Get started

Spx500long

SPX500USDThe S&P 500 has been very quiet during most of the month of November, but we are starting to approach the holidays. The month of December is typically a good one for the markets, and the fact that we have been grinding sideways heading into it is a good sign. After all, we will have the “Santa Claus rally”, which is when money managers try to catch up on potential gains or losses that have been accrued. After all, they have a benchmark that they have to work with, so if they do not reach, for example, the gains at the S&P 500, they need to find something out there to profit from in order to show their clients a reason to continue to invest. Because of this, a lot of traders will chase this trade, because they know so many of their peers need to do so as well. From a technical analysis standpoint, this is a market that has clearly been in a nice uptrend, and I think any pullback at this point will be thought of more or less as a gift. You can see I have drawn a trendline on the weekly chart, and I think that trendline will be respected. The 4500 level is also psychologically important, but when you look at the daily chart, the 4600 level has a significant amount of support built in as well. I think somewhere in that general range there will be plenty of buyers. This is assuming that we can even pull back like that. There will be the occasional pullback during the month of December, but those will be bought into. I do not think that this market is one that you need to be overly reckless with, but clearly you are going to make much more in the way of gains if you are to follow the overall momentum that has been higher for several years now. As long as central banks around the world continue to pump the markets with liquidity, people will find one way or another to get a gain that beats inflation. The easiest way by far is going to be buying stock indices, especially in what has been one of the best-performing economies in the world.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SmoothJB
2
S&P 500 Forecast: Index Looks Bullish OverallThe S&P 500 has pulled back a bit during the course of the trading session on Thursday to show signs of weakness but found enough support at 4665 to turn things around and show signs of strength again. This market is likely to continue to go much higher, as we are broken above the bullish flag that recently had formed. The measured move suggests that we could go to the 5000 handle, which of course is a large, round, psychologically significant figure. All things been equal, the market is likely to continue to see a lot of buyers as we have a major “Santa Claus” rally just waiting to happen. The “Santa Claus rally” of course is a well-known phenomenon at the end of the year as the fund managers out there that have not kept up with the markets will have to buy every dip in order to pad their results for the year. That being the case, the market is likely to continue to see plenty of buyers underneath that could come into the picture and pick up value every time it happens. The 50 day EMA of course is an area that would attract a lot of attention, as it is sitting at roughly 4540. With this being the case, the market is likely to continue to find plenty of people underneath willing to pick this market up. To the upside, the 4800 level would of course be an area that could cause some issue from a psychological standpoint, and we may get a little bit of profit-taking there. We have been getting quite a bit of noisy behavior in general, and therefore it is likely that we will continue to see volatility come into the picture, but one thing I think you cannot do as per usual is to short this market. Perhaps at this point in time you should look at the 4250 level as the absolute “floor the market”, so it is almost impossible to get negative on this market. If we do turn around and see this is a market that starts to selloff, I might be a buyer of puts, but that is as far as I would take it.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SmoothJB
SPX500USDAfter trading below its 100-day moving average just a few weeks ago, the major US stock index has been roaring ahead for the past five weeks, rising in value during this time by about 8%. The end of last week saw the price reach another new all-time high, after having traded above the round number at 4700 for the first time. The weekly candlestick was solidly bullish and closed not far from the top of its price range. This, and the record high, are bullish signs. The S&P 500 Index looks likely to remain a good potential buy.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SmoothJB
SPX500USDAll things been equal, this is a market that has been in a bullish run for quite some time, and I just do not see an opportunity to short it anytime soon. The 50 day EMA underneath should continue to offer plenty of support, as it sits at the $15,135 level. Below there, then the market is likely to see the 14,500 level as the absolute floor in the market, so therefore you simply cannot short this market anytime soon. After all, we are in an uptrend and have been for what seems like a lifetime, and I just do not see how that changes in the near future. Ultimately, if we do break down below the 14,500 level, I might be a buyer of puts but that is as aggressive as I get to the downside in US indices. To the upside, the 16,000 level is the most obvious target but at the end of the day I do not know that it is really that big of a deal to suggest that as it is not that far away from here. In fact, it is a mere 270 points or so. The market will continue to be very volatile, but as we rip through earnings season, the very likely that we will continue to see plenty of buyers out there, as this is a market that favors the upside quite drastically, and therefore I do not think we are looking at a scenario that suggests anything other than a “buy on the dips” type of attitude, which is what we have been the case going back at least 13 years to the Great Financial Crisis. I do believe that ultimately will the NASDAQ 100 will not only at 16,000 above, but it will continue to go even higher than that .
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SmoothJB
1
S&P 500 is back on track.Hello everyone, as we all know the market action discounts everything :) _________________________________Make sure to Like and Follow if you like the idea_________________________________ The S&P 500 finished at all-time highs on Monday, as earnings season kicked into high gear in one of the strongest reporting weeks of the quarter, with leading indicators in many industries set to report results. The S&P 500 gained 21.58 points, or 0.47%, to 4,566.48. After a setback and a huge drop that happened 2 weeks ago with the cause being the big problems that happened in China with Evergrande, The S&P is back on track now, and it's breaking new highs each week Possible Scenarios for the market : Scenario 1 : The S&P has been having a great Bullish movement that will probably lead the market price even further soon, we will be seeing the market reaching the first resistance located at 4587.76 where we might have a small setback but most likely the S&P will breakout and continue pushing reaching the 4701.56 level soon. Scenario 2 : After reaching the first resistance at 4587.76 we could be seeing a small pullback that will drive the price down near the support zone located at 4473.96 where the Bulls will try to snap back control over the market and push the price back into Scenario 1. Technical indicators show : 1) The market is above the 5 10 20 50 100 and 200 MA and EMA (Strong Bullish sign) 2) The MACD is above the 0 line indicating a Bullish market with a positive crossover between the MACD line and the Signal line. 3) The ADX is at 22.05 showing that the market is trending with a positive crossover between DI+ and DI-. Weekly Support & Resistance points : support Resistance 1) 4473.96 1) 4587.76 2) 4403.03 2) 4630.63 3) 4360.16 3) 4701.56 Fundamental point of view : U.S. President Joe Biden on Monday held out hope for an agreement on his major spending plans before attending a climate summit in Scotland, while the White House said Democratic negotiators were closing in on a deal. The majority of the 11 major S&P sectors advanced, with energy and consumer discretionary shares the best performing, as energy names received a boost from another rise in oil prices to multiyear highs on tight supply. This week, 165 components of the S&P 500 are expected to post quarterly results, according to Refinitiv data. Analysts expect earnings at S&P 500 companies to grow 34.8% year-on-year for the third quarter. Investors are also assessing how companies are navigating supply-chain bottlenecks, labor shortages and inflationary pressures to sustain growth. Of the 119 companies in the S&P 500 that have reported earnings through Monday morning, 83.2% have topped analysts' expectations. According to Reuters This is my personal opinion done with technical analysis of the market price and research online from Fundamental Analysts and News for The Fundamental point of view, not financial advice. If you have any questions please ask and have a great day !! Thank you for reading.
SP:SPXLong
by GabiDahduh
SPX readySPX has given 2 strong reactions at the support level at 4300. I was expecting this, although FUD was hovering in the news, the gov wouldn't let the market fall...yet. New bill infrastructure and the debt ceiling readjustment SPX will be free to hit another all-time high. This one was a little shakeout, a warning sign. The SPX has painted a beautiful double bottom and I expect the index to find resistance at 4440 before taking off for the new ATH. This exhaustion move was a good buying opportunity. 4630 is my short term target
SP:SPXLong
by CFcryptoTA
S&P still promising A lot of people have been calling for a stock market crash for a long time. However, I'm afraid I have to disagree. From a technical point of view, there is no doubt the S&P is losing momentum as it can be appreciated in the momentum indicators. The price is making new higher highs, but the momentum is doing lower highs. However, the Elliott wave technicals are saying otherwise. I have drawn here the secular cycle and primary cycle aligned. S&P is in the middle of a 3rd impulsive wave with a minimum target of 5200. That's where I believe the S&P (if confirmed by technical) will have a retracement or cool off down to 4200. People will turn really bearish, but the S&P will turn bullish for the last 5th leg up to 6200. That is where the bear market will start, and I expect the market to collapse at least 30%, with my real target standing at 50% around 3200. The end of wave 3 would be the best time to start slowly rotate your profit and capital into assets such as commodities to edge against the crush. At the end of wave 5, you should aim to be 85% - 90% out of the stock market. I am happy to hear your opinions; please leave a comment below.
SP:SPXLong
by CFcryptoTA
The S&P Bullish trend is still ActiveHello everyone, as we all know the market action discounts everything :) _________________________________Make sure to Like and Follow if you like the idea_________________________________ The Bullish trend that started in November where the SPX index started moving up in an Ascending Channel is not stopping yet. The trend is still giving Bullish signals where we kept getting higher highs and higher lows. The S&P 500 index booked fresh record closes on Thursday, despite falling from the session’s best levels, ahead of a highly anticipated August employment report on Friday. The index price is still not showing any signs of weakness and most likely the Index movement for the next period of time will be like this : If we look at the chart and where the market is right now we see that every time the SPX hit the upper end of the Ascending channel it always dropped into the middle range of the Channel, We probably won't see a big Bullish breakout in the Index right now, so the price most likely will be dropping this week a bit and it will be headed near the first support line at 4474.64 and if the Bears were able to gain more control then it could reach the second support at 4439.92 where the major Bull power will be and where the bounce back up will happen that would get the index above the resistance zone between 4528.74 - 4548.12. Technical indicators are showing this : The S&P 500 index is trending above the 5 10 20 50 100 and 200 MA and EMA ( Bullish Sign) The MACD is above the 0 line showing that the market is in a Bullish state, With a positive crossover between The MACD line and The Signal line. The STOCH indicator is in the overbought zone, With a positive crossover between %K (95.00) and %D (92.84). *The overbought zone indicates that the price might drop down. The Ultimate Oscillator is at 79.95 sitting in the overbought zone. The overbought zone indicates that the price might drop down. Support & Resistance points : Support/Resistance 1) 4474.64 1) 4528.74 2) 4439.92 2) 4548.12 3) 4420.54 3) 4582.84 Fundamental point of view : On Thursday, the S&P 500 rose to records on the back of better-than-expected jobless claims data. The initial filings for unemployment insurance fell to their lowest levels since March 2020. The Labor Department reported first-time jobless claims totaled 340,000 for the week ended Aug. 28, compared with the 345,000 estimate. The S&P 500 climbed 0.3%, hitting its 54th record closing high of 2021. Investors are now looking ahead to August’s nonfarm payrolls report — released Friday morning — which could give clues about how fast the Federal Reserve will remove easy monetary policy. Economists polled by Dow Jones expect 720,000 jobs were added in the month, down from 943,000 jobs added in July. The unemployment rate is expected to dip to 5.2%, compared to 5.4% in July. According to CNBC Markets This is my personal opinion done with technical analysis of the market price and research online from fundamental analysts for The Fundamental point of view, not financial advice. If you have any questions please ask and have a great day !! Thank you for reading.
SP:SPXLong
by GabiDahduh