Spx500forecast
short at 2845 for 4 target and the last at 2745euphoria
bubble
overbought in every side and way and form and lol
i short for a target at only around 3.5-4% is very light and possibke because it need a real breath and more deep than my trade but we go like that for now
i open 2 x 1 lot
and i will manage until he down
i will cut first lot when he reach 40 pts and made a sl on second lot at + 25pts for save 65 pts but the goal is 40 pts + 100 pts with this 1 lot =145pts (1450pips)
Short swing at 2685 for target 2595 SL 2525 i short SP500 because i think he done the Christmas rally more early than before and i think he will down a bit before end years may pull back before the 31 december for close the years i big gains then after in january fastly down more than my target...but is possible that my target can be reached before end year ( 12 days)
Overbought much in weekly and monthy
the ma20 and ma50 are so far from price in monthly somethign never seens in history
all good news about tax and health care was priced
even Fed hike rate stock continue to up..it should be opposite
so i think first quarter of 2018 will get a big correction
For me e are in Bubble and pure speculation
Market react at all good news and never react from bad news..something really crazy
the viw historical for a long period
and at the hedge fund and other big fish will finish to take them benefit they are not crazy ,they all know they so high now and abuse already too much
short at 2685
target at 2595 and surely 2550 and 2500 in 2018
SL 2725
i short again at 2632 double lot for target 2558i short again at 2632 as for target 2558 again.
market is in euphoria now sure is the last step of the bublle and it will down more than my target sure at 100% in less than 1 month
like my first trade i cut manually at 2330 = 27 pt lost
so this tile i short with 1 lot more more get more that double profit + mu lost back
short at 2632=2 lot
Target 2558
gain = 74x2=148 pts for lost before 27^ts ahhhhhhhhhhhh
SP500 : THE BIG SHORTHi traders!
For the past months, I kept getting notifications about the DOW and SP500 making 12 months high always weekly. I always keep an eye on what is happening on this side of the market even though I only focus on trading forex pairs and commodities.
I only like to observe the SP on the largest of timeframes.. MONTHLY. It gives me perspective and an overall idea of where the market is standing at any giving point. It's also important to see for the technical side of things how the market reacted when the previous 2 market crashes happened.
I truly think that its almost impossible from just looking at the chart of the SP to manage THE BIG SHORT. There is too much things happening outside of technical analysis to bring out the true colours of what might happen next. All major movements will be triggered by something fundamental... something that will have enough power to shut down everything in the market. When those movements happen, thats when things get very technical. You could draw some nice patterns and use some FIBs to get a clear idea of where the price will go.
I always like to go over time scales to understand how much time passed during each crash and the recovery times. I noticed that as of today, we are almost exactly are at the amount of days of both crashes (DOT COM + HOUSING) without having a national crisis of some sort. Then I thought to myself what is the current bubble right now? How are things standing in the world right now?
Possible Bubble? Crypto currencies
New USA President.. TRUMP!
Debts? Larger than it ever was
War? North Korea
Just to name a few..
I'm just thinking that if a crash could happen, we might be near it right now. I don't have all the info to crunch some real data and compare some economic projections but some things just seem like they are already set in motion for it to happen.
As far as the most general of all indicators,
MACD is sitting very high (as high as those 2 last crisis)
RSI finally managed to make it above 70 (which is NOT a good thing atm)
The blue zone I highlited on top of the chart might be the last straw for the SP500..
TO BE CONTINUED
Trade safe!
Disclaimer: This is my trading analysis, it is not an invite or recommendation to trade.
SHORT long term enter at 2555 target 2417 SL 2608 RR 1/2.6This time is Long -swing trade and i am sure it will works my target may even not enough far
The US stock ignore all bearish signal..that can be from FED tapering and hike rates//that can be from Trump Promise..than can be from Geopolical problem or even Storm.
It cannot conitnue to go highter like that without a big correction,is natural,is the Forex,the market,or market cannot exist.
so no one talk about Bubble..appart some Fed member or other people make a link with bubble and highter stock right now but not say it directly but stock not react,,why?
Simply because in the wolrd of personal trader have more seller than buyer so the big player as Hedge fund and bank continue to buy them for blow the small account of seller,thst's it.
But 1 day and i think soon on a big news or great excuse they will take them profit and will be fast contagious and a big correction will appears..can be anything.
A details on tax reform plan from Trump,than market bought it and so buy the rumour and sell the news
or it can be his Visit to the DMZ border between NK and SK next month..annyway i short it with BIG LOT
enter at 2555
Target 2417
SL 2608
RR 1/2.6 (i can do 1/3.5 or 4 easy coz like i said i think stock can go more deep than 2417,and also docn my SL but ok i let like that)
SPX/SPY Update Using NWRA quick update from the one past SPX ideas i've shared.
I had to put a lot of trust in this yesterday as it fell off a bit. But realising it looks live the beginning of the A wave I remained confident. Thinking it will surge back to where it began the day, above the moving average.
So that means we're now in the retrending B wave. It can go as high as it wants. What matters is where the C ends. Then we can project a target from the end of the C wave. That target will be maximum 100% of the 3rd wave. As 3 mustn't be the smallest.
But remember according another projection of mine we only have 2.5 weeks for that to happen. So these times will be volatile.
Let's wait and see. Thanks for reading
SPX @ Weekly @ 5.85 % BreakOut > old all-time highSPX confirmed his BreakOut this week
I am thinking the chart is speaks for itself. After 6 false new all-time highs (2015 & 2016) we experienced meanwhile the 9th new all-time high weekend :) And this after 2 major political events this year 2016 !!! I am personally something twisted:
"Are the market so strong ???" (proudly 55.2 Points or 5.65% above old all-time high)
"Are the market so strong ???" (but only 55.2 Points or 5.65% above old all-time high)
How ever,
prices above 2195.0 are suggesting and still new all time highs above this week closed. Even `cause this week candle even only confirms that the market is trading the future and don`t care about BREXIT or even US ELECTION any more. And from this point of view, on the whole, i am pretty optimistic - also beacuse no one is euphoric !!! No euphoric buying mania like 2000 or 2007 !!! Rather disbelieving - and that`s one more outstanding a good fertile soil to reap some earnings in the next weeks further ...
Take care
& analyzed it again
- it`s always your decission ...
(for a bigger picture zoom the chart)
Best regards
Aaron
S&P 500, DAY CHART, NEUTRAL-SHORT (20-NOV-2016)S&P 500 is reaching its previous all-time high!
Monitor this index closely.
If it manages to break the Resistance Zone, we are bullish for it.
If there are few bearish signals appeared around resistance zone, we are bearish for it.
If shorting S&P 500, it will be a high risk to reward trade :)
SPX500 Long-Term Forecast2016/11/17. S&P 500 stock index forecast for next months and years.
S&P forecast for November 2016.
The forecast for beginning of November 2168. Maximum value 2266, while minimum 2010. Averaged index value for month 2146. S&P 500 at the end 2138, change for November -1.38%.
S&P 500 forecast for December 2016.
The forecast for beginning of December 2138. Maximum value 2236, while minimum 1982. Averaged index value for month 2116. S&P 500 at the end 2109, change for December -1.36%.
S&P forecast for January 2017.
The forecast for beginning of January 2109. Maximum value 2232, while minimum 1980. Averaged index value for month 2107. S&P 500 at the end 2106, change for January -0.14%.
S&P 500 forecast for February 2017.
The forecast for beginning of February 2106. Maximum value 2229, while minimum 1977. Averaged index value for month 2104. S&P 500 at the end 2103, change for February -0.14%.
S&P forecast for March 2017.
The forecast for beginning of March 2103. Maximum value 2309, while minimum 2047. Averaged index value for month 2159. S&P 500 at the end 2178, change for March 3.57%.
S&P 500 forecast for April 2017.
The forecast for beginning of April 2178. Maximum value 2311, while minimum 2049. Averaged index value for month 2180. S&P 500 at the end 2180, change for April 0.09%.
S&P forecast for May 2017.
The forecast for beginning of May 2180. Maximum value 2346, while minimum 2080. Averaged index value for month 2205. S&P 500 at the end 2213, change for May 1.51%.
S&P 500 forecast for June 2017.
The forecast for beginning of June 2213. Maximum value 2352, while minimum 2086. Averaged index value for month 2218. S&P 500 at the end 2219, change for June 0.27%.
S&P forecast for July 2017.
The forecast for beginning of July 2219. Maximum value 2470, while minimum 2190. Averaged index value for month 2302. S&P 500 at the end 2330, change for July 5.00%.
S&P 500 forecast for August 2017.
The forecast for beginning of August 2330. Maximum value 2459, while minimum 2181. Averaged index value for month 2323. S&P 500 at the end 2320, change for August -0.43%.
S&P forecast for September 2017.
The forecast for beginning of September 2320. Maximum value 2336, while minimum 2072. Averaged index value for month 2233. S&P 500 at the end 2204, change for September -5.00%.
S&P 500 forecast for October 2017.
The forecast for beginning of October 2204. Maximum value 2295, while minimum 2035. Averaged index value for month 2175. S&P 500 at the end 2165, change for October -1.77%.
GREEN- All-time High
RED- Weekly Low(s)
RED-CHANNEL- Latest Mid-Term (Daily) SHORT CHANNEL "Broken 09th of Nov 2016- Event US Presidential Elections"
Current Long Positions and looking to add for future trades.