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Spx500forecast

SPY S&P 500 ETF Options ChainI have monitored the options chain of SPY in the past 2 months and I noticed some big Puts positions that are recurring, regardless of the price: 2023-3-17 expiration date $386 strike price ($2.53 premium now) I don`t know that it has something to to with the higher than expected inflation, continuation of the interest rate hikes, the P/E ratio of 21.80 for SPX (quite high), or the war in Ukraine. But options traders are quite bearish on SPY S&P 500 ETF for the upcoming month. Looking forward to read your opinion about it!
AMEX:SPYShort
by TopgOptions
3
SPX Bounce Target ReachedTen days ago, I wrote about a correction of the SPX back the red support zone. Now the time has come to talk about what could happen next. The correction didn't happen in the beautiful fashion i had forseen, but this still works. What i expected was a clear zigzag formation within this falling channel, but we broke the support trendline and reached the first real correction target. After that, the price shot back in the channel. From here, it is most likely that the price will go sideways, maybe in a fashion where it will touch the resistance line once again, or that the SPX is will reach the lower level of this zone, whilst staying in the channel.
SP:SPX
by FetchTeam
SPX: First Down Then UpIt looks like the SPX has topped out temporarily. This woudn't be too farfetched as the previous couple uptrends lasted for 34, 36, 21, 23, 40, and 33 days. Right now, we're looking at a top which has been formed after 28 days. From the looks of it, its trying to form a falling channel. The properties of this pattern are: - Declining parralel support and resistance lines - Price oscilating between the support and resistance lines - Bottom at an important support zone - Going sideways after hitting the bottom, preferibly with a daily bullish divergence I'm still bullish on the SPX for 2023, but for now i'm expecting a small correction.
SP:SPXShort
by FetchTeam
1
SPX short term trend has turned negative.US500 - Intraday - We look to Sell at 4091 (stop at 4127) Price action has posted a bearish Outside Day and is negative for short-term sentiment. An overnight negative theme in Equities has led to a lower open this morning. Bespoke support is located at 3997. Previous support, now becomes resistance at 4091. Bespoke resistance is located at 4091. Our profit targets will be 4001 and 3991 Resistance: 4091 / 4155 / 4174 Support: 4051 / 3996 / 3974 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by OANDA
2
zoom out vs zoom in spx500You could easily say from basic and simple TA techniques that the entire month of February. We have been in a downward trend and that we are still fighting with the top R lines of this trend as we speak. If only looking out/zooming out far enough to see this on the monthly bc you are so tied into the daily and even hourly leveraged trades, then there is high chance you have now talked yourself into a full DOOM ending as this entire month is trending DOWN.
SP:SPX
by rarebreed29
#S&P 500 INDEX In its decreasing movement after breaking the trend line, it has created a very harmonic and beautiful trend with a greater slope than the higher time. Currently, in dealing with a resistance level from the previous movements in the range of 4136.85, three ranges are expected before the range of 3898.11 in the areas: 1-4045.50 2-3996.74 3-3935.98 touch There is no need for the trend to reach all the above goals. The price moves towards the trend line with a lower slope. In case of unexpected performance, the ceiling of the previous pattern in the range of 4320.08 is considered an important range.
SP:SPX
by maryammh
Above and beyondBeyond Meat will be huge in the coming years IMO as the transition from us humans eating meat as our primary source of protien will ultimatly be made harder and most likly very expensive (check W H O there plenty of documents on agenda 2030 to go with what im saying) Alternatives/subtritutes to actual meat should see the growth as it becomes the norm, weve already seen in 2022 beyond meat in mcdonalds and other fast food chains and also in most of the big name supermarkets across the globe. Like other risk on asset BYND has alos seen a 90+% rejection from all time highs, during these high is when beyond meat launched, it was when the partnerships with mcdonalds was seen and also when we started to see it on tv and shelves in these stores. Anyone who listens to what i talk about will know price moves before the news and during the time above price was getting ready to reject with very clean bearish reversal pattern (check chart below) during which retial investers and the majority of traders who follow retial logic was buying into this asset beliveing it will rocket on launch, this is how these big banks and intituions get paid by drawing in the hurd and shitting down their necks. What we do in here we change that, we take from the cherry at the very top and filter it all the way down.!!!! Long term hold and buying here at $16 with the potential of us seeing BYND above $150 in the near future. First level of resistance here is $33 breaker, once we recliam this we can most defiently be comftable with " the bottom is in" and we sit back and watch. Also note we may see two draws on liquidty at $54/$74 with a possible correction after, here we can add to our postion.
NASDAQ:BYNDLong
by Marketperceptions00
1
SPX500 > Bullish Outlook is Very Likely if the Support HoldsThe SPX500 is trading in corrective mode ahead of tomorrow's Federal Reserve interest rate hike meeting, which is expected to impact the asset class' price. Currently trading at 4000, considered a crucial support level and psychological round number, the price may resume its bullish trend after a correction. The stability of support levels at 4000 and 3990 depends on the Fed's rate decision. If rates are hiked more than 50 points, the market may turn bearish, and if support levels break, the price may retest the consolidation breakout's top. Key levels to watch include 4000 and 3990. I would appreciate your support and opinion of this idea. Let's watch the level mentioned with an eagle eye.
BLACKBULL:SPX500Long
by ClintOnos
4
SPX is getting close to it's target boxThis was the title of the last update, which got deleted by the tradingview: "SPX can still make a higher high next week - Jan 19th update" I cannot attach the image but will post it another place, look for info under my bio Since I get banned not even mentioning a site, I will post here only 1-3 times a week. I don't want to waste my time on bringing business to this site. SPX is near its completion move for the C wave up I have had for over than a week now. Targets are at 4065, 4090 and 4110 We close near the first one; tomorrow is the PCE numbers report, which should move the markets. But today, we didn't move on GDP numbers, when before, it was selling off on hot numbers. So the real move might not come till actually the Fed meeting on the 1st. We had a wall into the close, which is a bearish signal and usually ends up with a gap down the next day. As long as we won't exceed Dec high, I'm looking for a move down to 3700 handle if not more. Watch that yellow trendline, it's been a bear-bull line since 2009, and the price is still below it! Night
SP:SPX
by RealTima
5
SPX - Are you ready for this?SPX approaching a downsloping resistance. It may fakeout above the trendline to trick traders but don't get it twisted. This bear market rally is almost done and it's a time for a major move. Lower high after lower high is suggesting downtrend continuation. Are you ready for a 17 % dump? If you are not ready, this is a friendly reminder that it may be a right time to close your longs and enter shorts or stay on the sideline. It may take some time so be patient! Good luck!
SP:SPXShort
by vf_investment
18
40 Bar Cycle Chart - S&P 500 SPY SPX - Updated 011423Leading up to the December Inflation CPI Report that was released this last week (Thursday), markets (at a macro level) have been rallying into this last Friday — which also was coincidently the start of earnings season as banks such as J.P. Morgan (JPM), Bank of America (BAC), Citi (C), Wells Fargo (WFC), BlackRock (BLK), & others. Now that the Inflation (CPI) Report is out of the way & earnings season is full steam ahead, markets look to the next big event(s) which include the Federal Reserve February Interest Rate Decision coming our way on February 1st, 2023. That said, here's what is happening in the charts with the S&P 500 SPY SPX ES1! as it relates to our "40-Bar Cycle" 📊: 📉 *CHART NOTES* 📈 As I mentioned above, we did break out of the sloppy trading/consolidation range that the S&P 500 SPY SPX ES1! was kept in throughout the holidays, & into the new year. Now that we've broken out of that & reached back above the 50-Day Simple Moving Average (SMA50 = Red Line) on the daily chart, SPY is sitting just below the 200-Day Simple Moving Average (SMA200 = Green Line). Also note that we did close above the SMA200 ($397.21) to finish up the week at ($398.50) on SPY. Now that we are above this key level (on a daily close), question is will we re-test this level & drift higher into the February Federal Reserve Meeting? OR, are markets setting up for a further (or short-term) pull-back using the timing & levels included in the "40-Bar Cycle" 📊 ? Keep in mind too that we did get a positive MACD crossover (buy signal) on the daily chart, as featured below. However, looking at the charts (including 4-hour MACD) I would conclude that this is likely an invalid buy signal — based in-part on other factors including January Options Expiration (OpEx) next week, 'VIX Compression', & also Federal Reserve 'Net Liquidity', which is still "risk-off" on a macro level as the Federal Reserve looks to keep a lid on asset prices, & of course Inflation (CPI). Chart #1-2: SPY Consolidation Breakout (Daily, w/ & w/o Falling Wedge Pattern) Chart #3: SPY Consolidation Breakout (4-Hour) Chart #4: SPY Consolidation Breakout (1-Hour) Chart #5: SPY 40-Bar Cycle (Daily, note that we are now clearly above the 50SMA are converging on major resistance of the 2022 downtrend & the 200SMA ). Chart #6: SPY 40-Bar Cycle (4-Hour, note the 50SMA did not cross below the 200SMA) Chart #7: SPY 40-Bar Cycle (1-Hour, note the 50SMA vs. 200SMA buy-signal & upward regression channel) What are your predictions for the rest of January 23'? Camp A: We are short-term overbought & a pull-back is in order, before we re-test & break out of this $380-390-400 range on the back of better than expected earnings, less than hawkish Federal Reserve, & more "resilient" macro data. Camp B: We may continue to short-term rally, however market liquidity is still too strong & the Federal Reserve is likely to continue with .25% — in addition to maintaining their hawkish tone so that excess market liquidity does not run away from them with higher asset prices. Macro data will continue to be mixed, if not trend-downward, & earnings will start to come in softer than people expect as forward outlooks raise the red flags for investors. Let me know your prediction in the comments below! 👇🏼
AMEX:SPY
by kylemusserco
2