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Spx500forecast

#SPX SPX Jan 24th after the close updateSPX will be the first update from TheTradersRoom. SPX has hit its desired target we have called yesterday - 4904.50-4909.50 So I call it a perfect hit. Today's reversal came on a heavy selling, also got a black reversal daily closing SPX candle, which if not broken 1c above should mark at least a temporary top. If the price did find its top, then tomorrow's open should be a gap down below 4864 and my min target will be 4840-4835 SPX We have a Panic cycle day on the 26th and Im looking for a first important low on Feb 1st Happy to be back!
SP:SPXShort
by TheTradersRoom
1
Whenever this occurs, it signals the bottom of the market.Whenever this occurs, it signals the bottom of the market. In this weekly chart, the blue line represents the 50 Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the black line represents the 100 SMA. As we can see the 50 has inverted the 100. Whenever the 50 crosses below the 100 on the weekly chart and then price moves above the 50, the market doesn't set a new low until a new high is established this has happened 13 times in the past (now the 14th time). The only exception to this was in March of 2002, where the market failed to hold three consecutive weeks above the 50 SMA. If you are wondering, last weeks close marked three consecutive weeks above the 50 SMA, which now means we have a greater than 92% chance that the market has indeed bottomed. To summarize This has happened 13 times in the recorded chart data we have and 12 out of those times the market had bottomed. 12 times out of the 12 times we had closed above the 50 for three consecutive weeks the market had bottomed. Right now we are in the 14th time and we have closed 3 consecutive weeks above the 50SMA. If we set a new low before a new high, this will be the first time ever after closing three weeks above the 50 SMA I have presented the information for all the times this has happened in history, and you can also verify it. In one of my previous ideas, I mentioned we were back testing a Bullish Megaphone pattern and that we should hold there, which we have done since then (see the link below)." Please like if you find it useful Please note this is not a financial advice.
SP:SPX
by BlackisKing
58
NAS100 & SPX500 - WHAT IS HAPPENING TODAY? (CONFLICTED)We are at a pivoting point in the markets, everything seems to be bullish and yet I have this bearish itch. Markets seem to be overpriced, notably the NQ. However the S&P500, has had a healthier correction and the continuation of its rally makes more sense. Since both markets are highly correlated, it would be absurd to short the NQ while the S&P500 looks so bullish. Why do I want to short the NQ? Technically it hasn't retraced as sanely as the S&P500 but that may be the nature of both markets. The NQ being more irrational (more speculative) than the rest, especially with the AI craze. So here's my two cents worth on the matter! What is on the charts? (follow the steps) 1) Highs that wicked many times in the daily bearish FVG. 2) Significant high that as I'm writing this has been taken out. 3) The retail sales session that took out lows and this is also what has me question the rally. If it is supposed to be bearish info why isn't price dropping? These are the reasons why I do not trade on certain days because I do not see clearly all the time. 4) Asian session lows, a great target for shorts. 5) A retest (or break of the daily FVG). I am not a breakout trader which is why I am not focusing on the bullish outcome because I couldn't tell you how to trade it optimally. 6) The bearish structure (that may never present itself). This all depends on the S&P500, for me to accept a short I need that double confirmation. So right now I accept everything as bullish unless shown otherwise. 7) Asian session lows taken out. 8) Finally the healthier correction that I'd want for the NQ to accept a more bullish approach. As always, happy trading everyone and have a lovely day! ;)
FX:NAS100
by Lexi_Is_Trading
SPX500 - SHORT STRUCTURE IDEA (TARGET 4725)What's on the chart? 1) An old high that marked a strong year for 2023. 2) A rebound in a weekly FVG that earlier served as a bullish signal for prior trading sessions. 3) In the process of that rebound, a 4H bullish FVG was formed which will serve as our target area + fibs. 4) The 2023 high was broken. 5) IMPORTANT: the new high wasn't taken out. Hmmm.. suspicious. That to me is a sign of weakness from the bulls. 6) On this flop of bullish momentum, a bearish 4H FVG was formed. 7) Market structure shift with a low taken out. Do we expect a rebound? Well I don't know. I'm not here to claim that I predict the future like most twitter gurus will imply. But if it does, this is how I see the rest go down. 8) A rebound in the 4H FVG, this is crucial for a short setup because it would imply a lower high. Super important!! Price doesn't need to go that high though to find a short setup. We could just break our imaginary trendline and that's it. 9) The descent into the abyss of short profits (or liquidations lol).
FX:SPX500Short
by Lexi_Is_Trading
End of Bullish Supertrend? Journey from Support to SupportDear Esteemed Members, The supertrend was bullish, but two sell signals concluded with a bearish price action. The rejections happened around the resistance level from a previous top. The price is now below the upper green support level. I think the S&P 500 market will reach the next support level: around $4600. So, I'd consider a short position. You can target the bottom support level of $4600, but keep a stop loss if the market reverses from the proximity of the violated support level. You can observe a similar setup on my yesterday ES analytics, where I explained a bearish MACD, RSI, BBP, and MFI. Kind regards, Ely
VANTAGE:SP500Short
by Elysian_Mind
3
SPY S&P 500 ETF Price Prediction for 2024This was my article about the SPY S&P 500 ETF price target for 2023:https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/l6U1M9dJ-SPY-S-P-500-ETF-2023-Forecast-CPI-Report-Prediction/ I was bullish, but not enough! In the July 2023 meeting, the FOMC opted to raise interest rates to a range of 5.25%–5.50%, marking the 11th rate hike in the current cycle aimed at curbing elevated inflation. The prevailing consensus among market experts hints at a potential shift in strategy, suggesting that the Fed might commence rate cuts later in 2024 as inflation gradually aligns with the Fed's 2% target. Statistically, historical data indicates that approximately 11 months after the cessation of interest rate increases, a recession tends to manifest. This pattern places us around June 2024, aligning with my prediction of a dip in the SPY to approximately $430. Given that 2024 is an election year, there's an additional layer of complexity in predicting market behavior. Despite the anticipated mid-year dip, my inclination is that the SPY will conclude the year on a bullish note. This optimistic outlook hints at the onset of a 3-5 year AI bubble cycle, with the SPY boasting a year-end price target of $540. The integration of artificial intelligence into various sectors is expected to catalyze market growth and innovation, propelling the SPY to new heights by the close of 2024.
AMEX:SPYLong
by TopgOptions
BluetonaFX - SPX Forecast Ahead of Fed SpeechHi Traders! SPX is trading near its five-month high at 4607.07, and with Fed Chair Powell speaking later, the market could reach this level by the end of the trading week. Price Action 📊 After the break and close of the previous resistance at 4541.25, the market has refused to go back below this level for the time being, and an ascending price channel has started to form. This indicates that the bulls are currently in control. 4607.07 is the five-month high, and this is the next most likely target the longer we stay above 4541.25. Fundamental Analysis 📰 Later today, we have Fed Chair Powell speaking; therefore, we must be wary of his speech as he will mostly likely speak about the US' inflation situation, interest rates, and plans for the economy leading up to 2024. Support 📉 4541.25: PREVIOUS RESISTANCE BREAK Resistance 📈 4607.07: FIVE-MONTH HIGH Risk ⚠️ No more than 2% of your capital. Reward 💰 At least 4% of your capital. Please make sure to click on the like/boost button 🚀 as your support greatly helps. Trade safely and responsibly. BluetonaFX
SP:SPXLong
by BluetonaFX
SPx 4H :Support further rise up SPx New forecast The index price rose in yesterday’s trading and took advantage of the positive pressures to hold above the stable barrier at 4460. We noticed that it recorded significant gains by rushing towards 4500, suggesting an upward trend during the coming trading. Therefore the upward scenario will be remain valid and effective supported by moving average 50 , so as long as price trade above 4500 we will prefer the uptrend and our target will be 4535 and 4563 and to confirm the bullish trend should stable above 4520 then our targets will be activate , taking into account that stabilized under 4520 will put the price under negative correction to reach 4460 and then will rise up . The expect range trading for today it will be between the resistance line 4535 and support line 4500. Additionally Today ,New York sessions will affect on the Indices . Additionally ,Today News will affect the market . support line : 4500 , 4460 resistance line : 4521 ,4535 Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective and If this post was useful to you , don't forget to subscribe and like ❤️
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by Arazmajeed
3