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Spx500forecast

Elliott Wave View: S&P 500 (SPX) Remains Buy in the DipsS&P 500 (SPX) shows a bullish sequence from December 26, 2018 low against June 3, 2019 low (2728.81) favoring further upside. Short term Elliott Wave view suggests the rally from June 13, 2019 low (2874.68) is unfolding as a leading diagonal Elliott Wave structure. Leading diagonal is a special type of 5 waves structure with a wedge like pattern and overlapping wave (i) and (iv). Up from June 13 low, wave (i) ended at 2964.15 and wave (ii) ended at 2912.99. Index then resumes higher in wave (iii) towards 2995.84 and wave (iv) pullback ended at 2963.44. Expect SPX to do 1 more push higher to end wave (v) and this move also end wave ((i)). Afterwards, Index should pullback within wave ((ii)) to correct cycle from June 13 low before the rally resumes. Wave ((ii)) pullback should unfold in the sequence of 3, 7, or 11 swing. We don’t like selling the Index and expect Index to continue finding support in pullback. As far as pivot at June 13 low (2874.68) stays intact in the first degree, expect Index to extend higher. If pivot at June 13 low fails, then Index is correcting cycle from June 3 low (2728.81), and still expected to resume higher while above there.
TVC:SPXLong
by Elliottwave-Forecast
6
SPX500 - Entering Consolidation PeriodThe blue lines (solid and dotted) represent areas where I expect the price to go up/down to. They are the support and resist. The green circle represents a period of time where I think the consolidation will come to an end. The way current conditions are, the consolidation period will come to an end between February 2020 and October 2021. We could then see a crash or break-out. The move up or down, when we come out of consolidation, might be slow as well. This is not financial advice. I will keep updating this graph every so often as conditions change.
SP:SPX
by HeliosGamma
1
SPY DISTRIBUTION - Wyckoff Phases - SHIT IS ABOUT TO HIT THE FANMe applying the wyckoff distribution phases to spy. Below is a description of everything on the chart. I know it is a lot but it is well worth reading. the mind is a terrible thing to waste. Please check related ideas link for more information into wyckoff and this distribution phase. THIS IS BASED OF THE WYCKOFF DISTRIBUTION PHASES. Phase A: Phase A in a distribution TR (trading range) marks the stopping of the prior uptrend. Up to this point, demand has been dominant and the first significant evidence of supply entering the market is provided by preliminary supply (PSY) and the buying climax (BC). These events are usually followed by an automatic reaction (AR) and a secondary test (ST) of the BC, often upon diminished volume. However, the uptrend may also terminate without climactic action, instead demonstrating exhaustion of demand with decreasing spread and volume; less upward progress is made on each rally before significant supply emerges. In a redistribution TR within a larger downtrend, Phase A may look more like the start of an accumulation TR (e.g., with climactic price and volume action to the downside). However, Phases B through E of a re-distribution TR can be analyzed in a similar manner to the distribution TR at the market top. BC: buying climax during which there are often marked increases in volume and price spread. The force of buying reaches a climax, with heavy or urgent buying by the public being filled by professional interests at prices near a top. A BC often coincides with a great earnings report or other good news, since the large operators require huge demand from the public to sell their shares without depressing the stock price. AR—automatic reaction. With intense buying substantially diminished after the BC and heavy supply continuing, an AR takes place. The low of this selloff helps define the lower boundary of the distribution TR. (trading range) Phase B: The function of Phase B is to build a cause in preparation for a new downtrend. During this time, institutions and large professional interests are disposing of their long inventory and initiating short positions in anticipation of the next markdown. The points about Phase B in distribution are similar to those made for Phase B in accumulation, except that the large interests are net sellers of shares as the TR evolves, with the goal of exhausting as much of the remaining demand as possible. This process leaves clues that the supply/demand balance has tilted toward supply instead of demand. For instance, SOWs are usually accompanied by significantly increased spread and volume to the downside. ST—secondary test, in which price revisits the area of the BC to test the demand/supply balance at these price levels. For a top to be confirmed, supply must outweigh demand; volume and spread should thus decrease as price approaches the resistance area of the BC. An ST may take the form of an upthrust (UT), in which price moves above the resistance represented by the BC and possibly other STs before quickly reversing to close below resistance. After a UT, price often tests the lower boundary of the TR. (trading range) SOW—sign of weakness, observable as a down-move to (or slightly past) the lower boundary of the TR, usually occurring on increased spread and volume. The AR and the initial SOW(s) indicate a change of character in the price action of the stock: supply is now dominant. Phase C: In distribution, Phase C may reveal itself via an upthrust (UT) or UTAD. As noted above, a UT is the opposite of a spring. It is a price move above TR resistance that quickly reverses and closes in the TR. This is a test of the remaining demand. It is also a bull trap—it appears to signal the resumption of the uptrend but in reality is intended to “wrong-foot” uninformed break-out traders. A UT or UTAD allows large interests to mislead the public about the future trend direction and, subsequently, sell additional shares at elevated prices to such break-out traders and investors before the markdown begins. In addition, a UTAD may induce smaller traders in short positions to cover and surrender their shares to the larger interests who have engineered this move. Aggressive traders may wish to initiate short positions after a UT or UTAD. The risk/reward ratio is often quite favorable. However, the “smart money” repeatedly stops out traders who initiate such short positions with one UT after another, so it is often safer to wait until Phase D and an LPSY. Often demand is so weak in a distribution TR that price does not reach the level of the BC or initial ST. In this case, Phase C's test of demand may be represented by a UT of a lower high within the TR. LPSY—last point of supply. After testing support on a SOW, a feeble rally on narrow spread shows that the market is having considerable difficulty advancing. This inability to rally may be due to weak demand, substantial supply or both. LPSYs represent exhaustion of demand and the last waves of large operators’ distribution before markdown begins in earnest. UTAD—upthrust after distribution. A UTAD is the distributional counterpart to the spring and terminal shakeout in the accumulation TR. It occurs in the latter stages of the TR and provides a definitive test of new demand after a breakout above TR resistance. Analogous to springs and shakeouts, a UTAD is not a required structural element. Phase D: Phase D arrives after the tests in Phase C show us the last gasps of demand. During Phase D, price travels to or through TR support. The evidence that supply is clearly dominant increases either with a clear break of support or with a decline below the mid-point of the TR after a UT or UTAD. There are often multiple weak rallies within Phase D; these LPSYs represent excellent opportunities to initiate or add to profitable short positions. Anyone still in a long position during Phase D is asking for trouble. Phase E: Phase E depicts the unfolding of the downtrend; the stock leaves the TR and supply is in control. Once TR support is broken on a major SOW, this breakdown is often tested with a rally that fails at or near support. This also represents a high-probability opportunity to sell short. Subsequent rallies during the markdown are usually feeble. Traders who have taken short positions can trail their stops as price declines. After a significant down-move, climactic action may signal the beginning of a re-distribution TR or of accumulation.
AMEX:SPYShort
by Oppollo
11