rate
----------------------------------------------------------
Long Lower shadow 78 times : Since 1966
---------------------------------------------------
profit lost
32
8
18
10
11
13
z 3.99
16.11
z 16
z 4
z 3
2.79
z 1.85
15
3
6
2
3
z 10
z 5
14
4
z 5
10
6
z 40
6
2
24
z 1
z 1
2
z 6
z 7
6
13
z 21
z 34
5
z 4
z 9
12
5
15
33
13
4
2
2
4
6
16
z 12
z 34
18
2
13
3
3
z 5
6
65
27
4
26
z 26
9
7
13
4
20
z 11
z 4
2
z 3
25
22
21
----------------------------
success rate 70%
------------------------------------------------------------
Rising Window 26 times; since 1971
---------------------------------------------------------
Profit Lost
5
2
7
5
2
1
3
z 3
12
2
4
1
1
10
1
z 3
1
19
4
165
z 5
z 1
80
3
21
4
---------------------------------
success rate 85%
-------------------------------------
Engulfing 28 times : since 1953
-----------------------------------------------------
profit lost
33
z 6.76
z 19.4
z 23.69
12.18 z
z 43.96
5.29
6.12
50.13
4
z 7
21.47
1
1
z 5.44
z 3.29
4.94
z 34.05
6.15
5.15
z 23.41
7.19
21.27
19.57
z 17.18
3.82
2.12
z 9.66
----------------------
60 % success rate
--------------------------------------------------------------
2/ Bearish weekly candles : -
weekly Bearish Happened success rate Max Profit Max opportunity cost Risk/Reward starting date
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
***Engulfing 67 68 % 55% 28% D+ 1956
*** Hanging Man 30 50% 7% 28% F 1957
***Shooting Star 23 47% 19% 63% F 1950s
***Long Upper Shadow 58 36% 46 % 95% F 1957
*** Doji Star 11 37% 13% 27% F 1952
***Dark Cloud Cover 13 77% 55% 11% C + 1955
****Tweezer Top 34 44% 18% 31% F 1954
*** Marubozu Blace 46 58 % 39% 48% F 1956
***Spining Top 77 35% 48% 35% F 1963
***Falling Window 23 47% 25% 78 % F 1953
***Harami 4 times 75 success rate.
***Downside Tasuki Gap Extinct 1957.
****Evening star once in 70 Years.
***Gravestone Doji once in 60 years.
***********************************************************************************************************
Long Upper Shadow 58 times : 1957
-----------------------------------------------------------
Profit lost
z 32.84
z 10.14
z 3.79
4.40
z 14.79
2.4211
33.02
5.88
z 25.74
8.74
z 7.02
z 8.71
z 5.13
z 2.36
z 14.33
z 9.58
1.76
z 6.25
z 12.99
11.97 z
z 8.74
z 1.78
z 14.58
3.74
3.74
z 5.72
z 95.94
3.98
3.80
z 3.52
1.92
4.54
z 4.29
9.49
z 4.23
z 22.70
z 4.51
z 12.29
7.95 z
z 10.31
z 32.59
z 53.98
3.48 z
z 10.72
z 3.88
z 6.80
46.87 z
3.28
z 8.86
5.28 z
4.45
z 2.60
z 26.37
4.7
z 3.22
19.47 z
z 7.87
---------------------------------------------
37 % success rate
Marubozu Black 46 times : since 1956.
----------------------------------------------
Profit lost
10.81 z
z 13.69
8.23
5.82
z 3.44
z 3.59
z 6.52
z 48
z 22.48
5.66
22.20
39.28
5.51
z 33
11.31
28.61
z 14.55
z 24.54
z 7.86
5.37
z 10.48
z 4.04
z 28.83
2.65
3.95
3.58
1.43
1.55
z 3.03
z 11.45
1.30
3.83
z 6.12
2.33
2.02
1.11
2.00
8
1.95
3.19
.077
z 8.58
z 15.88
4.37
8.36
z 4.20
--------------------------------------------------
58 % success rate.
------------------------------------------------------
Doji Star Bearish 11 times : since 1952
-----------------------------------------------
profite lost
zero 4.99
z 4.79
z 4.98
3.17
z 14.94
5.12
13.33
z 3.20
z 27.14
14.33
z 4.72
--------------------------------------
success rate 37 %
----------------------------
Spinning Top Black 77 times : since 1963.
-----------------------------------------
profit lost
7.17
z 4.46
z 1.69
z 8.07
z 7.06
z 30.32
z 13.68
z 3.32
9.79
z 4.66
19.39
z 15.47
z 14.17
z 3.94
z 2.65
z 3.7
z 2.82
z
z 4.14
1.75
6.49
z 10.14
2.78
3.27
7.81
2.45
z 3.29
22.29
z 26
z 30.35
z 34.07
z 2.86
z 17.74
z 30.71
z 19.36
z 35.35
z 2.33
11.65
z 4.74
3.34
z 15.59
2.79
z 4
z 5.17
z 24.81
z 2.27
7.74
z 4.34
6.97
z 9.32
z 20.40
z 2.59
z 5.50
z 14.24
9.92
11.17
13.33
z 8.9
13.55
48.82 z
3.07
4.91
9.70
z 27.97
36.37
z 5
2.90
z 2.54
z 20.69
z 9.08
z 7.76
z 2.07
z 5.37
z 2.34
4.08
3.81
------------------------------------
35 % success rate
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Dark Cloud Cover 13 times: since 1955?
******************************************************
profit lost
6.10
19.62
7.60
55.83
4.7
2.22
5.63
zero 9.24
zero 8.19
3.19
zero 11.98
2.12
13.54
------------
77% success
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tweezer Top 34 times : since 1954
--------------------------------------------
profit lost
z 25.15
z 31.33
z 3.10
z 3.58
z 14.29
z 10.19
10.66
1.56
z 3.38
z 10.31
5.57
1.70
z 4.57
z 5.54
z 37.93
3.61
z 77.84
z 2.12
5.37
3.60
2.22
2.69
2.85
18.56
z 25.53
z 9.25
z 4.82
3.78
3.30
z 2.39
5.23
5.81
z 11.94
z 27.41
---------------------------
44% success rate
********************************************************************************************
Engulfing 67 times : since 1956
Big problem is that small dips then big
bull markets, need re examination.
-------------------------------------
profit lost
4.94 z
z 4.11
.84 z
z 11
2
.41
z 30.21
2.65 z
4.31
55.15 z
z 6.43
2.30
1.89
1.84
8.08
6.54
z 9.15
9.38
4.31
3.10
z 17.16
7.84
z 6.21
z 14.37
z 3.06
z 2.02
2.94
3.34
z 4.07
2.09
2.17
1.97
2.45
z 9.94
z 19.18
1.89
1.09
4.45
2.97
6.61
z 4.18
1.93
3.18
z 5.45
5.57
1.90
z 4.09
11.97
z 6.69
z 15.62
46.26
3.52
4.65
8.64
6.36
34.58
8.94
6.16
20.64
9.04
z 4.23
2.64
28.67
2.81
7.90
z 28.15
19.76
---------------------------------------------
success rate 68 %
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Shooting Star 23 times : Since 195!
---------------------------------------
profit lost
zero 7.02
2.25
9.92
z 2.36
z 4.14
z 9.18
z 6.99
2.68 z
7.77
z 63.24
z 3.52
4.45 z
z 4.81
7.36
z 4.48
z 1.61
z 7.06
3.11
z 2.56
z 26.56
19.68
11.34
2.40
----------------------------
47 success rate
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
Falling Window 23 times : since 1953
come together, or during falling markets.
---------------------------------------------------
Profit Lost
18.97
5.65
z 78
25.85 z
z 60
17.63
6.92
2.83
z 3.39
z 6.12
z 6.66
z 4.63
z 1.66
z 46
1.74
z 7.55
4.80
12.43
5.01
1.62
z 116
z 2.81
z 4.47
-------------------
47 % success rate
-------------------------------------------------------------
Hanging Man 30 times : since 1957
1/ 50s was the play ground for this candle !!!
2/ sam old sam small dip then boom !!!
1996 it is a a hammer !!!not a Hang.Man
---------------------------------------------------
Profit lost
z 2.64
4.11 z
1.71
z 6.84
2.23
z 8.80
4.21
7.63
3.02
z 7.84
z 28.59
z 4.46
z 5.15
z 6.84
z 16.68
6.28
z 1.87
2.28
z .87 !!!!crash
z 5.63
3.29
2.30
6.91
z 6.38
z 2.27
3.74
z 7.60
2.02
1.50
1.12
---------------------------------------------------
50 % success rate
SPX500 and a NICE BUY-CHANCE!Hey tradomaniacs,
SPX500 could move up 👉
Todays sell-off pushed price down into a price-zone with possible bullish confluence.
Primary Trendline pls horizontal support-zone can be a very attractive zone for buyers as soon as we see a confirmed rejection.
In terms of correlations a perfect match with the GAP-CLOSE of DXY (US-DOLLAR).
LEAVE A LIKE AND A COMMENT - I appreciate every support! =)
Peace and good trades
Irasor
Wanna see more? Don`t forget to follow me.
SPX"s Japanese candlestick trading signals since inception 1957Hey Traders ,
what's up. I know that there is allot of data, i hate that as every one else does. But,
if you want to keep it simple just study, analyze and write down the Red & Green boxes they should sum up most of the study. I have included all the
data here . So feel free to redo, redistribute, reuse or shar it here or outside of tradingview with anyone even with out mentioning the source. from me
to humanity whom are trading SPX : - ). Moreover, If anything that this data is telling us in a very short English terms "Do not chase tops on monthly candles !!! " .
Also, some monthly candles could be treated as bullish data suggesting that !!! what's up with that!!! no Golden rule for these candles.
wish you all the best.
-----------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Bearish
Spinning Top Black 21 times : since Dec, 1961
Just looks like Evening star !!! Reds i'll treat them
like bearish signals just for the record : - )
--------------------------------------------------------
profit Opportunity cost
zero 300%
54 zero
6.40 zero
zero 340 %
17.33 zero
zero 17.18
zero 7.95
zero 34.49 %
zero 19.98%
22.11 zero
10.31 zero
zero 5.56%
3.61 zero
37.19 zero
zero 8.21
9.48 zero
zero 4.92
8.70 zero
zero 28.87%
28.23 zero
***********************************************************************************
Long Upper Shadow 15 times: since Nov, 1950
---------------------------------------------------------
Profit Opportunity Cost
31.80 zero
zero 16.10
zero 6.28
zero 4.8
Zero 23.55
Zero 145
Zero 69.85
21.39 zero
28.49 zero
2.97 zero
zero 22.31
zero 9.51
3.70 zero
2.30 zero
zero 11.62
***********************************************************************
Hanging Man 8 times: Since Nov, 1951
-------------------------------------------------------
Profit Opportunity Cost
18.62 Zero
2.11 Zero
Zero 3.83
Zero 6.29
Zero 12.98
Zero 17.11
Zero 49.01
Zero 16.22
**********************************************************************
Engulfing 15 signals: since Feb, 1952
--------------------------------------------
Profit Opportunity Cost
Zero 23.33%
Zero 17.77
13.47 zero
11.46 zero
zero 13.36
4 zero
zero 57
zero 27.77
zero 81.35
Zero 124.44
6.06 zero
20.76 Zero
Zero 12.67
5.95 Zero
Zero 14.01
*************************************************************
Marubozu Black 5 times ! : Since Apr, 1952
--------------------------------------------
profite opportunity cost
zero 23.31
zero 62.06
8.11 zero
zero 112
zero 15%
************************************************************
Tweezer Top 13 times : since April, 1956
----------------------------------------------------
Profit Opportunity cost
12.36 zero
4.25 zero
3.81 zero
zero 60.73
zero 34.73
zero 7.47
4.16 zero
zero 14.45
zero 47.07
9.41 zero
15.14 zero
7.04 zero
12.38 zero
*************************************************************
********************************************************************************************************************************
2/Bullish.
Long Lower Shadow-Bull 27 times : since Jul,1950
-----------------------------------------------------
Profit Cost
37.20
8.53
8.28
49.59
3.38
22.42
20.42
zero 46.23
273.66
37.93
60.27
zero 8.84
40.87 zero
zero 36.73
zero 33.39
3.72
19.43
3.83
6.62
6.29
14.01
4.61
25.32
18.08
2.53
8.62
44.87
******************************************************
Marubozu White -Bull 26 times : Since Sep, 1950
--------------------------------------------------------
profit cost
zero 4.60
21.45
12.15
71.55
36.09
2.3
4.15
46.07
19.25
5.86
9.08
4.01
21.27
3.85
zero 14.17
11.21
3.25
11.88
5.79
8.35
3.90
2.36
zero 4.92
3.74
2.45
3.36
************************************************************
Spinning Top White19 times : since March 1950
Just looks like Evening star !!! Whites i'll treat
them like Bullish signals just for the record : - )
---------------------------------------------------------
Profit opportunity cost
zero 19%
14.20 zero
86.64 zero
29.22 zero
44.90 zero
zero 31.81
8.06 zero
zero 9.45
6.35 zero
17.18 zero
24.60 zero
zero 4.01
10.78 zero
zero 3.35
12.22 zero
zero 4.94
zero 4.94
47.61 zero
13.65 zero
--------------------------------------------
Summery: 63% bullish
***********************************************************************************
Rising Window 21 times: Since May, 1950
--------------------------------------------------------
Profit Cost
2.51
8.04
11.22
6.11
1.85
zero 3.90
zero 8.29
12.83
13.72
26.85
3.85
3.85
zero 9.03
6.25
54.19
3.62
zero 4.28
zero 3.50
zero 11.18
*******************************************
Long Lower Shadow-Bull is actually a Doji
52-53-54-
Or inverted hammer 63-86-88!!!!
I might be wrong or tradingview is wrong
or something else is wrong!!!
**************************************************
SPX 500 nosedive in the new year The stock market has been gunning for all-time highs despite the horrible economic news going around. Based on stimulus hopes and mass euphoria of the market reaching highs, with help from the fed, investors have just been buying at the highs and pushing it higher. However, I think all of that is quickly coming to an end. The market has been pushing higher with no real fundamentals to back it up and there is a lot of negative news looming over these markets. The new Covid-19 strain is quickly spreading throughout the U.S. now so there may be fear of new lockdowns, and Trump signed an executive order for the NYSE to delist some of the biggest Chinese telecom companies in the market. All of this news may trigger some major fears among investors to start taking massive profits and the market will definitely see a huge selloff because of that. Price action also tells the story of the nosedive. As you can see, the S&P has been moving in an ascending channel with a false breakout below on December 21st, which already indicates selling pressure. The market also closed the new year at the zone of resistance formed around 3758 and 3763. The market is showing significant rejection at that level, especially on the 1 hour time frame. You can also see a double top formation and this is further indication of a reversal. Many have been pointing to a glaring bearish RSI divergence forming and they are spot on with that analysis. The market should be seeing a huge correction and if it breaks past the strong support zone around 3641 and 3645 we could see the market bleed all the way to the 3500 levels. I'm currently in a sell position and I'll be targeting 3608. There are a lot of gaps to fill in this market and I believe they will be filled in the coming week.